(EB6887<A:FB9G;8FG! * (BA:E8FF 1B:L4>4EG4 +8CG8@58E!&'&+!
W%-$,! (*+(,!./,*'*+-+,!&$.$'(%&,X
!+&
"!!"!%!#(#!!#" $#
"7&0'53*,"0'
<I<?A:<A88E<A:8C4EG@8AG<CBA8:BEB-A<I8EF<GL+8@4E4A:!A7BA8F<47L4;4E<JH?4A74E<L4;BB6B<7 13&07,2-
<I<?A:<A88E<A:8C4EG@8AG<CBA8:BEB-A<I8EF<GL+8@4E4A:!A7BA8F<4
$#12'*4'0&+52'
<I<?A:<A88E<A: 8C4EG@8AG<CBA8:BEB-A<I8EF<GL+8@4E4A:!A7BA8F<4 ',2,14#0"+7,2'
<I<?A:<A88E<A:8C4EG@8AG<CBA8:BEB-A<I8EF<GL+8@4E4A:!A7BA8F<4
"#!#
2C@API>ODJIJA1@MHJ0@N@MQJDMDNAPGADGGDIB?MDIFDIBR<O@MMDQ@MH<DIO@I<I>@<I?DMMDB<ODJI?@H<I?<N<I
<??DODJI<GNPKKGTJIDMMDB<ODJI<M@<JA.@IB<NDC.@FDF(<H<G<I? !G@M@IB2C@'MMDB<ODJI<M@<DNK<MOJAOC@
)<GD=<R<IB'MMDB<ODJI1TNO@HOC<OB@ONR<[email protected]@M <N@?JIOC@M@N@<M>COC<OC<N=@@I
?JI@OC@NPKKGTJA .MJBJ 0DQ@MC<N=@@IM@?P>@?2C@M@=TOC@NPKKGTJA1@MHJ0@N@MQJDMDNQ@MTI@>@NN<MTOJ H@@OOC@I@@?NJADMMDB<ODJI&JR@Q@MDMMDB<ODJIR<O@MAMJHOC@1@MHJ0@N@MQJDMDNKG<II@?JIGTAJM<??DODJI<G NPKKGTNJDODNDHKJNND=G@OJH@@O<GGOC@DMMDB<ODJIR<O@M ?@H<I?#NK@>D<GGTRDOC<>JI?DODJIJAOC@M@N@MQJDM
@AA@>ODQ@NOJM<B@OC<OC<N=@@IM@?P>@??P@OJN@?DH@IO<ODJI'IJM?@MOJ<QJD?>JIAGD>ONDIN@MQDIBOC@I@@?NJA DMMDB<ODJIR<O@MDOHPNO=@>G@<MGTFIJRICJRG<MB@OC@<M@<JADMMDB<ODJI<M@<><I=@ N@MQ@?AMJHOC@1@MHJ 0@N@MQJDM'IOCDNM@N@<M>CR<N=@DIBNDHPG<O@?JK@M<ODJIJA<M@N@MQJDMRDOC<Q<MDJPNN>@I<MDJJA>MJKKDIB K<OO@MIKG<IODIB<M@<<I?OC@DIDOD<G>JI?DODJIJAM@N@MQJDMNOJM<B@2C@<DHDNOJJ=O<DIOC@<M@<JADMMDB<ODJI OC<O><I=@DMMDB<O@?=T1@MHJ0@N@MQJDMRCD>COC@?DNOMD=PODJIJADMMDB<ODJIR<O@MNPKKGTDI@<>CKG<IODIBN@<NJI
<M@NO<=G@2C@M@NPGONJ=O<DI@?M@GD<=DGDOTDI<GGKG<IODIBN@<NJIN<I?Q<MDJPNDIDOD<G>JI?DODJINJAM@N@MQJDM NOJM<B@RC@IPN@?!..KG<IODIBK<OO@MI<I?OC@DMMDB<O@?<M@<DN.@IB<NDCRDOC<N@MQD>@<M@<JA C<
#8LJBE7F 0@N@MQJDM.@MAJMH<I>@0@N@MQJDM-K@M<ODJI1DHPG<ODJI
#!$#
1@MHJ "<H R<N =PDGO DI GJ><O@? <O ,BM<I><C0DQ@M )PGJI .MJBJ 0@BDJI 7JBT<F<MO< .MJQDI>@2C@
API>ODJIJA1@MHJ0@N@MQJDMDNAPGADGGDIB?MDIFR<O@MMDQ@MH<DIO@I<I>@<I?DMMDB<ODJI?@H<I?<N<I<??DODJI<G NPKKGTJIDMMDB<ODJI<M@<JA.@IB<NDC.@FDF(<H<G<I? !G@M@IB .@IB<NDC.@FDF(<H<G<I? !G@M@IB 'MMDB<ODJI M@<DNK<MOJAOC@)<GD=<R<IB'MMDB<ODJI1TNO@HOC<OB@ONR<O@MNPKKGTAMJH'IO<F@)<GD=<R<IB'IM@B<M?NOJ OC@<M@<<I?>JHKG@SDOTJA)<GD=<R<IB'MMDB<ODJI'IO@M>JII@>ODJI,@ORJMF$DBPM@OC@M@DNOC@?@K@I?@I>@
