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Monitoring Universal Health Coverage (UHC) in

Low- and Middle-Income Countries

Ajay Tandon

Lead Economist

Global Practice on Health, Nutrition, and Population

World Bank

1818 H Street, NW Washington, DC, USA

Indonesia Health Economics Association Annual Meeting

(2)

What is UHC?

Earlier UHC definition: “… ensuring all people receive all the health

services they need, without suffering financial hardship.”

Recently updated/elaborated UHC definition: “… ensuring that all

people can use the

promotive

,

preventive

,

curative

,

rehabilitative

,

and

palliative health services they need

, of

sufficient quality to be

effective

, while also ensuring the use of

these services does not expose the user to

financial hardship

.

 What sets UHC apart from some previous global objectives (e.g.,

“health for all”) is the explicit focus on financial protection.

 UHC is about progressively reducing both the ill-health burden and the

economic burden of disease.

 Increasing effective coverage of health interventions and reducing

dependence on OOP payments as well as increasing financing from

prepaid/pooled sources is key to making progress towards to UHC.

(3)

“The Four U’s”: Health Shocks…

 …are unwanted/undesirable.

unlike many other goods/services, people

do not generally choose to consume medical care.

 …are uncertain/unpredictable.

 …are uncommon, usually concentrated in

a relatively small share of the population.

 …occur in unison with financial shocks.

direct OOP health-related expenditures.indirect costs due to inability to work, etc.

 UHC recognizes this health

shock-financial shock duality and these characters make health amenable to financing from prepaid/pooled sources.

(4)

More Than a 100 Countries Globally Have

Attained or Have Committed to Attaining UHC

Bangladesh

2032

Vietnam

2020

Indonesia

2019

Lao PDR

2025

Myanmar

2030

India

2022

Philippines

2016

Thailand

2002

(5)

UHC is One of the Sustainable Development

Goals (SDGs)

SDG 3.8: “achieve universal health coverage, including financial risk protection, access to quality essential health-care

(6)

Conceptualizing UHC

1.

Population Coverage

(“BREADTH”)

2.

Service Coverage

(“SCOPE”)

3.

Financial Coverage

(“DEPTH”)

(7)

WHO-WB Recommended UHC Monitoring

Indicators

Preventive/Promotive:

Access to modern contraceptives

ANC coverage

Skilled birth attendance

DPT3 immunization

Non-smoking rates

Access to improved water sources

Access to improved sanitation

Treatment:

ARV coverage

Hypertension treatment

TB treatment coverage

Diabetes treatment coverage

Financial Protection:

OOP spending as share of household consumption

(8)

Catastrophic and Impoverishing OOP Health

Expenditures

Catastrophic payments:

Percentage of households whose OOP health expenditure exceeds 25% of total consumption

Impoverishing expenditure:

Percentage of households who are impoverished and pushed deeper into poverty by OOP heath expenditures, using US$1.90 and US$3.10 poverty lines

Cumulative % of households Poverty

line

Consumption (C) = Medical (M) + Non-Medical (NM)

NM C

M>0.25(C)

M<0.25(C)

Non-catastrophic OOP

Catastrophic OOP

Impoverishing OOP

(9)

Source: 2015 WHO-WB Global Monitoring Report

(10)

Not Only are Levels Improving, but Inequalities

are Narrowing

EQUALITY

PRO-RICH INEQUALITIES

(11)

Source: WHO-WBG Global Monitoring Report Data: 2013

Currently 400 million people

lack at least one of these seven essential services

(12)

Hypertensive adults disaggregated by diagnosis and treatment status

… and for NCDs.

(13)

Coverage of selected interventions in selected LICs and LMICS, by wealth quintile

Share of hypertensive adults on medication in selected LICs and LMICs, by wealth quintile

And Substantial Inequalities Persist …

(14)

Regional coverage in 2000 (baseline) and 2013 (endline)

(15)

