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Daily Price Action
Tuesday, August 1
st2017
IHSG Technical Review
IHSG pun ditutup menguat 9.9 poin sebesar 0.17% dilevel 5840.94 setelah sempat bergerak cenderung mixed sepanjang sesi perdagangan. Indeks sektor property (+1.38%), trading (+1.21%) dan keuangan (1.08%) memimpin penguatan. Investor asing tercatat melakukan aksi net buy pertama sejak 3 minggu terakhir sebesar 335.98 Miliar namun secara bulanan dibulan july investor asing tercatat net sell tertinggi tahun ini sebesar 7.02 Triliun rupiah berbanding pada bulan yang sama di tahun sebelumnya net buy sekitar 12.2 Triliun rupiah.
Leaders:
TCID (10.17%), PLIN (24.62%), UNTR (2.56%)
Laggards:
GGRM (-4.64%), MKPI (-3.9%), ITMG (-2.56%)
IHSG berhasil bertahan pada support MA25 dan melakukan pengujian pada resistance upper bollinger bands. Indikator Stochastic melaju kuat hingga mendekati area jenuh beli meskipun Indikator RSI yang cenderung terkonsolidasi pada middle oscillator. Sehingga diperkirakan IHSG masih akan bergerak mixed menguat tertahan pada range pergerakan 5809-5873. Saham yang dapat diperhatikan diantaranya AALI, ASII, BBRI, CPIN, MAPI, CTRA.
Awal bulan Agustus Indeks saham Nikkei (+0.19%), Topix (+0.39%) dan Kospi (+0.65%) naik dengan harga komoditas tambang seperti Batubara (+8.37%), Timah (+0.24%) dan Nikel (+0.15%) sangat optimis. Harga minyak mentah dunia (+0.14%) masih cukup kuat dilevel 50.24 per barrel.
Market View
Analyst:
Lanjar Nafi
[email protected] +62 21 5793 0008 ext. 604
Stock Picks
INCO
MAPI
Analisis:
• Candlestick membentuk pola
dark cloud cover dengan
indikasi fase distribusi.
• Batasan stop-loss jika harga
saham terkonfirmasi pulled
back MA200 resistance level.
• Indikator Stochastic telah
terlihat dead-cross pada area
jenuh beli dengan Indikator RSI
yang berpola bearish reversal
momentum.
• Support
: 2140-2270
• Resistance
: 2490-2680
• Stop-loss
: 2350
• Downside
: 2040
SELL
Analisis:
• Terkonfirmasi rebound pada
support bullish trend. Harga
saham akan mencoba menguat
hingga melakukan pengujian
pada resistance level.
• Batasan stop-loss akan berada
pada support terdekat
• Indikator Stochastic mencoba
menguat hingga area jenuh
beli dengan RSI yang bergerak
bullish momentum
• Support
: 5950-6150
• Resistance
: 6400-6750
• Stop-loss
: 6100
• Target Price
: 6750
BUY
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Stock Picks
CTRA
ASII
Analisis:
• Chandlestick mengkonfirmasi
pola bullish harami cross.
Indikasi pembalikan arah yang
cukup kuat dari
probabilitasnya.
• Bergerak menuju 38.2% golden
ratio dan Batasan stop-loss
berada dibawah level support
• Indikator Stochastic dan RSI
berpola positif dengan
golden-cross yang di iringi bullish
reversal momentum.
• Support
: 955-1015
• Resistance
: 1090-1160
• Stop-loss
: 1000
• Target Price
: 1110-1160
BUY
Analisis:
• Candlestick membentuk pola
tweezers bottom. Dengan
indikasi reversal yang cukup
kuat.
• Batasan stop-loss jika harga
break out support level. Target
penguatan harga akan menguji
level MA200.
• Indikator Stochastic dan RSI
berpola positif dengan
golden-cross yang di iringi bullish
reversal momentum.
• Support
: 7650-7925
• Resistance : 8150-8350
• Stop-loss
: 7875
• Target price : 8300
BUY
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LS-27 Technical Table
Source : Reliance Sekuritas Indonesia
Analyst Conclusions:
The index has bearish consolidations at trying support level.
