NH Daily February 26 2018 (English)

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Morning Brief

_{Daily | Feb 26, 2018}

JCI closed higher on Friday as rupiah was in rebound range due the recovery in

Asia's financial market.

Top Gainers: Misc Industries (+2.16%), Mining (+0.63%),

Trade (+0.62%).

Today’s Outlook: Global Concerns Subdue

We estimate JCI to rally with the

support range 6583

-

6590 and resistance range

6660

-

6666.

The positive global sentiment comes from the subdued concerns

about the potency of accelerated normalization of the Fed’s monetary. The U.S.

government bond yield slumped into 2.9% showing the subdued global

concerns. From domestic outlook, the re

-

nomination of Joko Widodo shows his

different stance of his aggressive politic in 2014. He even hold steady the

The U.S. markets rallied on Friday after the government bond yield continued to

decline from its 4

-

year highest position.

Europe

European markets moved mixed on Friday. Investors reacted to the release of

companies performance and the Fed's report.

Fed sees economy past full employment, but with only 'moderate' wage gains

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Stocks Recommendation

JPFA

Last = 1580

Analysis

As the domestic consumption recovers, JAPAN

enjoys the government regulation establishing

the lowest broiler benchmark price of

IDR18,000 for corporate breeders or local

breeders.

Range

1550 – 1640

Action

Trading Buy. Cut Loss If Below 1550

ELSA

Last = 505

Analysis

Global oil price continued its rally of 1.24% to

the position of USD63.55 per barrel as it was

backed by the closing of 70,000

-

barrel

-

per

-

day

-

producing El Feel's oil field in Libya.

Range

500 – 535

Action

Trading Buy. Cut Loss If Below 500

UNTR

Last = 37000

Analysis

UNTR plans to release its performance on

Tuesday, 02/27/2018. We project that UNTR's

profit will hike by 28% y

-

y from IDR1.9 trillion in

4Q16 into IDR2.4 trillion in 4Q17.

Range

36500

-

38350

Action

Trading buy. Cut Loss If Below 480

Source: Bloomberg

Sector Rotation

Source: Bloomberg

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Company News

Domestic & Global News

Indonesia's Biggest Political Party Backs Jokowi Re

-

Election

Indonesian President Joko Widodo won the backing of the nation’s biggest political party for a second five

-

year term in

office. The Indonesian Democratic Party of Struggle, led by former president Megawati Soekarnoputri, endorsed Widodo,

also known as Jokowi, as its presidential candidate in the elections scheduled for April next year, according to Pramono

Anung Wibowo, cabinet secretary and a member of the party. (Bloomberg)

Fed sees economy past full employment, but with only 'moderate' wage gains

Federal Reserve policymakers see an economy that may be past full employment, financial market prices that are high and

overall growth that continues to gather steam. Those conditions remain appropriate for further interest rate increases,

though inflation pressures remain fairly muted for now, according to a key report to Congress the central bank released

Friday. (CNBC)

TOPS:

Obtains 35% from Target Contract

TOPS has obtained 35% of project contracts targeted in

2018 from the total of IDR4.2 trillion. The new contract

derives from DKI administration, namely the project of

zero rupiah down payment residency located in Pondok

Kelapa and transit oriented development (TOD) in Lebak

Bulus.

AUTO:

Increases Capex of IDR700 Billion

AUTO allocates 2018 capex of IDR2 trillion increasing by

IDR700 billion compared to 2017 capex. The capex derives

from the internal cash of Astra Otoparts Group. Part of

capex will be used for developing new product and

supporting new models to be issued by OEM producers

within 1

-

2 years ahead. (Kontan)

TOBA:

Net Profits Soars 938%

TOBA obtained the net profit of USD21.17 million or

around IDR286.08 billion in the initial 11 months of 2017.

Its net profit soared 937.74% y

-

y from the prior net profit

of USD2.04 million. TOBA management stated that the

company revenue within the prior 11 months of 2017

reached USD281.78 million (IDR3.81 trillion) increasing by

14.50% y

-

y from the prior revenue of USD246.09 million

(IDR3.34 trillion). (Bisnis Indonesia)

WTON:

Targets Hike of 36% in Profit

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Global Economic Calendar

Date

Country

Hour

Jakarta

Event

Period

Actual

Consensus

Monday

USA

22:00

New Home Sales

Jan

650k

625k

26 -

Feb

Tuesday

EU

16:00

M3 Money Supply YoY

Jan

4.70%

4.60%

27 -

Feb

EU

17:00

Consumer Confidence

Feb F

0.1

0.1 GER

20:00

CPI MoM

Feb P

0.50%

-

0.70%

GER

20:00

CPI YoY

Feb P

1.50%

1.60%

USA

20:30

Durable Goods Orders

Jan P

-

2.50%

2.80%

USA

22:00

Conf. Board Consumer Confidence

Feb

126

125.4 Wednesday

JPN

06:50

Industrial Production MoM

Jan P

-

4.20%

2.90%

28 -

Feb

CHN

08:00

Manufacturing PMI

Feb

51.2

51.3 USA

20:30

GDP Annualized QoQ

4Q S

2.50%

2.60%

Thursday

JPN

06:50

Capital Spending YoY

4Q

3.00%

4.20%

01 - Mar

JPN

08:30

Nikkei Japan PMI Mfg

Feb F

--

54 CHN

08:45

Caixin China PMI Mfg

Feb

51.3

51.5 GER

15:55

Markit Germany Manufacturing PMI

Feb F

60.3

60.3 EU

16:00

Markit Eurozone Manufacturing PMI

Feb F

58.5

58.5 UK

16:30

Markit UK PMI Manufacturing SA

Feb

55.2

55.3 USA

20:30

Initial Jobless Claims

24 -

Feb

--

222k

USA

21:45

Markit US Manufacturing PMI

Feb F

--

55.9 USA

22:00

ISM Manufacturing

Feb

58.7

59.1 Friday

JPN

06:30

Jobless Rate

Jan

2.80%

02 -

Mar

USA

22:00

U. of Mich. Sentiment

Feb F

98.5

99.9 Source: Bloomberg

Domestic Economic Calendar

Source: Bloomberg

Date

Hour

Jakarta

Event

Period

Actual

Consensus

Prev.

Wednesday

Tentative

Money Supply M2 YoY

Jan

8.30%

28 - Feb

Tentative

Money Supply M1 YoY

Jan

12.40%

Thursday

07:30

Nikkei Indonesia PMI Mfg

Feb

49.9

01 -

Mar

11:00

CPI NSA MoM

Feb

0.62%

11:00

CPI Core YoY

Feb

2.69%

11:00

CPI YoY

Feb

3.25%

Corporate Calendar

Date

Event

Company

Monday

Extraordinary Shareholder Meeting

BACA

26 -

Feb

Tuesday

Annual Shareholder Meeting

SOBI

27 -

Feb

Cum Dividend Date

BJTM (IDR 44.1 per share)

Wednesday

Annual Shareholder Meeting

BJBR, SMBR

28 -

Feb

Extraordinary Shareholder Meeting

BKSW, MIKA, RBMS

Annual & Extraordinary Shareholder Meeting

MEGA

Friday

Extraordinary Shareholder Meeting

MKNT

02- Mar

Annual & Extraordinary Shareholder Meeting

KIOS

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