WHO-WB UHC Monitoring Framework Results

UHC Preventive/Promotive Indicators

Source: World Development Indicators

Country planningFamily ANC Skilledbirth

attendance DPT3

Tobacco

non-use Water Sanitation

Brazil 80% 96% 99% 93% 83% 98% 81%

Cambodia 51% 89% 71% 97% 76% 71% 37%

China 85% 95% 100% 99% 75% 92% 65%

India 55% 75% 67% 83% 87% 93% 36%

Indonesia 62% 96% 83% 78% 62% 85% 59%

Lao PDR 50% 53% 40% 88% 65% 72% 65%

Malaysia 49% 97% 99% 97% 77% 100% 96%

Philippines 49% 95% 73% 79% 73% 92% 74%

Russia 68% 100% 100% 97% 59% 97% 70%

South Africa 60% 97% 94% 70% 80% 95% 74%

Sri Lanka 68% 99% 99% 99% 85% 94% 92%

Thailand 79% 98% 100% 99% 78% 96% 93%

Vietnam 78% 96% 94% 95% 76% 95% 75%

East Asia & Pacific 48% 90% 83% 86% 71% 87% 67%

(16)

UHC Treatment Indicators UHC Financial Protection

Country ARV TB

Brazil 46% 72%

Cambodia 71% 94%

China 52% 95%

India 36% 88%

Indonesia 8% 86%

Lao PDR 30% 90%

Malaysia 21% 78%

Philippines 24% 88%

Russia 29% 69%

South Africa 45% 77%

Sri Lanka 19% 86%

Thailand 61% 81%

Vietnam 37% 91%

East Asia & Pacific 38% 88%

Lower middle income 29% 82%

Country

Prepaid/pooled share of total

health expenditure OOP<25 % consum ption Neither pushed nor further pushed into poverty

Brazil 70% 97% 97%

Cambodia 40% 97% 83%

China 66% 87% 90%

India 42% 99% 72%

Indonesia 54% 99% 82%

Lao PDR 60% 100% 93%

Malaysia 64% 100% 99%

Philippines 43% 100% 78%

Russia 52% 100% 100%

South Africa 93% 100% 93%

Sri Lanka 53% 100% 99%

Thailand 89% 100% 100%

Vietnam 51% 95% 75%

East Asia & Pacific 76% 98% 87%

Lower middle-income 60% 97% 84%

(17)

Financial Protection in Indonesia

Although OOP health spending is generally regressive, this is not the case for Indonesia; Most of

the impoverishing effects of health spending occur right above the poverty line among the near

poor.

“Pen's Parade” for catastrophic and impoverishing OOP OOP spending on health by economic decile

Decile share of total OOP health spending

OOP health spending share of total consumption

0 10 20 30 40 50 P er ce nt ag e (% )

Poorest 3rd 5th 7th Highest Economic deciles

Source: SUSENAS (2015)

Poverty line

Consumption post OOP health spending

10 00 25 00 50 00 10 00 0 25 00 0 H ou se ho ld c on su m pt io n pe r ca pi ta

Note: Poverty line based on Statistcs Indonesia (BPS-March 2015 period)

670,000 households (1%) face catastrophic health expenditures 1 million households (2%) impoverished

(18)

UHC Attainment Index

India CambodiaSolomon Islands

Vietnam Rusia China Sri Lanka Thailand Lao PDR Brazil Malaysia Philippines Indonesia LOW INCOME LOWER MIDDLE INCOME UPPER MIDDLE

INCOME HIGH INCOME

20 40 60 80 10 0 U H C a tt ai nm en t in de x

250 500 1000 2500 10000 35000 100000 GNI per capita, US$

Source : WDI

(19)

Key Take-Away Messages

UHC has three dimensions:

(i) number of people

covered; (ii) services

covered; and (iii) financial

protection

Progress towards UHC

should not be measured by

number of JKN cards

distributed

Globally, much progress on

coverage for ex-MDG

interventions; however,

inequalities remain

Progress on effective

coverage for NCDs remains

relatively weak globally

Indonesia needs to make

more progress on family

planning, sanitation,

tobacco, immunization,

NCDs, and reduce OOP

spending for health

UHC is about ensuring both

effective coverage and

(20)

SDGs Population Health Outcomes in Indonesia

Maternal mortality ratio

Under-five mortality rate

Neonatal mortality rate

5

1

2

2

5

7

0

2

50

7

50

1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2030 Year

Source: WDI

Note: maternal mortality per 100,000; under-five/neonatal mortality per 1,000 live births

(21)

THANK YOU

Ajay Tandon

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