Slide 1 - November 13, 2017
Slide 2 - November 13, 2017
Indocement Fact Sheet
13 Kilns
19 mio ton annual
clinker capacity
24.5 mio ton annual
cement mill capacity
38 batching plants
5 mio m3 annual
RMC production
capacity
632 truck mixers
2.8 mio ton annual
aggregates
production capacity
18 distributors
18,500 retailers
Slide 3 - November 13, 2017
Indocement Tunggal Prakarsa Tbk Q3 2017 Results
Highlight of Indonesia Macro Economic
Top performance equity market in Asia
Strong Reserves
Lower Unemployment
Increase Government Debt due to Infra
Stable against USD challenged by current lower lending rate, the Fed rate, and US Tax cut
Slow Down Export DOWNSIDES:
Slide 4 - November 13, 2017
Deficit in State Budget Prompts Government to Prioritize
Infrastructure Spending
Plan to Build 35,000 MW Power Plants to be Reviewed
* Realized figures up to August 2017
IDR Trillion IDR Trillion
Revenue
Expenditure
Slide 5 - November 13, 2017
Indocement Tunggal Prakarsa Tbk Q3 2017 Results
Indonesian Cement Industry 2017 Landscape
Lafarge Indonesia1.5 mio ton 0.2 mio ton (g)
Semen Baturaja
2.2 mio ton
0.7 mio ton (g) Semen Indonesia
15.2 mio ton 0.7 mio ton (g)
Semen Puger
0.5 mio ton
Semen Kupang/Merah Putih
0.4 mio ton
Jui Shin
1.8 mio ton
Holcim Indonesia
12.1 mio ton
Semen Indonesia
7.2 mio ton 0.9 mio ton (g)
Merah Putih
4.9 mio ton 2.8 mio ton (g)
Indocement
24.9 mio ton
Total Cement Capacity in 2017 of 103.8* mio tons, from 98.5 mio tons in 2016
Source: ASI and internal estimation
Anhui Conch
4.5 mio ton 2.2 mio ton (g)
STAR
1.8 mio ton
Siam Cement
1.8 mio ton
Semen Bosowa
4.4 mio ton 3.0 mio ton (g)
Semen Indonesia
7.4 mio ton
* Total capacity in 2017 includes Finished Mills from Hao Han (0.6 mt), Semen Jakarta (1.5 mt), and Sun Fook (0.6 mt)
Slide 6 - November 13, 2017
Overcapacityof40MtinFY2017f
Oversupplied market in Indonesia:
Supply build-up in recent years, excluding export, 40 Mt overcapacity (FC2017)
Demand growing at an assumed rate of
• 6.9% for 2017
• 5% - 6% for 2018
• 6% for 2019
• 7% for 2020 – 2023
• 5% for 2024 & 2025
Consumption per Capita kg/capita
Philippines 240
Indonesia 243
Thailand 443
Vietnam 611
Malaysia 751
Slide 7 - November 13, 2017
Indocement Tunggal Prakarsa Tbk Q3 2017 Results
Oversupplied market in Indonesia:
Supply build-up in recent years, including export, 35 Mt overcapacity (FC2017)
Source: Asosiasi Semen Indonesia Export decreased during high domestic utilization and
Slide 8 - November 13, 2017
SS
2017
2013 2014 2015 2016 2018 2019 2020
Plannedcommissioningyearunknown1 2012
Today
Timeline of cement new entrants commissioning year
1.Incoming capacity up to 2020: Semen Indonesia Aceh, Conch North Sulawesi, Conch South Sulawesi, and Semen Grobogan
9 new players in 2012-2016 with current combined4capacity of
~15 Mt
Supply Side:
9
new
players
in
the
last
5
years
and
at
least
1
more
showed
Slide 9 - November 13, 2017
Indocement Tunggal Prakarsa Tbk Q3 2017 Results
Nusa Tenggara
Marketsharesbasedoncementdomesticsales(2016, 9M17)
13.5Mt
Source:Asosiasi Semen Indonesia
10.0Mt
Regional shift of Demand:
Better Growth Outlook in Central & East Java and Sumatera
Sumatera: 96% , +4.3%
