Riset Teknikal Saham Harian

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Analisa Teknikal

Riset Teknikal Saham Harian

Samuel Research 01 Agustus 2017

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Dalam Uptrend Menuju Resistance 5,910

IHSG masih dalam potensi Uptrend menguji Resistance 5,910 dengan target ke 6,100 dalam 3 bulan ke depan. Penurunan di bawah 5,800 berpotensi membatalkan potensi Uptrend dan menjebak IHSG kembali dalam Sideways. Sektor yang layak dipilih adalah : Telecom, Construction dan Industrial

Area. Sektor untuk Bottom Fishing adalah : Coal dan Mineral. Waspadai

sektor : Cigarettes, FMCG, Poultry dan Oil&Gas.

Day Trading Recommendation LQ45 : UNVR

Non-LQ45 : SSIA dan MIKA Swing Trading Recommendation Add : No Change

Drop : No Change Concern : -

 Commodity Related : Oil&Gas (MEDC), Coal (ITMG)

 Consumer Related : Retail (MAPI)

 Infrastructure Related : Telecom (TLKM), Toll (JSMR)

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Riset Teknikal Saham Harian

1 August 2017

Day Trading Recommendation

Saham Last Price 1D %Ch Supp.1 Supp.2 Resist.1 Resist.2 Daily Target Cut Loss

SSIA 685 0.7 670 660 700 720 700 670

MIKA 2240 3.7 2170 2100 2280 2320 2290 2195

UNVR 48950 1.2 47920 46880 49770 50580 44950 47975

 Tidak ada yang masuk ke dalam Swing Trading Recommendation

Swing Trading Recommendation

Stock 1st Add Date 1st Add

Open Price Latest Close % Change Since Add Estimated Target % Upside Potential Since Last Close Entry Timing

ITMG 7-Jul-17 18,350 20,000 9.0% 25,000 25.0% Wait

MEDC 18-Jul-17 2,450 2,660 8.6% 3,800 42.9% Wait

MAPI 3-Mar-17 5,350 6,300 17.8% 7,650 21.4% Wait

TLKM 23-May-17 4,500 4,690 4.2% 5,400 15.1% Wait

JSMR 8-May-17 4,750 5,850 23.2% 6,200 6.0% Wait

BBCA 23-Mar-17 16,400 18,700 14.0% 20,500 9.6% Wait

BBRI 26-Apr-17 13,150 14,775 12.4% 16,800 13.7% Now

BBTN 16-Jan-17 1,900 2,600 36.8% 2,900 11.5% Wait

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Riset Teknikal Saham Harian

1 August 2017

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Recommendation Charts

SSIA (Rp685) : Mengawali Uptrend Menuju Rp800 sampai Rp850

SSIA membuka peluang untuk segera mengawali Uptrend menuju Rp800 dengan Breakout Rp700. Karena SSIA masih mempertahankan Uptrend sejak Jan'17, sangat mungkin SSIA melewati Rp800 dan menuju Rp850. Waspadai penurunan di bawah Rp650

MIKA (Rp2,240) : Bullish Reversal Menuju Rp2,500

MIKA terindikasi membentuk Bullish Reversal dengan target menuju Rp2,500 setelah Breakout Resistance di

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Riset Teknikal Saham Harian

1 August 2017

UNVR (Rp48,950) : Segera Breakout Rp49,000 Dan Menuju Rp53,000

UNVR sedang membentuk Bullish Continuation dengan potensi menuju Rp53,000 setelah Breakout Rp49,000.

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1 August 2017 www.samuel.co.id _{Page 5 of 7}

Sectoral Movement

Benchmark 1D %Ch 5D %Ch IHSG 0.17 0.68

Relation / Sector 1D %Ch 5D %Ch Real Rise Fake Fall Real Fall Fake Rise Staples (2.34) (5.46) 7.7% 7.7% 61.5% 23.1% Cigarettes (3.69) (2.58) 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0%

FMCG (0.85) (1.23) 12.5% 0.0% 50.0% 37.5%

Poultry (2.47) (12.57) 0.0% 33.3% 66.7% 0.0% Relation / Sector 1D %Ch 5D %Ch Real Rise Fake Fall Real Fall Fake Rise Discretionary 1.07 0.48 23.5% 11.8% 35.3% 29.4% Auto 1.66 (0.12) 33.3% 0.0% 33.3% 33.3% Healthcare 0.84 2.64 50.0% 0.0% 50.0% 0.0% Pharmacy 0.48 0.04 0.0% 50.0% 0.0% 50.0% Retail 0.42 (1.03) 14.3% 14.3% 42.9% 28.6% Media 1.97 0.85 33.3% 0.0% 33.3% 33.3%

Relation / Sector 1D %Ch 5D %Ch Real Rise Fake Fall Real Fall Fake Rise Infrastructure 0.76 2.61 42.1% 21.1% 21.1% 15.8% Cement 0.33 0.75 0.0% 25.0% 50.0% 25.0% Telecom 1.06 3.29 66.7% 0.0% 33.3% 0.0% Construction 0.61 2.84 60.0% 20.0% 0.0% 20.0% Industrial Area (0.46) 0.74 40.0% 40.0% 20.0% 0.0% Toll 2.26 5.43 50.0% 0.0% 0.0% 50.0%

Relation / Sector 1D %Ch 5D %Ch Real Rise Fake Fall Real Fall Fake Rise Interest 0.99 1.26 21.1% 15.8% 31.6% 31.6%

