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Accuracy of Vote Expectation Surveys in Forecasting Elections Public Opin Q 2014 Graefe 204 32

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table 1. Accuracy of individual and pooled Vote expectations in British and uS elections
table 2. Accuracy of Vote expectation Surveys in predicting the Winner (1932–2012)
table 3. Hit rate and Mean Absolute error of Vote expectation Surveys, polls, and the ieM Vote Share prediction Markets across the last 100 Days prior to election Day (1988–2012)
table 4. Hit rate and Mean Absolute error of Vote expectation Surveys and experts (1992, 2000–2012)
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Accuracy of Vote Expectation Surveys in Forecasting Elections Public Opin Q 2014 Graefe 204 32

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