strategic resilience assessment webinarv2

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STRATEGIC

RESILIENCE

ASSESSMENTS

OLGA PETRYNIAK

Regional Resilience Director – South and East Asia

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Conceptualizing Resilience

STRESS Overview

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Conceptualizing Resilience

INVES

TMEN TS

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Conceptualizing Resilience

INVES

TMEN

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R E S I L I E N C E A T M E R C Y C O R P S | W C D R R S E N D A I

Resilience Questions

SYSTEMS

PEOPLE CAPACITIES

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Meaningful

employment

maintained or

improved

Income

stability and

growth

Dietary

diversity

maintained

and improved

Access to

health services

maintained or

improved

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Conceptual Framework

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Resilience Capacities

• Ability of people,

communities and systems

to achieve improved

well-being in the face of

shocks and stresses

RESOURCES

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What defines a resilience

capacity?

APPLYING STRATEGIC RESILIENCE ASSESSMENTS

Resource or its use that helps a household, community, or system, prevent, mitigate, or respond to a risk

Shock/stress: The shock or stress (risk) it is used against

User: The group, individual, or institution intended to "use" the capacity

Provider: Individuals, processes or systems appropriate for providing access or availability of the capacity

Effect: The mitigating impact of the capacity on the shock/stress and positive effect on household/community/system

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What is a STRESS?



_{A strategic-level assessment process for}

understanding risk, drivers and required capacities

to build resilience in a given context



_{helps develop effective, measurable}

resilience-building strategies



_{considers the complex interactions that exist}

between risks, people and the socio-ecological

systems in which they live

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What’s unique about a STRESS?

SYSTEMS-FOCUSED

SYSTEMS-FOCUSED NEUTRAL

SECTOR-ANALYSIS OF RESILIENCE CAPACITIES

ANALYSIS OF RESILIENCE CAPACITIES

ANALYSIS OF RISKS AND RISK

PROFILES

ANALYSIS OF RISKS AND RISK

PROFILES

MULTIPLE TIME FRAMES

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STRESS Phases:

Scope: Review team and expert knowledge through participatory

workshops and identify knowledge gaps

Inform: Conduct secondary literature review; complement with qualitative field methods

Analyze: develop risk profiles and evaluate resilience capacities

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Phase 1: SCOPE

Determine the purpose,

scope and scale

Gather collective knowledge

through workshops and rapid

literature review

Conduct systems mapping

Identify knowledge gaps

Prepare data collection plan

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Gender Norms

Consumption Practices

Mapping

RESILIENCE OF WHAT?

Income

Markets

Non-farm livelihoods

Gender Norms

Government Regulation

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Shocks and Stresses

RESILIENCE TO WHAT?

Farming Production

-Debt +

Land & Water

Availability Excess

Rain + Drought + Floods +

Food price shocks +

Income

-Conflict +

Emergency borrowing +

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Health

Urban Systems

Stress Migration+

Business Income & Investment

Marginal Land Conversion Pressure on

Infrastructure and services

Labor pool

Flood + Coastal

Storm

Government Priorities and

Practices

Urban Planning Migrant

incomes

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Phase 1: Scoping

Outputs

_{1) A preliminary systems analysis defining}

interaction between:

• development or systemic constraints

• shocks and stresses • gendered impacts

2) A preliminary understanding of resilience capacities – current and potential

3) A detailed research plan that identifies key knowledge gaps, primary data collection methods, and a sampling strategy.

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Phase 2:

INFORM

Data collection should be focused and narrowed

Fit for purpose, time and scale:

Focus on knowledge gaps:

Draw on existing tools and methods:

• _{Secondary Data review}

• _{Qualitative interviews}

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Phase 3:

ANALYZE

_{KEY DELIVERABLES:}

Development trends, with focus on systemic relationships

Risk Analysis:

• _{Shocks/stresses to systems and target}

populations

• _{Risk drivers and impacts}

• _{Risk profiles of target populations}

Resilience Capacity Analysis:

• _{Existing v. required resilience}

capacities;

• _{Underlying factors preventing access}

and use of resilience capacities

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Phase 4:

STRATEGIZE

KEY DELIVERABLES:

Theory of Change

M&E Framework

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STRESS Deliverables:

• _{Trends and interactions between shocks and} stresses, and system dynamics

Risk

Profile

• _{Existing and required resources – social, physical,} financial, natural, political, human- and how they must be applied to mitigate risk

Resilience

Capacities

• _{A high-level logical pathway defining the}

relationship how resilience capacities can support achieving well-being outcomes in the face of risk

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Case 1: NEPAL (Rural)

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Case 1: NEPAL (Rural)

NRM

Income

Supply System WASH Infrastructure

and Practices _Natural Resources

Non-AG Enterprises CREDIT, TVET

and BDS

Markets Economic

Infrastructur Health and

Nutrition practices

Sustainable Food Security

Risk Reduction Infrastructure

and Systems Stability

Food Production

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Case 1: NEPAL (Rural)

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Case 1: NEPAL (Rural)

–

_{e.g. remittances, loans}

Informal norms and formal rules and

regulations are underlying factors that

determine access and use of resilience

capacities:

–

_{e.g. caste norms around water, gender}

household decisionmaking

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Case 1: NEPAL (Rural)

THEORY OF CHANGE

IMPLICATIONS



_{Build voice and participation}

as part of underlying social

and behavioral change

strategy



_{Strengthen crosssectoral}

governance approach



_{Foster social capital and}

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Case 1: NEPAL (Rural)

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KEY LESSONS:

 _{Chennai’s fragmented institutional and}

infrastructure context creates challenges for balancing economic growth with

environmental safeguards for resilience

 _{Damage and recovery, particularly for}

MSMEs, depends as much on business environment as it does on the intensity of the disaster

 _{Financial products are often slow,}

inaccessible or ill-designed for MSMEs, undermining small business growth and stability

Case 2: CHENNAI (Urban)

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Case 3: MONGOLIA

(Urban-Rural)

CONTEXT

 _{Setting country-level strategy for a new legacy}

program

 _{Focus not only on what program will work on}

directly, but also partnership

 _{Need to understand urban-rural dynamics in light}

of economic patterns and urbanization:

 _{Strong history of herding}

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Case 3: MONGOLIA

(Urban-Rural)

KEY FINDINGS:

 Rural livestock economy essential to balanced growth:

 _{Perceptions and low services are driving}

people to cities, not winter blizzards

 _{Requires YOUTH buy-in to rural livestock}

economy

 _{Need to build social capital and networks}

across urban-rural areas

 _{Simultaneous focus on urban and rural services}

job growth

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Key Takeaways

 _{STRESS is an assessment}

approach, not strict methodology

 _{Needs to be “fit to size” based on}

purpose, scope and scale

 _{Focus on systems mapping in}

relation to well-being outcomes, risk analysis and resilience capacities

 _{Draw on existing knowledge}

 _{Centered on multi-stakeholder}

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For More Information

STRESS Approach, Mercy Corps, 2017

Resilience Measurement Practical Guidance Series;

Guidance Note no. 1 – Risk and Resilience Assessments; USAID, TOPS

PAHAL Strategic Resilience Assessment, Nepal, April 2015

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OLGA PETRYNIAK