eTable1. Hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for pigmentary traits and measures of residential UV exposure at inclusion in relation to differentiated thyroid cancer risk. E3N Cohort, 1990-2008 (n=86,960)
Model 1
aModel 2
bModel 3
c
Cases
HR 95% CI HR 95% CI HR 95% CI
Number of nevi
None 23 ref - ref - ref -
Few 117 1.3 [0.8-2.0] 1.3 [0.8-2.0] 1.3 [0.8-2.0]
Many 171 1.6 [1.0-2.5] 1.6 [1.0-2.4] 1.5 [1.0-2.4]
Very many 49 1.8 [1.1-3.0] 1.7 [1.0-2.8] 1.6 [1.0-2.7]
P for linear trend 0.004 0.01 0.03
Number of freckles
None 131 ref - ref - ref -
Few 79 1.0 [0.7-1.3] 1.0 [0.7-1.3] 1.0 [0.7-1.3]
Many 125 1.3 [1.0-1.6] 1.2 [1.0-1.6] 1.2 [0.9-1.5]
Very many 25 1.4 [0.9-2.2] 1.4 [0.9-2.2] 1.3 [0.8-2.1]
P for linear trend 0.02 0.04 0.1
Hair color
Red 7 1.1 [0.5-2.3] 1.0 [0.5-2.2] 0.9 [0.4-2.0]
Blond 35 0.9 [0.6-1.3] 0.9 [0.6-1.3] 0.9 [0.6-1.3]
Chestnut 227 ref - ref - ref -
Brown/Dark 91 0.8 [0.6-1.1] 0.8 [0.6-1.1] 0.8 [0.6-1.1]
P for linear trend 0.3 0.4 0.4
Skin complexion
Very fair 6 1.5 [0.6-3.3] 1.3 [0.6-3.0] 1.1 [0.5-2.6]
Fair 211 1.1 [0.9-1.3] 1.0 [0.8-1.3] 0.9 [0.7-1.2]
Medium 137 ref - ref - ref -
Dark/Very dark 6 1.2 [0.5-2.6] 1.2 [0.5-2.6] 1.2 [0.5-2.8]
P for linear trend 0.5 0.7 0.6
Skin sensitivity to sun exposure
Not sensitive 74 ref - ref - ref -
Moderately sensitive 169 1.1 [0.8-1.4] 1.1 [0.8-1.4] 1.0 [0.8-1.4]
Highly sensitive 117 1.2 [0.9-1.6] 1.2 [0.9-1.6] 1.1 [0.8-1.6]
P for linear trend 0.2 0.3 0.5
Mean annual daily ambient total UV level
(J/m2)< 624,420 70 ref - ref - ref -
624,420 – 667,469 80 1.1 [0.8-1.6] 1.1 [0.8-1.6] 1.1 [0.8-1.6]
667,470 – 763,799 104 1.5 [1.1-2.0] 1.5 [1.1-2.0] 1.5 [1.1-2.0]
≥ 763,800 106 1.5 [1.1-2.1] 1.5 [1.1-2.0] 1.5 [1.1-2.0]
P for linear trend 0.004 0.01 0.01
Mean spring/summer daily ambient total UV level
(J/m2)< 976,920 71 ref - ref - ref -
976,920 – 1,032,839 74 1.0 [0.7-1.4] 1.0 [0.7-1.4] 1.0 [0.7-1.4]
1,032,840 – 1 ,146,359 111 1.6 [1.1-2.1] 1.5 [1.1-2.1] 1.5 [1.1-2.1]
≥ 1,146,360 104 1.5 [1.1-2.0] 1.4 [1.0-1.9] 1.4 [1.0-1.9]
P for linear trend 0.003 0.01 0.01
Mean autumn/winter daily ambient total UV level
(J/m2)<272,880 74 ref - ref - ref -
272,880-302,279 76 1.0 [0.7-1.4] 1.0 [0.7-1.4] 1.0 [0.7-1.4]
302,280-382,739 106 1.4 [1.0-1.9] 1.4 [1.0-1.9] 1.4 [1.0-1.9]
≥ 382,740 104 1.4 [1.0-1.9] 1.4 [1.0-1.8] 1.4 [1.0-1.8]
P for linear trend 0.01 0.02 0.02
Mean annual daily ambient UVB level
(J/m2)< 21,360 52 ref - ref - ref -
