Daftar Populasi dan Sampel
No. Kode Perusahaan (Nama Perusahaan) Kriteria Sampel KETERANGAN
1 2 3 4 5
8 IKAI (Inti Keramik Alam Asri Industri
Tbk) √ √ X X √ -
9 KIAS (Keramika Indonesia Assosiasi Tbk) √ √ √ X √ -
10 MLIA (Mulia Industrindo Tbk) √ √ √ √ √ SAMPEL 1
11 TOTO (Surya Toto Indonesia Tbk) √ √ √ X √ -
12 ALKA (Alakasa Industrindo Tbk) √ √ √ X √ -
13 ALMI (Alumindo Light Metal Industry
Tbk) √ √ √ √ √ SAMPEL 2
14 BTON (Beton Jaya Manunggal Tbk) √ √ X X √ -
15 CTBN (Citra Turbindo Tbk) √ √ √ √ √ SAMPEL 3
16 GDST (Gunawan Dianjaya Steel Tbk) √ √ X X √ - 17 INAI (Indal Aluminium Industry Tbk) √ √ √ √ √ SAMPEL 4 18 ISSP (Steel Pipe Industry of Indonesia
Tbk) X X X X X -
19 ITMA (Itamaraya Tbk) √ √ √ X √ -
20 JKSW (Jakarta Kyoei Steel Work LTD
113
62 KBRI (Kertas Basuki Rachmat Indonesia
71 INDS (Indospring Tbk) √ √ √ √ √ SAMPEL 26
100 SCCO (Supreme Cable Manufacturing and
115
107 CEKA (Cahaya Kalbar Tbk) √ √ √ X √ -
108 DAVO (Davomas Abadi Tbk) √ X X X X -
109 DLTA (Delta Djakarta Tbk) √ √ √ X √ -
110 ICBP (Indofood CBP Sukses Makmur
Tbk) √ √ √ X √ -
119 ULTJ (Ultrajaya Milk Industry and
Trading Company Tbk) √ √ √ X √ - 131 SIDO ( Industri Jamu dan Farmasi Sido
117 40 ULTJ (Ultrajaya Milk Industry and Trading
Company Tbk) 1,521 2,018 2,470 3,345
41 GGRM (Gudang Garam Tbk) 2,245 2,170 1,722 1,620 42 KAEF (Kimia Farma Tbk) 2,748 2,825 2,427 2,387 43 KLBF (Kalbe Farma Tbk) 2,188 3,071 2,550 3,326 44 PYFA (Pyridam Farma Tbk) 2,540 2,413 1,537 1,627 45 TSPC (Tempo Scan Pasific Tbk 3,083 3,093 2,962 3,002 46 MBTO (Martina Berto Tbk) 4,081 3,710 3,991 3,954 47 TCID (Mandom Indonesia Tbk) 11,743 7,727 3,573 1,798 48 KDSI (Kedawung Setia Industrial Tbk) 1,358 1,591 1,445 1,368 49 KICI (Kedaung Indag Can Tbk) 7,260 4,800 5,774 7,904 50 LMPI (Langgeng Makmur Industry Tbk) 1,477 1,240 1,194 1,240
119 40 ULTJ (Ultrajaya Milk Industry and Trading
Company Tbk) 0,36 0,31 0,28 0,22
41 GGRM (Gudang Garam Tbk) 0,37 0,36 0,42 0,43
42 KAEF (Kimia Farma Tbk) 0,3 0,31 0,34 0,39
43 KLBF (Kalbe Farma Tbk) 0,34 0,27 0,34 0,3
44 PYFA (Pyridam Farma Tbk) 0,3 0,35 0,46 0,44
45 TSPC (Tempo Scan Pasific Tbk 0,28 0,28 0,29 0,26
46 MBTO (Martina Berto Tbk) 0,26 0,29 0,26 0,27
47 TCID (Mandom Indonesia Tbk) 0,1 0,13 0,19 0,31 48 KDSI (Kedawung Setia Industrial Tbk) 0,52 0,45 0,59 0,58 49 KICI (Kedaung Indag Can Tbk) 0,26 0,3 0,25 0,19 50 LMPI (Langgeng Makmur Industry Tbk) 0,41 0,5 0,52 0,51
121 40 ULTJ (Ultrajaya Milk Industry and Trading
Company Tbk) 0,047 0,146 0,116 0,097