JAR<O@MAGJRAMJHOC@?JRINOM@<HOJNPKKG@ODJIDIPKNOM@<HR<O@MAGJR'IOCDN>JI?DODJIOC@KG<IODIB<M@<
>MJKKDIBK<OO@MI<I?>MJKKDIBN>C@?PGDIBHPNO><G>PG<O@OC@KJO@IOD<GJAR<O@MNJPM>@NDIOC@MDQ@MR@DMM@OPMI AGJR<I?OC@JK@M<ODJI<G<NK@>O
P?D@IT>JI?P>O@?JKODHDU<ODJI<I<GTNDNJAR<O@MM@NJPM>@NH<I<B@H@IOJA N@MHJ M@N@MQJDMOJN@MQ@OC@
R<O@MI@@?NJA?MDIFDIBR<O@MH<DIO@I<I>@JAMDQ@MN<I?DMMDB<ODJIR<O@MDI !G@M@IB.@IB<NDC<I?.@FDF(<H<G RDOC<??DODJI<GNPKKGD@NAMJH1@M<IB0DQ@M<I?.MJBJ0DQ@M <N@?JIOC@<I<GTNDNM@NPGOOC<OJKODHPHM@N@MQJDM JK@M<ODJI<I?KG<IODIBDIO@INDOTRC@IOC@DIDOD<GKG<IODIBNO<MO@?JI,JQ@H=@M,<O<GD<
JKODHDU@NOC@JK@M<ODJIJA1@MHJ0@N@MQJDMPNDIBOC@"TI<HD>"@O@MHDIDNOD>KMJBM<HHJ?@G'IOCDNM@N@<M>C OC@ M@QD@R@? J=E@>O DN 1@MHJ 0@N@MQJDM <N OC@ HPGODKPMKJN@ ?<H OJ N@MQ@ OC@ I@@?N JA M<R R<O@M MDQ@M H<DIO@I<I>@<I?DMMDB<ODJIAJM)<H<G'MMDB<ODJIM@<.@IB<NDC'MMDB<ODJIM@<<I?.@FDF(<H<G'MMDB<ODJIM@<
$MJHOC@J=O<DI@?MPG@>PMQ@NCJRNOC<OOC@JK@M<ODJIJAOC@?<H ><I=@DHKMJQ@?HJM@2C@#SDNODIB0PG@
!PMQ@JA1@MHJ0@N@MQJDMAMJHNCJRNOC<OOC@M@G@<N@M@<GDU<ODJI><I=@>GJN@MOJOC@JKODHDU@?0PG@
!PMQ@
■
$@NOD<I?'IO<INDHPG<O@?AJMT@<MNRC@IOC@)<GD=<R<IBDIO<F@OJH@@OOC@DMMDB<ODJIR<O@M I@@?NDI )<GD=<R<IB .<K<C .@IB<NDC <I? .@FDF (<H<G 'MMDB<ODJI M@< KMJ?P>@? <I <Q@M<B@ K@M>@IO<B@ JA
>JHKGD<I>@2C@K@M>@IO<B@JA<Q@M<B@>JHKGD<I>@DIJI@KG<IODIBN@<NJIQ<MD@NAMJH I?RC@I )<GD=<R<IBDIO<F@JIGTOJH@@OOC@I@@?NJADMMDB<ODJIR<O@MDI)<GD=<R<IB<I?.<K<C<I<Q@M<B@K@M>@IO<B@
JADN<>CD@Q@?2C@K@M>@IO<B@JA<Q@M<B@<?C@M@I>@DIJI@BMJRDIBN@<NJIQ<MD@NAMJH 1DHPG<ODJIN K@MAJMH@? =T $@NOD @O <G =T PNDIB OC@ ?DN>C<MB@ ?<O< <O @<>C JA OC@ R@DMN TD@G?DIB JI .@IB<NDC<I?.@FDF(<H<GDMMDB<ODJI<M@<NODGGG<>FR<O@M
$DBPM@ )<GD=<R<IB 'MMDB<ODJI M@< 'IO@M>JII@>ODJI 1TNO@H N>C@H@ 1JPM>@ )<GD=<R<IB "M<AO 0@KJMO 'IOMJ?P>ODJI .M@GDHDI<MT
<N@?JIOC@<I<GTNDNJA P?D@IT<I?,<O<GD<DOR<NAJPI?OC<OR<O@MAMJHOC@1@MHJ0@N@MQJDM DI<??DODJIOJOC@NPKKGTAMJH)<GD1@M<IB<I?)<GD.MJBJ><IH@@OOC@I@@?NJADMMDB<ODJIR<O@MDI "' "<@M<C 'MDB<ND .@IB<NDC<I?.@FDF(<H<GRDOCCDBCM@GD<=DGDOT5CDG@=<N@?JIOC@<I<GTNDNJA$@NOD@O<G<I?
