21 APRIL 2015
Indonesia FCLT Rating
S & P BB+
Moody's Baa3
Fitch
BBB-Key Market Indicators as of 20-Apr-15
BI Rate 7.50%
JCI Index 5,401
IDR 12,893
Inflation(y-o-y) - Mar-15 6.38%
Domestic Bonds Outstanding Gov't Bonds as of 20-Apr-15 Corp Bonds as of 08-Apr-15
Previous Week Trading Volume Government Bonds
Corporate Bonds
Benchmark Yield as of 20-Apr-15
FR0069 (5 year) 7.361%
FR0070 (10 year) 7.469%
FR0071 (15 year) 7.630%
FR0068 (20 year) 7.807%
Source : Bloomberg, Mid YTM
Government Bonds Indices as of 20-Apr-15
Price Index (Bloomberg : DGBIIDPR) 129.47
Yield Index (Bloomberg : DGBIIDYD) 7.57%
TR Index (Bloomberg : DGBIIDTR) 439.59
Calendar of Event 23-Apr-15
US Initital Jobless Claim (Survey : 289K; Prior : 294K)
24-Apr-15
Japan All Industrial Activity MoM (Survey : -1%; Prior : 1.9%)
30-Apr-15
China Manufacturing PMI (Survey : NA; Prior : 50.1)
Analysts Rifki Rizal 3509888 ext 3404 [email protected] Amir A. Dalimunthe 3509888 ext.3405 [email protected]
Please read important disclosure at the back of this report
IDR 2.44tn IDR 1,321.8tn IDR 229.4tn
IDR 61.62tn
The Government Bonds : Temporary Storm
Foreign Holdings Declined AmidstRupiah Strengthening
The government bonds yield index increased last week. The Danareksa Government Bonds Yield Index (DGBI) rose 20bps from 7.36% (10/4) to 7.56% at the end of the week (17/4), recording a loss of 1.18%. Strengthening of the rupiah was still not sufficient to increase investor participation in the bonds
market - especially in government
bonds. Although the rupiah ended the week by strengthening slightly relative to the US dollar (appreciating by 0.63%), foreign ownership in government bonds actually declined by IDR1.05 trillion last week.
Shortening of Durations
In the government bonds market,
investors tended to shorten the duration of their portfolios. This is reflected in the
bonds trading which has been
dominated by the short tenors (1- to 5-years) over the past several weeks. Total trading in short tenor IDR government bonds reached IDR39.9 trillion last week, or accounting for 64.8% of the total transactions, whilst in the previous week, the short tenor bonds also dominated trading on the secondary market with transactions reaching IDR32.5 trillion (61.4% of the total transactions). By comparison, total trading in long tenor bonds declined by IDR747 billion from IDR5.02 trillion to IDR4.27 trillion.
Weaker Demand
The bearish trend seen last week was also reflected in the significantly higher required yield that investors demanded at last week’s (14/4) SUN auction. The weighted average yield of winning bids was 10bps higher than the yield at the end of the previous day. Compared to
the previous auctions since the
beginning of the year, the average spread only reached 1bps below the closing yield level on the previous day. The pressure on bond yields is expected
to continue while rupiah remains
volatile, such that investors will retain a preference for instruments with shorter duration in an effort to minimize losses.
Kepemilikan Asing Turun Ditengah Penguatan Nilai Rupiah
Indeks yield obligasi Pemerintah mengalami
peningkatan selama sepekan terakhir.
Danareksa Government Bonds Yield Index (DGBI) meningkat sebesar 20bps dari 7.36% (10/4) menjadi 7.56% di akhir minggu (17/4), sekaligus mencatatkan loss sebesar 1,18%. Penguatan Rupiah selama minggu
lalu sepertinya masih belum mampu
mendorong investor asing untuk kembali berpartisipasi di pasar obligasi, terutama obligasi Pemerintah. Meskipun nilai tukar
Rupiah terhadap Dolar AS menutup
minggu dengan penguatan tipis sebesar 0.63%, namun kepemilikan investor asing turun Rp1,05 triliun selama minggu lalu. Memperpendek Durasi
Di pasar obligasi Pemerintah, investor masih cenderung memperpendek durasi portofolionya. Hal tersebut terlihat dari volume transaksi yang didominasi oleh obligasi tenor pendek (1- hingga 5-tahun) selama beberapa minggu terakhir. Total transaksi obligasi tenor pendek selama minggu lalu mencapai Rp39,9 triliun, atau 64.8% dari total transaksi keseluruhan,
sedangkan pada minggu sebelumnya,
obligasi tenor pendek juga mendominasi pasar sekunder dengan total transaksi sebesar Rp32.5 triliun, atau 61.4% dari total transaksi. Di sisi lain, transaksi untuk tenor panjang mengalami penurunan sebesar Rp747 miliar dari Rp5.02 triliun menjadi Rp4.27 triliun pada perdagangan minggu lalu.
