Conversion from calcineurin to mammalian target of rapamycin inhibitors in liver transplantation: a meta-analysis of randomised controlled trials
Thomas E Glover, Christopher JE Watson, Paul Gibbs, J Andrew Bradley, Evangelia E Ntzani, Vasilis Kosmoliaptsis
Supplementary Information Data extraction
Data extraction was performed independently by 2 investigators (TG and EEN) and discrepancies were resolved by a third investigator (VK).
We recorded information on study characteristics and demographics, including authors, publication year and journal, sample size per-arm, population characteristics, treatment indication, CNI dose, mTORi characteristics (bolus and maintenance dose, mode of administration, timing of intervention, abrupt cessation or tapering of previous immunosuppression) and study duration. The primary meta-analysis outcome was renal function (estimated Glomerular Filtration Rate, GFR or creatinine clearance, CrCl) at 12 months and secondary outcomes included acute
rejection, graft loss, patient survival and adverse events. All outcomes were analysed at one year post-randomisation; longer term outcomes, if
available, were analysed for the latest time-point.
Assessment of methodological quality
The methodological quality of included trials and the risk of bias were assessed by using elements included in the Cochrane Collaboration’s tool for assessing risk of bias (1). The domains used in the present systematic review pertained to randomisation and allocation concealment
(selection bias), blinding (performance and detection bias), loss to follow-up and adherence to the intention-to-treat principle (attrition bias). We chose to present the meta-analysis of all studies while providing a summary of the risk of bias across studies.
Data synthesis and statistical analysis
For each trial we retrieved or calculated the crude risk ratio (RR) estimates and corresponding 95% confidence intervals (CI) for the assessed
binary outcomes (acute rejection, graft loss, patient survival and adverse events), and the mean difference (MD) and corresponding standard
deviation (SD) for the assessed continuous outcomes (GFR). We also used the standardised mean difference (and 95% CI), which expresses the
mean score difference in SD units, and can be used to directly compare different scales or scores across the individual studies. The presence of
statistically significant heterogeneity was assessed by the Q statistic (significant at p<0.10) and the extent of the observed heterogeneity was
assessed by the I
2(ranging from 0% to 100%). The overall summary MD, SMD and RR effect sizes were estimated using both fixed and random
effects models. Analyses performed using these models yielded similar results. We chose to report summary estimates using random-effects
models because, in the presence of heterogeneity, they provide more conservative estimates. Summary effect estimates for renal function, acute
rejection, graft loss and patient survival were based on intention-to-treat (ITT) populations as reported in the study publications; moreover, all
eligible studies reported adverse events for the safety population and, therefore, summary effect sizes for adverse events were estimated based on safety populations as reported in the study publications.
Pre-specified subgroup analyses were performed to explore sources of heterogeneity; studies were stratified by time of conversion to mTORi (early versus late conversion, defined as ≤6 months after transplantation) or by type of mTORi (sirolimus versus everolimus). Sensitivity analyses were performed excluding trials evaluating CNI minimization (2, 3) and trials evaluating steroid elimination regimens (3). To further explore moderators of the observed effect estimates, a meta-regression analysis was performed accounting for baseline renal function. Small study effects (indicating publication bias) were assessed by visual examination of funnel plots per outcome and by using the Begg-Mazumbar test. Where information was missing we contacted the authors to request the relevant data. If the SD for a particular outcome was not reported, it was estimated post hoc based on standard formulae. To enable meaningful interpretation of renal function analysis, SMD was back-transformed into familiar units (GFR expressed in mL/min/1.73m
2) by multiplication of the SMD by the baseline standard deviation (of mean GFR) reported in the largest included trial by Abdelmalek et al (4).