$@NOD<I?'IO<IAJPI?OC<OR<O@MAMJH'IO<F@)<GD=<R<IB.MJBJ 0DQ@MDNIJO@IJPBCOJDMMDB<O@DMMDB<ODJI
<M@<PKOJ"'.@IB<NDC<I?.@FDF(<H<G2CDNH@<INOC<OOC@NPKKGT [email protected]@MC<N?DHDIDNC@?IJ GJIB@M@SDNON1J NPKKGD@NAMJH1@MHJ0@N@MQJDMDNQ@MTI@>@NN<MTOJH@@OOC@I@@?NJADMMDB<ODJIR<O@MDI"' .@IB<NDC<I?.@FDF(<H<G&JR@Q@MDMMDB<ODJIR<O@MAMJHOC@1@MHJ0@N@MQJDMDNKG<II@?JIGTAJMNPKKGTNJ DODNDHKJNND=G@OJH@@O<GGOC@GJQDIB"'<I?.@FDF(<H<G@NK@>D<GGTRDOCOC@@AA@>ODQ@>JI?@IN@?M@N@MQJDM
>JI?DODJIOC<OC<N=@@IM@?P>@??P@OJN@?DH@IO<ODJI'IJM?@MOJ<QJD?>JIAGD>ONDIN@MQDIBOC@I@@?NJADMMDB<ODJI R<O@MDOHPNO=@>G@<MGTFIJRICJRG<MB@OC@<M@<JADMMDB<ODJI><I=@N@MQ@?AMJHOC@1@MHJ0@N@MQJDM <N@?JIOC@<I<GTNDNJA$@NOD<I?'IO<IOC@?DNOMD=PODJIJAR<O@M>JIO@IODIJI@BMJRDIBN@<NJIQ<MD@N AMJH OCDNRDGGIJOBP<M<IO@@OC@MD>@><IGDQ@RDOCOC@N<H@DIO@INDOT<I?DI@AAD>D@IOR<O@M?@GDQ@MT'A
<OOC@=@BDIIDIBJACDBCBMJROCM@G@<N@OC@IDIOC@HD??G@JAOC@HD??G@JAOC@BMJROCJAGJRM@G@<N@OC@INJH@
MD>@KG<IONRDGG?D@2C@I <OOC@@I?JAOC@CDBC=<>FM@G@<N@BMJROCJA>JPMN@OC@R<O@MRDGG=@R<NO@?=@><PN@
OC@KG<IODN<GM@<?T?@<?
'IOCDNM@N@<M>CRDGG=@OC@N>@I<MDJJA>MJKKDIBK<OO@MIOC@KG<IODIB<M@<<I?OC@DIDOD<G>JI?DODJIJAOC@M@N@MQJDM OJJ=O<DIOC@<M@<JADMMDB<ODJIOC<O><I=@DMMDB<O@?=TOC@1@MHJ0@N@MQJDMJKODH<GGT-KODH<GDIO@MHNJA
?DNOMD=PODJIJADMMDB<ODJIR<O@MNPKKGTDIJI@NO<=G@KG<IODIBN@<NJIAJMR<O@MBDQDIB@AAD>D@I>T
#"
"<O< M@LPDM@? DI OCDN NOP?T <M@ M@N@MQ@ O@>CID><G ?<O< < NOJM<B@ ><K<>DOT JA OC@ M@N@MQJDMN CT?MJGJBT <I?