21,360 – 22,499 99 1.8 [1.3-2.5] 1.8 [1.3-2.5] 1.8 [1.3-2.5]
22,500 – 26,519 109 2.0 [1.5-2.8] 2.0 [1.5-2.8] 2.0 [1.5-2.8]
≥ 26,520 100 1.9 [1.3-2.6] 1.8 [1.3-2.5] 1.8 [1.3-2.6]
P for linear trend 0.01 0.02 0.02
Mean spring/summer daily ambient UVB level
(J/m2)< 36,060 50 ref - ref - ref -
36,060 – 37,859 97 1. 8 [1.3-2.5] 1.8 [1.3-2.5] 1.8 [1.3-2.5]
37,860 – 43,979 110 2.1 [1.5-2.9] 2.1 [1.5-2.9] 2.1 [1.5-3.0]
≥ 43,980 103 2.0 [1.4-2.8] 1.9 [1.4-2.7] 1.9 [1.4-2.7]
P for linear trend 0.01 0.02 0.02
Mean autumn/winter daily ambient UVB level
(J/m2)<6660 57 ref - ref - ref -
6660-7439 94 1.4 [1.0-1.9] 1.4 [1.0-1.9] 1.4 [1.0-1.9]
7440-9659 108 1.7 [1.2-2.4] 1.7 [1.2-2.4] 1.7 [1.2-2.4]
≥ 9660 101 1.6 [1.2-2.2] 1.6 [1.1-2.2] 1.6 [1.1-2.2]
P for linear trend 0.02 0.04 0.04
Mean annual ambient UVA level (
J/m2)< 603,240 71 ref - ref - ref -
603,240 – 644,499 79 1.1 [0.8-1.5] 1.1 [0.8-1.5] 1.1 [0.8-1.5]
644,500– 737,279 105 1.5 [1.1-2.0] 1.5 [1.1-2.0] 1.5 [1.1-2.0]
≥ 737,280 105 1.5 [1.1-2.0] 1.5 [1.1-2.0] 1.5 [1.1-2.0]
P for linear trend 0.003 0.01 0.01
Mean Autumn/Winter ambient UVA level (
J/m2)<266,280 74 ref - ref - ref -
266,280-294,839 77 1.0 [0.8-1.4] 1.1 [0.8-1.4] 1.1 [0.8-1.4]
294,840-373,079 105 1.4 [1.0-1.9] 1.4 [1.0-1.9] 1.4 [1.0-1.9]
≥ 373,080 104 1.4 [1.1-1.9] 1.4 [1.0-1.8] 1.4 [1.0-1.9]
P for linear trend 0.01 0.02 0.02
Mean spring/summer ambient UVA level (
J/m2)< 940,800 71 ref - ref - ref -
940,800 – 995,159 74 1.0 [0.7-1.4] 1.0 [0.7-1.4] 1.0 [0.7-1.4]
995,160 – 1,103,579 111 1.6 [1.2-2.1] 1.6 [1.2-2.1] 1.6 [1.2-2.1]
≥ 1,103,580 104 1.5 [1.1-2.0] 1.4 [1.1-1.9] 1.4 [1.1-1.9]
P for linear trend 0.003 0.01 0.01
Latitude
< 45.09 102 ref - ref - ref -
45.09 – 47.35 105 1.0 [0.8-1.3] 1.0 [0.8-1.4] 1.0 [0.8-1.4]
47.36 – 48.50 81 0.9 [0.6-1.1] 0.9 [0.6-1.1] 0.8 [0.6-1.1]
≥ 48.51 72 0.7 [0.5-0.9] 0.7 [0.5-0.9] 0.7 [0.5-0.9]
P for linear trend 0.01 0.03 0.03
Longitude
< 1.23 95 ref - ref - ref -
1.23 – 2.27 99 1.1 [0.8-1.4] 1.0 [0.8-1.4] 1.0 [0.8-1.4]
2.28 – 4.49 77 0.8 [0.6-1.1] 0.8 [0.6-1.1] 0.8 [0.6-1.1]
≥ 4.50 89 0.9 [0.7-1.2] 0.9 [0.7-1.2] 0.9 [0.7-1.2]
P for linear trend 0.3 0.2 0.2
UV: ultraviolet
a Adjusted for age, further stratified by year of birth (1925-1929, 1930-1934, 1935-1939, 1940-1944, 1945-1950)
b further adjusted for smoking status (never, current, past), personal history of dysthyroidism (yes, no), personal history of goiter or nodules (yes, no), and tertiles of body mass index (≤22, 23-24, or ≥24 kg/m2).
