Striving to maximize value
Corporat e Present at ion – December 2008
Corporat e Present at ion – December 2008
AGENDA
I.
Indonesia Cement Highlights
II. Corporat e Prof ile
III. Financial Perf ormance
IV. St rat egic Init iat ives
Singapore Kuala Lumpur
SGG
*)
Semen Andalas Indonesia
Lhok Nga, Nanggroe Aceh D.
Cap. 1.4 mn tons
(under plant reconstruction)
Indocement Tunggal Perkasa
Jakarta
Cap. 17.7 mn tons
Semen Tonasa
South Sulawesi, Cap. 3.5 mn tons
Semen Padang
West Sumatera, Cap. 5.9 mn tons
Holcim Indonesia
Jakarta
Cap. 7.9 mn tons
Semen Bosowa Maros
Maros, South Sulawesi
Cap. 1.8 mn tons
Semen Baturaja
Palembang, South Sumatera
Cap. 1.25 mn tons
Semen Gresik
East Java, Cap. 8.6 mn tons
Semen Kupang
Kupang, East Nusa Tenggara
Cap. 0.57 mn tons
1.
INDUSTRY STRUCTURE AND PLANTS LOCATION
*)
Semen
Gresik Group
*)
Semen
Gresik Group
• Total Installed National Capacity as of Sept. 2008: 47.22 mn tons/
year (EoY 2007:45.07 mn tons cement / year).
• National cement consumption in 11M2008: 34.96 mn tons (12.6%
growth y-o-y) and 34.2 mn tons in 2007 (6.6% growth y-o-y).
• Domestic utilization rate per Nov. 2008: 81% (EoY 2007: 76%).
PT Semen Gresik (Persero) Tbk.
Total Cap. 18,0 mn tons
PT Semen Gresik (Persero) Tbk.
AGENDA
I.
Indonesia Cement Highlight s
II. Corporate Profile
III. Financial Perf ormance
IV. St rat egic Init iat ives
SGG IS THE #1 CEMENT COMPANY IN INDONESIA
n
Founded August 1957 by the
first President of the Republic
of Indonesia
n
Capacit y: 250, 000 t ons per
annum (“ t pa” )
n
Rights Issue
n
Acquisition of Semen
Padang and Semen Tonasa
n
GoI: 65%, Publ ic: 35%
n
Capacit y: 8. 5mn t pa
n
EoY market cap:
IDR 3. 8tn
n
July 1991, Initial Public
Offering—listed on the
Jakarta Stock Exchange and
Surabaya Stock Exchange
n
Government of Republic of
Indonesia: 73%, Public: 27%
n
Capacit y: 1. 8mn t pa
n
EoY market cap:
IDR 0. 63tn
n
Cemex S. A. de C. V.
("Cemex") became a
strategic partner by
buying a 14% stake
n
GoI: 51%, Publ ic: 35%,
Cemex: 14%
n
Capacit y: 17. 3mn t pa
n
EoY market cap:
IDR4. 9tn
n
September 1999, Cemex
upsized its stake to 26%
n
GoI: 51%, Publ ic: 23%,
n
July 2006, Blue Valley Holdings
PTE Ltd. (“ Blue Valley” )
bought Cemex’ s 24. 9% stake in
SGG
IDR33. 2tn
2008
n
GoI: 51%, Publ ic:
24%, Blue Valley:
25%
n
Capacit y: 18. 0mn
t pa
OWNERSHIP STRUCTURE
Not e: As of Sept . 30, 2007
Six subsidiaries
Non-cement producers
PT Semen Gresik
PT Semen Padang
PT Semen Tonasa
99. 9%
99. 9%
Blue Valley Holdings PTE Ltd.
Government of the Republic of Indonesia
Public
n
24.9% ownership
n
Raj awali Group purchased st ake f rom Cemex f or US$337 mil lion t hrough Blue Valley Hol dings
n
Raj awali Group is a maj or domest ic congl omerat e wit h businesses and global part nerships in t he foll owing indust ries:
n
51.0% ownership
n
Original st ake reduced f ollowing Cemex’ s ent rance as a st rat egic part ner
n
24.1% ownership
Tobacco
Telecommunicat ions
Ret ail
Hot els
AGENDA
I.
