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ELECTRONIC COMMUNICATIONS in PROBABILITY

ON MEAN NUMBERS OF PASSAGE TIMES IN SMALL BALLS OF

DISCRETIZED ITÔ PROCESSES

FRÉDÉRIC BERNARDIN

CETE de Lyon, Laboratoire Régional des Ponts et Chaussées, Clermont-Ferrand, France email: frederic.bernardin@developpement-durable.gouv.fr

MIREILLE BOSSY

INRIA Sophia Antipolis Méditérannée, EPI TOSCA email: Mireille.Bossy@sophia.inria.fr

MIGUEL MARTINEZ

Université Paris-Est Marne-la-Vallée, LAMA, UMR 8050 CNRS email: Miguel.Martinez@univ-mlv.fr

DENIS TALAY

INRIA Sophia Antipolis Méditérannée, EPI TOSCA email: Denis.Talay@sophia.inria.fr

SubmittedDecember 18, 2008, accepted in final formJune 8, 2009 AMS 2000 Subject classification: 60G99

Keywords: Diffusion processes, sojourn times, estimates, discrete times

Abstract

The aim of this note is to prove estimates on mean values of the number of times that Itô pro-cesses observed at discrete times visit small balls inRd. Our technique, in the infinite horizon case, is inspired by Krylov’s arguments in[2, Chap.2]. In the finite horizon case, motivated by an application in stochastic numerics, we discount the number of visits by a locally exploding coef-ficient, and our proof involves accurate properties of last passage times at 0 of one dimensional semimartingales.

1

Introduction

The present work is motivated by two convergence rate analyses concerning discretization schemes for diffusion processes whose generators have non smooth coefficients: Bernardin et al.[1]study discretization schemes for stochastic differential equations with multivalued drift coefficients; Martinez and Talay[4]study discretization schemes for diffusion processes whose infinitesimal generators are of divergence form with discontinuous coefficients. In both cases, to have rea-sonable accuracies, a scheme needs to mimic the local behaviour of the exact solution in small neighborhoods of the discontinuities of the coefficients, in the sense that the expectations of the total times spent by the scheme (considered as a piecewise constant process) and the exact

(2)

tion in these neighborhoods need to be close to each other. The objective of this paper is to provide two estimates for the expectations of such total times spent by fairly general Itô processes observed at discrete times; these estimates concern in particular the discretization schemes studied in the above references (see section 7 for more detailed explanations). To this end, we carefully modify the technique developed by Krylov[2]to prove inequalities of the type

E Z∞

0

eλtf(Xt)d tCkfkLd

for positive Borel functionsf andRd valued continuous controlled diffusion processes(Xt)under

some strong ellipticity condition (see also Krylov and Lipster[3]for extensions in the degenerate case). The difficulties here come from the facts that time is discrete and, in the finite horizon case, we discount by a locally exploding function of time the number of times that the discrete time process visits a given small ball inRd. Another difficulty comes from the fact that, because of the

convergence rate analyses which motivate this work, we aim to get accurate estimates in terms of the time discretization step. Our estimates seem interesting in their own right: they contribute to show the robustness of Krylov’s estimates.

Let(Ω,F,(Ft)t0,P)be a filtered probability space satisfying the usual conditions. Let(Wt)t0be am-dimensional standard Brownian motion on this space. Consider two progressively measurable processes(bt)t0 and(σt)t0taking values respectively inRd and in the spaceMd,m(R)of real d×mdimensional matrices. ForX0inRd, consider the Itô process

Xt=X0+

Z t

0

bsds+

Z t

0

σsdWs. (1)

We assume the following hypotheses:

Assumption 1.1. There exists a positive number K≥1such that,P-a.s.,

t≥0, kbtk ≤K, (2)

and

∀0≤st, 1

K2

Zt

s

ψ(u)du

Zt

s

ψ(u)kσuσukduK2

Zt

s

ψ(u)du (3) for all positive locally integrable mapψ:R+R+.

Notice that (3) is satisfied when(σt)is a bounded continuous process; our slightly more general framework is motivated by the reduction of our study, without loss of generality, to one dimen-sional Itô processes: see section 2.

The aim of this note is to prove the following two results.

Our first result concerns discounted expectations of the total number of times that an Itô process observed at discrete times visits small neighborhoods of an arbitrary point inRd.

