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Business Analysis and Valuation 4

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(1)

Adapted from: Tim Miller, CLU, FALU, FLMI

(Munich American Reassurance)

(2)
(3)

Perspective on U.S. Business

In 2002 total receipts for all

U.S. firms was 22.8 trillion

dollars.

Of that amount only 770 billion

dollars was generated by

non-employer firms.

Employer firms made up about

24% of all firms and accounted

for over 96% of all receipts.

(4)

Perspective on U.S. Business

According to the U.S.

Census Bureau in 2004

there were a total of

25,409,525 businesses.

Of that number 5,885,784

were classified as employer

firms ( having a payroll ).

Firms with 100 or more

(5)

Perspective on U.S. Business

In 2004 about three quarters

of all U.S. business firms had

no payroll.

They are called non-employer

firms. There were a total of

19,523,741 firms.

They only accounted for

about 3.4 percent of business

receipts, which was over 887

billion dollars.

These firms are not included

(6)
(7)

Financial Statement Analysis

Balance Sheet

Assets

Current Assets:

• Cash and cash equivalents • Investments

• Accounts receivable net of allowance for doubtful accounts • Inventories

Long-term Assets

• Equipment

• Land and Building

(8)

Financial Statement Analysis

Other assets

• Long-term investments

• Goodwill and other intangible assets

Total Assets

Liabilities

Current Liabilities

• Notes payable • Accounts payable

• Interest ( current portion ) • Taxes payable

Long-term Liabilities

(9)

Financial Statement Analysis

• Bonds payable

• Notes payable

Total Liabilities

Stockholder’s Equity

• Common stock

• Retained earnings

Total Liabilities and Stockholder’s Equity

(10)

Financial Statement Analysis

Income Statement

Sales / Revenues

minus Cost of Sales / Revenues ( a.k.a. COGS ) =

Gross Profit

minus Operating Expenses =

Operating Income

plus/minus non-operating expenses/income =

Total Income

Minus income taxes =

(11)

Financial Statement Analysis

•Measure of ability to meet current obligations

•A ratio of 2:1 or higher is considered sufficient, a number less than 2 is suspect

(12)

Financial Statement Analysis

•The quick ratio is an indication of the ability of a company to quickly convert assets to cash to meet obligations in the event of an emergency.

(13)

Financial Statement Analysis

Debt Utilization Ratios

(14)

Financial Statement Analysis

•This ratio looks at the relationship between total assets and total debt •The amount of debt used to finance total assets.

(15)

Financial Statement Analysis

•This ratio looks at the relationship between debt and owner’s equity or stockholder’s •It is a measure of the riskiness of a company’s capital structure.

•The higher the proportion of debt the greater the risk to creditors.

(16)

Financial Statement Analysis

Times

Interest

Earned

Operating Profit

Interest Expense

•measures the ability of a company to pay interest expense associated with debt from operating profits

(17)

Financial Statement Analysis

(18)

Financial Statement Analysis

Return on Equity

•Rate of return relative to equity invested in business

(19)

Financial Statement Analysis

Operating Profit Margin

OPM

Operating

Profit

Net Sales

•Measure profit per percentage of each sales dollar

(20)

Financial Statement Analysis

Return on Assets

ROA

Net

Earnings

Total

Assets

•Also known as Return on Investment (ROI) •Indicates profitability relative to total assets

(21)

Financial Statement Analysis

(22)
(23)
(24)

Business Valuation

(25)

Business Valuation

(26)

Business Valuation

(27)

Business Valuation

Capitalization of Earnings

A valuation technique under the income approach where a

single representative period is used to determine a value for a

business through application of a capitalization rate. This

expressed as:

Value

Income

(28)

Business Valuation

(29)
(30)

Business Valuation

Capitalization of Earnings

Capitalization Rate –

Business Type / Perceived Risk

RISK

(31)

Business Valuation

Several models have been developed to classify businesses

into groups based on business characteristics with risk levels

assigned. The following model was authored by Arthur Stone

Dewing ( The Financial Policy of Corporations, 5

th

Edition, The

(32)