Rendahnya Demand
Tren bearish selama minggu lalu juga diperlihatkan oleh required yield investor pada lelang SUN (14/4) yang meningkat
cukup signifikan. Yield rata-rata yang
dimenangkan oleh Pemerintah lebih tinggi 10bps dibandingkan dengan penutupan yield sehari sebelumnya. Jika dibandingkan pada lelang-lelang sebelumnya sejak awal tahun 2015, rata-rata selisih yield lelang dan
level yield pada penutupan hari
sebelumnya hanya mencapai 1bps.
Tekanan peningkatan yield diperkirakan masih akan terjadi selama volatilitas nilai tukar tetap tinggi dan depresiasi nilai tukar
Rupiah masih berlanjut, yang
menyebabkan investor untuk
memperpendek durasi agar meminimalisasi tingkat kerugian.
Yield at Auction vs Yield at The End of Previous Day
Source: MoF, Bloomberg
0.00 1.00 2.00 3.00 4.00 5.00 6.00 7.00 6.20 6.40 6.60 6.80 7.00 7.20 7.40 7.60 7.80
3-Feb-15 17-Mar-15 14-Apr-15 3-Feb-15 17-Mar-15 14-Apr-15
FR0069 FR0071
Weighted Average Yield Yield at The End of Previous Day
MACROECONOMICS CONDITION
Yield Index CDS 5-Year (bps)
Gov't Bonds Ownership Rupiah closed at Rp12,168 per USD
Two Percent Loss in A Week
Danareksa Government Bonds Yield Index (DGBI) rose by 3bps over the last week. Yield index closed the last week at the level of 8.22% (12/12) after rising from the previous week at the level of 7.92% (5/12). Increase in yield casued performance of government bonds recorded a negative return (loss) by 2% during the week. In line with Government bonds yield index, Indonesia 5-year CDS and several emerging markets also inreased last week. Indonesia's 5-year CDS increased 29bps from 136bps to 165bps over the past week while Brazil's and Turkey's 5-year CDS increased by 47bps and 36bps, respectively.
Danareksa Government Bonds Yield Index (DGBI) mencatatkan terdapat peningkatan yield sebesar 3bps selama minggu lalu. Yield index menutup akhir minggu di level 8.22% (12/12) setelah naik dari minggu sebelumnya yang berada pada level 7.92% (5/12). Peningkatan yield tersebut berdampak pada performa obligasi Pemerintah yang mencatatkan return negatif (loss) sebesar 2% selama minggu lalu. Peningkatan yield indeks obligasi Pemerintah diikuti juga dengan peningkatan CDS 5-tahun yang signifikan dari beberapa Negara berkembang. CDS 5-tahun Indonesia meningkat sebesar 29bps dari 136bps menjadi 165bps selama sepekan terakhir sedangkan CDS 5-tahun Brazil dan Turkey masing-masing meningkat sebesar 47bps dan 36bps.
Source: Danareksa, Bloomberg Source: Bloomberg
Source: Ministry of Finance Source: Bloomberg
Corporate Bonds Trading by Tenor Corporate Bonds Trading by Sector
Source: IDX Process Data Source: IDX Process Data
0 25 50 75 100 125 150 350 370 390 410 430 450 470 490 510 530 8-De c-1 4 11-De c-14 16-De c-14 19-De c-14 24-De c-14 2- Jan-15 7- Jan-15 12- Jan-15 15- Jan-15 20- Jan-15 23- Jan-15 28- Jan-15 2-F e b -15 5-F e b -15 10-F e b -15 13-F e b -15 18-F e b -15 24-F e b -15 27-F e b -15 4- Mar-15 ID R trillion ID R trillion
RR-BI (RHS) BI (RHS) Domestic Bank Foreign Investors
12,050 12,150 12,250 12,350 12,450 12,550 12,650 12,750 12,850 12,950 9- Mar-15 4- Mar-15 27-F e b -15 24-F e b -15 18-F e b -15 13-F e b -15 10-F e b -15 5-F e b -15 2-F e b -15 28- Jan-15 23- Jan-15 20- Jan-15 15- Jan-15 12- Jan-15 7- Jan-15 2- Jan-15 24-De c-14 19-De c-14 16-De c-14 11-De c-14 3.0% 4.0% 5.0% 6.0% 7.0% 8.0% 9.0% 10.0%
Yield Index BI Rate YoY Inflation
75 100 125 150 175 200 225 250 9- Mar-15 3- Mar-15 25-F e b -15 18-F e b -15 12-F e b -15 6-F e b -15 2-F e b -15 27- Jan-15 21- Jan-15 15- Jan-15 9- Jan-15 5- Jan-15 24-De c-14 18-De c-14 12-De c-14 8-De c-1 4 2-De c-1 4 26-N o v-14 20-N o v-14
Indonesia Philipinnes Brazil Turkey
Banking 43.8% Financial Company 25.7% Property & Construction 9.4% Mining Oil & Natural Gas 7.7% Consumer Goods 4.2% Others 9.3% 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 ID R B illion Term to Maturity
GOVERNMENT BONDS REVIEW
Yield Curve Comparison as of 15 October 2014 Yield Curve Change from 5 to 12 December 2014 Daily Trading Volume
Gov't Bonds Benchmark Series Yield
Risk premium (both of sovereign and currecny) has increased significantly. Sovereign risk premium was at the level of 200bps by the end of last week, at the same time recorded the highest level since mid-October, and the currency risk premium was at 406bps. Despite investors demanded higher yields, but the trade volume both of Government and corporate bonds increased over the last week. Total trade volume of Government bonds reached IDR64.38 trillion, or advanced by IDR17.27 trillion from the previous week. Meanwhile, the total volume of corporate bond transactions increased by IDR988 billion from IDR3.58 trillion to IDR4.55 trillion.
