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Multiple Correlation Between Rainfall of Post-Monsoon Season and the Different Meteorological Parameters of the Monsoon Season Over Bangladesh

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Average rainfall in the months of June, July, August, September, October and November and in the monsoon and post-monsoon seasons. Rainfall in June, July, August and September 88 3.5.3 Distribution of CC between Post Monsoon Rainfall and WilT, DBT &.

  • Dry bulb temperature (DBT)
  • Wet bulb temperature (WI3T)
  • Rainfall
  • Post-Monsoon
  • Average
  • Regression
    • Regression equations
  • Simple correlation

When people refer to the temperature of the air, they normally mean the dry bulb temperature. In the higher parts of the Western Ghats there are places with seasonal rainfall of 5000 mm.

2) It should be remembered that we computed >y2 by the formula

Multiple correlation

The illustration in this chapter will deal with the relationship between rainfall after the monsoon season and dry bulb temperature, wet bulb temperature and rainfall in 1 monsoon season. Post monsoon rainfall is the dependent variable and the other three are independent variables.

Dependent variable

Multiple correlation involves exactly the same principles as simple correlation, but the process is more laborious because there is more than one independent variable. It simplifies the notation a bit ii, instead of using different letters, each of the variables is denoted by the letter X, with subscripts separating the variables.

Iiidcpcndcnt variables

Multiple correlation of 3 variables

Multiple correlation between post monsoon season rainfall and dry bulb temperature (DBT), wet bulb temperature (WBT) in monsoon season can be written as.

  • Multiple correlation for 4 variables
  • Distribution of average Dry Bulb Temperature (DBT), Wet Bulb Temperature (WBT) and Rainfall of monsoon and post-monsoon
    • Distribution of average DBT of the months of June, July, August and September
    • Distribution of average WBT of the months of June, July, August and September
    • Distribution of average rainfall of the months of June, July, August

June: Fig 3.1 .3 (a) shows the distribution of average rainfall for the month of June across Bangladesh. The minimum amount of average rainfall is observed in the western part of the country, i.e.

VP 3.1.4 Distribution of average rainfall of the months of October and November

  • Distribution of average DBT, WBT and rainfall of Monsoon and rainfall of Post-monsoon
  • Distribution of Standard deviations (SD) of (lifferent meteorological parameters in the monsoon and Post-monsoon season
    • Distribution of SD of average DBT of the months of June, July, August and September
    • Distribution of average SD of WBT of the mouths of June, July, August and September
    • Distribution of SD of average Rainfall of the months of June, July, August and September
    • Distribution of SD of average rainfall of the months of October and November
    • Distribution of SD of DBT, WBT and Rainfall of Monsoon and
  • Correlation coefficients between October rainfall DBT, WBT and Rainfall of June, July, August and September
    • Distribution of CC between October rainfall and DBT of June, July, August and September
    • Distribution of CC between November rainfall and average DBT of June, July, August and September
    • Distribution of CC between DBT of June, July, August and September and Post-monsoon rainfall
    • Distribution of CC between WBT of June, July, August and September and rainfall of October
    • Distribution of CC between WBT of June, July, August and September and rainfall of November
    • Distribution of CC between WBT of June, July, August and September and Post-monsoon rainfall
    • Distribution of CC between Rainfall of June, July, August and September and October Rainfall
    • Distribution of CC between Rainfall of June, July, August and September and November Rainfall
    • Distribution of CC between Rainfall of June, July, August and

July: The SD distribution of average July rainfall over all of Bangladesh is shown in Fig 3.2.3 (b). August: The SD distribution of mean August rainfall across Bangladesh is shown in Fig 3.2.3 (c). September: The SD distribution of the average September rainfall across Bangladesh is shown in Fig 3.2.3 (d).

November: The distribution of SD of November rainfall across the country is shown in fig 3.2.4 (b). August: The distribution of CC between average DBT of August and rainfall of November over the whole of Bangladesh is shown in Fig 3.3.2 (c). August: The distribution of CC between average WBT of August and average rainfall of October over the whole of Bangladesh is shown in Fig 3.3.4 (c).