Theorem 1.1(Infinite horizon). Let(Xt)be as in (1). Suppose that the hypotheses 1.1 are satisfied. Let h>0. There exists a constant C, depending only on K, such that, for allξRdand0< ǫ <1/2, there exists h0>0(depending onǫ) satisfying

hh0, h

∞ X

p=0

ephkXphξk ≤δhŠh, (4)

(3)

Our second result concerns expectations of the number of times that an Itô process, observed at discrete times between 0 and a finite horizon T, visits small neighborhoods of an arbitrary point ξ inRd. In this setting, the expectations are discounted with a function f(t)which may tend to infinity when t tends to T. Such a discount factor induces technical difficulties which might seem artificial to the reader. However, this framework is necessary to analyze the convergence rate of simulation methods for Markov processes whose generators are of divergence form with discontinuous coefficients: see section 7 and Martinez and Talay[4]. More precisely, we consider functions f satisfying the following hypotheses:

Assumption 1.2.

1. f is positive and increasing, 2. f belongs to C1([0,T);R+),

3. fαis integrable on[0,T)for all1≤α <2, 4. there exists1< β <1+η, whereη:= 1

4K4, such that

ZT

0

f2β−1(v)f′(v)(Tv)

1+η

d v <+∞. (5)

Remember that we have supposed K 1. An example of a suitable function f is the function t p1

Tt (for which one can chooseβ=1+

1 8K4).

Theorem 1.2(Finite horizon). Let(Xt)be as in (1). Suppose that the hypotheses 1.1 are satisfied. Let f be a function on[0,T)satisfying the hypotheses 1.2. There exists a constant C, depending only on β, K and T , such that, for allξRd and0< ǫ <1/2, there exists h0> 0(depending onǫ) satisfying

hh0, h

Nh

X

p=0

f(ph)P€kXphξk ≤δhŠh, (6)

where Nh:=⌊T/h⌋ −1and whereδh:=h1/2−ǫ.

Remark1.1. Since all the norms inRd are equivalent, without loss of generality we may choose

kYk=sup1idYi

,Yidenoting theithcomponent ofY.

Remark1.2. ChangingX0intoX0−ξallows us to limit ourselves to the caseξ=0 without loss of

generality, which we actually do in the sequel.

2

Reduction to one dimensional

(

X

t

)

’s

In order to prove Theorem 1.1, it suffices to prove that, for all 1idandhh0,

h

∞ X

p=0

ephP 

X

i ph

δh

‹

h,

or, similarly, for Theorem 1.2

h Nh

X

p=0

f(ph)P

|Xphi | ≤δh

(4)

Set

The martingale representation theorem implies that there exist a process(fi

t)t≥0and a standard

Ft-Brownian motion(Bt)t≥0on an extension of the original probability space, such that

Mti=

Therefore it suffices to prove Theorems 1.1 and 1.2 for all one dimensional Itô process

Xt=

3

An estimate for a localizing stopping time

In this section we prove a key proposition which is a variant of Theorem 4 in[2, Chap.2]: here we need to consider time indices and stopping times which take values in a mesh with step-sizeh. We carefully modify Krylov’s arguments. We start by introducing two non-decreasing sequences of random times(θh

Our goal is then to prove the following equality :

E It is easy to see that (11) holds if the sequence

θh p

(5)

Proposition 3.1. Let(Xt)be as in (7). Suppose that conditions (8) and (9) hold true. Letθ:ΩhN

be a(Ft)-stopping time. Thenτ:=inf{thN,tθ,X

t

≥1}is a(F

t)-stopping time, and

1τ<+eτ

Fθ

Š

≤ 1

ch(µ)eθ1

θ <+a.s., (13)

where

µ >0and1(1/2)K2µ2=0. Proof. Setπ(z):=cosh(µz)for allzinRand

Luπ(z):=buπ′(z) +1

2σ

2

′′(z). LetA∈ Fθ. Suppose that we have proven that, for allt>0,

etθeτπ(XtτXtθ)

F

tθ

Š

. (14)

Then we would have

1A1θ <+eθ Š

= lim t→+∞E

€

1A1θt eθt

Š

≥ lim

t→+∞E €

1A1θt E

€

eτπ(XtτXtθ)

F

tθ

ŠŠ

= lim t→+∞E

€

1A1θt E

€

eτπ(XtτXtθ)

Fθ

ŠŠ

= lim

t→+∞E 1A1θt eτπ(X

tτXtθ)

= lim

t→+∞E 1A1θ <+e

τπ(1)

≥E 1A cosh(µ)1τ<+eτ

,

and thus the desired result would have been obtained. We now prove the inequality (14). Fixt≥0 arbitrarily and set

B1:={tθ} ∩ {tτ}={tθ},

and

C1:={t> θ} ∩ {tτ}={t> θ} ∩¦s[θ,t]hN,X

s

<1

©

.