Higher Risk Premium
Risiko premium (sovereign maupun currency risk premium) mengalami peningkatan yang signifikan. Sovereign risk premium berada di level 200bps pada akhir minggu lalu, sekaligus mencatatkan level tertinggi sejak pertengahan Oktober, sedangkan currency risk premium berada di level 406bps. Walaupun tingkat risiko meningkat, namun volume transaksi obligasi Pemerintah maupun korporasi mengalami peningkatan selama minggu lalu. Total volume transaksi obligasi Pemerintah minggu lalu sebesar IDR64.38 triliun, naik IDR17.27 triliun dari total transaksi minggu sebelumnya. Sementara itu, total volume transaksi obligasi korporasi meningkat IDR988 miliar dari IDR3.58 triliun menjadi IDR4.55 triliun.
Source: Bloomberg Source: IDX processed data
Source: www.ustreas.gov, Danareksa Estimate Source: Danareksa Estimate
Spread INDON 10 year Over UST 10 year Spread IDR Gov't Bond 10 year over INDON 10 year
Source: Bloomberg, Danareksa Estimate
6.5% 7.0% 7.5% 8.0% 8.5% 9.0% 9.5% 9- Mar-15 16-F e b -15 27- Jan-15 7- Jan-15 12-De c-14 24-N o v-14 4-N o v-14 15-O ct-14 25-Se p -14 5-Sep -14 18-A u g -1 4 22-Ju l-14 1-Ju l-14 11-Ju n-14 20-May -14 28-A p r-14 4-A p r-1 4 14- Mar-1 4 #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A 0 5 10 15 20 25 9- Mar-15 6- Mar-15 5- Mar-15 4- Mar-15 3- Mar-15 2- Mar-15 27-F e b -15 26-F e b -15 25-F e b -15 24-F e b -15 ID R trillion
Govt Short Govt Med Govt Long Corp
1.66% 2.20% 2.39% 2.58% 2.80% 2.89% 3.97% 4.47% 4.72% 4.96% 7.20% 7.56% 7.78% 7.90% 8.01% 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9% 10% 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 Term to Maturity
UST YC GoI USD Yield Curve GoI IDR Yield Curve
0.00% 0.02% 0.04% 0.06% 0.08% 0.10% 0.12% 0.14% 0.16% 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24 26 28 30 Term to Maturity Source: US Treasury, Bloomberg, Danareksa Estimate
2.75% 3.00% 3.25% 3.50% 3.75% 4.00% 4.25% 3.5% 4.5% 5.5% 6.5% 7.5% 8.5% 9.5% 27-F e b -14 17- Mar-1 4 4-A p r-1 4 22-A p r-14 10-May -14 28-May -14 15-Ju n-14 3-Ju l-14 21-Ju l-14 8-A u g-14 26-A u g -1 4 13-Se p -14 1-O ct-14 19-O ct-14 6-N o v-14 24-N o v-14 12-De c-14 30-De c-14 17- Jan-15 4-F e b -15 22-F e b -15
Currency Risk Premium 10Y (LHS) INDON 10Y SUN 10Y
1.50% 1.75% 2.00% 2.25% 2.50% 2.75% 1.5% 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 27-F e b -14 19- Mar-1 4 8-A p r-1 4 28-A p r-14 18-May -14 7-Ju n -1 4 27-Ju n-14 17-Ju l-14 6-A u g-14 26-A u g -1 4 15-Se p -14 5-O ct-14 25-O ct-14 14-N o v-14 4-De c-1 4 24-De c-14 13- Jan-15 2-F e b -15 22-F e b -15
13-Apr-15 25-Apr-15 4.81 0.01 100.00 1.00 4.81 < 1yr
14-Apr-15 1-May-15 - 0.03 99.80 1.00 0.20 < 1yr
14-Apr-15 4-May-15 - 0.04 99.75 1.00 0.25 < 1yr
16-Apr-15 4-Jun-15 - 0.12 99.27 1.00 0.74 < 1yr
16-Apr-15 11-Jun-15 - 0.14 99.28 1.00 0.72 < 1yr
17-Apr-15 15-Jun-15 9.50 0.15 100.58 1.00 5.72 < 1yr
17-Apr-15 1-Jul-15 - 0.19 99.06 2.00 0.95 < 1yr
17-Apr-15 10-Jul-15 - 0.22 98.95 1.00 1.07 < 1yr
