RCP FINAL
[
FIGURE COMPILATION:
RCP FINAL RELEASE
]
−2
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
(W/m^2)
Global TOTAL INCLVOLCANIC EFF Radiative Forcing
RCPs
|−RCP Extension−>
<−Historical Data −|
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
2
4
6
8
10
12
(W/m^2)
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
(W/m^2)
Global GHG EFF Radiative Forcing
RCPs
|−RCP Extension−>
<−Historical Data −|
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
2
4
6
8
10
12
(W/m^2)
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
(W/m^2)
Global CO2CH4N2O EFF Radiative Forcing
RCPs
|−RCP Extension−>
<−Historical Data −|
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
−2
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
(W/m^2)
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
(W/m^2)
Global TOTAL ANTHRO Radiative Forcing
RCPs
|−RCP Extension−>
<−Historical Data −|
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
0.05
0.1
0.15
0.2
0.25
0.3
(W/m^2)
0.05
0.1
0.15
0.2
0.25
0.3
0.35
(W/m^2)
Global HFCs, PFCs & SF6 Radiative Forcing
RCPs
|−RCP Extension−>
<−Historical Data −|
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
2
4
6
8
10
12
(W/m^2)
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
(W/m^2)
Global KYOTOGHG Radiative Forcing
RCPs
|−RCP Extension−>
<−Historical Data −|
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
2
4
6
8
10
12
(W/m^2)
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
(CO2eq ppm)
Global KYOTOCO2EQ Concentrations
RCPs
|−RCP Extension−>
<−Historical Data −|
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
(CO2eq ppm)
1
2
3
4
5
6
x 10
−4
(W/m^2)
Global CH3CL Radiative Forcing
RCPs
|−RCP Extension−>
<−Historical Data −|
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
−1
0
1
2
3
(W/m^2)
0.5
1
1.5
x 10
−4
(W/m^2)
Global HALON2402 Radiative Forcing
RCPs
|−RCP Extension−>
<−Historical Data −|
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.9
(W/m^2)
−0.8
−0.6
−0.4
−0.2
0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
(W/m^2)
Global HALON1202 Radiative Forcing
RCPs
|−RCP Extension−>
<−Historical Data −|
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
1.2
(W/m^2)
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.5
4
4.5
5
x 10
−3
(W/m^2)
Global HCFC 142b Radiative Forcing
RCPs
|−RCP Extension−>
<−Historical Data −|
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.5
(W/m^2)
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.04
0.05
0.06
0.07
0.08
(W/m^2)
Global HCFC 22 Radiative Forcing
RCPs
|−RCP Extension−>
<−Historical Data −|
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
(W/m^2)
0.002
0.004
0.006
0.008
0.01
0.012
0.014
(W/m^2)
Global Carbon Tetrachloride Radiative Forcing
RCPs
|−RCP Extension−>
<−Historical Data −|
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
1.2
1.4
1.6
(W/m^2)
1
2
3
4
5
6
x 10
−3
(W/m^2)
Global CFC 114 Radiative Forcing
RCPs
|−RCP Extension−>
<−Historical Data −|
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
0.005
0.01
0.015
0.02
0.025
(W/m^2)
0.02
0.04
0.06
0.08
0.1
0.12
0.14
0.16
0.18
(W/m^2)
Global CFC 12 Radiative Forcing
RCPs
|−RCP Extension−>
<−Historical Data −|
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.04
0.05
0.06
(W/m^2)
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.04
0.05
0.06
0.07
(W/m^2)
Global SF6 Radiative Forcing
RCPs
|−RCP Extension−>
<−Historical Data −|
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
0.002
0.004
0.006
0.008
0.01
0.012
0.014
0.016
(W/m^2)
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.9
1
x 10
−3
(W/m^2)
Global HFC227ea Radiative Forcing
RCPs
|−RCP Extension−>
<−Historical Data −|
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
0.005
0.01
0.015
0.02
0.025
0.03
0.035
(W/m^2)
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.04
0.05
0.06
0.07
0.08
0.09
0.1
(W/m^2)
Global HFC134a Radiative Forcing
RCPs
|−RCP Extension−>
<−Historical Data −|
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.04
0.05
(W/m^2)
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.5
x 10
−3
(W/m^2)
Global HFC43 10 Radiative Forcing
RCPs
|−RCP Extension−>
<−Historical Data −|
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
1
2
3
4
5
(W/m^2)
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
x 10
−3
(W/m^2)
Global HFC32 Radiative Forcing
RCPs
|−RCP Extension−>
<−Historical Data −|
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.5
4
(W/m^2)
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
x 10
−3
(W/m^2)
Global C2F6 Radiative Forcing
RCPs
