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Jakarta , 17 July 2012
Readiness of PLN to Utilize Renewable Energy (Capacity,
Bankable Power Purchase Agreement and Feasibility Study,
Pricing)
PT PLN (Persero)
PT PLN ( Persero )
PLN has been ready since quite long time. PLN has a long history in using green
energy for its electricity generation especially as PLN project.
How about IPP’s Project?
•
Great opportunity for private to make a PPA with PLN in IPP Schemes, RE or
Non RE
•
Data said that very low success ratio of IPPs project compared to PLN project
and the problem is not the readiness o PLN
•
Readiness of PLN in not necessary for questioned and has been realised by:
o
Stated on RUPTL (RE is priority nor leas cost)
o
Consistenly support the goverment policies
o
Support the IPP project : entertaint the IPP developer when required
for continuation the project
Gas
Geothermal LNG
HSD MFO
Coal
IPPs project, front (study) to end (electricity delivered)
• Study (Preliminary, Pra FS, FS) : dev. responsibility technical (duration & quality) and
financial
• Permits : government (local, forestry, MeMR) permits and approval
• Procurement : Pricing and PPA
• Financial Closing : equity and loan
• Construction : developer responsibility technical (duration and quality) and financial
• Operation : developer responsibility technical (O/M) and financial
PLN has an intensive involvement only in procurement (pricing and PPA)
PLN concern to capacity, energy production, energy price, availability and continuity
Pricing for RE, PLN implements the government regulation (FIT or B 2 B) and PPA is negotionable
Pricing and PPA are not main problem, main constraint generally due to permits and internal
developer (capability in technical and financial)
Are the PPA and Pricing as the main problem?
Gas
Geothermal LNG
HSD MFO
Coal
IPP for MHEPP status
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Number Installed Capacity (kW) Number Installed Capacity (kW)
Indonesia Barat 67 398,731 Operasi 7 21,095 7 21,095 Konstruksi 10 71,868 17 92,963 PPA 19 137,900 36 230,863 Ijin ESDM 15 68,210 51 299,073 Proposal 16 99,658 67 398,731 Indonesia Timur 48 162,770 Operasi 8 26,340 8 26,340 Konstruksi 19 62,600 27 88,940 PPA 5 12,550 32 101,490 Ijin ESDM 12 49,980 44 151,470 Proposal 4 11,300 48 162,770 Jawa Bali 68 214,119 Operasi 8 2,055 8 2,055 Konstruksi 12 26,210 20 28,265 PPA 10 38,570 30 66,835 Ijin ESDM 27 109,434 57 176,269 Proposal 11 37,850 68 214,119 Total Indonesia 183 775,620 Total Operasi 23 49,490 23 49,490 Total Konstruksi 41 160,678 64 210,168 Total PPA 34 189,020 98 399,188 Total Ijin ESDM 54 227,624 152 626,812 Total Proposal 31 148,808 183 775,620
IPP Cumulative
Region
REKAPITULASI STATUS PLTM IPP 12 Juli 2012
IPP for MHEPP • Total PPA : 98
• Construction/FC : 41 • Operated : 23
F/C problem : 11
Gas
Geothermal LNG
HSD MFO
Coal
IPP Geothermal status
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MODEL PENGEMBANGAN
SESUAI PERMEN ESDM 01/2012 PIC PROBLEMS JUMLAH PROYEK TOTAL KAPASITAS (MW)
PLTP PLN (EKSPLORASI DAN PENDANAAN) 1 20 PLN TULEHU
PLTP PLN (HILIR)-PGE (HULU) 4 300 PLN, PGE HULULAIS, S. PENUH, KOTAMOBAGU
(TEHNICAL AND PERMITS PROBLEM)
PLTP IPP - KONTRUKSI / FC SELESAI 2 170 DEVELOPER PATUHA UNIT 1, ULUBELU 3 & 4
PLTP EKSTENSION/WKP EXISTING SIAP
IMPLEMENTASI 8 1115
DEVELOPER , PLN
• LUMUT BALAI, LAHENDONG 5 & 6, KARAHA BODAS 1, KAMOJANG 5 (F/C DELAY)
• W. WINDU (PERMITS, TECHNICAL AND PRICING)
• SARULLA I (JOC) • DIENG 2&3 (PRICING) • PATUHA 2 & 3 (TECHNICAL) • CIBUNI (LEGAL INTERNAL DEV)
PLTP WKP EXISTING MENUNGGU PROPOSAL
/ BELUM EKSPLORASI 3 395 DEVELOPER
• KARAHA BODAS 2&3, KAMOJANG 6 (PERMITS)
• T. PERAHU II (TECHNICAL AND PRICING) • I.ARGOPURO (PERMITS AND
TECHNICAL)
Gas
Geothermal LNG
HSD MFO
Coal
IPP Geothermal status
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MODEL
SESUAI PERMEN ESDM 01/2012 PIC PROBLEMS JUMLAH PROYEK TOTAL KAPASITAS (MW)
PLTP WKP BARU ESC/PPA SELESAI 3 445 DEVELOPER ATADEI, MUARALABOH, RAJABASA
(EXPLORASI, F/C) PLTP WKP BARU (SURAT PENUGASAN SDH
TERBIT DALAM PROSES/NEGOSIASI ESC/PPA)
13 1515 DEVELOPER
, PLN
• SOKORIA, T.PERAHU I, C.CISUKARAME, TAMPOMAS (PRICING)
• GUCI, R.DADAP, BATURADEN, NGEBEL, R.DANO, UNGARAN, SUOH SEKINCAU, S.MERAPI, JABOI (PPA PROCESS)
PLTP WKP BARU (PROSES PENERBITAN
SURAT PENUGASAN) 3 140 KESDM JAILOLO, HU’U, IJEN
PLTP WKP BARU (IUP BELUM
TERBIT/TENDER PEMDA BELUM SELESAI) 14 825 PEMDA
S.AGAM, D.RANAU, BONJOL, SIPOHOLON, S.SAMOSIR, WAY RATAI, GN. ENDUT, U.TELOMOYO, GN. CEREMAI, SEMBALUN, BORA, S. WAYAUA, MERANA/MASAINGI, MATALOKO
TOTAL 51 4925
From total of 51 projects :
• Pricing problem faced by only 7 projects • PPA process : 9 project
Gas
Geothermal LNG
HSD MFO
Coal
PLN has entertaint IPP projects, which had faced financial problem due to problems of
developers scope. Renegociate the increasing price :
•
2009 – 2011 : 25 IPP and 15 have been ammended
•
2011 – 2012 : 6 IPP and 2 have been ammended
Preliminary evaluation : after ammended with better price less than 50% of “IPP terkenda”
demonstrate promising progress.