Banking 1.12 2.53 12.5% 12.5% 25.0% 50.0%

Residential 0.86 (0.02) 27.3% 18.2% 36.4% 18.2% Relation / Sector 1D %Ch 5D %Ch Real Rise Fake Fall Real Fall Fake Rise Commodity (1.06) 1.43 4.5% 31.8% 36.4% 27.3%

Coal (0.65) 1.49 14.3% 28.6% 28.6% 28.6%

CPO (1.07) (3.66) 0.0% 16.7% 33.3% 50.0%

Mineral (1.70) 4.66 0.0% 75.0% 25.0% 0.0%

Oil&Gas (0.81) 3.22 0.0% 20.0% 60.0% 20.0%

 Infrastructure Related dapat menjadi pilihan utama hari ini. Commodity Related dapat menjadi pilihan alternatif  Sektor yang layak dipilih adalah : Telecom, Construction dan Industrial Area

 Sektor untuk Bottom Fishing adalah : Coal dan Mineral  Waspadai sektor : Cigarettes, FMCG, Poultry dan Oil&Gas

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Riset Teknikal Saham Harian

1 August 2017

Technical Analysis Glossary

Support : Level harga dimana berpotensi menahan penurunan lebih lanjut Resistance : Level harga dimana berpotensi menahan kenaikan lebih lanjut

Breakout : Pergerakan harga melewati Resistance dari bawah ke atas. Mengindikasikan Uptrend Breakdown : Pergerakan harga melewati Support dari atas ke bawah. Mengindikasikan Downtrend Throwback : Penurunan paksa terjadi Breakout dimana maksimum penurunan adalah Support yang

berasal dari Resistance yang baru saja di-Breakout

Pullback : Kenaikan paska terjadi Breakdown dimana maksimum kenaikan adalah Resistance yang berasal dari Support yang baru saja di-Breakdown

Technical Rebound : Kenaikan sementara di tengah Downtrend. Kenaikan tersebut akan lebih kecil dari penurunan yang segera terjadi

Technical Correction : Penurunan sementara di tengah Uptrend. Penurunan tersebut akan lebih kecil dari kenaikan yang segera terjadi

Bullish Continuation : Pergerakan yang mengindikasikan Uptrend sebelumnya akan berlanjut Bearish Continuation : Pergerakan yang mengindikasikan Downtrend sebelumnya akan berlanjut

Bullish Reversal : Pergerakan yang mengindikasikan Downtrend sebelumnya berubah menjadi Uptrend Bearish Reversal : Pergerakan yang mengindikasikan Uptrend sebelumnya berubah menjadi Downtrend Up Trendline : Support Diagonal ke arah atas yang menandakan pergerakan Uptrend

Down Trendline : Support Diagonal ke arah atas yang menandakan pergerakan Uptrend Day Trading : Strategi trading dengan Holding Period selama 1 hari sampai 2 minggu Swing Trading : Strategi trading dengan Holding Period sampai 3 bulan

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DISCLAIMERS : Analyst Certification : The views expressed in this research accurately reflect the personal views of the analyst(s) about the subject securities or

issuers and no part of the compensation of the analyst(s) was, is, or will be directly or indirectly related to the inclusion of specific recommendations or views in this research. The analyst(s) principally responsible for the preparation of this research has taken reasonable care to achieve and maintain independence and objectivity in making any recommendations. This document is for information only and for the use of the recipient. It is not to be reproduced or copied or made available to others. Under no circumstances is it to be considered as an offer to sell or solicitation to buy any security. Any recommendation contained in this report may not be suitable for all investors. Moreover, although the information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, its accuracy, completeness and reliability cannot be guaranteed. All rights reserved by PT Samuel Sekuritas Indonesia

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Research Team

Andy Ferdinand, CFA Head Of Equity Research, Strategy,

Banking, Consumer [email protected] +6221 2854 8148

Rangga Cipta Economist [email protected] +6221 2854 8396

Muhamad Makky Dandytra, CFTe Technical Analyst [email protected] +6221 2854 8382

Akhmad Nurcahyadi, CSA Auto, Aviation, Cigarette, Construction

Healthcare, Heavy Equipment, Property [email protected] +6221 2854 8144

Arandi Ariantara Cement, Telecommunication, Utility [email protected] +6221 2854 8392

Marlene Tanumihardja Poultry, Retail, Small Caps [email protected] +6221 2854 8387

Sharlita Lutfiah Malik Mining, Plantation [email protected] +6221 2854 8339

Nadya Swastika Research Associate [email protected] +6221 2854 8338

Private Wealth Management

Evelyn Satyono Head of PWM / Institutional Sales [email protected] +6221 2854 8380

Muhamad Alfatih CSA, CTA, CFTe Senior Technical Portfolio Advisor [email protected] +6221 2854 8129

Ronny Ardianto Institutional Equity Sales [email protected] +6221 2854 8399

Clarice Wijana Institutional Equity Sales [email protected] +6221 2854 8395

Fachruly Fiater Institutional Equity Sales [email protected] +6221 2854 8325

Equity Sales Team

Kelvin Long Head of Equities [email protected] +6221 2854 8150

Yulianah Institutional Equity Sales [email protected] +6221 2854 8146

Lucia Irawati Retail Equity Sales [email protected] +6221 2854 8173

Online Trading Sales Team

Nugroho Nuswantoro Head of Marketing Online Trading [email protected] +6221 2854 8372

Wahyu Widodo Marketing [email protected] +6221 2854 8371