Beyond 1 in 3:
Getting the most out of population-based statistics on the prevalence of violence.
Assoc Prof. Janet Fanslow, MNZM Prof. Tracey McIntosh, MNZM Dr Ladan Hashemi
Funded by the Ministry of Business, Innovation and Employment
2
Good quality family violence data is vital to accurately estimate the impact of family violence on the victims, their families and the
community, and to better direct policy and resources.
The measurement of family violence is required for
• planning, implementation and evaluation of preventative measures
• to identify precursors to a violent event
• to understand the long term outcomes for those who are victims of family violence; and
• to monitor trends in family violence over time.
Why do we need data?
(Gulliver and Fanslow, 2012)
3
Data sets maintained by government and NGO agencies for monitoring resource use and for policy development and implementation.
Administrative data sets are influenced over time by
• internal changes in policy and practice,
• external factors such as changed practice by other organisations, and
• by changing social norms.
These sources of variability mean that administrative data sets are likely to always have limitations in terms of interpreting trends over time.
Administrative Data
(Gulliver and Fanslow, 2012)
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Population-based surveys may provide the best opportunity to derive an estimate of the population prevalence of family violence.
• They can be divided into two categories:
• general population-based surveys that include specific questions or modules on family violence (e.g. NZCVS), and
• surveys specifically undertaken to measure family violence.
Population-based
surveys
(Gulliver and Fanslow, 2012)16/07/2025 5
NZ Violence Against Women (VAW) Study:
Methods and Sample Size (2003)
Door-knocking at randomly selected houses, n=6,174
Face-to-face interviews with one randomly selected woman from each household
Interviewed 2,855 women aged 18-64, in two regions (Auckland, North
Waikato), 67% Response rate
Funded by the Health Research Council of NZ
6
In Aotearoa New Zealand
1 in 10 women older than 15 years experienced
sexual assault by a non-partner
In Aotearoa New Zealand
1 in 7 older than 15 years experienced physical violence by a non-partner
7
Date
In Aotearoa New Zealand:
1 in 4 girls experienced child sexual abuse
before the age of 15 years
Date
In Aotearoa New Zealand: 1 in 3 women
have experienced physical and/or sexual
intimate partner violence (IPV) in their
lifetime
Indicators of Mental Distress by lifetime experience of IPV
0 10 20 30 40 50 60
SRQ Scores >7 Suicidal Thoughts (ever)
Suicidal Attempts (ever)
Percentage
Indicator of Mental Distress
No phys viol
Moderate phys viol Severe phys viol
Physical Health Problems by lifetime experience of IPV
Poor/v poor health Probs, usual activ-
ities Probs walking Pain Memory Vaginal Discharge
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35
40 No phys
viol
Moderate
Severe
Who did you tell and who helped (2003 data)
No One Family Friends/
Neighbours Police Dr/Health
Worker Counsellor Women's
refuge/NGO Relogious/local
leaders Others 0
10 20 30 40 50 60
23
55
49
13 13
17
4 3 3
41
38
31
8 7
11
4 2
8 Who did you tell Who helped
16/07/2025 13
NZ VAW Study: Methods and Sample Size (2003)
Door-knocking at randomly selected houses, n=6,174
Face-to-face interviews with one randomly selected woman from each household
Interviewed 2,855 women aged 18-64, in two regions (Auckland, North
Waikato), 67% Response rate
Funded by the Health Research Council of NZ
Timeline: NZ Family Violence Study, He Koiora Matapopere
– Funding, Ministry of Business, Innovation and Employment (2015 )
– Identification of validated measures prevalence & of risk and protective factors (2016 )
– Pre-testing the survey instrument (2016 )
– Ethics approval (pre-test & full survey) (2016 ) – Data collection
(2017, 2018, finished March 2019
– Data analysis and reporting (We have started!)
– Policy engagement
(Started and continuing)
New Zealand Family Violence Study (2015 -2019)
Overall objective: to measure the population prevalence of family violence
• For
• Females and males, aged 16 years and over
• First time ever
• Males
• Includes 65 yrs and older
• Measures of economic abuse, use of electronic media for abuse
• Including better measures of
• Disability
• Adverse childhood experiences
• Help-seeking:
• Who told about the violence/who helped
• Agencies contacted and perceived helpfulness
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Findings will provide information on
• Any changes in prevalence rates since 2003 (for women aged 18-64 years)
• Risk and Protective factors
• e.g. ,
• Attitudes about relationships/acceptability of use of violence within relationships
• availability of family support, community engagement
• Better information on experience of violence and links with chronic disease
16
Academy on Violence & Abuse www.avahealth.org
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Data collection regions
Northland
Kaitaia to Mangawhai Auckland
Matakana to Pukekohe Waikato
Pukekohe to Putaruru, &
Raglan to Coromandel
49 interviewers
Participant flow diagram Approached to participate
in the study (n=9568)
All HH members speak a foreign language = 110
Dwelling destroyed = 26 Dwelling inaccessible = 404 Dwelling vacant = 330 Entire HH absent for extended period =
140
No HH member home = 522 Total eligible household
(n= 8036)
Household refused to participate (n=1804, 22.44%)
Household agreed (to give info to determine if there was an
eligible participant in the household) n=6232
No eligible person = 1070 Selected person incapacitated = 92 Selected person speaks foreign language=
109
Selected person not at home = 251
Total eligible persons (n= 4710)
Selected person refused (n= 1767, 37.51%)
Selected persons agreed (n= 2944, 62.27%)
Incomplete interview = 55 Final sample size =
2888
9,568
Selected person agreed:
N=2,888 (63%)
8,036 6,232
4,710
Who have we spoken to?
/representativeness
20
21
NZ Population and Survey sample by age
16-29 30-49 50-69 70+
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40
25.3
31.6
28.8
13.52 12.7
33.32
36.86
16.29
NZ Population Survey Sample
NZ Population and survey sample by ethnicity
European Maori Pacific Asian MELAA
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80
71
12
6
11
1 70
11
6
13
2
NZ Population Survey Sample
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– Informing the development of appropriate population based interventions
– Could help us monitor the effectiveness of
• central government legislation changes,
• policies and strategies
designed to affect change in violence exposure.
Long term goal
16/07/2025 24
Acknowledgements
• To the study participants
• The study
interviewers
• Dr Pauline Gulliver• The project team, Patricia Meagher-Lundberg Debbie Waayer
The funder: Ministry of Business, Innovation and Employment
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FANSLOW JL, ROBINSON EM.2 Helpseeking behaviours and reasons for help-seeking reported by a representative sample of women victims of intimate partner violence in New Zealand, Journal of Interpersonal
Violence. 25 (5): 929-951, 2010.
FANSLOW JL, ROBINSON EM.2 Violence against women in New Zealand:
Prevalence and health consequences. New Zealand Medical Journal, 117 (1206), 1173-1184, 2004.
FANSLOW JL, ROBINSON EM,2 CRENGLE S,2 PERESE L. 2 Prevalence of child sexual abuse reported by a cross-sectional sample of New Zealand women. Child Abuse and Neglect, 31(9); 935-945, 2007.
Gulliver, P., Fanslow, J. (2012). Measurement of family violence at a population level: What might be needed to develop reliable and valid family violence indicators? Auckland, New Zealand: New Zealand Family Violence Clearinghouse, The University of Auckland.
References
16/07/2025