16-Apr-15 14-Jul-15 - 0.23 98.69 1.00 1.33 < 1yr
15-Apr-15 15-Aug-15 11.80 0.32 101.51 2.00 7.08 < 1yr
16-Apr-15 21-Sep-15 6.25 0.42 99.50 6.00 6.28 < 1yr
17-Apr-15 15-Oct-15 6.25 0.48 98.75 8.00 6.33 < 1yr
15-Apr-15 7-Jan-16 - 0.71 96.01 4.00 4.15 < 1yr
17-Apr-15 27-Feb-16 6.00 0.85 98.20 3.00 6.11 < 1yr
13-Apr-15 25-Mar-16 3.75 0.93 99.00 1.00 3.79 < 1yr
13-Apr-15 1-Apr-16 - 0.94 94.53 6.00 5.79 < 1yr
16-Apr-15 15-May-16 10.75 1.07 104.44 1.00 6.42 1yr - 5yr
16-Apr-15 15-Jun-16 7.00 1.15 99.80 1.00 7.17 1yr - 5yr
17-Apr-15 15-Sep-16 7.38 1.40 100.76 1.00 6.79 1yr - 5yr
17-Apr-15 15-Oct-16 8.50 1.48 102.05 15.00 8.33 1yr - 5yr
15-Apr-15 25-Oct-16 4.81 1.51 98.50 1.00 4.88 1yr - 5yr
17-Apr-15 5-Mar-17 8.75 1.87 102.75 7.00 8.52 1yr - 5yr
16-Apr-15 15-Apr-17 6.25 1.98 98.00 5.00 7.34 1yr - 5yr
17-Apr-15 15-Jul-17 10.00 2.23 105.30 2.00 7.38 1yr - 5yr
17-Apr-15 15-Oct-17 8.50 2.48 101.65 10.00 8.36 1yr - 5yr
17-Apr-15 11-Mar-18 8.25 2.89 101.20 644.00 8.15 1yr - 5yr
17-Apr-15 15-May-18 5.25 3.07 94.75 8.00 7.18 1yr - 5yr
15-Apr-15 15-Jul-18 15.00 3.23 122.55 1.00 7.10 1yr - 5yr
15-Apr-15 15-Aug-18 11.60 3.32 113.05 1.00 7.13 1yr - 5yr
15-Apr-15 15-Sep-18 9.00 3.40 105.60 1.00 7.12 1yr - 5yr
17-Apr-15 15-Apr-19 7.88 3.98 101.90 17.00 7.32 1yr - 5yr
15-Apr-15 25-Aug-19 5.19 4.34 100.02 3.00 3.75 1yr - 5yr
17-Apr-15 15-Sep-19 11.50 4.40 115.00 2.00 7.44 1yr - 5yr
16-Apr-15 15-Sep-20 8.25 5.40 104.00 5.00 7.34 5yr - 10yr
17-Apr-15 15-Nov-20 11.00 5.57 116.20 2.00 7.40 5yr - 10yr
16-Apr-15 15-Jun-21 12.80 6.15 126.25 2.00 7.41 5yr - 10yr
17-Apr-15 15-Jul-21 8.25 6.23 104.75 1.00 7.29 5yr - 10yr
17-Apr-15 15-May-22 7.00 7.07 98.35 2.00 7.30 5yr - 10yr
15-Apr-15 15-Jul-22 10.25 7.23 116.75 1.00 7.24 5yr - 10yr
17-Apr-15 15-May-23 5.63 8.07 89.35 3.00 7.40 5yr - 10yr
17-Apr-15 15-Jul-23 9.50 8.23 112.05 1.00 7.51 5yr - 10yr
17-Apr-15 15-Mar-24 8.38 8.90 106.55 73.00 7.36 5yr - 10yr
16-Apr-15 15-Sep-24 10.00 9.40 116.20 5.00 7.56 5yr - 10yr
15-Apr-15 15-Jan-25 10.25 9.73 115.01 2.00 8.00 5yr - 10yr
16-Apr-15 15-Sep-25 11.00 10.40 124.75 2.00 7.53 > 10yr
17-Apr-15 15-Sep-26 8.38 11.40 105.00 1.00 7.71 > 10yr
17-Apr-15 15-May-27 7.00 12.07 94.75 2.00 7.67 > 10yr
16-Apr-15 15-Jul-27 10.25 12.23 121.00 1.00 7.58 > 10yr
16-Apr-15 15-Feb-28 10.00 12.82 119.50 1.00 7.59 > 10yr
17-Apr-15 15-May-28 6.13 13.07 86.00 1.00 7.86 > 10yr
17-Apr-15 15-Mar-29 9.00 13.90 112.54 24.00 7.53 > 10yr
17-Apr-15 15-Mar-30 10.25 14.90 121.34 2.00 7.80 > 10yr
17-Apr-15 15-Aug-30 10.50 15.32 124.35 2.00 7.75 > 10yr
17-Apr-15 15-Jul-31 9.50 16.23 115.00 1.00 7.85 > 10yr
17-Apr-15 15-Jun-32 8.25 17.15 103.00 25.00 7.93 > 10yr
17-Apr-15 15-May-33 6.63 18.07 89.19 7.00 7.75 > 10yr
17-Apr-15 15-Mar-34 8.38 18.90 106.85 81.00 7.68 > 10yr
17-Apr-15 15-Feb-36 10.00 20.82 120.77 3.00 7.94 > 10yr
15-Apr-15 15-Feb-37 6.10 21.82 78.76 1.00 8.21 > 10yr
14-Apr-15 15-May-37 9.75 22.07 119.60 2.00 7.86 > 10yr