Table S1. Literature search algorithm
[(calcineurin inhibitor OR cyclosporine OR ciclosporin* OR neoral* OR sandimmun* OR tacrolimus OR FK506 OR FK 506 OR prograf OR
advagraf OR adoport) AND (rapamycin derivative OR rapamune OR sirolimus OR mtor inhibitor or mTORC1 inhibitor OR TOR inhibitor OR
mammalian target of rapamycin OR rapamycin* OR everolimus OR RAD OR SDZRAD OR RAD001) AND (liver OR hepatic*) AND (transplant OR transplantation OR graft OR graf* OR transplant*)]
Table S2. Characteristics of included studies
Study ID Study design Time to conversion since transplant
Graft function at time of randomization
Immunosuppressive dosing regime Outcomes reported
Method of switching
Pre- conversion
Intervention Comparator CNI in the intervention
arm after switching
GFR Serum creatini ne
Protein uria
Mort ality
Graft loss
Rejecti on
Malign ancy
AEs
Watson 2007 Open-label RCT of conversion from CNI to SRL in maintenance liver transplant recipients (N=27)
Late Median 3.05 years (IQR = 0.88-7.4 years)
Adult liver transplant recipients 6 months post-transplant, suboptimal renal function:
eGFR<65ml/min (MDRD)
Baseline measured GFR (mean;SD):
55.7;10.2ml/min (SRL) 48.4;15.8ml/min (CNI)
Abrupt CsA TAC Prednisolone Azathioprine
SRL, bolus:
none, target levels:
5-15 ng/mL (N=13)
CsA1 TAC Prednisolone Azathioprine (N=14)
None
Shenoy 2007 Single-centre, prospective RCT of conversion from CNI to SRL in maintenance liver transplant recipients (N=40)
Late Mean 4.4 years Range 0.5- 11 years
Adult liver transplant recipients with stable liver function and renal dysfunction: CrCl 40- 80ml/min (24-hour urine excretion of creatinine)
Baseline CrCl (mean;SD):
64;18ml/min (SRL) 60;12ml/min (CNI)
Tapered CsA TAC Prednisone MMF Azathioprine
SRL, bolus:
5mg, target levels: 6- 10ng/ml (N=20)
CsA2 TAC Prednisone MMF Azathioprine (N=20)
CsA + TAC discontinued
over 1-2 weeks
Study ID Study design Time to conversion since transplant
Graft function at time of randomization
Immunosuppressive dosing regime Outcomes reported
Method of switching
Pre- conversion
Intervention Comparator CNI in the intervention
arm after switching
GFR Serum creatini ne
Protein uria
Mort ality
Graft loss
Rejecti on
Malign ancy
AEs
De Simone 2009
Multi-centre, open-label RCT of conversion from CNI to EVR in maintenance liver transplant recipients (N=145)
Late Mean 3.3 years; SD 1.7 Range 1.1- 10.9 years
Adult liver transplant from a deceased or living donor 12-60 months prior to study, eligible for study if CrCl 20-60ml/min3 (Cockcroft-Gault)
Baseline CrCl (mean;SD):
51.0;11.7ml/min (EVR) 50.3;11.3ml/min (CNI)
Abrupt CsA
TAC MPA Azathioprine Steroids
EVR, bolus:
none, target levels: 6- 12ng/ml Steroids (N=72)
CsA4 TAC MPA Azathioprine Steroids (N=73)
CsA + TAC5
Eisenberger 2009
Single-centre, RCT of conversion from CNI to SRL in liver transplant recipients (N=16)
Late Median 50 months Range 6- 132 months
Stable liver transplant patients, transplanted 6-120 months prior to study with renal impairment: CrCl 40- 90ml/min (Cockcroft- Gault)
Baseline CrCl (mean;SD):
55.4;24ml/min (SRL) 66.9;17ml/min (CNI)
Abrupt CsA
TAC Steroids MMF
SRL, bolus:
10-15mg, target level:
6-16ng/ml Steroids MMF (N=8)
CsA6 TAC Steroids MMF Azathioprine (N=8)
None
Study ID Study design Time to conversion since transplant
Graft function at time of randomization
Immunosuppressive dosing regime Outcomes reported
Method of switching
Pre- conversion
Intervention Comparator CNI in the intervention
