Tuesday, January 23
rd2018
D A I LY R E P O R T
Daily Report is also available in BNI Sekuritas website : www.bnisekuritas.co.id
RESEARCH
Equity
MARKET PREDICTION TODAY
JCI Today Is Predicted to Move in Mixed With
Uptrend Direction
The Dow Jones Index on Monday closed 0.55% higher to 26,214.60 while the S&P 500 was closed up 0.98% at 7,408.03. The rising Dow Jones Index was driven by the end of US government shutdown. Shares of telecommunication and financials sectors became the main driver of strengthening index. Oil price stood at US$ 63.49 per barrel, up 0.2% on Monday. Meanwhile, European bourses on Monday were closed mostly in positive territory. The FTSE closed down 0.20% to 7,715.44 and the DAX index rose by 0.22% to 13,463.69. Most of European bourses moved higher due to positive sentiment of the end of US government shutdown.
Furthermore, most of Asian bourses at the close of trading sessions on Monday closed in positive territory. The Nikkei index closed positively by 0.03% to 23.816,33 due to the sentiment from stocks in telecommunication and healthcare sectors which were up 0.74% and 0.66% respectively. Meanwhile, JCI on Monday closed positively by 0,15% to 6,500.53 driven by stocks in utilities industry and energy sectors. Asian bourses on Tuesday morning are mostly opened moving up due to regional sentiments such as from investors’ optimism toward the earnings season, which Nikkei Index is opened higher. Therefore, JCI movement is predicted to move in mixed with uptrend direction in the range of 6,480 – 6,550. Our top stocks pick for today trading sessions are ICBP, BBCA, BBRI, PTPP.
Analyst: Ankga Adiwirasta (ankga.adiwirasta@bnisekuritas.co.id)
COMPANY/INDUSTRY UPDATE
State owned construction companies and PT Hutama Karya Work on Bakauheuni-Terbanggi Besar Toll Road. BUY. Analyst: Maxi Liesyaputra.
PT Mitra Keluarga Karyasehat Tbk (MIKA) will buy back its 5% shares. UNDER REVIEW. Analyst: Thennesia Debora.
PT Bumi Resources Tbk (BUMI)’s growth target in 2018. UNDER REVIEW. Analyst: Dessy Lapagu.
Global Indices Closing Change %Chg %Ytd P/E
Americas INDU Index 26,214.60 142.88 0.55 6.05 21.73 SPX Index 2,832.97 22.67 0.81 5.96 23.59 CCMP Index 7,408.03 71.652 0.98 7.31 39.28 IBOV Index 81,675.42 455.92 0.56 6.90 20.24 EMEA UKX Index 7,715.44 -15.35 -0.20 0.36 23.01 CAC Index 5,541.99 15.48 0.28 4.32 19.04 RTSSTD Index 15,108.25 149.69 1.00 10.50 7.60 IBEX Index 10,584.00 104.5 1.00 5.38 15.94 FTSEMIB Index 23,890.18 140.96 0.59 9.32 3.88 AEX Index 570.82 1.52 0.27 4.82 19.36 SMI Index 9,529.13 19.36 0.20 1.57 27.06 Asia / Pacific NKY Index 23,934.56 118.23 0.50 5.14 20.37 HSI Index 32,393.41 138.52 0.43 8.27 15.05 SHCOMP Index 3,501.36 13.498 0.39 5.87 17.80 TWSE Index 11,231.46 80.61 0.72 5.53 16.43 KOSPI Index 2,511.82 9.71 0.39 1.80 13.07 JCI Index 6,500.53 9.633 0.15 2.28 24.00 SET Index 1,824.06 2.72 0.15 4.01 19.19 PCOMP Index 8,950.62 34.7 0.39 4.58 24.16 SENSEX Index 35,798.01 286.43 0.81 5.11 25.04 FSSTI Index 3,569.43 19.07 0.54 4.89 11.65
Description Last Previous %Chg
Market Capitalization (IDR Trillion) 7,221.10 7,210.08 0.15 Transaction Volume (Million Shares) 8,810.00 7,061.29 24.76 Transaction Value (IDR Million) 7,497.00 6,685.95 12.13 Stocks Value (IDR) 850.96 946.85 -10.13 Net Foreign (IDR Million) (288,648.75) (899,552.25) -67.91