The setsB1andC1areFt-measurable. Consequently the set{tτ}isFt-measurable and thusτ is a(Ft)-stopping time.

To show (14), we start with checking that,P-a.s, for all 0standzR, Z t

s

ψ(u) π(z)Luπ(z)

ducosh(µz)

11 2K

2µ2

Zt

s

ψ(u)du=0 (15) for all positive locally bounded mapψ:R+R+. Indeed, for allzRandu0,

π(z)Luπ(z) =cosh(µz)−µbusinh(µz)− 1 2µ

2σ2

ucosh(µz).

(6)

Now, we observe that supθteγXθ is integrable for allγ > 0 since by (9), (b

t) and(〈Xt) are bounded. This justifies the following equality deduced from the Itô’s formula : for allyR,

etθπ(Xtθ+y) =E

Therefore, by Fatou’s lemma and (16),

eτπ(X

We end this section by the following

Lemma 3.1. For all p0,

whereµis defined as in Proposition 3.1.

Proof. Apply Proposition 3.1 to the stopping timesθh

p andτhp. It comes

(7)

4

Estimate for the localized problem in the infinite horizon

set-ting

In this section we aim to prove the following lemma.

Lemma 4.1. Consider a one dimensional Itô process (7) satisfying (8) and (9). Letθ:ΩhNbe

aFt-stopping time such that Xθ∈[−δhh]almost surely. Letτbe the stopping timeτ:=inf{tθ,thN,XtXθ

≥1}. There exists a constant C, independent of θ andτ, such that, for all h

small enough,

E ‚

1θ <+∞ Zτ

θ

eηs1[−δh,δh](Xηs)ds

Œ

hpE 1θ <+eθ

. (18)

Proof. To start with, we construct a functionI whose second derivative is1[−2δh,2δh]in order to be able to apply Itô’s formula. LetI :RRbe defined as

I(z) = 

 

 

0 ifz≤ −h,

1 2z

2+

hz+2δh2 if −2δhz≤2δh, 4δhz if 2δhz.

(19)

The map I is of class C1(R)and of classC2(R\({−h} ∪ {h})). In addition, for allz R,

I′′(z) = 1[−2δh,2δh](z) (we set I

′′(

h) = I′′(2δh) = 1). For h small enough, there exists a constantCindependent ofhsuch that

sup

−1−δhz≤1+δh|

I(z)| ≤h, sup z∈R

I′(z)

h. (20)

Set

qh:=1θ <+∞ Zτ

θ eηs1

[−δh,δh](Xηs)ds, (21)

and observe that, for alls0,

{Xηs∈[−δh,δh]}

{Xηs∈[−δh,δh]} ∩ {Xs∈[−2δh, 2δh]}

Š

∪€{Xηs∈[−δh,δh]} ∩ {Xs/[−2δh, 2δh]}

Š

,

so that

1[−δh,δh](Xηs)≤1[−2δh,2δh](Xs) +1[−δh,δh](Xηs)1R\[−2δh,2δh](Xs). (22) From (21) and (22),

qhAh+Bh, (23)

where

Ah=1θ <+∞ Zτ

θ

eηs1[−2δh,2δh](Xs)ds (24) and

Bh=1θ <+∞ Zτ

θ

(8)

An upper bound forAh. In view of (9), one has

s)σsdWs) is a uniformly square integrable martingale. Thus, the limit

R∞

0 e

sI(X

s)σsdWs exists a.s. As I′′ is continuous except at points−2δhand 2δh, an extended Itô’s formula (see, e.g., Protter[5, Thm.71,Chap.IV]) implies

Ah1θ <+K2eh

(9)

Bernstein inequality for martingales):

One then deduces (18) from (21), (23), (27) and (28).

5

End of the proof of Theorem 1.1

We apply Lemmas 4.1 and 3.1 and the equality (11) and deduce

hE

which ends the proof of Theorem 1.1.