41 GGRM (Gudang Garam Tbk) 0,127 0,098 0,086 0,093 42 KAEF (Kimia Farma Tbk) 0,096 0,097 0,087 0,080 43 KLBF (Kalbe Farma Tbk) 0,059 0,108 0,055 0,052 44 PYFA (Pyridam Farma Tbk) 0,044 0,039 0,035 0,015 45 TSPC (Tempo Scan Pasific Tbk 0,138 0,137 0,118 0,104 46 MBTO (Martina Berto Tbk) 0,079 0,075 0,026 0,005 47 TCID (Mandom Indonesia Tbk) 0,124 0,119 0,109 0,094 48 KDSI (Kedawung Setia Industrial Tbk) 0,040 0,065 0,042 0,047 49 KICI (Kedaung Indag Can Tbk) 0,004 0,024 0,076 0,049 50 LMPI (Langgeng Makmur Industry Tbk) 0,008 0,003 -0,015 0,002
123 40 ULTJ (Ultrajaya Milk Industry and Trading
Company Tbk) 4,067 5,431 5,630 4,770
41 GGRM (Gudang Garam Tbk) 1,318 1,458 1,567 1,595 42 KAEF (Kimia Farma Tbk) 5,798 5,188 5,218 4,721 43 KLBF (Kalbe Farma Tbk) 3,293 3,718 3,185 2,895 44 PYFA (Pyridam Farma Tbk) 0,408 0,376 0,204 2,377 45 TSPC (Tempo Scan Pasific Tbk 5,418 5,557 4,685 4,446 46 MBTO (Martina Berto Tbk) 5,133 6,445 5,943 5,173 47 TCID (Mandom Indonesia Tbk) 4,467 4,337 4,232 3,765 48 KDSI (Kedawung Setia Industrial Tbk) 6,083 6,941 8,020 8,220 49 KICI (Kedaung Indag Can Tbk) 1,974 1,994 1,670 1,691 50 LMPI (Langgeng Makmur Industry Tbk) 3,116 2,725 2,540 2,030
125 40 ULTJ (Ultrajaya Milk Industry and Trading
Company Tbk) 0.333 0.333 0.333 0.333
41 GGRM (Gudang Garam Tbk) 0.500 0.500 0.500 0.500 42 KAEF (Kimia Farma Tbk) 0.400 0.400 0.400 0.400 43 KLBF (Kalbe Farma Tbk) 0.333 0.333 0.333 0.333 44 PYFA (Pyridam Farma Tbk) 0.333 0.333 0.333 0.333 45 TSPC (Tempo Scan Pasific Tbk 0.667 0.500 0.600 0.750 46 MBTO (Martina Berto Tbk) 0.333 0.333 0.333 0.333 47 TCID (Mandom Indonesia Tbk) 0.400 0.400 0.400 0.400 48 KDSI (Kedawung Setia Industrial Tbk) 0.500 0.500 0.400 0.500 49 KICI (Kedaung Indag Can Tbk) 0.333 0.333 0.333 0.333 50 LMPI (Langgeng Makmur Industry Tbk) 0.500 0.500 0.500 0.500
Data Variabel Kepemilikan Manajerial
No. Kode dan Nama Perusahaan 2011 2012 2013 2014
127 40 ULTJ (Ultrajaya Milk Industry and Trading
Company Tbk) 17.97046 17.97046 17.79735 17.89156
41 GGRM (Gudang Garam Tbk) 0.85368 0.92003 0.92003 0.92003 42 KAEF (Kimia Farma Tbk) 0.00491 0.00225 0.00225 0.00225 43 KLBF (Kalbe Farma Tbk) 0.02266 0.00933 0.00933 0.00933 44 PYFA (Pyridam Farma Tbk) 23.07692 23.07692 2.33236 2.33236 45 TSPC (Tempo Scan Pasific Tbk 0.08777 0.10218 0.09740 0.08111 46 MBTO (Martina Berto Tbk) 0.09621 0.09621 0.09388 0.09388 47 TCID (Mandom Indonesia Tbk) 0.14186 0.14186 0.14169 0.13578 48 KDSI (Kedawung Setia Industrial Tbk) 0.03432 0.02593 4.83753 4.81160 49 KICI (Kedaung Indag Can Tbk) 0.22687 0.22687 0.22687 0.22687 50 LMPI (Langgeng Makmur Industry Tbk) 0.00556 0.00556 0.00056 0.00556
Data Variabel Kepemilikan Institusional