Commodities Last Previous %Chg
Nickel (US$/Ton) 12,760.00 12,720.00 0.31 Copper (US$/Ton) 7,068.00 7,041.00 0.38 Tins (US$/Ton) 20,750.00 20,600.00 0.73 Oil (US$/BBL) (*) 63.49 63.37 0.19 Gas (US$/MMBTU) 3.62 3.85 -5.95 Coal (US$/Ton) (**) 106.50 106.75 -0.23 Gold (USD/OZ) 1,333.80 1,333.62 0.01 CPO PALMROTT(USD/ton) 655.00 655.00 0.00 CPO MALAYSIA(RM/ton) 2,425.50 2,454.00 -1.16 (*) WTI Cushing (**) McCloskey Newscatle
ADR Stocks Last (US$) % Conversition Last (IDR) (US$) Chg (IDR)
Stocks Code Last (US$) %Change Conv (Rp) Last (IDR)
Telkom TLK US 31.25 -0.03 10,434.59 4130.00
Company/Industry Updates Recommendation TP (IDR)
PT PP (Persero) Tbk (PTPP) BUY 4,700
PT Wijaya Karya (Persero) Tbk (WIKA) BUY 3,500
PT Waskita Karya (Persero) Tbk (WSKT) BUY 3,700
PT Adhi Karya (Persero) Tbk (ADHI) BUY 2,800
PT Mitra Keluarga Karyasehat Tbk (MIKA) UNDER REVIEW
-PT Bumi Resources Tbk (BUMI) UNDER REVIEW
-Bloomberg Code
Tuesday, January 23
rd2018
D A I LY R E P O R T
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RESEARCH
Equity
HIGHLIGHT NEWS
PT Antam (Persero) Tbk (ANTM) is targeting its gold sales to reach 24 tons in 2018. With the estimated average price of precious metals in amount of Rp590.000 per gram, the company could get revenues of Rp14.16 trillion. In order to repay the company’s debts, PT Sugih Energy Tbk (SUGI) will give
60% of 2017 total revenues to Mandala Group.
PT Ciputra Development Tbk (CTRA) reached pre marketing sales of Rp7.65 trillion last year.
PT Jasa Armada Indonesia Tbk (IPCM) has signed a new contract with Petro China for ship guidance services.
Four subsidiaries of PT Bayan Resources Tbk (BYAN) have signed amendments to the contract of work agreement on coal mining concession (PKP2B).
PT Wijaya Karya Beton Tbk (WTON) has budgeted capital expenditure (capex) of Rp680 billion during this year. The source of total capex will be obtained from internal cash.
(Source: IQ Plus; Bisnis Indonesia)
Net Foreign BUY Accumulation
USD/IDR Currency and JCI
0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000 -50,000,000 -40,000,000 -30,000,000 -20,000,000 -10,000,000 0 10,000,000 20,000,000 30,000,000 40,000,000 4 /0 1 /2 01 7 16 /0 1/ 2 01 7 26 /0 1/ 2 01 7 7 /0 2 /2 01 7 20 /0 2/ 2 01 7 2 /0 3 /2 01 7 14 /0 3/ 2 01 7 24 /0 3/ 2 01 7 6 /0 4 /2 01 7 20 /0 4/ 2 01 7 4 /0 5 /2 01 7 17 /0 5/ 2 01 7 30 /0 5/ 2 01 7 12 /0 6/ 2 01 7 22 /0 6/ 2 01 7 12 /0 7/ 2 01 7 24 /0 7/ 2 01 7 3 /0 8 /2 01 7 15 /0 8/ 2 01 7 28 /0 8/ 2 01 7 8 /0 9 /2 01 7 20 /0 9/ 2 01 7 3 /1 0 /2 01 7 13 /1 0/ 2 01 7 25 /1 0/ 2 01 7 6 /1 1 /2 01 7 16 /1 1/ 2 01 7 28 /1 1/ 2 01 7 11 /1 2/ 2 01 7 21 /1 2/ 2 01 7 5 /0 1 /2 01 8 17 /0 1/ 2 01 8
Accumulation JCI Index
12,900 13,000 13,100 13,200 13,300 13,400 13,500 13,600 13,700 0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000
JCI Index USDIDR
No Stock Top Value (IDR)
1 PGAS IJ 510,433,624,064
2 BBRI IJ 425,727,164,416
3 BMRI IJ 368,858,300,416
4 BBCA IJ 365,793,542,144
5 TLKM IJ 343,693,131,776
No Stock Top Volume (Shares)
1 BUMI IJ 1,093,710,600.00
2 RIMO IJ 533,672,800.00
3 MYRX IJ 464,982,900.00
4 ENRG IJ 423,831,100.00
5 IKAI IJ 364,384,400.00
No Top Gainers % Change
1 LCKM IJ 24.79
2 SONA IJ 21.74
3 LEAD IJ 17.78
4 ALKA IJ 17.6
5 MBSS IJ 16.33
No Top Losers % Change
1 JECC IJ -10.94
2 DPNS IJ -8.85
3 MLIA IJ -8.06