>GDH<OJGJBT M@N@MQJDM DIAGJR KG<IODIB K<OO@MI M@N@MQJDM JK@M<ODJI H<IP<G BPD?@GDI@N M@N@MQ@N JK@M<ODJI K<OO@MI<I?M@KJMONJAM@G@Q<IOKMDJMNOP?D@N"'.@IB<NDC<I?"'.@FDF(<H<GDNK<MOJA)<GD=<R<IB'MMDB<ODJI 1TNO@HDI)PGJI.MJBJ7JBT<F<MO<2C@N@MQD>@<M@<JAOC@"'.@IB<NDCDN&<<I?"'.@FDF(<H<GDN
&<2C@NJPM>@JADMMDB<ODJIR<O@M>JH@NAMJH)<GD=<R<IB'IO<[email protected] 0DQ@M1@M<IB0DQ@M<I?OC@NPKKGT JA1@MHJ0@N@MQJDM'IOC@DHKG@H@IO<ODJIJAOC@N@<??DODJI<GNPKKGTQ@MT?@K@I?@IOJIOC@ <Q<DG<=DGDOTJAR<O@M M@NJPM>@NDI@<>CNJPM>@NDHPG<ODJIR<N?@Q@GJK@?OJM@BPG<O@OC@M@G@<N@JAR<O@MOJH@@OOC@I@@?NJA DMMDB<ODJI?MDIFDIBR<O@M<I?H<DIO@I<I>@JAOC@MDQ@MR<O@M?@H<I?2C@R<O@MM@G@<N@?DN><MMD@?OCMJPBC
/
!
_.m luwu
-
OC@NKDGGR<T<I? OC@DIO<F@0@G@<N@OCMJPBCOC@NKDGGR<TDN><MMD@?JPODIOC@><N@JAAGJJ?DIB2C@M@G@<N@OJ H@@OOC@R<O@M?@H<I?O<F@NKG<>@OCMJPBCOC@DIO<F@5<O@MNOJM<B@AJMOC@I@@?NJADMMDB<ODJI ?MDIFDIB R<O@M
<I?H<DIO@I<I>@JAOC@MDQ@MDN><MMD@?JPO=@OR@@I@G@Q<ODJINJAH<NG<I?H<NG NDHPG<ODJIDN?JI@RDOCNJH@N>@I<MDJ<NAJGGJRN
0 $PGADGGDIBOC@I@@?AJM?MDIFDIBR<O@M GDO@MNN<I?MDQ@MH<DIO@I<I>@ GDO@MNNAPGADGG@?
1 2C@>MJKeNKG<IODIBK<OO@MI!..<KKGD@?DIOCDNNOP?T DNOCJN@KM<>OD>@?DIOC@AD@G?D@K<??TK<??T K<G<RDE< K<G<RDE< NP>C<N>JMINPB<M><I@><==<B@<I?@O>'I@Q@MTDMMDB<ODJI<M@<RDGG=@?DQD?@?DIOJ ORJ BJGJIB<I BMJPKN<I?OC@NO<MODIBJAOC@KG<IODIBDN<NAJGGJRN
1>@I<MDJ!..
%MJPK+2NO<MONJI->O''+2NO<MONJI$@=''<I?+2NO<MONJI(PI@''
%MJPK+2NO<MONJI,JQ'+2NO<MONJI+<M>C'<I?+2NO<MONJI(PGT' 1>@I<MDJ!..
%MJPK+2NO<MONJI,JQ'+2NO<MONJI+<M>C'<I?+2NO<MONJI(PGT'
%MJPK+2NO<MONJI,JQ''+2NO<MONJI+<M>C''<I?+2NO<MONJI(PGT'' 1>@I<MDJ!..
%MJPK+2NO<MONJI,JQ''+2NO<MONJI+<M''<I?+2NO<MONJI(PGT''
%MJPK+2NO<MONJI"@N'+2NO<MONJIKM'<I?+2NO<MONJIPB '
2 >>JM?DIB OJ 1@MHJ 0@N@MQJDM JK@M<ODJI H<IP<G H<?@ =T !4 &0 !JINPGO<IO DI JM?@M OJ DHKMJQ@
KG<IODIB@AAD>D@I>TR<O@MM@N@MQJDMAGP>OP<ODJIDIOC@ADI<GK@MDJ?JAADGGDIBOC@?<HM@<>C@NHDIDHPHR<O@M G@Q@G@G@Q<ODJI<OOC@@G@Q<ODJI<NAJGGJRN
< "PMDIB"MT7@<MH<NGM@N@MQJDMQJGPH@JAHDGGDJIH
="PMDIB,JMH<G7@<MH<NGM@N@MQJDMQJGPH@JAHDGGDJIH
>"PMDIB5@O7@<MH<NGM@N@MQJDMQJGPH@JAHDGGDJIH
1JOC<OOC@DIDOD<G>JI?DODJIJAOC@ M@N@MQJDMDIOC@ADMNOT@<MJAJK@M<ODJIDNH<?@DIOCM@@N>@I<MDJN<N H@IODJI@?<=JQ@
? 'MMDB<ODJI<M@<DNNDHPG<O@?AMJH@SDNODIB<M@<PKOJ<>@MO<DI<M@<RC@M@R<O@M><I=@APGADGG@?RDOC M@GD<=DGDOTAJM@<>CKG<IODIBN@<NJI