Last Trade Date Modified Duration 0.16 -150.00 754.67 540.50 251.59 -0.03 -1.08 1.31 -1.45 450.00 75.00 960.64 350.00 Freq Tenor Class 0.33 -0.47 -2.00 28.28 128.11 -0.93 -0.98 16.74 2.58 2.75 18,843.03 1,522.31 3.54 3.00 -1.84 1.95 -671.42 112.00 418.36 741.26 -2.71 4.31 4.10 4.34 4.77 506.17 198.96 243.51 86.35 2.90 3.38 3.88 3.48 30.00 5,480.36 4,960.00 55.51 6.26 6.27 6.24 6.58 8,240.40 8.61 10.00 16.59 5.33 5.15 6.11 5.70 126.95 21.22 93.54 19.87 7.33 7.69 7.28 7.57 FR0047 32.20 193.87 1.00 46.00 8.26 8.17 8.20 8.24 FR0064 FR0071 IFR0006 FR0052 50.99 8,175.09 38.00 9.37 8.58 8.98 9.66 9.65 FR0054 FR0058 FR0065 FR0068 3.18 366.40 140.91 3,537.90 9.56 10.57 IFR0010 PBS004 42.00 1.11 FR0045 3.80 9.68 IFR0007 FR0040 FR0056 FR0059 FR0042 FR0055 ORI010 VR0023 SR006 FR0060 FR0028 ORI011 SR007 FR0066 FR0032 FR0038 FR0048 FR0069 VR0029 FR0036 FR0031 FR0034 FR0053 FR0061 PBS008 PBS006 FR0043 FR0063 FR0046 FR0070 FR0044 Yield 28.36 0.98 5.00 Bonds VR0020 SPN12150501 SPN03150504 SPN03150604 SPNS14072015 IFR0001 SR004 ORI009 SPN12160107 SR005 VR0022 SPN12160401 FR0030 SPN12150710
Maturity Coupon Tenor Vol (IDR
Bn) 100.00 SPN12150611 FR0027 SPN03150701 28.10 1,323.35 138.00 Last Done Price 860.00 200.00
APPENDICES
Appendix 1. Government Bonds Trading 13 - 17 April 2015
13-Apr-15 15-May-41 9.50 26.07 118.00 1.00 7.86 > 10yr
17-Apr-15 15-Apr-42 6.38 26.98 80.25 2.00 8.20 > 10yr
17-Apr-15 15-Feb-44 8.75 28.82 107.15 1.00 8.10 > 10yr
10.34 FR0057 0.60 Tenor Class Modified Duration Last Done
Price Freq Yield
Last Trade
Date Bonds Maturity Coupon Tenor
Vol (IDR Bn)
FR0062 6.50 11.27
FR0067 171.51 10.82
APPENDICES
Appendix 1. Government Bonds Trading 13 - 17 April 2015 (Cont'd)
14-Apr-15 18-Apr-15 10.50 0.01 idA 100.00 6.00 10.50
15-Apr-15 4-May-15 7.75 0.04 idAAA 99.93 4.00 7.76
16-Apr-15 18-May-15 10.60 0.08 AA+(idn) 100.22 20.00 10.58
15-Apr-15 24-May-15 9.60 0.09 idAAA 100.20 10.00 9.58
16-Apr-15 27-May-15 10.00 0.10 idAAA 100.15 6.00 9.99
16-Apr-15 5-Jun-15 7.50 0.12 idAA+/AAA(idn) 99.95 12.00 7.50
15-Apr-15 13-Jun-15 11.00 0.14 idA 100.18 40.00 10.98
14-Apr-15 5-Jul-15 8.30 0.21 idA+ 99.99 1.20 8.30
17-Apr-15 6-Jul-15 9.60 0.21 idAAA 100.45 11.90 9.56
14-Apr-15 31-Oct-15 7.60 0.53 idAAA/AAA(idn) 99.50 2.00 7.64
16-Apr-15 9-Nov-15 9.00 0.55 idAA 100.10 20.00 8.99
14-Apr-15 16-Nov-15 10.68 0.57 idBBB+ 98.30 6.00 10.86
16-Apr-15 20-Nov-15 8.75 0.58 idAAA 100.30 4.00 8.72
13-Apr-15 22-Nov-15 9.60 0.59 idAAA(sy) 100.12 12.00 9.59
14-Apr-15 30-Nov-15 8.60 0.61 idA 98.79 0.20 8.71
17-Apr-15 9-Dec-15 9.00 0.63 idAAA 100.45 8.00 8.96
14-Apr-15 29-Dec-15 9.60 0.69 idAA+ 100.54 30.00 9.55
16-Apr-15 19-Feb-16 7.40 0.83 idAAA/AAA(idn) 99.30 50.00 7.45
17-Apr-15 20-Feb-16 9.00 0.83 idAAA/AAA(idn) 100.36 59.90 8.97
15-Apr-15 1-Mar-16 7.85 0.86 idAAA 99.50 14.00 7.89
14-Apr-15 1-Mar-16 7.85 0.86 idAAA(sy) 99.54 3.00 7.89
17-Apr-15 23-Mar-16 8.25 0.92 idAAA 100.04 62.50 8.25
13-Apr-15 30-Mar-16 8.25 0.94 idAAA 100.23 15.00 8.23