Kalimantan:
67% , -5.8% Sulawesi:
43% , -1.5%
Western Java: 38% , +7.1%
Central Java: 174% , +16.4%
Java: 51% , +11.3%
East Java 44% , +14.4%
East Indonesia: 93% , -4.2%
NB: Data in Box: Utilization Rate and Growth Rates YoY per area for 9M17
Nusa Tenggara: 896% , +2.1%
Slide 10 - November 13, 2017
Cement demand improves in line with lower mortgage rate and positive trade balance
Bio USD % Demand
Growth
Mortgage Rate %
% Demand
Growth Support by positive trade balance
10.5%
Investment Loan - State Banks (LHS)
BI Rate/BI 7-day RRR* (LHS), * valid from August 19, 2016 Cement Demand (RHS)
4.25% 6.2%
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Q3 2016
Q3 2017
Non Oil and Gas (RHS) Oil and Gas (RHS) Cement Demand (LHS)
Drivers of Cement demand:
Strong progress of heavy equipment order is another leading
indicator for cement demand
Slide 11 - November 13, 2017
Indocement Tunggal Prakarsa Tbk Q3 2017 Results
7 new infrastructure development in greater Jakarta to
create high bulk demand
1
3
2
4
5
6
7
Astra
Indocement 18.4 mt
Holcim 5.8 mt
Juishin 1.8mt
Purwakarta quarry
Slide 12 - November 13, 2017
Juishin 1.8mt Merah Putih
6.3 mt
Siam 1.8 mt Conch
2.2 mt
Indocement 18.4 mt
Est. of overall area of 16,500 ha Est. cement consumption 230 kg per sqm Jakarta, Banten, West Java demand: 2016: 16.2 mt 9M17: 12.7 mt Holcim
5.8 mt
Multiplier effects after Infrastructure established:
Slide 13 - November 13, 2017
Indocement Tunggal Prakarsa Tbk Q3 2017 Results
Indocement‟s Strategies under Current Tight Competition:
Rebalance Portfolio and focus on home market
Java Presence Grows
• To reduce logistics cost and to defend market share at home markets sales are targeted
towards home market
• Central Java is one of the fastest
growing market
and underserved (high utilization rate)
• Multiplier effects across Java
Slide 14 - November 13, 2017
2013 2014 2015 2016 9M16 9M17
In thousand tons
Bag Bulk
Indocement‟s Strategies under Current Tight Competition:
More bulk sales focus - as Jakarta & West Java Projects started
•
Portion of bag sales is lower than bulk due to declining sales especially in outside Java
for Q3 2017
•
Composition of bag vs bulk sales in Q3 2017 is 76.0% vs. 24.0%
•
Indocement positions itself as a reliable partner for infrastructure projects providing
quality bulk cement and concrete at timely delivery
• High bulk volume in Jakarta
• Indocement benefits from proximity to Jakarta & West Java Projects
Bag/Bulk sales composition Jan - Dec
20% 21%
24%
24%
21%
Slide 15 - November 13, 2017
Indocement Tunggal Prakarsa Tbk Q3 2017 Results
Indocement‟s Strategies under Current Tight Competition:
Continuous focus on cost control with disciplined
spending on promotional activities
• Decrease in raw materials cost due to application of alternative materials.
• Increase in coal price caused increase in fuel and power cost despite running the most efficient kilns. • Manufacturing Overhead portion decreases due to cost savings activities including repairs.
• Cost savings from ramping up of P14 continued into Q3 2017.
• Increase in SG&A relates to additional cost to support end user program and Rajawali promotion.