$GJR>C<MOJAM@N@<M>C ><I=@N@@IDI$DBPM@
!"$#"$""
5<O@MQ<DG<=DGDOT
2C@<Q<DG<=DGDOTJAR<O@MDNJ=O<DI@?AMJHOC@DIAGJR?<O<JAOC@1@MHJM@N@MQJDMOC@M@>JM?@??<O<AMJH1@MHJ M@N@MQJDM<Q<DG<=G@AMJHOJ%@I@M<GGTOC@?<O<PN@?AJMOC@<I<GTNDNDN?<O<RDOC<?<O<G@IBOCJA T@<MN=POOC@?<O<<Q<DG<=G@DNJIGTT@<MNNJDOHPNO=@?JI@?<O<B@I@M<ODJIOJKMJQD?@<IJQ@MQD@RJAOC@
M@<G?<O<+<MC@I?D2JJ=O<DI<GJIB@M?<O<OC@M@DNNJH@OC@JMTOJB@I@M<O@OC@AGJR?<O<NP>C <N 2CJH<N$D@MDIB+@OCJ?JM JS(@IFDINH@OCJ?'IKMDI>DKG@OC@B@I@M<ODJIJAGJIB@M?<O<DNOJN@@F<GGKJNND=G@
AGJRN N@LP@I>@N DI @<>C <M@< RCD>C <M@ NODGG C<QDIB NO<ODNOD><G =@C<QDJM NDHDG<M OJ OCJN@ JA CDNOJMD><G 2C@
B@I@M<O@??<O<><IOC@I=@PN@? OJ<I<GTU@OC@=@C<QDJMJAOC@NTNO@HDIGJIB@MRD?@MQ<MD<ODJINJAAGJRN KJNND=DGDOD@N2C@1@MHJ?DN>C<MB@?<O<DNOC@IB@I@M<O@?=DR@@FGTAJMT@<MN<I?PN@?OC@G<NOT@<MNJA B@I@M<O@??<O<AJMAPMOC@M<I<GTNDN$DBPM@
2JEPNODATRC@OC@MOC@B@I@M<O@??<O<C<NNDHDG<MNO<ODNOD><GK<M<H@O@MNOJOCJN@JACDNOJMD><G?<O<>JHK<MDNJI JINO<ODNOD><GK<M<H@O@MN=@OR@@IB@I@M<O@?<I?CDNOJMD><G?<O<DNK@MAJMH@?AJM@<>CJA?<O<B@I@M<ODJIOC@N@
>JHK<MDNJIN <M@ NCJRI DI $DBPM@ 2C@ >JHK<MDNJI DN K@MAJMH@? AJM <Q@M<B@ NO<I?<M? ?@QD<ODJI N@MD<G
>JMM@G<ODJI<I?DIO@MHJIOC>JMM@G<ODJI<NR@GG<NDONQ<MD<ODJI>J@AAD>D@IO$MJHOC@N@>JHK<MDNJINDODNNCJRI OC<OOC@B@I@M<O@?<I?CDNOJMD><G?<O<C<Q@BJJ?NDHDG<MDOT'ODI?D><O@NOC<OOC@B@I@M<O@??<O<><IHDHD>OC@
NO<ODNOD><G=@C<QDJMJACDNOJMD><G?<O<<I?OCPN><I=@PN@?AJMAPMOC@M<I<GTNDN
$DBPM@$GJR!C<MO
$DBPM@2C@G<NOT@<MNJAB@I@M<O@??<O<AJMDIAGJROJ 1@MHJ 0@N@MQJDM
No
-;.
...
!.
2. 3 .5
10 g 8 1
•
s•
3 l
0
ChnngC' CPP
Change
"""'
Input;
I. W:uer Dcmnnd 2. lnOow l. lni1ii1I slornge 4. Irrigation J-\.rt.a S, E\'oporntiOn
Dt.-knnlnation of Crop Plruuing Paurm (CPP)
O.:temlin:uion of Initial Storagt'
Dctt'tmirumon of imi;mion 11ren
C:ilc:-ul.nte· rcliabilhy
G0
PtriOd
Ch:m!,~ lni1i.1I s,om,,,..
No
$DBPM@1O<ODNOD><G!JHK<MDNJI=@OR@@I &DNOJMD><G<I?%@I@M<O@??<O<<O1@MHJ0@N@MQJDM 'MMDB<ODJI5<O@M"@H<I?
2C@ <I<GTNDN AJM DMMDB<ODJI R<O@M M@LPDM@H@ION OC@M@AJM@ PN@N ?<O< <=JPO M<DIA<GG >GDH<OJGJBT <N R@GG <N KG<II@?KG<IODIBK<OO@MIKJG< O<I<H2C@>GDH<OJGJBD><G?<O<DI>GP?@?<O<JI<DMO@HK@M<OPM@W!M@G<ODQ@<DM CPHD?DOTRDI?Q@GJ>DOTHN<I?M@G<ODQ@NPINCDI@?PM<ODJI2C@>MJKeNKG<IODIBK<OO@MI!..<KKGD@?