Indonesia Cement Highlight s
II. Corporat e Prof ile
III. Financial Performance
IV. St rat egic Init iat ives
FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS
Total Equity
22.2
Total assets
41.4
Net profit
34.5
Operating profit
31.0
Gross Profit
24.1
(Rp billions)
KEY FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS
*) Unaudit ed
*) Unaudit ed
Ot her s 8. 1%
Player 2 19. 3%
Player 1 34. 7% T onasa 7. 8%
CAPACITY SHARE — 2007
CAPACITY SHARE — 2007
Sem en
Player 1 30. 9% Player 2
14. 6%
Total Capacity = 45. 07 mn tons
SGG
Total 37.9%
SGG
Total 44.4%
MARKET LEADER IN TERMS OF REVENUE AND CAPACITY SHARE
Leading market share for the past several years
Total Consumption = 34. 2 mn tons
DOMESTIC MARKET SHARE — 2007
DOMESTIC MARKET SHARE — 2007
Source: Research report s, management plan
CAPACITY SHARE — 11M 2008
CAPACITY SHARE — 11M 2008
DOMESTIC MARKET SHARE — 11M 2008
DOMESTIC MARKET SHARE — 11M 2008
SGG
Total 43.6%
Total Consumption = 34. 96 mn tons
Total Consumption = 34. 96 mn tons
SGG
Total 38.1%
Total Capacity = 47. 22 mn tons
Total Capacity = 47. 22 mn tons
Sem enGresi k 21. 8%
Player 1 32. 4% Player 2
CONSISTENT REVENUE GROWTH WITH STRONG BALANCE SHEET
Revenue—last 5 years (
IDR bn)
Sales volumes—last 5 years (
mm t ons)
Cash balance
(IDR bn)
Total debt
(IDR bn)
4,995 5,613
6,933 8,163
8,948 8,457 341
2003
2004 2005 2006 2007
9M
2008
Domest ic Sales Export Sales
CAGR (03—07)
10%
16%
12.0
13.3
14.3
15.0
15.2
12.4
2.3
2.3
2.1
1.8
1.8
0.8
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
9M
2008
Domest ic
Expor t
(5%)
6%
CAGR (03—07)
Not e: Sales volumes include cement and clinker volumes
3, 304
1, 424
2, 939
1, 929
642
908
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
9M
2008
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
9M
2008
CAGR (03—
07) -39%
SOLID PROFITABILITY INDICATORS
Return on asset
5.6%
7.7%
14.3% 17.5%
22.2% 18.6%
2003 2004
2005 2006
2007
9M
2008
Net margin
6.8% 8.4%
13.3% 14.8%
18.5% 20.4%
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
9M
2008
Total assets turnover
81.5% 91.8%
107.9%118.0%119.9%109.9%
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
9M
2008
:
Avg. total assets (IDR bn)
6,684 6,613 6,982
7,397 8,006
9,670
2003 2004
2005 2006 2007
9M
2008
Revenue (IDR bn)
5,450 6,068
7,532 8,728
9,601 8,798
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
9M
2008
373 5091,002 1,296
1,775 1,799
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 9M 2008
Net profit (IDR bn)
:
SOLID PROFITABILITY INDICATORS
11.6% 14.6%
24.7% 26.0% 29.0% 23.9%
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
9M
2008
Return on equity
EBITDA margin
25.4% 23.3% 26.5% 25.6% 29.7%
31.6%
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
9M
2008
1,386 1,412
1,999
2,234
2,775
2,849
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
9M
2008
SOLID CREDIT METRICS
0.8x
1.1x
0.05x
0.4x
0.09x
0.03x
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
9M
2008
Debt/ EBITDA
EBITDA/ int erest
12.6x
27.6x
207.6x
5.9x
3.4x
243.8x
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
9M
2008
Debt/ capital
4%
20%
6%
2.5%
35%
29%
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
9M
2008
Debt/ equity
0.41x
0.54x
0.04x
0.24x
0.06x
0.03x
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
9M
AGENDA
I.