Lesson :
Price is not main problem
Higher price does not guarantee the successful of the project
Higher price in some cases invite other stakeholder (brokers etc.), the incentives do not go to
the right stake holder (profesional developers)
Unsuccess story on “IPP terkendala”
Government (central and local) support required:
•
Establish clear and harmonic regulation
•
Commit to proceed issues regarding permission certainly and progresively
•
Sinergic relationship between central and local government
•
Controling (monitor and supervise) the progress of RE development
•
Facilitating to enhance technical, financial and social aspect
Private Iniciatives required:
•
Preparing internal capability (technical & financial) seriously
•
Commit to undertake each steps of development inline / meet the
regulation and PPA including procedure, cost, schedule and quality
•
Profesional communication with other stake holder especially government
and buyer/PLN
Thank you
Gas
Geothermal LNG
HSD MFO
Coal
IPP Geothermal status
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MODEL
SESUAI PERMEN ESDM 01/2012 PIC PROBLEMS JUMLAH PROYEK TOTAL KAPASITAS (MW)
PLTP WKP BARU ESC/PPA SELESAI 3 445 DEVELOPER ATADEI, MUARALABOH, RAJABASA
(EXPLORASI, PERMITS, F/C) PLTP WKP BARU (SURAT PENUGASAN SDH
TERBIT DALAM PROSES/NEGOSIASI ESC/PPA)
13 1515 DEVELOPER
, PLN
• SOKORIA, T.PERAHU I, C.CISUKARAME, TAMPOMAS (PRICING)
• GUCI, R.DADAP, BATURADEN, NGEBEL, R.DANO, UNGARAN, SUOH SEKINCAU, S.MERAPI, JABOI
PLTP WKP BARU (PROSES PENERBITAN
SURAT PENUGASAN) 3 140 KESDM JAILOLO, HU’U, IJEN
PLTP WKP BARU (IUP BELUM
TERBIT/TENDER PEMDA BELUM SELESAI) 14 825 PEMDA
S.AGAM, D.RANAU, BONJOL, SIPOHOLON, S.SAMOSIR, WAY RATAI, GN. ENDUT, U.TELOMOYO, GN. CEREMAI, SEMBALUN, BORA, S. WAYAUA, MERANA/MASAINGI, MATALOKO
Existing Total Capacity 34,928 MW
Generation Capacity (type and ownership) 2011
2.756 2.871 8.112 12.170 3.503 440 130 477 285 3.142 347 695 0 2.000 4.000 6.000 8.000 10.000 12.000 14.000 Diesel PP GTPP CCPP Coal STPP HEPP Geothermal IPP (MW) PLN (MW)
Share of RE in National Installed Capacity and Electricity Produced
F
uel oil, 23.%H
ydro, 7%N
at.Gas, 21%C
oal, 44%G
eothermal and other, 5.%National (PLN+ IPP) installed capacity power plant (RE 14%)
Electricity generated based on primary energy (RE 12%)
Fuel Mix Projection 2011-2020 (in percentages)
Gas
Geothermal
Hydro
LNG
HSD
MFO
Coal
Share of RE plan to increase from 11 % (2011) to 18 % ( 2020 )
6% 6% 6% 5% 5% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 5% 4% 4% 5% 8% 8% 10% 11% 12% 12% 50% 54% 61% 63% 63% 64% 64% 65% 64% 64% 17% 21% 21% 19% 17% 15% 12% 8% 8% 8% 0% 4% 3% 5% 6% 5% 7% 9% 9% 8% 5% 2% 1.1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 16.12% 8.57% 3.93% 1.81% 0.99% 0.88% 0.77% 0.70% 0.70% 0.71% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Impor Biomass Surya/Hybrid HSD MFO LNG Gas Batubara Geothermal Hydro
-50,000 100,000 150,000 200,000 250,000 300,000 350,000 400,000 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 G W h
MW 13 13 4,477 5,372 4,283 2,357 2,254 1,992 1,780 1,718 3,019 4,102 1,106 1,505 688 1,917 3,690 5,172 4,656 2,463 2,015 780 -1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 IPP PLN • Total : 55,345 MW ( 31.353 MW of PLN and 23,993 MW of IPP)
• About 5.500 MW/year additional capacity
5,583 6,877 4,971 4,271 5,941 7,164 6,436 4,181 5,034 4,882 -1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000 8,000 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
PLTU PLTA PLTP PLTGU PLTG PLT Lain Total
Power Plant Capacity Development Plan (2011-2020)
• CFPP : 35,573 MW • M/HPP : 5,723 MW • GPP : 6,247 MW • CCPP : 3,263 MW • GTPP : 4,093 MW • Others : 441 MW • Total : 55,345 MW MW
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