|−RCP Extension−>
<−Historical Data −|
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
0.005
0.01
0.015
0.02
(W/m^2)
−3
−2.5
−2
−1.5
−1
−0.5
0
0.5
(W/m^2)
Global VOLCANIC ANNUAL Radiative Forcing
RCPs
|−RCP Extension−>
<−Historical Data −|
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
−0.05
0
0.05
0.1
0.15
0.2
(W/m^2)
−0.06
−0.05
−0.04
−0.03
−0.02
−0.01
0
(W/m^2)
Global STRATOZ Radiative Forcing
RCPs
|−RCP Extension−>
<−Historical Data −|
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
0.05
0.1
0.15
0.2
0.25
0.3
0.35
0.4
(W/m^2)
0.02
0.04
0.06
0.08
0.1
0.12
(W/m^2)
Global BCSNOW Radiative Forcing
RCPs
|−RCP Extension−>
<−Historical Data −|
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
−0.3
−0.25
−0.2
−0.15
−0.1
−0.05
(W/m^2)
−0.7
−0.6
−0.5
−0.4
−0.3
−0.2
−0.1
0
(W/m^2)
Global CLOUD TOT Radiative Forcing
RCPs
|−RCP Extension−>
<−Historical Data −|
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
−0.4
−0.35
−0.3
−0.25
−0.2
−0.15
−0.1
−0.05
(W/m^2)
−0.04
−0.02
0
0.02
0.04
0.06
0.08
(W/m^2)
Global BIOMASSAER Radiative Forcing
RCPs
|−RCP Extension−>
<−Historical Data −|
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
−0.05
−0.04
−0.03
−0.02
−0.01
(W/m^2)
0.05
0.1
0.15
0.2
0.25
(W/m^2)
Global BC (Fossil & Ind.) Radiative Forcing
RCPs
|−RCP Extension−>
<−Historical Data −|
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
−0.1
−0.08
−0.06
−0.04
−0.02
(W/m^2)
−0.4
−0.35
−0.3
−0.25
−0.2
−0.15
−0.1
−0.05
0
(W/m^2)
Global SOX (Fossil & Ind.) Radiative Forcing
RCPs
|−RCP Extension−>
<−Historical Data −|
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
(W/m^2)
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
1.2
1.4
(W/m^2)
Global CH4 Radiative Forcing
RCPs
|−RCP Extension−>
<−Historical Data −|
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
2
4
6
8
10
(W/m^2)
490
500
510
520
530
(ppt)
5
5.5
6
6.5
7
7.5
8
8.5
9
9.5
(ppt)
Global CH3BR Concentrations
RCPs
|−RCP Extension−>
<−Historical Data −|
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
0.05
0.1
0.15
0.2
0.25
0.3
0.35
0.4
(ppt)
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.5
(ppt)
Global HALON1301 Concentrations
RCPs
|−RCP Extension−>
<−Historical Data −|
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.04
0.05
(ppt)
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.5
4
4.5
(ppt)
Global HALON1211 Concentrations
RCPs
|−RCP Extension−>
<−Historical Data −|
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
5
10
15
20
(ppt)
5
10
15
20
25
30
(ppt)
Global HCFC 141b Concentrations
RCPs
|−RCP Extension−>
<−Historical Data −|
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
(ppt)
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
(ppt)
Global MCF Concentrations
RCPs
|−RCP Extension−>
<−Historical Data −|
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
20
40
60
80
100
(ppt)
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
(ppt)
Global CFC 115 Concentrations
RCPs
|−RCP Extension−>
<−Historical Data −|
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
(ppt)
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
(ppt)
Global CFC 113 Concentrations
RCPs
|−RCP Extension−>
<−Historical Data −|
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
100
200
300
400
500
(ppt)
50
100
150
200
250
300
(ppt)
Global CFC 11 Concentrations
RCPs
|−RCP Extension−>
<−Historical Data −|
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
20
40
60
80
100
(ppt)
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
(ppt)
Global HFC245fa Concentrations
RCPs
|−RCP Extension−>
<−Historical Data −|
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
(ppt)
50
100
150
200
250
300
(ppt)
Global HFC143a Concentrations
RCPs
|−RCP Extension−>
<−Historical Data −|
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
100
200
300
400
500
600
(ppt)
50
100
150
200
250
(ppt)
Global HFC125 Concentrations
RCPs
|−RCP Extension−>
<−Historical Data −|
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
(ppt)
5
10
15
20
25
30
(ppt)
Global HFC23 Concentrations
RCPs
|−RCP Extension−>
<−Historical Data −|
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
10
20
30
40
50
(ppt)
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.9
(ppt)
Global C6F14 Concentrations
RCPs
|−RCP Extension−>
<−Historical Data −|
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
5
10
15
20
(ppt)
50
100
150
200
250
300
(ppt)
Global CF4 Concentrations
RCPs
|−RCP Extension−>
<−Historical Data −|
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
300
350
400
450
500
(ppb)