Indonesian Cement Highlight s
II. Corporat e Prof ile
III. Financial Perf ormance
IV. St rategic Initiatives
PRODUCTION OPTIMIZATION PROGRAMMES
Total Total Cost
Prod. (Mio US$)
2007
SP
5.4
- Modify Indarung V Suspended Preheater for increasing capacity
- Completed in Q3 2007
ST
3.5
SG
8.2
Total
2008
SP
5.9
- Changing conventional separator with High Efficiency Separator in Indarung IV - Completed in Q4 2008
for increasing capacity
- Diversification Product
- Start in Q4 2008
- Modifiy sys tem track cement transport to silo in Indarung IV
- Completed di Q4 2008
ST
3.5
- Extend Calciner Tonasa IV for increasing capacity
- Completed Juli 2008
- Diversification Product
- Start di Q4 2008
SG
8.6
- Extend Calciner SLC Tuban 1, 2 & 3 di Q1 dan Q2 2008 for increasing
- Completed in the end of Q2 2008
capacity
- Diversification Product
- Start in Q4 2008
Total
9.37
2009
SP
6.1
- Installation Bin Material Additive for s upport diversification product
- Completed in Q2 2009
in Indarung II, III, & IV
ST
4.1
- Installation Roller Press di Tonasa IV for increasing capacity production
- Completed in Q2 2009
SG
8.8
Total
49.05
2010
SP
6.3
- Changing conventional separator with High Efficiency Separator
- Completed in Q4 2010
in Indarung II & III for increasing capacity
- Changing Pregrinding System in Indarung V for increasing capacity
- Completed in Q4 2010
ST
4.2
SG
8.8
- Upgrade Tuban 1, tie in Coal Mill for support capacity 9000TPD
- Completed in September 2010
- Install new Cooler kapasitas 9000 TPD in Tuban 1
Total
18.22
Remark
Activity
Year SG Group
16. 9
16. 9
16. 9
16. 9
17.1
18.0
19.0
2. 4
1. 1
2. 1
19.3
7.0
9.0
11.0
13.0
15.0
17.0
19.0
2007
2008
2009
2010
Incremental production
from/de-bottlenecking/optimization plans
Installed base production
Production est imates (mm t ons)
PRODUCTION OPTIMIZATION
10. PROJECTION DOMESTIC PRODUCTION DEVELOPMENT (Mio Ton)
Base production
New production
PROJECTION PRODUCTION DEVELOPMENT (Mio Ton)
19. 7
23. 1
23. 8
24. 3
19.3
19.3
19. 3
19. 3
8.2
8.6
8.8
8.8
5.0
4.5
2.8
0.4
5.4
5.9
6. 1
6.3
4. 2
4. 1
3.5
3.5
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
SG
SG
SG
SG
SGG
SGG
SGG
SGG
SP
SP
SP
SP
ST
ST
ST
ST
17. 3
18. 0
CURRENT PRODUCT MOVEMENT
CROSS-BAGGING INITIATIVE
CURRENT PRODUCT MOVEMENT
CROSS-BAGGING INITIATIVE
The cross bagging init iat ive will result in a dif f erent movement of product t o
t he market wit hout changing t he f inal brand leading t o
n
Lesser t ime t o market
n
Logist ics cost savings
Cost savings i n t ransport at ion, packaging, invent ory and raw mat erial
procurement t hrough increased coordinat ion among t he various unit s;
pot ent ial t o reduce t ransport at ion cost s
1
COORDINATED GROUP NEGOTIATIONS
COORDINATED GROUP NEGOTIATIONS
2
In t he past t arget market s
were served predominant ly by
one of t hree companies–but
overl ap market s exist in Java,
Bali and Kalimant an leading
t o high t r ansport at ion cost s in
t hose areas
SUMMARY OF PROJECTS UPDATE
1, 309
(2)TOTAL CAPEX
380
Corporate restructuring, ICT,
Optimization, HRD,
Replacement, et c
Investment
(US$ mn)
Others Proj ect
1. 63
171
(2)105
Sub Total
1. 60
Pangkep
(1)Completed
Power Plants
Location
151. 6
758
(2)5. 0
Sub Total
138
US$/ Tons
Construction
Investment
(US$ mn)
Capacity
(mn tons)
New Plants
Location
(1) Given t he economic headwinds, t he management of t he Company t akes an init iat ive t o put t he Power Plant proj ect under review. In
t he event of t his power plant proj ect being resumed, t he Company would have 2 opt ions, eit her being carried out int ernally or being
out sourced.