6

Proof of Theorem 1.2

In the finite horizon setting, we do not need to localize by means of an appropriate sequence of stopping times as in the preceding section. We may start from

(10)

In view of (22) we have

E 

h

Nh

X

p=0

f(ph)1[−δh,δh](Xph)

≤E Z T

0

f(ηs)1[−2δh,2δh](Xs)ds

!

+

Nh

X

p=0

DhpŠ

=:Ah(T) +

Nh

X

p=0

E

Dhp

,

(30)

where for allp∈ {0, . . . ,Nh}

Dhp:=

Z(p+1)h

ph

f(ηs)1[δh,δh](Xηs)1R\[−2δh,2δh](Xs)ds. (31)

An upper bound forAh(T).

In view of (9), as the function f is increasing, one has

Ah(T)K2E Z T

0

f(s)1[−2δh,2δh](Xs)σ

2

sds

!

.

Since we may have lim

sT f(s) = +∞, the proof of Lemma 4.1 does not apply.

Setτy:=inf{s>0 : Xsy=0}. The generalized occupation time formula (see, e.g., Revuz and Yor[6, Ex.1.15,Chap.VI]) implies that

E Z T

0

f(s)1[−2δh,2δh](Xs)σ

2

sds

!

= Z

R

d y1[−2δh,2δh](y)E

Z T

0

f(s)d Lsy(X) !

= Z

R

d y1[−2δh,2δh](y)E 1τyT

ZT

τy

f(s)d Lsy(X) !

,

(32)

where{Lsy(X) : s∈[0,T],y∈R}denotes a bi-continuous càdlàg version of the local time of the

process(Xt)t≥0.

Our aim now is to bound from aboveE 

1τyTRT τy

f(s)d Ly s(X)

‹

uniformly in yin[h, 2δh]. It clearly suffices to show that there exists a constantCT depending onlyβ,K andT, such that

E ZT

0

f(s)d L0s(Y) !

CT, (33)

where the semimartingaleY is defined asY:=Xy.

Because f is not square integrable over [0,T), we arbitrarily choose γ > 0. Now f is square integrable on[0,Tγ] and the function t7→Rt

0 f(s)d L 0

s(Y)is the local time of the local semi-martingale

{f(gt)Yt, t∈[0,Tγ]},

where gt := sup{s < t : Ys = 0} (see, e.g., Revuz and Yor [6, Sec.4,Chap.VI]). The Stieltjes measure induced by the functions7→f(gs)has supportZ :={s0 : Ys=0}, and therefore

ZTγ

0

(11)

so that Itô-Tanaka formula implies

Apply Theorem 4.2 of Chap.VI in[6]. It comes:

|f(gTγ)YTγ|

Coming back to (34) we deduce

E

Thus, asβ >1 by assumption, (33) will be proven if we can show that

ZT

where ˜Pis the probability measure defined by a Girsanov transformation removing the drift of (Yt, 0≤tT).

In addition, the Dubins-Schwarz theorem implies that there exists a ˜P-Brownian Motion(B˜t)t0

(12)

For 0v<sset

Therefore, using (9),

(13)

As f is increasing, we deduce

˜

f2β(gs)—= Z f(s)

f(0)

˜

f2β(gs)u—du+f2β(0)

= Z f(s)

f(0)

˜

gs(f2β)−1(u)—du+f2β(0)

= Zs

0

˜

Pgsvf2β−1(v)f′(v)d v+f2β(0)

CT

Zs

0

sv s

1

4K4

f2β−1(v)f′(v)d v+f2β(0).

Therefore, using the Fubini-Tonelli theorem for positive functions and the hypothesis (5), we get

ZT

0

˜

f2β(gs)

Š

dsCT

ZT

0

d v f2β−1(v)f′(v) Z T

v

sv s

1

4K4

ds+CTT f2β(0)

CT

ZT

0

d v v

1 4K4

f2β−1(v)f′(v)(Tv)1+

1 4K4 +C

TT f2β(0) <+.

(37)

In view of (32), (33), (36), and (37), we deduce that

Ah(T)CTδh. (38)

An upper bound forDhp. We proceed as in the proof of Lemma 4.1. We recall thatMs:=

Rs

0σudWu.