15-Apr-15 4-Apr-16 7.75 0.95 idAAA/AAA(idn) 99.40 20.00 7.80
17-Apr-15 11-Apr-16 8.60 0.97 AAA(Idn) 99.92 202.00 8.61
16-Apr-15 12-Apr-16 9.25 0.98 AA(idn) 100.02 84.00 9.25
16-Apr-15 8-May-16 8.25 1.05 idA 98.95 14.00 9.30
16-Apr-15 9-May-16 7.70 1.05 idAAA 99.27 6.90 8.42
14-Apr-15 17-May-16 7.60 1.07 AAA(idn) 98.50 4.00 9.05
14-Apr-15 5-Jun-16 7.75 1.12 idAA 99.00 4.00 8.67
15-Apr-15 7-Jun-16 8.00 1.13 AA+(idn) 99.00 6.00 8.92
16-Apr-15 14-Jun-16 7.50 1.15 idAAA 99.05 4.00 8.36
17-Apr-15 19-Jun-16 7.75 1.16 AA+(idn) 98.80 60.00 8.84
13-Apr-15 25-Aug-16 11.00 1.34 idA 101.60 3.30 9.73
17-Apr-15 24-Oct-16 10.50 1.51 idAAA 102.40 13.30 8.79
14-Apr-15 8-Dec-16 11.75 1.63 idAAA 104.45 3.00 8.82
17-Apr-15 11-Dec-16 11.85 1.64 idAAA 104.00 44.00 9.20
17-Apr-15 12-Dec-16 10.00 1.64 AA-(idn) 102.10 18.00 8.62
13-Apr-15 1-Feb-17 9.90 1.78 idA+ 99.00 8.00 10.51
15-Apr-15 21-Feb-17 8.60 1.83 idAAA 99.10 5.00 9.13
15-Apr-15 14-Mar-17 10.50 1.90 idAAA/AAA(idn) 101.50 1.00 9.63
15-Apr-15 20-Mar-17 8.50 1.91 idAAA 99.40 40.00 8.84
15-Apr-15 14-May-17 10.50 2.06 idAAA 102.50 20.00 9.16
14-Apr-15 29-May-17 10.65 2.11 idAA+ 102.75 20.00 9.21
14-Apr-15 31-May-17 7.25 2.11 idAA+ 96.20 70.00 9.23
14-Apr-15 19-Jun-17 8.75 2.16 idAA- 97.50 0.10 10.04
13-Apr-15 21-Jun-17 10.25 2.17 idAA 102.25 5.00 9.10
17-Apr-15 26-Jun-17 10.50 2.18 AA-(idn) 101.50 5.00 9.73
13-Apr-15 8-Jul-17 11.30 2.21 idAAA 101.00 0.20 10.79
17-Apr-15 8-Jul-17 8.24 2.21 idAAA(sy)/AAA(idn) 101.82 14.00
-14-Apr-15 15-Aug-17 9.38 2.32 idA 98.00 1.80 10.35
14-Apr-15 27-Sep-17 8.75 2.43 idAAA 98.60 2.00 9.39
17-Apr-15 6-Nov-17 9.30 2.54 idA 98.15 15.00 10.13
16-Apr-15 9-Nov-17 10.50 2.55 idAA- 101.55 26.80 9.81
16-Apr-15 12-Nov-17 10.50 2.56 idAAA 102.30 105.00 9.48
14-Apr-15 5-Dec-17 11.25 2.62 AA(idn) 102.00 42.00 10.37
13-Apr-15 16-Dec-17 10.00 2.65 idAA+ 101.77 10.00 9.24
14-Apr-15 18-Dec-17 9.90 2.66 A-(idn) 96.95 96.00 11.23
15-Apr-15 19-Dec-17 10.50 2.66 idA 101.30 15.00 9.94
13-Apr-15 21-Dec-17 8.40 2.67 idAA- 96.95 4.00 9.70
0.01
STTP01ACN1 3.00
0.11 0.05 Rating Last Done
Price Yield Modified Duration Vol (IDR Bn) 0.13 0.09 0.11 0.16 0.22 TAFS02B 1.00 MFIN01ACN2 2.00 TRAC03C 1.00 0.21 0.52 0.54 0.55 TLKM02A 2.00 BNII01ACN2 1.00 PNBN05 1.00 BWPT01 3.00 0.57 0.58 0.60 0.61 BNGA01ACN2 1.00 ADMFSM1ACN2 2.00 SSMM01A 2.00 BDMN02B 4.00 0.67 0.80 0.79 0.83 SMFP02ACN5 3.00 NISP01CCN1 3.00 NISP01ACN2 2.00 ADMF02CCN1 2.00 0.84 0.89 0.92 0.92 SMADMF01CCN1 2.00 BEXI02ACN5 5.00 BCAF02ACN1 4.00 FIFA01BCN2 1.00 0.93 0.93 0.99 1.00 BBIA01A 3.00 WOMF01ACN3 4.00 IMFI01BCN2 1.00 BCAF01DCN1 1.00 1.02 1.07 1.07 1.09 TAFS03B 1.00 TUFI01ACN1 1.00 BIIF01C 1.00 BCAF01BCN2 1.00 1.10 1.24 1.36 1.48 BIIF02A 5.00 APLN01B 1.00 ADMF02BCN2 2.00 ISAT07B 2.00 1.48 1.50 1.60 1.67 BMRI01 5.00 TBIG01BCN1 1.00 JPFA01CN2 4.00 ASDF01CCN1 2.00 1.70 1.75 1.83 1.87 FIFA01BCN3 1.00 BCAF02BCN1 4.00 ADMF02BCN3 2.00 ISAT05B 2.00 1.95 1.94 1.93 INDF06 5.00 MEDC03 1.00 JMPD13R 1.00 AMRT01CN1 4.00 1.95 -2.04 2.17 BNGA01SB 2.00 SMBNII01CN1 2.00 APLN02 4.00 ADMF01CCN3 2.00 2.20 2.24 2.31 2.30 2.30 2.36 AKRA01A 1.00 2.20 2.19 ADMF05D 2.00 SSIA01B 3.00