No. Kode dan Nama Perusahaan 2011 2012 2013 2014
129 40 ULTJ (Ultrajaya Milk Industry and Trading
Company Tbk) 46.6122 46.6122 46.5900 46.5900
41 GGRM (Gudang Garam Tbk) 75.5469 75.5469 75.5469 75.5469 42 KAEF (Kimia Farma Tbk) 90.0252 90.0252 90.0252 90.0252 43 KLBF (Kalbe Farma Tbk) 56.6380 56.6380 56.7074 56.7135 44 PYFA (Pyridam Farma Tbk) 53.8461 53.8461 53.8461 53.8461 45 TSPC (Tempo Scan Pasific Tbk 95.0620 77.2856 77.3366 77.5248 46 MBTO (Martina Berto Tbk) 67.7503 67.7503 67.7503 67.7503 47 TCID (Mandom Indonesia Tbk) 73.7739 73.7739 73.7739 73.7739 48 KDSI (Kedawung Setia Industrial Tbk) 49.1333 75.6762 75.6762 75.6762 49 KICI (Kedaung Indag Can Tbk) 75.0197 82.5481 83.0605 83.0605 50 LMPI (Langgeng Makmur Industry Tbk) 83.2746 83.2746 8.3272 83.2746
Data Variabel Ukuran Perusahaan
No. Kode dan Nama Perusahaan 2011 2012 2013 2014
131 40 ULTJ (Ultrajaya Milk Industry and Trading
Company Tbk) 12.3386 12.3840 12.4490 12.4649
41 GGRM (Gudang Garam Tbk) 13.5921 13.6181 13.7056 13.7651 42 KAEF (Kimia Farma Tbk) 12.2539 12.3173 12.3930 12.4725 43 KLBF (Kalbe Farma Tbk) 12.9177 12.9740 13.0537 13.0943 44 PYFA (Pyridam Farma Tbk) 11.0720 11.1331 11.2433 11.2374 45 TSPC (Tempo Scan Pasific Tbk 12.6284 12.6659 12.7330 12.7476 46 MBTO (Martina Berto Tbk) 11.7337 11.7850 11.7866 11.7920 47 TCID (Mandom Indonesia Tbk) 12.0534 12.1009 12.1661 12.2679 48 KDSI (Kedawung Setia Industrial Tbk) 11.7691 11.7563 11.9295 11.9787 49 KICI (Kedaung Indag Can Tbk) 10.9416 10.9775 10.9925 10.9856 50 LMPI (Langgeng Makmur Industry Tbk) 11.8363 11.9112 11.9150 11.9079
133 40 ULTJ (Ultrajaya Milk Industry and Trading
Company Tbk) 0 0 0 0
41 GGRM (Gudang Garam Tbk) 0 0 0 0
42 KAEF (Kimia Farma Tbk) 0 0 0 0
43 KLBF (Kalbe Farma Tbk) 0 0 0 0
44 PYFA (Pyridam Farma Tbk) 0 0 0 0
45 TSPC (Tempo Scan Pasific Tbk 0 0 0 0
46 MBTO (Martina Berto Tbk) 0 0 0 0
47 TCID (Mandom Indonesia Tbk) 0 0 0 0
48 KDSI (Kedawung Setia Industrial Tbk) 0 0 0 0
49 KICI (Kedaung Indag Can Tbk) 0 0 0 0
50 LMPI (Langgeng Makmur Industry Tbk) 0 0 1 0
Hasil Pengelolahan SPSS
STATISTIK DESKRIPTIF
Statistik Deskriptif Variabel Likuiditas, Leverage, Profitabilitas, Rasio Aktivitas, Komisaris Independen, Kepemilikan Manajerial, Kepemilikan
Institusional, dan Ukuran Perusahaan
Descriptive Statistics
N Minimum Maximum Mean Std. Deviation
Likuiditas 200 ,213 464,984 5,98853 37,006682
Leverage 200 ,040 4,280 ,49160 ,354504
Profitabilitas 200 -,346 ,748 ,04782 ,088533
Rasio Aktivitas 200 ,204 26,470 5,18612 3,707024
Komisaris Independen 200 ,200 ,750 ,36685 ,071031
Kepemilikan Manajerial 200 ,0005 75,7424 7,051139 15,1055807