4 SKBM IJ -6.67
5 GOLD IJ -6.25
No Leading Movers % Change
1 HMSP IJ 0.98
2 UNTR IJ 3.01
3 ADRO IJ 5.96
4 BBRI IJ 0.83
5 PGAS IJ 5.11
No Lagging Movers % Change
1 INTP IJ -4.98
2 ASII IJ -1.20
3 TLKM IJ -0.72
4 BDMN IJ -3.51
Tuesday, January 23
rd2018
D A I LY R E P O R T
3
RESEARCH
Equity
COMPANY/INDUSTRY UPDATE
News: State owned construction companies and PT Hutama Karya Work on Bakauheuni-Terbanggi Besar Toll Road
PT Hutama Karya and four state owned construction companies, which are PT PP (PTPP), PT Wijaya Karya (WIKA), PT Waskita Karya (WSKT) and PT Adhi Karya (ADHI), are optimistic that they will be able to complete all of the packages of Bakauheuni-Terbanggi Besar toll road development (140.93 km). The project is supported by strong financing and a relatively smooth land acquisition.
Analyst Opinion:
Bakauheuni-Terbanggi Besar is a part of Trans Sumatra toll road (one of the government’s programs). Four state owned construction companies play roles in the toll road development, supported by their experiences in working on various kind of infrastructure projects and relatively stronger capital compared to other construction companies. The existence of Bakauheuni-Terbanggi Besar toll road is strongly required to have smooth traffic in Sumatra which may support the economic growth in the area. Recommendation BUY for ADHI (TP: Rp 2,800), PTPP (TP: Rp 4,700), WIKA (TP: Rp 3,500) and WSKT (TP: Rp
3,700).
Analyst: Maxi Liesyaputra (maxi@bnisekuritas.co.id)
News: PT Mitra Keluarga Karyasehat Tbk (MIKA) will buy back its 5% shares
The Company has set aside Rp1.4 trillion for buyback shares as much as 5% or equivalent to 727.54 million shares. The Company will hold an Extraordinary General Meeting of Shareholders (EGMS) on 28 February 2018 to obtain the buyback approval, which the deadline for buyback shares will be on August 27, 2019.
Analyst Opinion:
We assess the Company's plan to buy back its shares can provide a positive stimulus for its stock movement in the near future. In addition, we still maintain our positive outlook for healthcare sector along with the government support through the National Health Insurance (JKN) program. From Rp110.2 trillion of health budget in 2018, around Rp25.2 trillion will be used for JKN. Therefore, we see the potential increase of the company’s revenue will still be positive as the Company begins to expand its hospital network in serving the patient of BPJS. In stock trading yesterday (1/22), MIKA stock was closed down by 15 points to Rp1,890 per share with PE of 39.7x, PBV of 7.7x and EV/EBITDA of 29.4x. Currently, we still evaluate WIKA’s fair value for this year. Recommendation: UNDER REVIEW.
Analyst: Thennesia Debora (thennesia@bnisekuritas.co.id)
News: PT Bumi Resources Tbk (BUMI)’s growth target in 2018 Analyst Opinion:
BUMI targets its 10% growth for full year-2018. We see that the development of existing coal mines will boost the company’s revenue in the long term which is also supported by higher coal prices over the past year. BUMI has an optimistic view for coal price stability this year. Currently, BUMI stock is traded at PE of 4.11x and PBV of 5.28x which are lower than peers’ average with PE of 10.2x with PBV of 3.3x. Meanwhile the stock price has been appreciated by 10.4% as of YTD. Recommendation:
UNDER REVIEW.