The main modification is the following one: As

Dhp

Zh

0

f(ph)1[δh/2,+)€Ms+phMph Š

ds,

we deduce

EDhpE Zh

0

f(ph)1sup

0≤us|Mu+phMph|≥δh/2ds

!

f(ph)E Zh

0

1sup

0≤us|Mu+phMph|≥δh/2ds

!

C f(ph)exp

‚

− 1

16K2

δ2

h h

Œ

C h f(ph)δh.

(14)

From (30), (38), and (39), we deduce that

hE 

Nh

X

p=0

f(ph)1[−δh,δh](Xph)

≤CTδh+h

Nh

X

p=0

h f(ph)

CTδh+Cδh

Z T

0

f(s)ds

CTδh. This ends the proof of Theorem 1.2.

7

Appendix

In this section, we shortly explain why our sharp estimates are useful in the convergence rate analysis of discretization schemes for stochastic differential equations with irregular coefficients. Consider a standard stochastic differential equation with smooth coefficients b andσ. Denote by Pt the transition operator of the solution (Xt). Let (Xh

t) be the Euler discretization scheme with step-sizeh. A now classical result (see Talay [7]) is that, for all smooth function f, or all measurable function f under an hypoellipticity condition,

C>0, n1, Ef(Xh

T)−Ef(XT) =Ch+O(h2). A preliminary step in the proof consists in getting the following expansion:

Ef(XhT)Ef(XT) =h2 Nh

X

p=0

ph,Xhph

+

Nh

X

p=0

Rhp; (40)

here we have setNh:=T/h⌋ −1 and RhN

h:=

Ef(XhT)E(Phf)(XhTh);

for allp<n1, the functionΨ(ph,·)can be expressed in terms of the functionsb,σ,u(ph,·):=

PTphf(·)and their derivatives up to order 5;Rhpis a sum of terms, each one of the form

E 

ϕ♮

α(Xhph)

Z(p+1)h

ph

Zs1

ph

Zs2

ph

(ϕα(Xh

s3)∂αu(s3,X

h s3) +ϕ

α(Xs3)∂αu(s3,Xs3))ds3ds2ds1

,

with|α| ≤6; the functionsϕα’s,ϕ♯α’s,ϕα’s are products of functions which are partial derivatives up to order 3 ofbandσ.

A next step in the proof consists in proving that

C>0, ∀h<1, max

0≤pNh−1

|Rhp| ≤Ch3,

either by using the smoothness up to T of the function u(s,x) when f is smooth, or by using Malliavin calculus techniques when f is measurable only. In both cases, the smoothness ofband σis necessary.

(15)

than h1/2−ε, one needs to modify (40) by considering the eventAh p := [X

h ph∈ C

h], whereChis

a neighborhood of the singularities whose size depends onh: to summarize long and technical calculations, one expandsu((p+1)h,Xh(p+1)h)u(ph,Xhph)only whenAh(p+1)orAhpdo not occur; if Ah(p+1)andAhp occur, one needs to take into account sharp estimates onP(Ah

p). In the case where the generator of(Xt)is a divergence form operator with a discontinuous coefficient, one even has to get sharp estimates on

Nh

X

p=0

1

p

Tph

P(Ahp)

where the extra factor p 1

Tph

comes from the explosion rate in time of the spatial derivatives

ofu(Tt,x)near the singularities ofσ(see Martinez and Talay[4]for details).

References

[1] F. Bernardin, M. Bossy and D. Talay, Viscosity solutions of parabolic differential inclusions and weak convergence rate of discretizations of multi-valued stochastic differential equations. In preparation.

[2] N.V. Krylov,Controlled diffusion processes, Springer-Verlag, New-Yor, Heidelberg, Berlin, 1980. MR0601776

[3] N.V. Krylov and R. Lipster,On diffusion approximation with discontinuous coefficients, Stoch. Proc. Appl., vol. 102, no2, pp. 235-264, Elsevier, 2002. MR1935126

[4] M. Martinez and D. Talay,Time discretization of one dimensional Markov processes with gener-ators under divergence form with discontinuous coefficients. Submitted for publication, 2009. [5] P. Protter,Stochastic Integration and Differential Equations, Stoch. Modelling and Appl. Prob.,

vol. 21, Springer, 2005. MR2273672

[6] D. Revuz and M. Yor,Continuous Martingales and Brownian Motion, vol. 293, Springer-Verlag, Berlin, 1999.

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