Fixed Cost Control
–
IDR Bio
Composition of Manufacturing Cost as %
Trend
Raw Materials Direct labor Fuel and
Power
Man. Overhead
9M15 9M16 9M17
1,597
Selling Expense G&A Expense
9M15 9M16 9M17
Slide 16 - November 13, 2017
Continue in Cost Leadership to maintain a decent margin
in 3Q 2017
Continuing competitive environment, Management focus in taking respective initiatives early on during the year:
Operational Excellence program
Fixed cost reduction program
Managing efficient kiln utilization
INTP EBITDA margin development
New market entrants leading to higher competition and pricing pressure
but Indocement maintains better margin compared to peers
INTP Gross margin development
44.5% 45.4% 43.8% 43.9%
2015 2016 2017
34.8% 34.2% 33.0% 33.1%
Slide 17 - November 13, 2017
Indocement Tunggal Prakarsa Tbk Q3 2017 Results
Financial Result
Consolidated Statement of Comprehensive Income
• Operating margin reduction from 24.6% to 13.9% contributed by lower revenues by -7.3% due to strong competition on weak demand situation combined with higher cost of production (+4.1%) amidst soaring coal price.
• Active end user program initiated during beginning of the year support volume growth.
9M 2017 9M 2016
Bio IDR Bio IDR %
Total Sales Volume (thousand tons) 12,908 12,265 642.1 5.2%
Domestic Sales Volume (thousand tons) 12,767 11,966 800.4 6.7%
Export Sales Volume (thousand tons) 141 299 -158.3 -52.9%
Net Revenues 10,512.6 11,346.5 -834.0 -7.3%
Cost of Revenues -6,888.0 -6,619.9 -268.1 -4.1%
Gross Profit 3,624.6 4,726.6 -1,102.1 -23.3%
% of Net Revenues 34.5% 41.7%
Operating Expenses -2,170.7 -1,940.6 -230.1 -11.9%
Other Operating Income - Net 10.7 3.3 7.4 227.5%
Operating Income 1,464.5 2,789.3 -1,324.8 -47.5%
% of Net Revenues 13.9% 24.6%
EBITDA 2,318.2 3,527.8 -1,209.7 -34.3%
% of Net Revenues 22.1% 31.1%
Finance Income - Net 316.5 373.8 -57.3 -15.3%
Equity in Net Earnings of Associated Companies - Net 7.4 16.0 -8.6 -53.8%
Income before Final Tax and Income Tax Expense 1,788.3 3,179.1 -1,390.7 -43.7%
Final Tax -0.5 -0.6 0.0 7.7%
Income before Income Tax Expense 1,787.8 3,178.5 -1,390.7 -43.8%
Income Tax Expense - Net -381.3 -30.9 -350.4 1132.4%
Income for the Period 1,406.5 3,147.6 -1,741.1 -55.3%
Other Comprehensive Income (Loss) for the Period, Net of Tax 1.9 -7.9 9.7 123.6%
Total Comprehensive Income for the Period 1,408.3 3,139.7 -1,731.4 -55.1%
Bio IDR
Slide 18 - November 13, 2017
Balance Sheet
Consolidated Statement of Financial Position
• Outside dividend payment impact, inventories balance decreased due to stronger volume in 2nd half. • Inline with production, payable balance slightly higher.
• Increase in Non-Current Assets compared to same period last year was mainly due to spending in capital expenditures.
• Dividend Payment history:
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Dividend/Share * 450 900 1,350 415 929
Avg. Share Price 21,604 23,390 21,159 18,225 17,127
Dividend Yield 2.1% 3.8% 6.4% 2.3% 5.4%
% Div. Payout 34.8% 66.1% 94.3% 35.1% 88.4%
* based on previous Fiscal Year Earnings
9M 2017 9M 2016 FY2016
Bio IDR Bio IDR % Bio IDR
Current Assets 11,883.7 12,816.3 -932.5 -7.3% 14,424.6
Non-Current Assets 15,569.8 15,168.6 401.2 2.6% 15,726.0
Current Liabilities 2,527.6 1,767.1 760.5 43.0% 3,187.7
Non-Current Liabilities 798.8 739.8 59.0 8.0% 824.1
Equity 24,127.2 25,477.9 -1,350.8 -5.3% 26,138.7
27,453.6 27,984.9 -531.3 -1.9% 30,150.6
Bio IDR
Description Sep 17 vs Sep 16
Slide 19 - November 13, 2017
Indocement Tunggal Prakarsa Tbk Q3 2017 Results
831
Run
P14 production (10,000 tpd)
in full-swing in 2017
will help to
reduce further production cost by about
USD 4-5 per ton
Indocement‟s Strategies under Current Tight Competition:
Shut Down Old Kilns and Run the most efficient kilns
640 534 1,024 1,238 1,472 3,520 1,216 1,344 2,400 2,400 3,200
Slide 20 - November 13, 2017
Citeureup Factory
10 plants with production
capacity of 18.2mt
Tj. Priok Terminal
Palimanan Factory
2 plants with
production capacity of 4.1mt
Surabaya Terminal
Lombok Terminal
Tarjun Factory
1 plant with
production capacity of 2.6mt
Samarinda Terminal
Cigading Terminal
Sepanjang Terminal
• Citeureup Factory is one of the largest integrated factory complexes in the world. • State-of-art technology with some of the most efficient kilns in operation today.
