KONDISI ENERGI PRIMER (MINYAK DAN GAS) INDONESIA

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KONDISI ENERGI PRIMER

(MINYAK DAN GAS) INDONESIA

Disampaikan pada:

Pertemuan Nasional

Forum Komunikasi Pendidikan Tinggi

Teknik Elektro Indonesia 2007

Yogyakarta, 5 – 6 Desember 2007

Oleh

:

Eko

Widianto

VP EP Technology Center

PT PERTAMINA (Persero)

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PT PERTAMINA (PERSERO)

PERTAMINA

Page 2

CURRICULUM VITAE

Name

: Ir. Eko Widianto, MT

Place of Birth

: Semarang, 3 September 1955

Marital Status

: Married

Address

: Rancho Indah, Jl. Tanjung 19 / Blok G-21

Tanjung Barat, Jakarta Selatan 12530

Email : eko.widianto@pertamina.com

Academic Record : 1982 : S1 Geologi UGM

1999 : S2 Applied Geophysic ITB

Work History

:

1982 – 1985

: Pertamina Exploration Division Jakarta

1986 – 1993

: Pertamina Exploration Department Plaju

1993 – 1994

: Pertamina BPPKA Jakarta

1994 – 1997

: Head of Exploration Planning Jakarta

1998 – 2000

: Exploration Manager JOB Pertamina – Greka Energy

2000 – 2002

: Chief Geophysic Pertamina Upstream

Chairman of HAGI

2002 – 2006

: GM JOB Pertamina-ConocoPhillips (Sakakemang) Ltd.

2006 – 2006

: Head of New Venture Division Pertamina

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3 • PENDAHULUAN

• PRODUKSI DAN KONSUMSI MINYAK BUMI

• PRODUKSI DAN KONSUMSI GAS BUMI

• CADANGAN MIGAS NASIONAL

• KESIMPULAN

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PT PERTAMINA (PERSERO)

PERTAMINA

Page 4

History of Oil & Gas Exploration in Indonesia

Dutch Colonial – Law 8/1971 Era

The history of Indonesia’s petroleum industry goes back to the

Dutch colonialism era and was marked by the beginning of

systematic oil exploration in 1865. The first well was

drilled in 1871, and the first oil field discovery was made in

1885.

Since the independence of Indonesia in 1945 and up to 1950,

most oil fields had been discovered in East Java, South and

Central Sumatra, and East Kalimantan. In 1966, Pertamina

was established as a merger of several upstream and

downstream Dutch oil companies.

The new contract system (PSC) was first introduced in the

same year. In 1971, a new law no 8 clarified Pertamina’s

roles as an upstream and downstream operator, as well as

contractors’ regulator.

A 2001 law specified the

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PT PERTAMINA (PERSERO)

PERTAMINA

Page 5

REFORM PHILOSOPHY

• REGULATOR

• PLAYER

REGULATOR

SUPERVISOR

_{N E W}

2001-RECENT

(LAW NO. 22/2001)

PERTAMINA

(GOVERNMENT)

_GOVERNMENT

POLICY’S

BOUNDARY

PLAYER

PERTAMINA

& OTHERS

DOWNSTREAM

UPSTREAM

Heri Purnomo, 2006

1971 - 2001

(LAW NO. 8/1971)

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PT PERTAMINA (PERSERO)

PERTAMINA

Page 6

Ref PetroEnergy Magazine No. 6 Year II Oct – November 2005 Note : * PERTAMINA Production = PERTAMINA EP + Joint Company

CALTEX PACIFIC INDONESIA

PERTAMINA*

CONOCOPHILLIPS LTD TOTAL

CNOOC(SES) BV

PETROCHINA INT’L IND.LTD MEDCO E&P INDONESIA UNOCAL VICO BPINDONESIA 452.63 136.12 92.80 69 65.93 53.8 52.95 45.24 25.70 23.12

Oil, MBOPD

CALTEX PACIFIC INDONESIA

PERTAMINA*

CNOOC(SES) BV

PETROCHINA INT’L IND.LTD MEDCO E&P INDONESIA UNOCAL VICO BPINDONESIA 452.63 136.12 92.80 69 65.93 53.8 52.95 45.24 25.70 23.12 CALTEX PACIFIC INDONESIA

PERTAMINA*

CNOOC(SES) BV

PETROCHINA INT’L IND.LTD MEDCO E&P INDONESIA UNOCAL VICO BPINDONESIA 452.63 136.12 92.80 69 65.93 53.8 52.95 45.24 25.70 23.12