cfurther adjusted for pigmentary traits and, for pigmentary traits, mean spring/summer ambient UVB level
eTable2: Hazard Ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for pigmentary traits and latitude, longitude and residential spring/summer UVB exposure at inclusion in relation to risk of micro- and macro-cancers. E3N Cohort, 1990-2008 (n=86,960)
Micro-cancers Macro-cancers
Cases
(n=146) HRa 95% CI Cases
(n=207) HRa 95% CI Number of nevi
None 10 ref - 12 ref -
Few 46 1.2 [0.6-2.3] 70 1.5 [0.8-2.8]
Many 71 1.5 [0.7-2.8] 96 1.7 [0.9-3.0]
Very many 19 1.5 [0.7-3.2] 29 1.9 [0.9-3.7]
p for linear trend 0.15 0.08
Number of freckles
None 55 ref - 76 ref -
Few 37 1.1 [0.7-1.7] 40 0.8 [0.5-1.2]
Many 44 1.1 [0.7-1.6] 77 1.2 [0.9-1.7]
Very many 10 1.4 [0.7-2.8] 14 1.2 [0.7-2.2]
p for linear trend 0.6 0.2
Hair color
Red 3 1.1 [0.3-3.6] 4 0.9 [0.3-2.5]
Blond 15 1.0 [0.6-1.8] 19 0.8 [0.5-1.3]
Chestnut 94 ref - 129 ref -
Brown/Dark 34 0.6 [0.4-0.9] 55 1.0 [0.7-1.3]
p for linear trend 0.06 0.7
Skin complexion
Very fair 2 0.6 [0.1-2.8] 4 1.6 [0.6-4.7]
Fair 75 0.6 [0.4-0.9] 130 1.2 [0.8-1.7]
Medium 63 ref - 73 ref -
Dark/Very dark 6 3.1 [1.3-7.4] 0 - -
p for linear trend 0.002 0.09
Skin sensitivity to sun exposure
Not sensitive 33 ref - 40 ref -
Moderately sensitive 66 1.1 [0.7-1.7] 99 1.0 [0.7-1.5]
Highly sensitive 47 1.3 [0.8-2.2] 68 1.0 [0.6-1.6]
p for linear trend 0.3 0.9
Mean spring/summer daily ambient UVB level (J/m2)
< 36,060 22 ref - 27 ref -
36,060 – 37,859 36 1.5 [0.9-2.6] 59 2.0 [1.3-3.2]
37,860 – 43,979 53 2.3 [1.4-3.8] 54 1.9 [1.2-3.1]
≥ 43,980 35 1.4 [0.8-2.4] 67 2.4 [1.5-3.8]
p for linear trend 0.7 0.005
Latitude
< 45.09 42 ref - 60 ref -
45.09– 47.35 43 1.1 [0.7-1.6] 58 1.0 [0.7-1.4]
47.36 – 48.50 34 0.9 [0.6-1.4] 46 0.8 [0.5-1.2]
≥ 48.51 27 0.7 [0.4-1.1] 43 0.7 [0.5-1.0]
p for linear trend 0.2 0.05
Longitude
< 1.23 44 ref - 48 ref -
1.23 – 2.27 41 0.9 [0.6-1.4] 56 1.2 [0.8-1.7]
2.28 – 4.4 28 0.6 [0.4-1.0] 47 0.9 [0.6-1.4]
≥ 4.5 33 0.7 [0.4-1.1] 56 1.1 [0.8-1.7]
p for linear trend 0.08 0.9
UVB: ultraviolet B
a Adjusted for age, smoking status (ever, current, past), personal history of dysthyroidism (yes, no), personal history of goiter or nodules (yes, no), tertiles of body mass index (≤22, 23-24, or ≥24 kg/m2), pigmentary traits and ,for pigmentary traits, mean spring/summer ambient UVB level; further stratified by year of birth (1925-1929, 1930-1934, 1935-1939, 1940-1944, 1945-1950)
eTable 3: Hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for latitude and mean spring/summer daily ambient UVB level in district of residence at inclusion in relation to risk of differentiated thyroid cancer, stratified by personal history of goiter or nodules, E3N cohort 1993-2008 (n=86,960).