• Current total capacity is 24.9 mt of cement. • Cement distribution using train for some locations.
PontianakTerminal
Indocement‟s Strategies under Current Tight Competition:
Slide 21 - November 13, 2017
Indocement Tunggal Prakarsa Tbk Q3 2017 Results
New Terminal Palembang - Progress Oct 2017
2 silos cement @ 5,000 ton (total cap. 10,000 ton)
1 packer of 120 ton/hour
1 line of bulk loading system
1 warehouse: 1,458 M2
Truck scale cap. 80 ton
Area 3.2 Ha
1 jetty port
Operating Target Q1 2018
Infrastructure (pavement) progress
Packing house on progress
70 % (Civil & Mechanical)
Silo 1 & 2 foundations on progress
Slide 22 - November 13, 2017
New Terminal Lampung
–
Progress Oct 2017
3 steel silos cement @ 4,000 ton (total cap. 12,000 ton)
1 packer of 180 ton/hour
1 line of bulk loading system
1 Truck scale cap. 100 ton
1 Warehouse 1,000 M2
Area 4.2 Ha
1 Jetty Port
Operating Target Q1 2019
Slide 23 - November 13, 2017
Indocement Tunggal Prakarsa Tbk Q3 2017 Results
1,265
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 9M16 9M17
000 tons
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 9M16 9M17
000m3
RMC Sales Volume AGG Sales Volume
Indocement‟s Strategies under Current Tight Competition:
Vertical Integration in Ready-Mix Concrete & Aggregates
Slide 24 - November 13, 2017
Indocement‟s Strategies under Current Tight Competition:
Product Differentiation by introducing new brand of
RAJAWALI as “fighting brand”
Sticky, Strong & More environmental cement
product!!!
Through its existing distribution
channel, Rajawali was
initially
launched on Oct 10, 2016
in
three cities in 2016. Currently
Rajawali is
offered in 30 cities
:
Jakarta, 15 cities in
West Java
, 6
Cities in
Banten
, and 8 Cities in
Slide 25 - November 13, 2017
Indocement Tunggal Prakarsa Tbk Q3 2017 Results
Durable and Ecofriendly Product
• Slag cement is a product of
consistent quality
Suitable for Mass Concrete applications
No Thermal Cracks
Long-Term Durability:
Resistance to Water
Resistance to Salt / Sulfate penetration into the concrete
General purpose Slag Cement is suitable for
marine environment
Saves natural resources and lower Green House emission
Long-term compressive strength development due to continued hydration
S.No. Embodied CO2 Emission for Raw Material
CO2 Emission (kg/Tonne)
% Reduction Compared to OPC Type I
1 OPC Type 1 768.55 ---
2 15% Fly Ash + 85% OPC 703.04 8.52 3 Slag Cement: Low Heat 339.80 55.78 4 Slag Cement: General Purpose 351.18 54.31
Mix Type Cradle to Gate
FC 30 concrete having Slag Cement: Low Heat
288.12 36
FC 30 concrete having Slag Cement: General Purpose
292.43 35
Indocement‟s Strategies under Current Tight Competition:
Slide 26 - November 13, 2017 source: www.sementigaroda.com
Indocement‟s
Strategies under Current Tight Competition:
Slide 27 - November 13, 2017
Indocement Tunggal Prakarsa Tbk Q3 2017 Results
Market Condition
National cement consumption growth started to turn positive and expected to grow around 7% in 2017 (versus negative growth of -0.6% in 2016) and 5-6% in 2018
Consumption in 2018 will still be driven by infrastructure projects and some of commercial and residential projects that have been launched in 2017. However, US policies to increase interest rate and reduce corporate tax will somewhat affect Indonesia, i.e.: weakening exchange rate of IDR/USD and possible IDR interest rate increase. In turn, such macroeconomic condition will weaken demand in 2018
Strong concrete and bulk cement demand anticipated in Sumatera, Greater Jakarta, Central, and East Java in 2018 due to Government’s infrastructure projects and the multiplier effect projects.