DIOCDNNOP?TDNOCJN@KM<>OD>@?DIOC@AD@G?D@K<??TK<??TK<G<RDE<<NOC@N>@I<MDJ<=JQ@2C@M@NPGONJAOC@
DMMDB<ODJIR<O@MM@LPDM@H@ION<O.@IB<NDC<I?.@FDF(<H<G'MMDB<ODJIM@<<M@NCJRIDI$DBPM@ <I?$DBPM@
2C@=<ND>DMMDB<ODJIR<O@MM@LPDM@H@IONDIOC@$DBPM@N<M@DIGDOO@MN@>JI?&@>O<M@N2C@=<ND>DMMDB<ODJIR<O@M M@LPDM@H@ION<NNCJRI OCJN@ADBPM@N RDGGOC@I=@PN@?DIOC@><G>PG<ODJIJADMMDB<ODJIR<O@MM@LPDM@H@ION=T HPGODKGTDIBOC@=<ND>DMMDB<ODJIM@LPDM@H@IONOJOC@M@NK@>ODQ@KG<IODIB<M@<<I?KG<IO@?OC@>MJK <N@?JI
$DBPM@ <I?$DBPM@ DMMDB<ODJIR<O@MM@LPDM@H@IOC<N<GHJNOOC@N<H@K<OO@MI 1DHPG<ODJI
<N@?JIOC@NDHPG<ODJIM@NPGONJ=O<DI@?OCDIBN<NAJGGJRN
5C@IOC@1@MHJ0@N@MQJDMDNPN@?OJDMMDB<O@OC@.@IB<NDC<I?.@FDF(<H<G'MMDB<ODJIM@< "' OC@<Q@M<B@
M@GD<=DGDOTDN=@OR@@I RDOC<M<IB@=@OR@@I 2<=G@2CDNH@<INOC<ODIJI@BMJRDIBN@<NJI OC@R<O@MNPKKGTDNPINO<=G@OJH@@OOC@R<O@MI@@?N5C@IOC@M@GD<=DGDOTJAOC@M@RDGG=@?@<OCDIKG<ION
=@><PN@OC@M@DNIJR<O@MNPKKGTNJOC@R<O@MNPKKGTDIOC@K@MDJ?=@AJM@JM<AO@MDNR<NO@?2C@M@DNIJ@S>@NN R<O@MOC<OMPINOCMJPBCOC@NKDGGR<T
'AOC@1@MHJ0@N@MQJDMDNPN@?OJDMMDB<O@OC@.@FDF(<H<GDMMDB<ODJI<M@<OC@IOC@<Q@M<B@M@GD<=DGDOTDNDI
<GGKG<IODIBN@<NJIN2<=G@2C@@S>@NNR<O@MOC<ONKDGGNK<NN@N=@OR@@I HDGGDJIH1@MHJ 0@N@MQJDMDN<=G@OJN@MQ@DMMDB<ODJI<M@<.@FDF(<H<G<I?OC@M@DNNODGG@S>@NNR<O@M#S>@NNR<O@MJIGTJ>>PMN DINJH@K@MDJ?N<GJI@NJDO><IIJO=@PN@?OJDMMDB<O@JOC@MDMMDB<ODJI<M@<N
C•l Compari""'" or Average (Qi) uoo
(c) Compari."°n orCom:lntion (Rj)
"
iiiiiiiiij~i~iiiiisi§~ ~ ~
"'""'
(b) Comp,rison orSt•mhvd Deviation (Sj)
,..,.,
•- - cJl .. ,IJl)l'lc._
,..,., +--- •"-"'=-="'=----.II
1.>00)
,, """' -
""""
~~ !!~~
- i2ri
P1triod
(d) Comparison orlotel'Month Com:lation (llj)
$DBPM@ <ND>DMMDB<ODJIR<O@MM@LPDM@H@IONAJM .@IB<NDC DMMDB<ODJI<M@<
$DBPM@ <ND>DMMDB<ODJIR<O@MM@LPDM@H@IONAJM.@FDF(<H<GDMMDB<ODJI<M@<
2<=G@ 0@NPGO JANDHPG<ODJIAJM.@IB<NDC<I?.@FDF(<H<GRDOC@SDNODIBDMMDB<ODJI<M@<
,J .G<IODIB .<OO@MI
'IDOD<GNOJM<B@
HDGGDJIH
M@<JA 1@MQD>@NC<
0@GD<=DGDOT 5<O@M1KDGGH Q@M<B@ 0<IB@
!..