Kepemilikan Institusional 200 8,3272 96,0912 66,395858 17,9883630
Ukuran Perusahaan 200 10,942 14,584 12,21818 ,746338
Valid N (listwise) 200
Statistik Deskriptif Variabel Financial Distress
Statistics
Financial Distress
N
Valid 200
Missing 0
Statistik Frekuensi Variabel Financial Distress
Financial Distress
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative
Percent
Valid
0 166 83,0 83,0 83,0
1 34 17,0 17,0 100,0
135
HASIL UJI REGRESI LOGISTIK
Case Processing Summary
Unweighted Casesa N Percent
Selected Cases
Included in Analysis 200 100,0
Missing Cases 0 ,0
Total 200 100,0
Unselected Cases 0 ,0
Total 200 100,0
a. If weight is in effect, see classification table for the total number of
cases.
Dependent Variable Encoding
Original Value Internal Value
0 0
1 1
Uji Kelayakan Keseluruhan Model
Block 0: Beginning Block
Iteration Historya,b,c
Iteration -2 Log likelihood Coefficients
Constant
Step 0
1 184,463 -1,320
2 182,366 -1,565
3 182,354 -1,585
4 182,354 -1,586
a. Constant is included in the model.
b. Initial -2 Log Likelihood: 182,354
c. Estimation terminated at iteration number 4
because parameter estimates changed by less than
,001.
Observed Predicted
Financial Distress Percentage
Correct
0 1
Step 0
Financial Distress
0 166 0 100,0
1 34 0 ,0
Overall Percentage 83,0
a. Constant is included in the model.
b. The cut value is ,500
Variables in the Equation
B S.E. Wald Df Sig. Exp(B)
Step 0 Constant -1,586 ,188 70,951 1 ,000 ,205
Variables not in the Equation
Score df Sig.
Step 0
Variables
LIQUID 2,560 1 ,110
LEV 7,828 1 ,005
PROF 55,049 1 ,000
AKTV ,343 1 ,558
IND_COM ,740 1 ,390
MAN_OWN ,854 1 ,355
INS_OWN ,119 1 ,730
SIZE ,986 1 ,321
137
Block 1: Method = Enter
Iteration Historya,b,c,d
Iteration -2 Log likelihood Coefficients
Constant LIQUID LEV PROF AKTV
IND_COM MAN_OWN INS_OWN SIZE
parameter estimates changed by less than ,001.
Uji Kelayakan Model
Hosmer and Lemeshow Test
Step Chi-square df Sig.
1 42,562 8 ,000
Contingency Table for Hosmer and Lemeshow Test
Financial Distress = 0 Financial Distress = 1 Total
Observed Expected Observed Expected
Step 1
1 20 20,000 0 ,000 20
2 20 20,000 0 ,000 20
3 20 19,999 0 ,001 20
4 20 19,996 0 ,004 20
5 19 19,975 1 ,025 20
6 20 19,917 0 ,083 20
7 19 19,529 1 ,471 20
8 20 17,031 0 2,969 20
9 8 9,237 12 10,763 20
10 0 ,315 20 19,685 20
Uji Tabel Klasifikasi 2x2
Classification Tablea
Observed Predicted
Financial Distress Percentage
Correct
0 1
Step 1
Financial Distress
0 165 1 99,4
1 3 31 91,2
Overall Percentage 98,0
139
a. Variable(s) entered on step 1: LIQUID, LEV, PROF, AKTV, IND_COM, MAN_OWN, INS_OWN,