CAPEX PLANNING SUMMARY (2008 – 2014)
Uses of funds
Uses of funds
K e y i t e m s ( U S$ m m )
D e b t i ssu a n c e 7 5 3
I n t e r n a l c a sh f l o w s 5 5 5
T o t a l c a p e x 1 , 3 0 8
Sources of funds
Sources of funds
Ke y it e m s ( U S$ m m )
Detailed capex schedule (US$ mm)
Detailed capex schedule (US$ mm)
49
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
Cor p. r est r . (IT & HRD)
Pow er plant s (under r eview )
Capac it y exp.
Ot her s
Replacement
Opt imizat ion
2014
Capex Need in USD & IDR
Capex Need in USD & IDR
USD 610 mn
IDR 6, 725 bn
USD 610 mn
AGENDA
I.
Indonesian Cement Highlight s
II. Corporat e Prof ile
III. Financial Perf ormance
IV. St rat egic Init iat ives
FOCUS ON COST & REVENUES MANAGEMENT
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
Mei
Jun
Jul
Agt
Sept
Okt
Nop
Des
2008
2007
2006
Maint aining 2008 COGS/ ton level not
higher than 2008 inflation rate
SGG domestic average selling price – Rp/ ton
Source: Indonesian Cement Associat ion
INDONESIA HAS EXPERIENCED SOLID ECONOMIC AND DOMESTIC CEMENT
CONSUMPTION GROWTH
Growth:
Source: Indonesian Cement Associat ion
Construction growth
Domestic consumption
GDP growth %
(mio tons)
DOMESTIC CEMENT CONSUMPTION, CEMENT GROWTH, GDP GROWTH AND CONSTRUCTION GROWTH IN INDONESIA
27. 2
20 02
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
10M08
0. 0%
n
SGG has highest overal l capacit y
n
The ut ilizat ion rat es are t he best in
t he local i ndust ry
n
Wide geogr aphical cover age t hrough
dispersed f act ories
COMPARISON WITH PEERS
(Cement Product ion – 9M2008)
COMPARISON WITH PEERS
(Cement Product ion – 9M2008)
Semen Gresik (SG)
Semen Padang (SP)
Semen Tonasa (ST)
Company name Location Capacity (mm t on) Utilization*)(%)
Semen Gresik
Gresik & Tuban, East Java
8. 6
Semen Padang
Indarung, West Sumat era
5. 9
Semen Tonasa
Pangkep, Sout h Sulawesi
3. 5
SGG – Total Capacit y
Padang, Gresik/ Tuban, Pangkep
18. 0
92%
Player 1
Cit eureup (W-Java) , Tarj un (Sout h Kalimant an) 17. 70
Player 2
Narogong, Cilacap, Cent ral Java
7. 90
Ot hers
NA
3. 62
Industry
47. 22
81%
MARKET DINAMICS
KEY HIGHLIGHTS
KEY HIGHLIGHTS
*)Domest ic Ut ilizat ion
70%
69%
100%
96%
87%
§
Distribution warehouses in all areas of Java, Bali, Sumatra, Kalimantan, Sulawesi and Irian
§
15 large packing plants
§
Nationwide distribution network
§
Operate 4 special sea ports: Padang, Tuban, Gresik, Biringkassi
§
Total installed cap. EoY 2007: 17.1 mn tons and 9M 2008: 18.0 mn tons
SGG’ s PRODUCTION FACILITIES ARE WELL SUPPORTED BY STRATEGICALLY
LOCATED MARKETING AND DISTRIBUTION FACILITIES
Teluk
Tanj ung Priok Jakart a
Samarinda
Banj armasin
Palu
Bit ung
Ambon Singaraj an
DI Yogyakarta
Lempuyangan Jant i
Central Java
Tegal Purwokert o
Kudus Magelang Solo/ Palur Alas Tuwo Moj opahit Sayung
West Java
Serang Tanger ang
Bogor Cibit ung Bandung Tasik Malaya
Cirebon Narogong Belawan
Singapore Kuala Lumpur
Tuban
Surabaya
Cement Plant
Packing Plant
Port
Warehouse
East Java
Margomulyo Tanj ung Wangi
Bangkalan Swabina Aleh
Pelabuhan Tuban
Pelabuhan Gresik
Installed Cap.:
5.8 mn tons
Installed Cap.:
8.3 mn tons
SHARES BUYBACK
The Company has commenced Rp1 t rillion share buyback progr am since Oct ober 13, 2008. The Company
believes t hat t he curr ent st ock price does not ref lect i t s st rong f inancial perf ormance. In management
opinion, t he Company has a st rong cash and hence t his share buyback pr ogram will not der ail t he Company’ s
overall st rat egic proj ect s whi ch is now underway.