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
4000
(ppm)
Global CH4 Concentrations
RCPs
|−RCP Extension−>
<−Historical Data −|
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
(ppm)
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
(GtCO2eq/yr)
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
(GtCO2eq/yr)
Global HFCs, PFCs & SF6 GWP−weighted Emissions
RCPs
|−RCP Extension−>
<−Historical Data −|
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
(GtCO2eq/yr)
3150
3200
3250
3300
3350
3400
3450
3500
3550
(Mg/yr)
Global CH3CL Emissions
RCPs
|−RCP Extension−>
<−Historical Data −|
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
160
170
180
190
200
210
(Mg/yr)
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.8
(Mg/yr)
Global HALON2402 Emissions
RCPs
|−RCP Extension−>
<−Historical Data −|
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
1
2
3
4
5
(Mg/yr)
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
(Mg/yr)
Global HALON1202 Emissions
RCPs
|−RCP Extension−>
<−Historical Data −|
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
2
4
6
8
10
(Mg/yr)
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
(Mg/yr)
Global HCFC 142b Emissions
RCPs
|−RCP Extension−>
<−Historical Data −|
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
10
20
30
40
50
(Mg/yr)
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
(Mg/yr)
Global HCFC 22 Emissions
RCPs
|−RCP Extension−>
<−Historical Data −|
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
100
200
300
400
500
600
(Mg/yr)
50
100
150
(Mg/yr)
Global Carbon Tetrachloride Emissions
RCPs
|−RCP Extension−>
<−Historical Data −|
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
2
4
6
8
10
12
(Mg/yr)
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
(Mg/yr)
Global CFC 114 Emissions
RCPs
|−RCP Extension−>
<−Historical Data −|
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
50
100
150
200
250
(Mg/yr)
100
200
300
400
500
600
(Mg/yr)
Global CFC 12 Emissions
RCPs
|−RCP Extension−>
<−Historical Data −|
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
(Mg/yr)
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
(kt/yr)
Global SF6 Emissions
RCPs
|−RCP Extension−>
<−Historical Data −|
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
(kt/yr)
2
4
6
8
10
12
(kt/yr)
Global HFC227ea Emissions
RCPs
|−RCP Extension−>
<−Historical Data −|
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
(kt/yr)
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
(kt/yr)
Global HFC134a Emissions
RCPs
|−RCP Extension−>
<−Historical Data −|
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
(kt/yr)
5
10
15
20
25
(kt/yr)
Global HFC43 10 Emissions
RCPs
|−RCP Extension−>
<−Historical Data −|
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
2
4
6
8
10
(kt/yr)
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
(kt/yr)
Global HFC32 Emissions
RCPs
|−RCP Extension−>
<−Historical Data −|
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
0.05
0.1
0.15
0.2
0.25
0.3
0.35
0.4
0.45
(kt/yr)
1
2
3
4
5
6
(kt/yr)
Global C2F6 Emissions
RCPs
|−RCP Extension−>
<−Historical Data −|
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
5
10
15
20
(kt/yr)
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
(MtN/yr)
Global NH3 (Fossil & Ind.) Emissions + NH3 (Landuse) Emissions 9
RCPs
|−RCP Extension−>
<−Historical Data −|
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
10
15
20
25
30
35
(Mt/yr)
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
(Mt/yr)
Global BC (Fossil & Ind.) Emissions + BC (Landuse) Emissions 7
RCPs
|−RCP Extension−>
<−Historical Data −|
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
(MtN/yr)
50
100
150
200
250
(Mt/yr)
Global NMVOC (Fossil & Ind.) Emissions + NMVOC (Landuse) Emissions 5
RCPs
|−RCP Extension−>
<−Historical Data −|
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1000
(MtCO/yr)
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
(MtS/yr)
Global SOX (Fossil & Ind.) Emissions + SOX (Landuse) Emissions 3
RCPs
|−RCP Extension−>
<−Historical Data −|
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
(MtN2O−N/yr)
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1000
(MtCH4/yr)
Global CH4 (Fossil & Ind.) Emissions + CH4 (Landuse) Emissions 1
RCPs
|−RCP Extension−>
<−Historical Data −|
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
−0.5
0
0.5
1
(GtC/yr)
−5
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
(GtC/yr)
Global CO2 (Fossil & Ind.) Emissions
RCPs
|−RCP Extension−>
<−Historical Data −|
|−Stabil. RCP4.5−>
|−Stabil. RCP8.5−>
RCP3PD
RCP45
RCP45SCP45to3PD
RCP6