arm after switching
GFR Serum creatini ne
Protein uria
Mort ality
Graft loss
Rejecti on
Malign ancy
AEs
Masetti 2010 Single centre open-label RCT of CNI withdrawal and EVR
monotherapy in liver transplant recipients (N=78)
Early 10 days
Adult liver transplant recipients with a maximum cold ischaemia time of 12 hours, patients with renal failure at randomisation were excluded (eGFR ≤29 mL/min/1.73 m2, MDRD)
Baseline GFR (MDRD, mean;SD):
81.7;29.5ml/min (EVR) 74.7;24.5ml/min (CNI)
Tapered CsA Prednisone Basiliximab
EVR, bolus:
none, target level: 6- 12ng/ml7 Prednisone8 (N=52)
CsA9 MMF Prednisone8 (N=26)
CsA10
Abdelmalek 2012
Open-label RCT of conversion from CNI to SRL in liver allograft recipients (N=607)
Late 4.0;2.9 years (mean;SD)
Recipients 13 years of age, transplanted within 6 months to 12 years from randomisation, baseline cGFR 40- 90ml/min (Cockcroft- Gault)11
Baseline GFR (mean;SD):
65.5;18.7ml/min (SRL) 65.7;19.6ml/min (CNI)
Abrupt CsA
TAC MMF or Azathioprine Steroids
SRL, bolus:
10-15mg (divided dose), target level: 6- 16ng/ml12 (N=393)
CsA13 TAC MMF or Azathioprine Steroids (N=214)
None
Study ID Study design Time to conversion since transplant
Graft function at time of randomization
Immunosuppressive dosing regime Outcomes reported
Method of switching
Pre- conversion
Intervention Comparator CNI in the intervention
arm after switching
GFR Serum creatini ne
Protein uria
Mort ality
Graft loss
Rejecti on
Malign ancy
AEs
De Simone 2012
Multi-centre, three-arm, prospective, open-label RCT of CNI elimination and EVR initiation in liver transplant recipients (N=719)14
Early 30±5 days
Adult deceased donor liver transplant patients with acceptable graft function and
eGFR30ml/min/1.73m2 (MDRD4), absence of rejection before randomisation
Baseline GFR (CKD-EPI, mean;SD):
78.6;26.8ml/min (EVR) 76.6;24.4ml/min (CNI)
Tapered TAC Prednisolone MMF
EVR, bolus:
none, target level: 3- 10ng/ml15 Prednisolone (N=231)
TAC16 Prednisolone17 (N=243)
TAC, eliminated gradually by end of month
4 post liver transplant
PROTECT Open-label RCT of conversion from CNI to EVR after liver transplantation (N=203)
Early 43.1;11.3 days (mean;SD)
Adult liver allograft recipients, 4 weeks of prior CNI treatment, rejection-free at least 2 weeks prior to randomisation, sufficient renal function (cGFR >50ml/min, Cockcroft-Gault)
Baseline GFR (mean;SD):
83.5;27ml/min (EVR) 83.2;29.1ml/min (CNI)
Tapered CsA TAC Steroids Basiliximab
EVR, bolus:
none, target level: 5- 12ng/ml18 Steroids (N=101)
TAC19 CsA Steroids (N=102)
CsA + TAC20
Study ID Study design Time to conversion since transplant
Graft function at time of randomization
Immunosuppressive dosing regime Outcomes reported
Method of switching
Pre- conversion
Intervention Comparator CNI in the intervention
arm after switching
GFR Serum creatini ne
Protein uria
Mort ality
Graft loss
Rejecti on
Malign ancy
AEs
SPARE THE NEPHRON
Open-label RCT of conversion from CNI to SRL in maintenance liver transplant recipients (N=294)
Early 53.9;12.8 days (mean;SD)
Adult liver transplant recipients, patients with calculated eGFR<30 mL/min within 1 week prior to randomisation were excluded (MDRD- 6)
Baseline CrCl (Cockcroft- Gault, mean;SD):
72.1;22.7ml/min (SRL) 68.0;22.26ml/min (CNI)
Abrupt CsA TAC MMF Steroids ATG Basiliximab Daclizumab
SRL, bolus: 2- 4mg, target level: 5- 10ng/ml MMF Steroids ATG (N=148)
CsA21 TAC MMF Steroids ATG (N=146)
None 22 22
Villamil 2014 Randomised, multicentre, open-label RCT of conversion from CNI to EVR in patients with HCV infection (N=43)