!..
!..
!..
!..
!..
!..
!..
!..
2<=G@ 0@NPGO JANDHPG<ODJIAJM.@FDF(<H<GRDOC@SDNODIBDMMDB<ODJI<M@<
,J .G<IODIB
.<OO@MI 'IDOD<G NOJM<B@
HDGGDJIH
M@<JA
1@MQD>@NC< 0@GD<=DGDOT 5<O@M1KDGGH Q@M<B@ 0<IB@
!..
!..
!..
!..
!..
!..
!..
!..
!..
'AOC@1@MHJ0@N@MQJDMDNPN@?OJDMMDB<O@OC@.@IB<NDCDMMDB<ODJI<M@<JIGTOC@<Q@M<B@M@GD<=DGDOTDN=@OR@@I RDOC<M<IB@=@OR@@I 2<=G@2CDNH@<INOC<ODIJI@BMJRDIBN@<NJIOC@R<O@MNPKKGTDN PINO<=G@OJH@@OOC@R<O@MI@@?N 5C@IOC@M@GD<=DGDOTJAOC@M@RDGG=@?@<OCDIKG<ION=@><PN@OC@M@DNIJ
i'
·!! ~,
.!
i:
~
~
]
r
C 2 1.8 UI
u
U!
o.e o.e
o . •
0.2 ()
,,.:~ ~ ... ~,.,_,-~ .. ,tJ ... .ii>'
&~ '<!-6 ~<1' 'F
2.
u
1.6
',4
'.2
0.8 0.8 O.<I
CPP1.Pe kJamal ... Cfln-htik.Ja-rnal 0._2
0
Peliod
R<O@MNPKKGTNJOC@R<O@MNPKKGTDIOC@K@MDJ?=@AJM@JM<AO@MDNR<NO@?2C@M@DNIJ@S>@NNR<O@MOC<ONKDGGN OCMJPBCOC@NKDGGR<T
2<=G@ 0@NPGO JANDHPG<ODJIAJM.@IB<NDCRDOC@SDNODIBDMMDB<ODJI<M@<
,J .G<IODIB
.<OO@MI 'IDOD<GNOJM<B@
HDGGDJIH M@<JA
1@MQD>@NC< 0@GD<=DGDOT 5<O@M1KDGGH Q@M<B@ 0<IB@
!..
!..
!..
!..
!..
!..
!..
!..
!..
1@MHJ0@N@MQJDMDNPN@?OJDMMDB<O@OC@.@IB<NDCDMMDB<ODJI<M@<RDOCOC@M@?P>@?DMMDB<O@?<M@<NJOC<OOC@<Q@M<B@
M@GD<=DGDOTDN2<=G@ AO@MOC@OMD<G@MMJMJ=O<DI@?OC@HJNOJKODH<GM@NPGONRDOC<Q@M<B@M@GD<=DGDOT DI<GGBMJRDIBN@<NJIN DNRC@IPN@?!..KG<IODIBK<OO@MI2C@<M@<JADMMDB<ODJI><I=@DMMDB<O@?C<
JAOC@@SDNODIB<M@<#S>@KOAJMOC@DIDOD<G?MTK@MDJ?OC@<M@<JADMMDB<ODJIOC<O><I=@N@MQ@?JI+2' DNJIGTC<'I<GGDIDOD<GM@N@MQJDM>JI?DODJIN<I?>MJKKDIBK<OO@MINOC@@S>@NNJAR<O@MOC<OK<NN@NOCMJPBC OC@NKDGGR<TDNM@G<ODQ@GTNH<GG@M>JHK<M@?OJRC@IOC@1@MHJM@N@MQJDMDNPN@?JIGTOJDMMDB<O@OC@<M@<JA.@FDF (<H<G2C@M@N@MQJDMR<O@MG@Q@G><I=@F@KOCDBC@IJPBCOJNOJM@OC@R<O@M M@N@MQ@NOJ=@BDQ@IDIOC@KM@QDJPN T@<M$DBPM@
2<=G@ 0@NPGO JANDHPG<ODJIAJM.@IB<NDCRDOCNDHPG<ODIBDMMDB<ODJI<M@<
%@ '=2?E:?8
'2EE6C? ?:E:2=DE@C286
>:==:@?> C62@7*6CG:46D92 )6=:23:=:EJ .2E6C*A:==
>
G6C286 )2?86
!..
!..
!..
!..
!..
!..
!.. +2 T@<M
!.. +2
+2+2
!..
$DBPM@0@N@MQJDMR<O@MG@Q@G<O!..
40,00'
B5.00
,....
"ii H0.00 ,.;a !:: t
..
1 .00s ..
1
120.00"'
Ji
us.ooU0.00
.., N
...