No personal history Personal history
of goiter or nodules of goiter or nodules
Multivariable HRa Multivariable HRa
Cases
(n=292) HR 95% CI Cases
(n=68) HR 95% CI Mean spring/summer daily UVB dose
(J/m²)
< 36,060 39 ref 11 ref
36,060 – 37,859 75 1.8 [1.2-2.7] 22 1.7 [0.8-3.6]
37,860 – 43,979 92 2.3 [1.6-3.3] 18 1.4 [0.7-3.0]
≥ 43,980 86 2.2 [1.5-3.2] 17 1.1 [0.5-2.4]
P for linear trend 0.004 0.6
Latitude
< 45.09 85 ref 17 ref
45.09– 47.35 87 1.0 [0.8-1.4] 18 1.1 [0.6-2.2]
47.36 – 48.50 62 0.8 [0.6-1.1] 19 1.4 [0.7-2.6]
≥ 48.51 58 0.7 [0.5-0.9] 14 1.0 [0.5-2.0]
P for linear trend 0.01 0.6
UVB: ultraviolet B
a Adjusted for age, smoking status (ever, current, past), personal history of dysthyroidism (yes, no), tertiles of body mass index (≤22, 23-24, or ≥24 kg/m²) and pigmentary traits. Further stratified by year of birth (1925-1929, 1930-1934, 1935- 1939, 1940-1944, 1945-1950)
eTable 4: Odds Ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for pigmentary traits and measures of residential UV exposure at inclusion in relation to history of goiter and nodules and history of dysthyroidism. E3N Cohort, 1990-2008 (n=86,960)
History of goiter or nodules History of dysthyroidism
Cases HRa 95% CI Cases HRa 95% CI
Number of nevi
None 394 ref - 1245 ref -
Few 1627 1.1 [1.0-1.2] 4552 1.0 [0.9-1.1]
Many 2107 1.2 [1.1-1.3] 5436 1.1 [1.0-1.2]
Very many 629 1.4 [1.2-1.6] 1478 1.2 [1.1-1.3]
p for linear trend 0.0001 0.0001
Number of freckles
None 1857 ref - 5011 ref -
Few 1160 1.0 [0.9-1.1] 3113 1.01 [0.96-1.07]
Many 1489 1.0 [0.9-1.1] 3898 1.04 [0.99-1.09]
Very many 251 0.9 [0.8-1.1] 689 1.0 [0.9-1.1]
p for linear trend 0. 9 0.1
Hair color
Red 81 1.0 [0.8-1.3] 214 0.9 [0.8-1.1]
Blond 482 1.0 [0.9-1.1] 1292 1.0 [0.9-1.1]
Chestnut 2766 ref - 7555 ref -
Brown/Dark 1428 1.1 [1.0-1.2] 3650 1.02 [0.97-1.07]
p for linear trend 0.04 0.2
Skin complexion
Very fair 65 1.1 [0.8-1.4] 178 1.2 [1.0-1.4]
Fair 2758 1.0 [0.9-1.1] 7335 1.01 [0.96-1.06]
Medium 1875 ref - 4997 ref -
Dark/Very dark 59 0.8 [0.6-1.0] 201 1.0 [0.9-1.2]
p for linear trend 0.3 0.4
Skin sensitivity to sun exposure
Not sensitive 1034 ref - 2939 ref - Moderately sensitive 2298 1.1 [1.0-1.2] 5920 0.98 [0.93-1.03]
Highly sensitive 1425 1.1 [1.0-1.2] 3852 1.06 [1.00-1.13]
p for linear trend 0.3 0.03
Latitude
< 45.09 1319 ref - 3664 ref -
45.09– 47.35 1205 0.94 [0.87-1.03] 3151 0.84 [0.80-0.89]
47.36 – 48.50 1074 0.91 [0.83-0.99] 2834 0.80 [0.75-0.84]
≥ 48.51 1159 0.90 [0.82-0.97] 3062 0.77 [0.73-0.82]
p for linear trend 0.001 0.0001
Mean spring/summer daily ambient UVB level (J/m2)
< 36,060 1013 ref - 2804 ref -
36,060 – 37,859 1229 1.1 [1.0-1.2] 3146 0.99 [0.94-1.05]
37,860 – 43, 979 1166 1.1 [1.0-1.2] 3149 1.06 [1.00-1.12]
≥ 43,980 1349 1.2 [1.1-1.3] 3612 1.23 [1.16-1.30]
p for linear trend 0.0002 0.0001
UV: ultraviolet
aAdjusted for age, smoking status (ever, current, past), tertiles of body mass index (≤22, 23-24, or ≥24 kg/m2), personal history of dysthyroidism (yes, no) for personal history of goiter or nodules, personal history of goiter or nodules (yes, no) for personal history of dysthyroidism, stratified by year of birth (1925-1929, 1930-1934, 1935-1939, 1940-1944, 1945-1950), further adjusted for pigmentary traits and ,for pigmentary traits, mean
spring/summer ambient UVB level
eFigure 1
Mean level of spring/summer daily UVB dose (J/m2)
< 36,060 36,060 – 37,859 37,860 – 43,979
≥ 43,980 Mean latitude
< 45.08 45.08– 47.34 47.35 – 48.50
≥ 48.51
Number of women by county (from 4772 (Paris) to 8 (South Corsica))
3500 1300 700 8 4772 2000
A
B
eFigure 2
1998
147-179 180-229
129-1461
104-128
-
2003
191-238 152-190 131-151 113-130
2008
185-234 153-184 138-152 117-137
2014
184-246 157-183 143-156 126-142
1990
104-123 161-208 124-160 85-104
2003
16.7-20.4 12.7-16.8 11.5-12.6 9-11.4
2008
17.2-20.4 13.0-17.1 12.2-12.9 10.3-12.1
2014
183.5-245.
156.5-183.4 142.3-156.4 125.9-142.2