Coupon Tenor Freq
Last Trade
Date Bonds Maturity
SIAGII02 7.00 PNMP01BCN1 3.00 PNBN04SB 3.00 ADMF02BCN4 1.00 WOMF01BCN2 1.00 SMFP02BCN5 1.00 ADMF01CCN2 4.00 BTPN02B 2.00 ADMF02ACN3 1.00 1.93
APPENDICES
Appendix 2. Corporate Bonds Trading 13 - 17 April 2015
13-Apr-15 21-Dec-17 8.40 2.67 idAA- 96.95 4.00 9.70
16-Apr-15 10-Feb-18 9.80 2.80 idAAA 101.20 28.60 9.31
15-Apr-15 15-Mar-18 8.10 2.90 idA(sy) 95.50 19.00
-17-Apr-15 15-Mar-18 8.50 2.90 idAA- 97.75 1.50 9.39
17-Apr-15 20-Mar-18 9.00 2.91 idAAA 100.22 5.00 8.91
17-Apr-15 1-Apr-18 9.40 2.94 AAA(Idn) 101.02 31.00 9.00
17-Apr-15 2-Apr-18 10.25 2.95 AA(idn) 102.00 22.42 9.47
17-Apr-15 5-Apr-18 10.25 2.96 idA-(sy) 100.23 18.00 10.16
15-Apr-15 8-Apr-18 11.50 2.96 idBBB+ 100.01 6.00 11.49
16-Apr-15 19-May-18 10.75 3.08 idAA+ 102.50 149.00 9.80
17-Apr-15 27-Jun-18 9.25 3.18 idA 98.40 12.00 9.84
16-Apr-15 28-Jun-18 11.00 3.19 idAA+ 103.25 26.00 9.80
17-Apr-15 5-Jul-18 8.90 3.21 idBBB+ 94.25 32.00 11.05
14-Apr-15 6-Dec-18 10.00 3.63 idAA+ 100.60 12.00 9.80
15-Apr-15 11-Dec-18 10.85 3.64 idA+(sy) 102.65 12.00 9.97
14-Apr-15 20-Dec-18 8.50 3.66 idAAA 97.36 8.00 9.35
15-Apr-15 9-May-19 8.50 4.05 idAA- 95.27 0.20 9.93
15-Apr-15 15-Jun-19 8.90 4.15 idAA+ 96.30 6.00 9.99
17-Apr-15 24-Jun-19 12.50 4.18 idA 102.45 80.25 11.75
15-Apr-15 27-Jun-19 8.63 4.18 idAAA 91.00 2.45 11.35
17-Apr-15 27-Jun-19 8.63 4.18 idAAA(sy) 96.51 15.00 9.65
14-Apr-15 8-Oct-19 11.90 4.46 idA- 105.25 6.00 10.42
17-Apr-15 10-Oct-19 11.50 4.47 idA+(sy) 104.28 14.00
-15-Apr-15 19-Dec-19 12.50 4.66 idA 104.68 146.00 11.20
13-Apr-15 20-Dec-19 9.40 4.66 idAA- 98.30 30.00 9.86
14-Apr-15 21-Dec-19 8.75 4.67 idAA- 94.78 28.00 10.16
17-Apr-15 1-Apr-20 9.60 4.94 AAA(Idn) 100.02 70.70 9.59
16-Apr-15 23-Dec-20 10.85 5.67 AA(idn) 99.30 3.50 11.02
17-Apr-15 30-Jun-21 12.50 6.19 idD 100.00 27.00 12.50
15-Apr-15 14-Dec-21 9.05 6.65 idA 95.33 60.00 10.02
14-Apr-15 17-Dec-21 12.50 6.66 idBBB+ 100.00 8.00 12.50
14-Apr-15 13-Jan-22 12.00 6.73 idBBB- 100.00 180.00 12.00
SIAISA01 2.00 2.72 2.67 2.49 Yield Modified Duration 2.53 2.55 WOMF01BCN3 18.00 2.36 2.40 -2.53 2.52 BCAF02CCN1 1.00 BBIA01B 1.00 AKRA01A 1.00 NISP01CCN2 1.00 ADHISM1CN2 1.00 MEDC01CN2 5.00 2.52 2.57 3.10 -BRAP01 2.00 BNII01SB 22.00 APLN01CN1 3.00 BNLI02SB 6.00 2.97 2.73 3.00 PPNX01 4.00 BNII01SBCN1 4.00 SISMRA01CN1 2.00 3.33 3.40 MYOR04 1.00 BNLI01SBCN1 1.00 TAXI01 5.00 ISAT08A 1.00 SIISAT05 2.00 BSLT05 6.00 SISMRA01CN2 2.00 APLN01CN3 7.00 BEXI01CCN1 2.00 PNBN01SBCN1 6.00 AKRA01B 2.00 BBIA01C 2.00 BNGA02SB 1.00 3.51 APOL02B 1.00 ANTM01BCN1 4.00 MAYA04SB 4.00 BACA01SB 4.00 3.89 4.17 Last Trade
Date Bonds Maturity Coupon Tenor Freq
Vol (IDR Bn) Rating Last Done
Price 4.44 4.58 4.25 4.87 3.72 3.75 3.45 3.47 3.21 3.42
APPENDICES
Appendix 2. Corporate Bonds Trading 13 - 17 April 2015 (Cont'd)
