ABSTRAK TESIS
1. Judul Tesis : Perbandingan Stabilitas Hasil Peramalan Suhu dengan R-Forecasting dan V-Forecasting SSA
6. Konsentrasi : Statistika Bisnis dan Industri 7. Tim Pembimbing : 1. Dr. Toni Toharudin, M.Sc
2. Gumgum Darmawan, S.Si, M.Si 8. Tahun Kelulusan : 2012
Abstrak
Abstract
There are two methods SSA forecasting, R-forecasting and V-forecasting. Briefly, recurrent forecasting performs recurrent continuation directly (with the help of Linear Recurrent Formula), while vector forecasting deals with L-continuation. In the case of approximate continuation, the two forecasting algorithms usually give different results. Long-horizon evaluation forecast by measuring the stability of the forecast. The forecast stable when the standard deviation of overall series is smaller than subseries forecast (sT <
st). Application was carried out at Jakarta Observatory temperature in January