September: The distribution of CC between September average WBT and October average rainfall across Bangladesh is shown in Fig 3.3.4 (ci). July: The distribution of CC between July WBT mean and November mean rainfall across Bangladesh is shown in Fig 3.3.5 (b). August: The distribution of CC between August WBT average and November average rainfall across Bangladesh is shown in Fig 3.3.5 (c).

September and Post-monsoon Rainfall

  • Distribution of CC between monsoon DBT and the monthly Rainfall of October, November and Post-monsoon
  • Distribution of CC between monsoon WBT and the monthly Rainfall of October, November and Post-monsoon
  • Distribution of CC between monsoon rainfall and the rainfall of October, November and Post-monsoon
  • Distribution of CC between DBT and WBT of June, July, August

November: The distribution of CC between 1)13]' of monsoon and the average k rainfall in November over the whole of Bangladesh is shown in Fig. 3.3.10 (b). From the distribution pattern, we observe that CC is positive all over the country except Rajshalii, Ishwardy, Jessore, Mymensing, Sylhet, Srimongal and Bhola region. Post-monsoon: The distribution of CC between the DBT of monsoon and the average rainfall of Post-monsoon over the whole of Bangladesh is shown in Fig. 3.3.10 (c).

October: The distribution of CC between WBT of monsoon and the average rainfall of October over the whole of Bangladesh is shown in Fig 3.3.11 (a). From the distribution pattern we see that the CC is positive all over the country except Tangail, Feni, Maizdy, Rangamati, Satkhira, Khepupara and Khulna region. November: The distribution of CC between WBT of monsoon and the average rainfall of November over the whole of Bangladesh is shown in Fig 3.3.1 1 (b).

From the distribution pattern, we see that the CC is positive across the country except Sylhet, Srimangal and I3 Hola region.

Distribution of CC between DBT and Rainfall of June, July, August and September

The 1'hc distribution shows that the CC is negative across the country except in Jessore where it is 0.2. July: The distribution of CC between DBT and rainfall in July over the whole of Bangladesh is shown in Figure 3.3.14 (b). The next minimum value of CC is observed in Dhaka, Faridpur, Coniilla and Chittagonj region and is -0.45.

August: Figure 3.3.14 (c) shows the distribution of CC between DBT and August rainfall over Bangladesh. 1-lere we see that the CC is negative across the country except in Jessore where it is 0.1. The distribution pattern shows that the CC is negative across the country except in Jessore where it is 0.1.

The maximum negative CC is observed in Dhaka, Sandip, Sitakundu and Feni region and is -0.4.

Distribution of CC between WBT and Rainfall of June, July, August and September

From the figure it is also seen that CC decreases from the central region to the east and west. DBT and Precipitation:- The distribution of CC between DBT and monsoon rainfall over the entire Bangladesh is shown in Fig. 3.3.16 (b). 1-lers we observe that CC is negative across the country except Rangpur, Mymensing, Jessore, Patuakhali, Chandpur and Khepupara region.

The maximum negative and positive CC are observed at Feni and Patuakhali region and are -0.50 and 0.30 respectively. WBT and rainfall: The distribution of CC between the WBT and rainfall of monsoon across Bangladesh is shown in Fig 3.3.16 (c). The maximum negative and positive CC are observed at Feni and Patuakhali and are -0.50 and 0.30 respectively.

From the above analysis, we found that the DBT and rainfall of the monsoon season and the WBT and rainfall of the monsoon season give almost identical results.

Correlation Coefficients between rainfall of Post-monsoon and 2 parameters of monsoon

  • Distribution of CC between October rainfall and WBT & DBT of June, July, August and September
  • Distribution of CC between November rain and WBT & DBT of June, July, August and September
  • Distribution of CC between Post-monsoon rain and WBT & DBT of June, July, August and September
  • Distribution of CC between October rainfall and WBT & Rainfall of June, July August and September
  • Distribution of CC between November rainfall and WBT &

The distribution shows that CC is positive across the country except Bhola where its value is -0.15. September: The distribution of CC between rainfall in November and WBT & DBT in September over the whole of Bangladesh is shown in Fig. 3.4.2 (d). June: The distribution of CC between post-monsoon rainfall and WBT & 1)B1' in June over Bangladesh is shown in Fig. 3.4.3 (a).