Legend :
B: BUY (allocate till 100% of the weighted capital to accumulate, higher than 50% upside probability) SB: SPECULATIVE BUY (allocate 25%-50% of the weighted capital to accumulate, 25%-50% upside probability) W: WAIT (wait for proper entry level, do the stop-loss if necessary)
H: HOLD (hold the portfolio position, aim for the best price to distribute)
PS: PARTIAL SELL (distribute 25%-50% part of the portfolio, 25%-50% downside probability) S: SELL (distribute till 100% of the portfolio, higher than 50% downside probability)
TB: TRADING BUY (short term or intraday trading within a tight trading range. Highly speculative).
Closing Stop Rec Target
Price Rec Loss Buy Prc Price
Plantation
AALI 13,700 14,000 14,725 14,900 15,850 MA50 support level W 14,400 LSIP 1,330 1,400 1,410 1,475 1,540 Consolidations S 1,400
Mining
INCO 2,120 2,300 2,420 2,510 2,670 Dark cloud cover S 2,400
Consumer
UNVR 46,000 47,750 48,950 50,300 52,000 Rebounded at MA50 B 47,600 48,900 50,300 INDF 7,900 8,100 8,375 8,500 9,125 Bearish momentum W 8,200
KLBF 1,650 1,700 1,735 1,760 1,830 Overbought H 1,680 1,760
Trading
ACES 1,030 1,090 1,110 1,180 1,270 Consolidations PS 1,120 AKRA 6,600 6,700 6,900 7,000 7,300 Hanging man PS 6,500 UNTR 28,000 29,200 30,100 30,300 31,250 Overbought PS 29,100
Property & Construction
LPCK 4,100 4,300 4,390 4,450 4,600 Consolidations W 4,350
WIKA 1,970 2,050 2,080 2,110 2,200 Bullish momentum B 2,050 2,070 2,150 BSDE 1,625 1,720 1,790 1,820 1,935 Consolidations TB 1,710 1,870 WSKT 2,120 2,260 2,390 2,410 2,600 Overbought H 2,320 2,430 ADHI 2,100 2,160 2,220 2,250 2,320 Break out MA200 H 2,160 2,250
Basic Industry & Chemical
SMGR 9,350 9,900 9,950 10,500 11,000 Consolidations H 9,800 10,500 CPIN 2,420 2,530 2,670 2,700 2,850 Downside significant SB 2,530 2,930 MAIN 975 1,000 960 1,065 1,130 Oversold W 970
INTP 16,800 17,350 17,500 17,900 18,350 Consolidations TB 17,300 17,900
Miscelaneous
SRIL 295 316 338 352 400 Bearish momentum PS 310
ASII 7,625 7,900 7,975 8,325 8,600 Twezeers bottom SB 7,850 7,950 8,300
Finance
BBTN 2,460 2,590 2,600 2,700 2,840 Bullish momentum H 2,550 2,700 BMRI 12,650 13,200 13,650 13,800 14,350 Bullish momentum H 13,000 13,800 BTPN 2,200 2,340 2,520 2,560 2,770 Consolidations H 2,450 2,600 BJBR 1,740 1,925 2,070 2,150 2,210 Stoch golden-cross SB 1,900 2,060 2,150 BBRI 13,200 14,000 14,775 14,775 15,200 Bullish engulfing SB 14,400 14,750 15,200
Infrastructure
TLKM 4,400 4,570 4,690 4,800 5,025 Overbought H 4,650 4,800 PGAS 2,040 2,200 2,250 2,400 2,580 Consolidations SB 2,180 2,260 2,340
Stocks S2 S1 R1 R2 Technical Notes
Legend :
B: BUY (allocate till 100% of the weighted capital to accumulate, higher than 50% upside probability) SB: SPECULATIVE BUY (allocate 25%-50% of the weighted capital to accumulate, 25%-50% upside probability) W: WAIT (wait for proper entry level, do the stop-loss if necessary)
H: HOLD (hold the portfolio position, aim for the best price to distribute)
PS: PARTIAL SELL (distribute 25%-50% part of the portfolio, 25%-50% downside probability) S: SELL (distribute till 100% of the portfolio, higher than 50% downside probability)
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Equity Technical Indicator
Legend :
• Movement: Bullish and Bearish (Indicator Stochastic)
• Momentum: Oversold, Overbought and Neutral (Indicator RSI)
• Resistance Fractal: Strong Resistance
• Support Fractal: Strong Support
• Green: Good Conditions
• Red: Poor Conditions
Resistance Price Support Weekly Weekly