, ~...
"'....
N...
,-,j... ...
"'...
... f'4 ""'j j .. !
'
..0 ..0 ~ ~...
::,. ~ C C "3 ~.. ..
~ i:1. ~g
~ .!l =, ~ ·111 ~ .@- ~ .=: -, :t
:t
a.:E ~
Peiiod
$""
2C@HJNOJKODHPHM@NPGORDOC<Q@M<B@M@GD<=DGDOTDI<GGBMJRDIBN@<NJINDNRC@IOC@!..>MJKKDIB K<OO@MIDNPN@?2C@<M@<JADMMDB<ODJI><I=@DMMDB<O@?C<JAOC@@SDNODIB<M@<M@<JADMMDB<ODJI
<M@<?PMDIB?MTT@<M+2C<
&#"
2C@<POCJMN<M@BM<O@APGOJ3,"'.RCJAPI?@?OCDNM@N@<M>COCMJPBCOC@.@I@GDOD<I 1OM<O@BDN N>C@H@DI 2C<IFN<M@<GNJJAA@M@?OJ <G<D @N<M5DG<T<C1PIB<D.MJBJ-K<F-TJRCJKMJQD?@?OC@?<O<PN@?DIOCDN NOP?T
!!"
MDN 1PI<IOTJ2<MNDNDPN?<I1PMTJG@GJGJ)<=PG <N<C"@NDBI<I?'INO<GG<ODJI AJM "<H+JIDOJMDIB3NDIB+PGOD 1@INJMN!<N@1OP?T<O1@MHJ"<H7JBT<F<MO<.MJQDI>@'I?JI@ND<3IDQ@MNDO<N%<?E<C+<?<7JBT<F<MO<
MDT<IOD4D>FT0<ID1E<HNDI<MND?<I I?D@MDA5D><FNJIJ2C@1@MHJ"<H#SK@MD@I>@'I?JI@ND<!JHHPIDOT
"@Q@GJKH@IO <N )@T 1P>>@NN AJM "<H .MJE@>O 'HKG@H@IO<ODJI <I? -K@M<ODJI 3IDQ@MNDO<N 2@FIJGJBD 7JBT<F<MO<
7JBT<F<MO<
P?D@IT &<MT I<GDNDN -KODH<ND 1PH=@M?<T< DM 5<?PF 1@MHJ"HEA4? 74A (8A:8@54A:4A #84<E4A ,J 2<CPIKK
$<PU<I0DAGTB@NO<#Q<GP<ND.@G<FN<I<<I2<O<.@IB<OPM<IDM5<?PF1@MHJK<?<1DNO@H'MDB<ND?D)<=PK<O@I )PGJI.MJBJ3IDQ@MNDO<NOH<E<T<7JBT<F<MO<
%PI<R<I 1 )<ED<I .<IE<IB "<O< &DNOJMDN T<IB 0@KM@N@IO<ODA K<?< +J?@G 1OJF<NODF 2@NDN $<FPGO<N 2@FIDF 3IDQ@MNDO<N"DKJI@BJMJ1@H<M<IB
&<U8<DIPGG<C*<KJM<I2PB<NFCDMI<GDNDN'H=<IB<IDMK<?<*<C<I.<IO<D?D"<@M<C'MDB<ND @I?PIB.@FDF (<H<G3IDQ@MNDO<N +PC<HH<?DT<C7JBT<F<MO<7JBT<F<MO<
)@H@IOMD<I .@F@ME<<I 3HPH ?<I .@MPH<C<I 0<FT<O *<KJM<I FCDM 0@QD@R +<IP<G -. @I?PIB<I 1@MHJ 7JBT<F<MO<
)@H@IOMD<I.@F@ME<<I3HPH?<I.@MPH<C<I0<FT<O.@F@ME<<I"@O<DG"@N<DI0@C<=DGDO<ND1DNO@H"' )<GD=<R<IB 7JBT<F<MO<
+PCTD?DI#I?DI*<KJM<I2PB<NFCDM.@M@I><I<<I)@=POPC<IDM'MDB<NDPIOPF2<I<H<I.<?D?<I.<G<RDE<
K<?<"<@M<C'MDB<ND.@FDF(<H<G3IDQ@MNDO<N+PC<HH<?DT<C7JBT<F<MO<
+<MC@I?D2@BPC)@<I?<G<I"@=DO'IO<F@)<GD=<R<IB1PIB<D.MJBJ%87<4#B@HA<>4F<,8>A<>+<C<?
,<O<GD<)<MID.0.@ITPNPI<I0PG@!PMQ@5<?PF+@IBBPI<F<[email protected]<H"DI<HDF"@O@MHDIDNODF"HEA4?
,8>A<>+<C<?