Buyback Report
825, 479. 11
174, 520, 89
1, 000, 000. 00
61, 945 , 500. 00
20%
13 Oct – 12 Dec
2008
Residual amount of
buyback budget
(Rp million)
Total amount of
buyback
(Rp million)
Total amount of
buyback budget
(Rp million)
Total buyback
act ual (shares)
Total
maximum
buyback
(% of paid in
*) Adj ust ed t o st ock split 1: 10 on August 2007 Source: I/ B/ E/ S mean est imat es
Not e: Act ual numbers are report ed number on t he year of announcement
SUSTAINABLE EPS GROWTH VS. ANALYST ESTIMATES
*)SUSTAINABLE EPS GROWTH VS. ANALYST ESTIMATES
*)SGG HAS BEEN ABLE TO OUTPERFORM MARKET EXPECTATIONS
ACT
UAL
EPS
CA
GR
(20
02-
200
7):
6 9%
5 9
51. 4
7 4 . 3
1 2 1
2 1 5
2 8 3
26
63
8 6
1 6 9
2 1 8
2 9 9
0
50
1 0 0
1 5 0
2 0 0
2 5 0
3 0 0
2 0 0 2
2 0 0 3
2 0 0 4
2 0 0 5
2 0 0 6
2 0 0 7
Consensus analyst EPS forecasts
Actual EPS
Main Office:
Main Building of Semen Gresik
Jln. Veteran Gresik 61122 – Indonesia
Phone: (62-31) 3981731 -2, 3981745
Fax: (62-31) 3983209, 3972264
Representative Office:
Graha Irama Building, 11
thFloor,
Jln. HR Rasuna Said, Kuningan, Jakarta 12950 – Indonesia
Phone : (62-21) 5261174 – 5
Fax
: (62-21) 5261176
www.semengresik.com
T h a n k y o u
T h a n k y o u
DISCLAIMER
The information contained in this report has been taken from sources which we deem reliable. However, none of PT Semen Gresik (Persero) Tbk and/or its affiliated companies and/or their respective employees and/or agents make any representation or warranty (express or implied) or accepts any responsibility or liability as to, or in relation to, the accuracy or completeness of the information and opinions contained in this report or as to any information contained in this report or any other such information or opinions remaining unchanged
after the issue thereof.
We expressly disclaim any responsibility or liability (express or implied) of PT Semen Gresik (Persero) Tbk, its affiliated companies and their respective employees and agents whatsoever and howsoever arising (including, without limitation for any claim, proceedings, action, suits, losses, expenses, damages or costs) which may be brought against or suffered by any person as a result of acting in reliance upon the whole or any part of the contents of this report and neither PT Semen Gresik (Persero) Tbk, its affiliated companies or
their respective employees or agents accepts liability for any errors, omission or mis-statements, negligent or otherwise, in the report and any liability in respect of the report or any inaccuracy therein or mission there from which might otherwise arise is hereby expresses disclaimed.
The information contained in this report is not be taken as any recommendation made by PT Semen Gresik (Persero) Tbk or any other person to enter into any agreement with regard to any investment mentioned in this document. This report is prepared for general circulation. It does not have regard to the specific person who may receive this report. In considering