Oil, MBOPD

TOTAL PERTAMINA*

EXXONMOBIL OIL INDONESIA CONOCOPHILLIPS LTD VICO

UNOCAL INDONESIA PREMIER OIL

MEDCO E&P INDONESIA KODECO

PETROCHINA INT’L IND LTD

2,679.00 1,107.00 986.00 839.00 613.00 191.00 151.00 115.64 113.70 82.68

Gas, MMSCFD

TOTAL PERTAMINA*

EXXONMOBIL OIL INDONESIA CONOCOPHILLIPS LTD VICO

UNOCAL INDONESIA PREMIER OIL

MEDCO E&P INDONESIA KODECO

PETROCHINA INT’L IND LTD

2,679.00 1,107.00 986.00 839.00 613.00 191.00 151.00 115.64 113.70 82.68

Gas, MMSCFD

Note : PERTAMINA EP Geothermal Electric Power Capacity : 162 MW

Ref International Geothermal Association, Nov 2005

MW

GEOTHERMAL WORLD INSTALLED CAPACITY

USA PHILLIPINE MEXICO INDONESIA ITALY JAPAN NEW ZEALAND ICELAND EL SALVADOR COSTA RICA 2.228 1.909 855 852 785 546 437 172.1 161.1 142.5 USA PHILLIPINE MEXICO INDONESIA ITALY JAPAN NEW ZEALAND ICELAND EL SALVADOR COSTA RICA 2.228 1.909 855 852 785 546 437 172.1 161.1 142.5

Ref International Geothermal Association, Nov 2005

MW

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7 Produksi

Produksi

dan

Konsumsi

Minyak

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PT PERTAMINA (PERSERO)

PERTAMINA

Page 8

REALISASI DAN PROYEKSI ENERGI PRIMER

0 1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

7000

8000

9000

1990

199

2

19

94

199

6

19

98 2000

20

02 2004

200

6

20

08 2010

20

12 2014

201

6 2018

202

0

20

22 2024

S

B

M

/har

i

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PT PERTAMINA (PERSERO)

INDONESIA: Oil production (bars) & consumption (dots)

0

200

400

600

800 1000

1200

1400

1600

1800

2000

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

Year

Thousands of bar

re

ls

of oi

l per

day

© Energyfiles Ltd

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PT PERTAMINA (PERSERO)

INDONESIA: Oil production forecast to 2050

0

200

400

600

800 1000

1200

1400

1600

1800

2000

1930

1940

1950

1960

1970

1980

1990

2000

2010

2020

2030

2040

2050

Year

Thousands of bar

re

ls

of oi

l per

day

© Energyfiles Ltd

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PT PERTAMINA (PERSERO)

PERTAMINA

Page 11

REALISASI DAN PROYEKSI MINYAK BUMI

(SKENARIO PESIMIS)

0

300

600

900 1200

1500

1800

1990

1993

1996

1999

2002

2005

2008

2011

2014

2017

2020

2023

R

ibu B

a

rr

e

l/

ha

ri

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12 Produksi

Produksi

dan

Konsumsi

Gas

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PT PERTAMINA (PERSERO)

INDONESIAN PROVEN OIL AND GAS RESERVES 1980 -2006

0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 14,000 19801981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 200 6 YEAR MM BO 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 TCF OIL (mmbo) GAS (TCF)

CADANGAN MINYAK DAN GAS TERBUKTI INDONESIA

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PT PERTAMINA (PERSERO)

NATURAL GAS OF INDONESIA

(1980-2006 in MMSCF)

0 10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 60,000 70,000 80,000 90,000 100,000 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 Gross Production m m scf Marketed Production Flaring Reinjection Shrinkage

PRODUKSI GAS ALAM INDONESIA

(1980-2006) dalam MMSCFD

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PT PERTAMINA (PERSERO)

PERTAMINA

Page 17

Catatan: Berdasarkan cadangan P1 dan P2 status saat ini

PEMANFAATAN VS PRODUKSI GAS BUMI

(REALISASI DAN PRODUKSI)

0 2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

12000

14000

1990

1993

1996

1999

2002

2005

2008

2011

2014

2017

2020

2023

MMS

C

F

D

Kontrak Ekspor

Kontrak Domestik

Tambahan Domestik

Produksi CBM

Impor LNG

Produksi

Kemampuan Produksi

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PT PERTAMINA (PERSERO)

PERTAMINA

Page 21

Cadangan dan Sumberdaya Migas

Nasional

Cadangan dan Sumberdaya Migas

Nasional

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PT PERTAMINA (PERSERO)