Fractal 7/31/2017 Fractal High Low RSI B. Band 25 Days 50 Days 200 Days AALI.JK 15,600 14,725 15,050 15,400 14,775 Neutral Bearish Neutral Lower Bands Under Under Under ACES.JK 1,185 1,110 1,065 1,155 1,140 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper ADHI.JK 2,190 2,220 1,950 2,230 2,170 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper ADRO.JK 1,850 1,785 1,760 1,850 1,815 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper AISA.JK 1,830 1,305 905 1,375 1,210 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Under AKRA.JK 6,450 6,900 6,300 6,900 6,500 Overbought Bullish Overbought Upper Bands Upper Upper Upper ANTM.JK 740 690 695 730 700 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Under APLN.JK 216 224 190 240 218 Neutral Bearish Overbought Middle Bands Upper Upper Under ASII.JK 8,850 7,975 8,000 8,250 8,075 Oversold Bullish Oversold Middle Bands Under Under Under ASRI.JK 328 322 302 326 308 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Under Under BBCA.JK 18,550 18,700 18,200 19,000 18,675 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper BBKP.JK 640 595 615 630 620 Oversold Bearish Oversold Lower Bands Under Under Under BBNI.JK 6,700 7,450 6,875 7,450 7,100 Overbought Bearish Overbought Upper Bands Upper Upper Upper BBRI.JK 14,900 14,775 14,500 15,000 14,725 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Upper BBTN.jk 2,530 2,600 2,400 2,600 2,500 Neutral Bullish Neutral Upper Bands Upper Upper Upper BDMN.JK 5,300 5,700 4,890 5,700 5,225 Overbought Bearish Overbought Upper Bands Upper Upper Upper BHIT.JK 124 109 104 110 109 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Under BJBR.JK 2,100 2,070 1,980 2,110 2,000 Oversold Bullish Neutral Upper Bands Under Under Under BJTM.JK 660 630 615 640 635 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Upper BKSL.JK 99 92 88 99 93 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper BMRI.JK 12,750 13,650 13,000 13,650 13,350 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper BMTR.JK 640 520 505 530 525 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Under BSDE.JK 1,820 1,790 1,720 1,820 1,765 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Under BTPN.JK 2,550 2,520 2,510 2,550 2,530 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Under BWPT.JK 250 218 234 238 228 Oversold Bearish Oversold Lower Bands Under Under Under CMNP.JK 1,365 1,345 1,300 1,375 1,320 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Under CPIN.JK 3,300 2,670 3,140 3,250 2,820 Oversold Bullish Oversold Lower Bands Under Under Under CSAP.JK 466 462 460 466 464 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Under CTRA.JK 1,185 1,035 1,170 1,120 1,025 Oversold Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Under DILD.JK 412 402 398 412 402 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Under EXCL.JK 3,500 3,360 3,110 3,370 3,250 Overbought Bullish Neutral Upper Bands Upper Upper Upper GGRM.JK 77,200 76,100 75,650 80,050 76,750 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Upper GIAA.JK 364 346 350 362 350 Neutral Bearish Neutral Lower Bands Under Under Under GJTL.JK 1,055 960 950 990 965 Oversold Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Under HEXA.JK 4,150 4,150 4,050 4,160 4,090 Neutral Bearish Neutral Upper Bands Upper Upper Upper HRUM.JK 2,290 2,200 2,050 2,240 2,110 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper ICBP.JK 8,675 8,350 8,450 8,675 8,500 Neutral Bearish Neutral Lower Bands Under Under Under IMAS.JK 1,145 1,080 1,060 1,100 1,100 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Under INCO.JK 1,910 2,420 2,090 2,510 2,340 Overbought Bearish Overbought Middle Bands Upper Upper Under INDF.JK 8,800 8,375 8,475 8,725 8,600 Neutral Bearish Neutral Lower Bands Under Under Upper INDY.JK 965 825 790 905 845 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper INTA.JK 288 274 266 288 278 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Under Under INTP.JK 18,100 17,500 17,325 18,050 17,600 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Upper ITMG.JK 21,900 20,000 20,050 21,125 20,525 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper JPFA.JK 1,470 1,165 1,365 1,330 1,200 Oversold Bearish Oversold Middle Bands Under Under Under JSMR.JK 5,400 5,850 5,225 5,850 5,425 Overbought Bullish Overbought Upper Bands Upper Upper Upper KIJA.JK 324 