Debt Research (62 21) 2955 5777
Fax No. (62 21) 350 1709
Head of Debt Research Market Analyst
Yudistira Slamet Rifki Rizal
[email protected] [email protected]
Credit Analysts Production & Database Management
Amir A. Dalimunthe Eka Nuraini
[email protected] [email protected]
Ayesha Ardelia [email protected] Melissa Hartono [email protected]
Debt Capital Market Div. (62 21) 2955 5777
Fax No. (62 21) 350 1724 / 25
Head of Debt Capital Market Budi Susanto
Debt Sales & Brokerage Debt Trading & Investment
Rina Rimawati D Romi Mulyadi
[email protected] [email protected]
Agung Suprihanto Indra Figrachanda
[email protected] [email protected]
Putrika Mayadipta Product & Retail
[email protected] Setyo H. Purnomo
[email protected] Ariningtyas W. Agustina
[email protected] Hernita Dwi Ariesandhy [email protected] Tia Aprianti [email protected] ext. 3214 ext. 3224 DISCLAIMER ext. 3200 62 21) 3501088 ext. 3223 ext. 3213 ext. 3212 ext. 3226 ext. 3216 ext. 3215 ext. 3400 ext. 3405 ext. 3407 ext. 3402
Debt Capital Market Division RESEARCH TEAM
ext. 3406
ext. 3404
ext. 3225
The information contained in this report has been taken from sources which we deem reliable. However, none of P.T. Danareksa Sekuritas and/or its affiliated companies and/or their respective employees and/or agents makes any representation or warranty (express or implied) or accepts any responsibility or liability as to, or in relation to, the accuracy or completeness of the information and opinions contained in this report or as to any information contained in this report or any other such information or opinions remaining unchanged after the issue thereof.
We expressly disclaim any responsibility or liability (express or implied) of P.T. Danareksa Sekuritas, its affiliated companies and their respective employees and agents whatsoever and howsoever arising (including, without limitation for any claims, proceedings, action , suits, losses, expenses, damages or costs) which may be brought against or suffered by any person as a results of acting in reliance upon the whole or any part of the contents of this report and neither P.T. Danareksa Sekuritas, its affiliated companies or their respective employees or agents accepts liability for any errors, omissions or mis-statements, negligent or otherwise, in the report and any liability in respect of the report or any inaccuracy therein or omission therefrom which might otherwise arise is hereby expresses disclaimed.
The information contained in this report is not be taken as any recommendation made by P.T. Danareksa Sekuritas or any other person to enter into any agreement with regard to any investment mentioned in this document. This report is prepared for general circulation. It does not have regards to the specific person who may receive this report. In considering any investments you should make your own independent assessment and seek your own professional financial and legal advice