Recent hike in coal price will curb the potential further drop in prices in near future and possible consolidation. Coal price has slide back to $94 in October 2017 and remain considerably high coal index price in 2018.
Over supply will continue in next few years -- We still expect the continuing tight competition among 19 brands from 15 players (from 9 brands and 9 players previously) especially in Jakarta and West Java due to more players located in these areas will hinder the price to increase.
Slide 28 - November 13, 2017
Indocement’s Action Plan
Run P14 production (10,000 tpd) in full-swing in 2018 will help to reduce further production cost by about USD 3-4 per ton
Optimize product mix from 13 line of cement production will bring competitive advantages of Indocement to introduce different types of cement (OPC, PCC, PPC, TR Rapid, PCC Industry and future products- slag cement)
Indocement expansion in cement terminals in Sumatera and batching plants will be ready in 2018.
Clinker exports and domestic clinker sales will be done more during oversupply to abroad countries.
Strengthen our Pull demand in bagged cement segment for end-user customers through strong Retail/ Distribution channel and will continue to enhance our brand image, TIGA RODA Cement
Using RAJAWALI brand as fighting brand to get some volume from customers, who perceive
cement as “commodity” product and in low-price cement segment - in competition with 2nd tier brands out of new players
Develop new business line of prefabricated affordable housing products “Rumah Pabrikasi
Indocement” through new subsidiary.
Keep expanding in RMC and aggregates as well as limestone sand business to enable Indocement offering bundling package
Slide 29 - November 13, 2017
Indocement Tunggal Prakarsa Tbk Q3 2017 Results
42 Years Building Indonesia KOKOH
Slide 30 - November 13, 2017
Important Notice
Disclaimer
This presentation contains general information which provided without any representations or warranties, express or implied and does not constitute or form part of, and is not made in connection with, any offer for sale or subscription of or solicitation, recommendation, or invitation of any offer to buy or subscribe for any securities nor shall it or any part of it form the basis of or be relied on in connection with any contract, commitment, or investment decision whatsoever.
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Forward-Looking Statements
This presentation includes forward-looking statements, which are based on the expectation or forecast about future events, formed by Indocement after reviewing existing data and research. Such statements involve known and unknown risks including factors such as: (i)Global macroeconomic and geopolitical situations; (ii) Indonesia macroeconomic and geopolitical situation; (iii) Competition from incumbents and new players; (iii)
Changes in laws, regulation, taxation, or accounting standards or practices; (iv) Acquisitions, divestitures, and various business opportunities that we may pursue; (v)Force majeure; (vi)Labor unrest or other similar situations; (vii)Outcome of pending or threatened litigation
Indocement does not give assurance that such outcome will be attained. If you have any specific questions about any legal, financial or tax matter, you should consult your lawyer/financial/tax Consultant or other professional legal services provider.
For further information please contact PT Indocement Tunggal Prakarsa Tbk. Wisma Indocemen, 8th Floor
Jl. Jend. Sudirman Kav 70 - 71 Jakarta 12910, Indonesia Phone : +62 21 2512121
e-mail: investor.relations@indocement.co.id.