Late 4.4±3.6 years (mean;SD)
Adult liver transplant recipients, patients 6 months post liver transplant with recurrent HCV infection and histologically confirmed liver fibrosis at study entry or <6 months before trial, patients excluded if rejection <6 months before trial start, multi- organ transplant recipients, HCV recurrence or on anti- HCV treatment
Baseline GFR (MDRD, mean;SD):
64.1;17.0ml/min (EVR) 63.7;18.3ml/min (CNI)
Tapered CsA TAC MMF Steroids
EVR, bolus:
none, target level: 6 to 12ng/ml23 Steroids (N=22)
CsA24 TAC MMF25 Steroids (N=21)
None
1TAC patients median 12-hour trough concentrations 7.7ng/ml (3 months) and 7.0ng/ml (12 months); 2 CsA patients had trough levels of 86ng/ml and 107ng/ml at 3 months
2Target range not specified but mean CsA dose 166±60mg/day during study period. CsA levels 150±48ng/dL at baseline and 163±74ng/dL at 12 months
3Patients required to have been on tacrolimus (C0 level of 3-8ng/ml) or CsA (C0 level of 50-150ng/ml or a C2 level of 250-650ng/ml)
4Target ranges not specified but at baseline, TAC median C0 level 5.5ng/ml and CsA median C0 level 105.5ng/ml. At 6 months, TAC median C0 level 4.2ng/ml and CsA median C0 level 64.5ng/ml (CNI dose reductions in CNI control group)
5CsA + TAC reduced by 50% with each visit if EVR C0 level 3ng/ml & CrCl <10ml/min greater than baseline value. 50% dose reductions were continued until no longer possible and then stopped
6Target ranges not specified but CsA concentration at baseline 160;46ng/ml (mean;SD) and at 12 months 150;57ng/ml (mean;SD), TAC concentrations in 2 patients at baseline 10.8 and 5.8ng/ml and at 12 months 11.1 and 8.0ng/ml
7EVR 6-10ng/ml (days 10-30), 8-12ng/ml (day 30 to end of month 6), 6-10ng/ml after month 6
8Prednisone given to all patients in EVR arm until 35 days post-transplant
9CsA target levels were 225±25ng/ml (days 0-30), 200±25ng/ml (day 30 to end of month 6) and 150±25ng/ml (after month 6)
10CsA target levels 100±25ng/ml until day 30 then abruptly stopped
11Patients must have been on a stable immunosuppressive regimen of the same CNI (CsA or TAC) or a combination of CNI with steroids and/or antimetabolite therapy for 4 weeks prior to randomization, no prior use of SRL or any of its derivatives, no evidence of thrombosis or clinically significant stenosis of the hepatic artery, hepatic vein or portal vein
12Modified to 8-16ng/ml following request of the study’s Data Safety and Monitoring Board
13CsA target level 50-250ng/ml, TAC target level 3-10ng/ml
14Patients randomised into 3 groups (EVR + reduced TAC, TAC elimination and TAC control). Recruitment to the TAC elimination group was stopped 120-180 days after randomisation due to a significantly higher rate of rejection in this arm. We report outcomes for the TAC elimination and TAC control arms.
15EVR target level 3-8ng/ml for first 4 months and 6-10ng/ml thereafter
16TAC target level 8-12ng/ml to end of month 4 and 6-10ng/ml thereafter
17Until at least 6 months post transplant
18EVR target level 5-12ng/ml (TAC patients) and 8-12ng/ml (CsA patients)
19Target ranges not specified but mean dose of CsA 305.5±101.9mg/day, mean dose of TAC 6.6±3.3mg/day
20CsA + TAC gradually reduced over 8 weeks and then stopped (provided patient rejection-free for at least 4 weeks)
21TAC target level 3-10ng/ml and CsA target level 100-250ng/ml
22The Spare the Nephron study reported a composite outcome of graft loss and death.