318 310 320 316 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Upper KLBF.JK 1,665 1,735 1,600 1,735 1,710 Overbought Bullish Overbought Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper KRAS.JK 625 595 590 625 610 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Under LPCK.JK 4,650 4,390 4,270 4,550 4,420 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Under LPKR.JK 705 715 670 715 695 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Under LPPF.JK 13,125 12,675 12,100 13,125 12,825 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Under LSIP.JK 1,460 1,410 1,405 1,445 1,420 Oversold Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Under MAIN.JK 1,100 960 1,040 1,060 1,000 Oversold Bullish Oversold Lower Bands Under Under Under MAPI.JK 6,375 6,300 5,975 6,325 6,200 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Upper MASA.JK 220 206 206 212 208 Oversold Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Under MNCN.JK 1,815 1,800 1,770 1,825 1,810 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Under Under MPPA.JK 670 640 615 660 630 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Under MTLA.JK 322 360 340 370 350 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper MYOR.JK 2,100 1,855 1,990 2,100 1,945 Neutral Bearish Oversold Lower Bands Under Under Under PGAS.JK 2,270 2,250 2,210 2,270 2,250 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Under PTBA.JK 13,275 13,100 12,725 13,350 13,100 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper RALS.JK 1,025 945 980 1,025 995 Neutral Bearish Oversold Middle Bands Under Under Under ROTI.JK 1,300 1,250 1,230 1,275 1,245 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Under Under SCMA.JK 2,310 2,360 2,160 2,420 2,290 Neutral Bullish Neutral Upper Bands Under Under Under SGRO.JK 2,060 2,010 1,980 2,010 2,000 Neutral Bullish Neutral Upper Bands Upper Under Upper SIMP.JK 565 510 520 540 525 Neutral Bearish Oversold Lower Bands Under Under Under SMCB.JK 810 780 775 815 795 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Under SMGR.JK 10,400 9,950 9,900 10,150 9,950 Neutral Bearish Neutral Lower Bands Under Upper Upper SMRA.JK 1,350 980 1,015 1,075 1,020 Neutral Bearish Oversold Middle Bands Under Under Under SRIL.JK 378 338 318 378 352 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper SSIA.JK 700 685 630 705 670 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper SSMS.JK 1,580 1,465 1,520 1,580 1,550 Neutral Bearish Neutral Lower Bands Under Under Under TLKM.JK 4,660 4,690 4,500 4,750 4,720 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper TOTL.JK 780 710 720 725 710 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Under UNTR.JK 28,200 30,100 27,925 30,200 28,900 Overbought Bearish Overbought Upper Bands Upper Upper Upper UNVR.JK 48,600 48,950 47,325 49,550 48,000 Neutral Bullish Neutral Upper Bands Upper Upper Upper
Ticker Indicator Moving Average
Stochastic
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RESEARCH DIVISION
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Rio Adrianus Research Analyst
Lanjar Nafi Taulat I Technical Research Analyst [email protected]
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Shanti Dwi Jayanti Associate Research Analyst
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IDX CORNER & INVESTMENT GALLERY
Disclaimer:
Information, opinions and recommendations contained in this document are presented by PT Reliance Sekuritas Indonesia Tbk. from sources that are considered reliable and dependable. This document is not an offer, invitation or any kind of representations to decide to buy or sell stock. Investment decisions taken based on this document is not the responsibility of PT Reliance Sekuritas Indonesia Tbk. PT Reliance Sekuritas Indonesia Tbk. reserves the right to change the contents of this document at any time without prior notice.
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