PERTAMINA

Page 22

INDONESIA TERTIARY SEDIMENTARY BASINS

SOUTH CHINA SEA

SULAWESI SEA

IN

D

IA

N

O

C

E

A

N

PAC

_IFIC

OC

EAN

BANDA SEA 400 KM

western

eastern

DRILLED 38 UNDRILLED 22 NON PRODUCING 23 PRODUCING 15 NON DISCOVERY 15 DISCOVERY 8

TOTAL OF

60 BASINS

OIL & GAS RESOURCES & RESERVES

OIL

(BBO)

GAS

(TCF)

RESOURCES

RESERVES

84.47

8.88

384.27

133.37

Status : Jan 01, 1999

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PT PERTAMINA (PERSERO)

PERTAMINA

Page 23

OIL RESERVE 1P (MMSTB)

148.6

111.0 2,398.1

682.7

500.4

162.9

0.2

582.3

92.1 ACEH

Central

Sumatra

IRIAN JAYA

NATUNA

East Java

North

Sumatra

South

Sumatra

East

Kalimantan

West Java

39.5

10.2 PROVEN : 4,728 MMSTB

POTENTIAL : 5,024.6 MMSTB

TOTAL : 9,746.4 MMSTB

INDONESIA OIL RESERVE

DINAS STUD

I

EK

S.& EVA

L

J

IAN-BAN

G

.

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PT PERTAMINA (PERSERO)

PERTAMINA

Page 24

NATURAL GAS 2P (BSCF)

1P : 91,170.2 BSCF

2P : 134,015.5 BSCF

3P : 178,128.8 BSCF

3,896

728 3,22

14,260

5,190

4,395

52,080

31,814

14,782

ACEH

Central

Sumatera

IRIAN JAYA

NATUNA

East Java

North

Sumatera

South

Sumatera

East

Kalimantan

West Java

3,654

INDONESIA NATURAL GAS RESERVE

DINAS STUD

I

EK

S.& EVA

L

J

IAN-BAN

G

.

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PT PERTAMINA (PERSERO)

WILAYAH KERJA PT PERTAMINA (EP)

OIL & GAS POTENTIAL

1476

233 Total: 4 BB0 & 35.5 TCFG

9672

8515

6253

109

46

42

349 2466

958 1681

535 2330

33

72

108

65

60

24

22 : oil bubble-graph

: gas bubble-graph

2466

: oil in MMbbls

9314

: gas in Bcu.ft

65 : number of closure

Total Luas WK : 142.510 km2

330

64 2141

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PT PERTAMINA (PERSERO)

Newton (2004)

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PT PERTAMINA (PERSERO)

FOSSIL

ENERGY

RESOURCES

RESERVES

PRODUCTION

RESERVE/

PRODUCTION

(YEAR)

Oil

86.9 billion barrel

9.1 billion

**_barrel*)**

187 TSCF

18.7 billion ton

CBM

453 TSCF

-

-365 million

barrel

25 Gas

384.7 TSCF

2.77 TSCF

68 Coal

90.5 billion ton

170 million

_ton

110 INDONESIAN ENERGY

INDONESIAN ENERGY

POTENTIAL 2007

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PT PERTAMINA (PERSERO)

Kesimpulan

Secara nasional pemenuhan kebutuhan gas hingga 2011 akan

terpenuhi.

Reserve to Production Ratio untuk minyak adalah 25 tahun

sedang untuk gas adalah 68 tahun.

Dengan asumsi commercial success dari resources menjadi

reserve adalah 46%, akan didapatkan tambahan reserve

minyak sebesar 40 Billion Barrel dan gas sebesar 177 TCF.

Tetap perlunya upaya peningkatan eksplorasi migas Indonesia

untuk memenuhi kebutuhan energi primer sesuai target mix

energy

Option pengalihan sebagian gas alam untuk ekspor menjadi

untuk kebutuhan dalam negri layak dipertimbangkan.

Perlunya pembangunan infrastruktur penyaluran gas bumi

dari lapangan penghasil ke pasar.

Proyek gas yang akan onstream sebaiknya tidak mengalami

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29

Terima

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PT PERTAMINA (PERSERO)

Natural Gas,

28.57%

Coal, 15.34%

Oil

51.66%

Geothermal,

1.32%

Hydro Power,

3.11%

CURRENT ENERGI MIX (1 million BOE)

National (Primary) Energy Mix

Coal , 33%

Gas, 30%

Oil,

20%

Biofuel, 5% Geothermal, 5%

Biomass, Nuclear, Hydro Solar Energy,

Wind Power, 5%

Coal Liquefaction 2%

RE,17%

Target of Energy Mix 2025 (3 million BOE)

TARGET OF ENERGY MIX

(PRESIDENTIAL DECREE NO. 5 YEAR 2006)

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