23EVR concentration range was 7.6-9.0ng/ml, MMF discontinued with CNI
2411 patients on CsA with trough concentration range 96.5-134.8ng/ml, 10 patients on TAC with trough concentraton range 5.3-6.6ng/ml
25In CNI group, 3 patients had concurrent steroids, 4 had concomitant MMF
CsA, cyclosporin; TAC, tacrolimus; CNI, calcineurin inhibitor; SRL, sirolimus; EVR, everolimus; MMF, mycophenolate mofetil; Aza, azathioprine; ATG, antithymocyte globulin; GFR, glomerular filtration rate; CrCl, creatinine clearance; RCT, randomised control trial; OLT, orthotopic liver transplant; HCV, hepatitis C virus, CKD-EPI; chronic kidney disease – epidemiology, MDRD; modified diet in renal disease formula for GFR
Table S3: Risk of bias in the published controlled trials
Study ID Allocation Sequence Described
Allocation concealment
Blinding Other potential
sources of bias
Handling of missing data
Patient Personnel Assessor
Watson 2007 Random number generation
Yes No No No ITT Clear
Shenoy 2007 1:1 Block design randomisation
NR NR NR NR ITT Clear
De Simone 2009 1:1 Voice response system
NR No No No ITT + safety
populations 80% power
Unclear
Eisenberger 2009 1:1 Randomisation method not reported
NR NR NR Yes1 ITT Clear
Masetti 2010 2:1 EVR:CNI Computer-based ratio
NR No No No ITT + PP populations Unclear
Abdelmalek 2012 2:1 SRL:CNI Sequential randomisation using blocks of numbers
NR No No No ITT + safety
populations 88% power
Clear
De Simone 2012 1:1:1 Randomisation method not reported
NR No No No ITT + PP populations
80-90% power
Clear
PROTECT 1:1 Central computer-based randomisation
NR No No No ITT + PP populations
80% power
Clear
SPARE THE NEPHRON
1:1 Random number generation + voice response system
No No No No ITT + safety + PP
populations 80% power
Clear
Villamil 2014 1:1 Randomised distribution of treatment allocation cards via a central automated system
NR No No No ITT + safety
populations 78% power Slow recruitment led to fewer participants than planned
Clear
1Measurements taken by two experienced physicians and both observers blinded
NR, not reported; ITT, intention to treat population; PP, per-protocol population; CNI, calcineurin inhibitor; SRL, sirolimus; EVR, everolimus
Table S4: Characteristics of included studies reporting on acute rejection
Study ID mTORi CNI Early/
Late
Definition of rejection
Watson 2007 SRL CsA or TAC Late BPAR
Shenoy 2007 SRL CsA or TAC Late Increase in liver function tests responsive to steroids
De Simone 2009 EVR CsA or TAC Late BPAR
Eisenberger 2009 SRL CsA or TAC Late NR
Masetti 2010 EVR CsA only Early BPAR
Abdelmalek 2012 SRL CsA or TAC Late BPAR
De Simone 2012 EVR TAC only Early BPAR
PROTECT EVR CsA or TAC Early BPAR
SPARE THE NEPHRON SRL CsA or TAC Early BPAR
Villamil 2014 EVR CsA or TAC Late BPAR
CNI, calcineurin inhibitor; mTORi, mammalian target of rapamycin inhibitor; CsA, cyclosporin; TAC, tacrolimus; SRL, sirolimus; EVR, everolimus; NR, not reported; BPAR, biopsy-proven acute rejection
Table S5. Patients that failed to be randomised and patients that discontinued the allocated treatment in included studies
Study ID Number of patients that failed to be randomised (%)
Number of patients who discontinued allocated treatment in intervention group versus control group (%)
Watson 2007 58/88 (66%) Sirolimus 2/13 (15%)
CNI 0/14 (0%)
Shenoy 2007 0 (0%) Sirolimus 1/20 (5%)
CNI 0/20 (0%)
De Simone 2009 0 (0%) Everolimus 32/72 (44%)1
CNI 16/73 (22%)
Eisenberger 2009 0 (0%) Sirolimus 1/8 (13%)
CNI 0/8 (0%)
Masetti 2010 4/82 (5%) Everolimus 14/52 (27%)1
CNI 9/26 (35%)
Abdelmalek 2012 0 (0%) Sirolimus 140/393 (36%)2
CNI 23/214 (11%)
De Simone 2012 99/8183 (12%) Everolimus 127/231 (55%)
CNI 49/243 (20%)
PROTECT 172/375 (46%) Everolimus 50/101 (50%)1
CNI 39/102 (39%) SPARE THE
NEPHRON
26/332 (8%) Sirolimus 65/149 (44%)4
CNI 45/145 (31%)
Villamil 2014 13/56 (23%) Everolimus 5/22 (23%)
CNI 0/21 (0%)
1These studies included patient death as a reason for treatment discontinuation
24/393 (1%) randomised to mTORi and4/214 (2%) randomised to CNI continuation did not receive the allocated treatment. It has been assumed that these 8 patients were not counted as withdrawals in the study data.
3Patients randomised into 3 groups (EVR + reduced TAC, TAC elimination and TAC control). Recruitment to the TAC elimination group was stopped 120-180 days after randomisation due to a significantly higher rate of rejection in this arm. We report outcomes for the TAC elimination and TAC control arms.
4One patient from the sirolimus arm was not included in the ITT population (n=148) because they did not receive the mTORi intervention. It has been assumed that this patient was not counted as a withdrawal in the study data.
CNI, calcineurin inhibitor; mTORi, mammalian target of rapamycin inhibitor; TAC, tacrolimus; ITT, intention to treat