July: The distribution of CC between post-monsoon rainfall and July WBT & DBT over Bangladesh is shown in Figure 3.4.3 (b). From the distribution pattern, we see that the CC is positive over the entire country except Mymensing, Srimongal, Cornilla, Faridpur and Madaripur region. July: The distribution of CC between October rainfall and WBT and July rainfall over the entire country is shown in Figure 3.4.4 (b).

The distribution pattern shows that the CC is positive throughout the country except Rangpur.

  • Distribution of CC between Post-monsoon Rainfall and WBT &
  • Distribution of CC among the WBT, DBT and Rainfall of June, July, August and September
  • Distribution of CC between WBT & DBT of monsoon and the rainfall of October, November and Post-monsoon
  • Distribution of CC between the rainfall of October, November and Post-monsoon and rainfall & WBT of monsoon
  • Correlation Coefficients between rainfall of Post-monsoon and 3 parameters of monsoon
    • Distribution of CC between October rainfall and WBT, DBT &

The distribution shows that CC is positive all over the country except Tangail, Chittagong, Rangamati and Sitakundu region. The distribution shows that CC is positive across the country except in Feni, Sitakundu and Rangamati region where it is -0.05. DBT and rainfall in June across Bangladesh are shown in Figure 3.4.7 (a). The distribution shows that CC is negative all over the country except in Sylhet, Mymensing, Chandpur and 1-latiya region where CC is 0.15.

The distribution shows that CC is negative across the country except Jessore, Satkhira region. From the distribution pattern, we can see that CC is positive across the country. The distribution shows that CC is positive all over the country except Srimongal, Patuakhali, Khepupara, Feni, Maizdy-court and Sitakundu region.

The distribution pattern shows that CC is positive throughout the country except l-Iatiya.

Rainfall of June, July, August and September

Distribution of CC between November rainfall and WBT, DBT &

July: Figure 3.5.2 (b) represents the CC between November rainfall and WBT, DBT and July rainfall across Bangladesh. From the distribution model we observed that CC is relatively low in this case and is positive throughout the country. So when WBT, DBT and July rainfall will increase, then November rainfall will also increase.

September: The distribution of CC between November rainfall and WBT, DBT and September rainfall over the whole of Bangladesh is shown in Figure 3.5.2 (d). From the above discussions we can conclude that there is a positive correlation between November rainfall and WBT, DBT and rainfall of all monsoon months.

Distribution of CC between Post-monsoon rainfall and WBT, DBT

Distribution of CC between DBT, WBT & rainfall of monsoon and the rainfall of October, November and Post-monsoon

Figure 3.5.4 (a) shows WBT and monsoon rainfall and October rainfall across Bangladesh. So WBT, DBT, Monsoon rainfall increase and then October rainfall will also increase. November: Figure 3.5.4 (b) shows the distribution of CC between monsoon DBT, WBT and monsoon rainfall and November rainfall across Bangladesh.

WBT & rainfall of monsoon and rainfall of Post-monsoon season all over Bangladesh is shown in Fig 3.5.4 (c).

CC between DBT, WBT & rainfall of different regions of monsoon and the rainfall of October, November and Post-

3.6.1 (a-c): Correlation between Monsoon DBT Vs. Post-monsoon rainfall for a) Dry region, b) Wet region and c) All over country. 3.6.2 (a-c): Correlation between Monsoon WBT Vs. Post-monsoon rainfall for a) Dry region, b) Wet region and c) All over country.

Regression Equations

The western side of the country is warmer than the eastern side during the monsoon period. The maximum amount of average precipitation is observed in the eastern side of the country and gradually decreases towards the west. The CC is positive on the south and south-eastern sides in June and negative on the eastern side of the country, except Sitakundu in July.

October rainfall and WBT of June, July, August and September are negatively correlated in the 'l'angail region. The post-monsoon rainfall is negatively correlated with the rainfall of July in the north-east, south-east and southern region of the country, where it is positively correlated with the September rainfall in the western and eastern side of the country. The October rainfall is positively correlated with the June rainfall in the north-west, west and south regions of the country.

November rainfall is positively correlated with August rainfall in the northern and eastern side and negatively correlated in the southern and southeastern side of the country.

Referensi

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