2017 OECD ECONOMIC SURVEY
OF LATVIA
Boosting productivity and inclusiveness
September 15th 2017, Riga Latvia
Main messages
•
The Latvian econom y is growing strongly, underpinned by
progress with econom ic reform s.
•
Deeper integration into international trade is necessary to
catch up with high-incom e countries.
•
Poverty and unem ploym ent are still high. Access to jobs,
Growth has been strong
Latvia Estonia Euro area
Re a l GD P, In d e x 2 0 0 7 = 10 0
Exports have gained market share
Source: OECD (20 17), OECD Econom ic Outlook: Statistics and Projections (database).
Unemployment has fallen
U n e m p lo ym e n t ra te a s % o f la b o u r fo rce
Source: OECD (20 17), OECD Econom ic Outlook: Statistics and Projections (database).
0
Wages have grown more than prices
Source: OECD (2017), OECD Economic Outlook: Statistics and Projections (database).
Gro w th o f la b o u r co m p e n s a tio n p e r e m p lo ye e a n d co n s u m e r p rice in fla tio n
Latvia is a top reformer
Th e 2 0 17 Go in g fo r Gro w th re fo rm re s p o n s ive n e s s in d ica to r
Source: OECD (20 17) Going for Growth 20 17 edition.
Debt has fallen
D e b t a s % o f GD P
Source: OECD (20 17), OECD Econom ic Outlook: Statistics and Projections (database) and OECD National Accounts Statistics (database).
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
% %
The gap in productivity remains large
Poverty is high
Source: OECD (20 17), OECD Social and Welfare Statistics (database).
Income inequality remains high
Source: OECD (20 17), OECD Social and Welfare Statistics (database).
Higher income, better housing and better
health would raise wellbeing
Source: OECD (20 16), OECD Better Life Index- Edition 20 16.
OECD Better Life Index, from 0 (worse) to 1 (best), 2016
0.0
Income and wealth
Jobs and earnings
Housing
Work and life balance
Health status
Education and skills Social connections
Environmental quality Personal security
Subjective well-being
Latvia OECD
Credit growth is still weak
Households Non-financial corporations
Source: Bank of Latvia.
Productivity growth has slowed
Ave ra ge a n n u a l gro w th o f la b o u r p ro d u ctivity
Source: OECD (20 17), OECD Productivity Statistics (database).
0
1995-2005 2005-2016 1995-2005 2005-2016 1995-2005 2005-2016
Total Manufacturing Business sector services
Trade could boost productivity and income
D o m e s tic va lu e a d d e d p e r w o rke r e m b o d ie d in fo re ign fin a l d e m a n d , 2 0 11
17
Many workers feel under-skilled at the time of
hiring
Source: CEDEFOP (20 16), “Skills Panoram a” (http:/ / skillspanoram a.cedefop.europa.eu).
Skill shortages are holding back participation
in global value chains
Source: CEDEFOP (20 16), “Skills Panoram a” (http:/ / skillspanoram a.cedefop.europa.eu).
Few firms cooperate with research institutions
Source: Eurostat (20 16), Com m unity Innovation Survey (CIS).
Th e s h a re o f firm s e n ga gin g in re s e a rch co o p e ra tio n
Low debt recovery hampers access to credit
Infrastructure lags behind peer countries
Latvia Estonia Lithuania Finland
Pro vid e m o re ge n e ro u s gra n ts fo r s tu d e n ts a tte n d in g
Unemployment is high in some regions
Source: Central Statistical Bureau of Latvia.
0
Latvia Pierīga Riga Vidzeme Kurzeme Zemgale Latgale
%
%
High unemployment keeps poverty high
Source: Central Statistical Bureau of Latvia.
0
Latvia Riga Pierīga Kurzeme Zemgale Vidzeme Latgale
%
%
Access to affordable rental housing is low
Rent (private)¹ Rent (subsidized)²
S h a re o f re n ta l h o u s in g, lo w -in co m e h o u s e h o ld s , 2 0 14 o r la te s t ye a r
Spending on active labour market policies is
low
Source: OECD (20 17), OECD Em ploym ent and Labour Market Statistics (database).
Out-of-pocket payments in healthcare are high
Source: OECD (20 17), OECD H ealth Statistics (database)
Workers pay high fees for private pensions
% of assets under management, 2015
31
Government debt is low
Informality remains high
35
Taxes on low wages are high
Source: OECD (20 17), OECD Tax Statistics (database) and OECD estim ate of tax reform effect. Ta xa tio n o f la b o u r in co m e , 2 0 16
% of total labour compensation, single person at 67% of average earnings without children
0
after tax reform
Ra is e s p e n d in g to a d d re s s p re s s in g s tru ctu ra l a n d s o cia l
For more information
http://www.oecd.org/eco/surveys/economic-survey-latvia.htm
OECD
OECD Economics
Disclaimers:
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