Business Valuation

Category Capitalization Rate Multiple

Old established business with significant hard

assets and excellent goodwill

10% 10

Well- established business requiring considerable

managerial care 12.5% 8

Strong, well developed businesses susceptible to general economic swings and requiring considerable managerial care

15% 7

Highly competitive

businesses with low levels of hard assets requiring average levels of

managerial care

(33)

Business Valuation

Category Capitalization Rate Multiple

Small, highly competitive businesses requiring little capital investment

25% 4

Large or small businesses requiring special

managerial skills of one or more persons with little capital investment and in highly competitive fields where failure is a strong possibility

50% 2

Personal service businesses whose

success reflects the skill of the manager

(34)

Business Valuation

Case Sample

- Capitalization of Earnings

A sole proprietor owns a small printing operation. The business

is well established with stable earnings and a good

competitive position in the market. The company has a net

income of $100,000. This company may be considered

(35)

Business Valuation

(36)

Business Valuation

Discounted Future Earnings

RISK

RISK

Earnings Unpredictable, Highly Competitive Market, Questionable Competitive

(37)

Business Valuation

The discount rate used is reflective of the amount of risk for the particular

business in question. That is, the amount of uncertainty around realizing

the expected future earnings stream. The greater the perceived risk, the

higher the discount rate and the lower the valuation for the business.

As with the Capitalization of Earnings Method there are several models

that have been developed. One such methodology was authored by

James H. Schilt ( “ A Rational Approach to Capitalization Rates for

Discounting the Future Income Stream of Closely Held Companies,” The

Financial Planner, January 1982 ) and offers five categories with

(38)

Business Valuation

Category Discount Rate

#1 – Established businesses, good trade position, good management, stable past

earnings, predictable future 6 – 10%

#2 – Same as #1 except in more

competitive industries 11 – 15%

#3 – Companies in highly competitive industries, with little capital investment and no management depth, although with good historical earnings record

16 – 20%

#4 – Small businesses that depend on the skill of one or two people, or large companies in highly cyclical industries

with very low predictability 21 – 15%

#5 – Small personal service businesses

(39)

Business Valuation

Year Cash Flow Discount Factor

10% Present Value

1 $100,000 0.9091 $90,910

2 $103,000 0.8264 $85,119

3 $106,090 0.7513 $79,705

4 $109,270 0.6830 $74,631

5 $112,550 0.6209 $69,882

6 $115,930 0.5645 $65,442

7 $119,410 0.5132 $61,281

8 $122,990 0.4665 $57,333

9 $126,680 0.4241 $53,725

10 $130,480 0.3855 $50,300

(40)

Business Valuation

In this

example

we have a company with projected revenues of

$1,146,400 over the next 10 years. Using a discount rate of

10% applied to each of the ten years a total figure of

$688,328 is calculated. This is amount represents the value of

that revenue stream today to a potential buyer given the

assumptions made. A business with a perceived higher risk

would be given a higher discount rate and the value

(41)

Business Valuation

(42)

Business Valuation

Valuing Professional Practices

(43)

Business Valuation

Goodwill

(44)

Business Valuation

Factors Affecting Value

(45)

Business Valuation

Cash Basis Accounting

In professional practices cash-basis accounting is often used.

This may make some financial statement adjustments

(46)

Historical Perspective on Valuation

Based on historical prices for businesses sold, it was noted the multiple of

owner’s discretionary income ( ODI ) increased with the amount of ODI.

ODI Multiple

< $100,000 1.2 – 2.4

$100,000 to $250,000 2.0 – 3.2

>$250,000 to $500,000 2.5 – 3.6

>$500,000 to $1,000,000 2.5 – 4.2

Over $1,000,000 EBITDA was

used 3.5 – 5.5

$2,000,000 5 +

(47)

Historical Perspective

(48)

Historical Perspective

(49)

Resources

www.bizcomps.com (pay)

www.bizminer.com (pay)

www.valuationrresources.com (pay)

(50)

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