Tuesday, January 23
rd2018
D A I LY R E P O R T
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RESEARCH
Equity
Tuesday, January 23
rd2018
D A I LY R E P O R T
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RESEARCH
Equity
Tuesday, January 23
rd2018
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RESEARCH
Equity
RESEARCH TEAM
Phone : +62 21 25543946 (Hunting) Fax : +62 21 57935831 Email : research@bnisekuritas.co.id Website : www.bnisekuritas.co.id Norico Gaman (Head of Research Division) norico@bnisekuritas.co.id Ext: 3934 Investment Strategy Maxi Liesyaputra (Head of Equity Research Department) maxi@bnisekuritas.co.id Ext: 3968 Construction, Property, Infrastructure, Cement Ariawan(Head of Fixed Income Research Department) ariawan@bnisekuritas.co.id Ext: 2098
Fixed Income Market, Corporate & Government Bond
Andri Zakarias Siregar (Head of Technical Analysis Research Department) andri.zakarias@bnisekuritas.co.id Ext: 2054
Market Strategy, Currency, Commodities, Bond & Stocks
Thennesia Debora (Equity Analyst) thennesia@bnisekuritas.co.id Ext: 2123 Transportation, Automotive, Heavy Equipment, Plantation, Health Care
Ankga Adiwirasta (Equity Analyst)
ankga.adiwirasta@bnisekuritas.co.id Ext: 3986
Consumer Good, Banking, Metal Mining, Telecommunication, Tower Infrastructure
Dessy Lapagu (Equity Analyst) dessy@bnisekuritas.co.id Ext: 2051
Poultry, Crops, Fishery, Retail, Coal Mining, Pharmaceutical
Ahmad Hapiz (Fixed Income Analyst) ahmad.hapiz@bnisekuritas.co.id Ext: 3978
Fixed Income Market, Corporate & Government Bond
R. Venia Allani Meissalina (Research Analyst/Assistant) venia.allani@bnisekuritas.co.id Ext: 2050
Data Administrator
Indah Lestari Permata H. (Research Analyst/Assistant) indah.lestari@bnisekuritas.co.id Ext: 2073
Tuesday, January 23
rd2018
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RESEARCH
Equity
EQUITY TEAM
CM : +62 21 25543946 (Hunting) Fax No : +62 21 57935831Entis Sutisman ext. 3945 entis@bnisekuritas.co.id Head of Domestic Equity Department Teguh Hendro ext. 3948 teguh@bnisekuritas.co.id Institutional Sales Trader
Dharmawan P. ext. 3916 prasetyo@bnisekuritas.co.id Institutional Sales Trader Putri Erinasari ext. 3920 putri.erinasari@bnisekuritas.co.id Institutional Sales Trader Fian Pusparini ext. 3958 fian@bnisekuritas.co.id Head of Domestic Equity Sales Dini Desita ext. 3981 dinidesita@bnisekuritas.co.id Domestic Equity Sales Danovan Yazir ext. 3929 danovan@bnisekuritas.co.id Domestic Equity Sales
Jufrani Amsal ext. 3957 amsal@bnisekuritas.co.id Head of Channel Distribution Division Fahma Riniarti ext. 3917 ririn@bnisekuritas.co.id Head of Channel Development P. Sariningsih ext. 3984 p.sariningsih@bnisekuritas.co.id Head of Branch Supervision
Teuku Hafez ext. 2084 hafez@bnisekuritas.co.id Branch Manager Mangga Dua, Jakarta Hapsari ext. 2078 hapsar@bnisekuritas.co.id Branch Manager Puri Indah, Jakarta Fadjar H S ext. 2111 fadjar@bnisekuritas.co.id Branch Manager Central Park, Jakarta M. Yasrul ext. 2081 m.yasrul@bnisekuritas.co.id Branch Manager Wisma Bumiputera Fahmi Lubis ext. 2079 fahmi.lubis@bnisekuritas.co.id Branch Manager Bandung
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RESEARCH
Equity
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This document is not intended to be an offer, or a satisfaction of an offer, to buy or sell relevant securities (i.e. securities mentioned herein or of the same issuer and options, warrants or rights to or interest in any such securities). The information and opinions contained in this document have been compiled from or arrived at in good faith from sources believed to be reliable. No representation or warranty, expressed or implied, is made by BNI SEKURITAS or any other member of the BNI Group, including any other member of the BNI Group from whom this document may be received, as to the accuracy or completeness of the information contained herein. All opinions and estimates in this report constitute our judgment as of this date and are subject to change without notice.
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