FLEGT VPA Independent
Market Monitoring (IMM)
Presentation structure
•
IMM background, role, progress
and outputs
•
Draft baseline data
–
Indonesia in international trade
–
Indonesia in EU trade
•
Concluding comments
IMM Background
• IMM is a condition of some FLEGT VPAs
(including Indonesia)
• Builds on IMM proposal by EFECA in EFI-commissioned report issued 2012
• Funded by European Commission through through DG International Cooperation and Development
• Budget: €4.4 million over 5 years (2014-2018)
• Hosted by International Tropical Timber
Organisation (ITTO)
– Promotes expansion & diversification of trade in tropical timber from sustainably managed and legally harvested forests
– Membership = most producer & consumer countries.
– Record of statistical capacity building, data collection & market information
FLEGT VPA Partners
IMM Objectives
• Generate information that demonstrates changes in trade of
legally verified timber and timber products in the EU market
• Improve knowledge and understanding of the impacts of
VPAs on timber prices, trade and market trends globally
• Ensure VPA countries & EU provide reliable stats and info on
FLEGT timber trade and acceptance in their reporting
• Inform decisions by VPA Joint Implementation Committees
(JICs) by providing timely & accurate info on market impact
• Contribute to monitoring the impacts of the FLEGT Action
Plan and to inform its implementation
• Develop a long-term strategy for sustaining the IMM in
consultation with the EU and VPA partner countries
IMM Oversight & Guidance
• Project Steering Committee (PSC)
–Monitors IMM progress, review work plan and reports –ITTO & EC representatives
–Observers e.g. EFI, Eurostat, interested government agencies
• Advisory Committee
–Advises on technical aspects, promotes coordination, facilitates participation by stakeholders and communication of IMM activities.
–ITTO, FAO, UN-ECE, Eurostat, EFI, government agencies from EU & VPA Partner countries, trade associations, other organisations interested in timber market monitoring.
• Timber Market Monitoring Committee (TMMC)
–Facilitates info exchange, avoids duplication, improves market monitoring practices & stats, common data protocols
–AC sub-group of organisations directly engaged in market monitoring –ITTO, EFI, Eurostat, Indufor, ATIBT/IFIA, STTC, FAO, UNECE, Global
Timber Forum, Chatham House, WRI, & Forest Trends.
IMM Methodology
•
Framework (currently in draft) of 52
indicators for quantitative
assessment of market impacts
33 EU-wide indicators
•
Overall EU market for all FLEGT VPA timber
•
Examples:
– market impact of EUTR implementation;
– scope and content of public sector procurement policies; – timber procurement requirements established by EUTR
MOs, TTF’s & major retailers
– handling of VPA licenses in FSC and PEFC CoC standards – perceptions of VPA licensed timber in design and
architectural community
– recognition of FLEGT VPAs in guidelines for assessment
of forest sector risk in the financial sector
19 VPA partner-specific
indicators
•
Changing market for each VPA partner country
•
Examples:
–
monitoring of volume and value of trade flows
between the VPA partner country, the EU and other
markets;
–
prices for specific indicator products from the partner
country;
–
time to clear customs
–
size and quality of investment in the VPA partner
country
–
changing perceptions of timber from the partner
country resulting from VPA licensing.
Key operational issues
•
Phased approach - progressively widen monitoring
against indicators as more licensed timber becomes
available & with rising awareness
•
Close working relationship with JICs in VPA countries
•
Network of IMM correspondents in VPA Partner
Countries & priority EU Member States reporting
regularly
•
Additional surveys undertaken directly by IMM or by
other members of TMMC
•
Linkage to trade associations in both producer and
consumer countries to encourage input from private
sector
IMM Progress
•
Baseline report
– 1
streview draft end November 2014,
final report available Jan/February 2015
– VPA Partner Countries in international & EU trade 2004 to
2014
– Identify & preliminary review of factors driving change
•
Liaison with VPA Partners
– participation at Liberia
JIC & Ghana JMRM in May/June 2014, workshops
Indonesian Ministry of Forestry in November 2014,
Cameroon/Congo Republic 1
stQtr of 2015
•
First Advisory Committee meeting
planned 1
stQtr
2015 (likely Brussels)
•
Preliminary negotiations with potential members of
IMM
Correspondents Network
Improved access to
statistics
• Strengthen ITTO’s existing capacity
• Responding to regular requests
from policy makers and private sector
• Supporting redevelopment of EFI Forest Products Trade Flow Database
– Based on global COMTRADE & EU COMEXT data
– HS Chapters 44 (Wood), 47 (Pulp), 48 (Paper), 49 (Printed papers), 94
(Furniture)
– Validated - comparing unit values & mirror export/import data
– Publicly available on ITTO and EFI websites
– Data visualisation
Key IMM outputs
•
Annual reports (First before end 2015)
–
Current status of licensing in VPA Partner
countries
–
Annual update of production and trade
data
–
Overview major trade trends & issues
arising
–
Systematic review against indicators
•
Website
–
www.itto.int/imm
–
Quarterly e-news
–
Production and
trade database
–
Data visualisation
Draft baseline data:
Overview of tropical
timber trade
15
16
17
Draft baseline data:
Indonesia in
International trade
19
20
21
22
Draft baseline data:
Indonesia
in EU trade
24
25
Eurostat construction production index
2010=100
27
A Perfect Storm: drivers of tropical
hardwood market decline in Europe
29
30
31
EU Member State import of Indonesian wood
products
Monthly value (moving average) – March 2004 to
June 2014
€1 million (constant 2013 prices)
Red line = date of EUTR enforcement
33
Concluding comments
• Trade data yet to reveal direct EUTR impact
– Other commercial factors more in evidence
– Different interpretations – EUTR not yet effective? Tropical
forest regulation and/or trade due diligence already effective? Data inadequate?
• Significant gaps in information
– Limited availability & poor quality of production and trade data
– Systematic assessments illegality risks for countries/regions/products
– Data on flows of certified/verified legal timber
– Regular input from private sector - role for IMM Correspondents network
• Decline in relative role of EU in tropical trade (short
term?) reinforces:
– Importance of collective action on consumer side
– Need for more effective market development strategy in EU
• Central role for VPA process - wide international
coverage - critical mechanism for EU engagement in tropical countries – solid foundation for tropical wood market development