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MODULE HANDBOOK

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Nguyễn Gia Hào

Academic year: 2023

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MODULE HANDBOOK

Module name Time Series Analysis

Module level, if applicable Bachelor Code, if applicable SST-505 Subtitle, if applicable -

Courses, if applicable Time Series Analysis Semester(s) in which the

module is taught 5th (fifth) Person responsible for the

module Chair of lab. Data Mining

Lecturer Arum Handini Primandari, S.Pd.Si., M.Sc.

Mujiati Dwi Kartikasari, S.Si., M.Sc.

Language Bahasa Indonesia

Relation to curriculum Compulsory course in the third year (5th semester) Bachelor Degree Type of teaching, contact

hours 100 minutes lectures and 120 minutes structured activities per week.

Workload

Total workload is 90.67 hours per semester, which consists of 100 minutes lectures per week for 14 weeks, 120 minutes structured activities per week, 120 minutes individual study per week, in total is 16 weeks per semester, including mid exam and final exam.

Credit points 2

Requirements according to the examination regulations

Students have taken Time Series Analysis course (SST-505) and have an examination card where the course is stated on.

Recommended prerequisites Students have taken Applied Regression Analysis (SST-305).

Module objectives/intended learning outcomes

After completing this course, the students have ability to:

CO 1. master basic strategies for transferring methods in the case of time series data

CO 2. do simple scientific assignments and are able to present the results well in the case of time series data

Content

The basic concept of time series: forecasting, forecasting data and methods, basic step in forecasting, time series data, time series pattern.

Deterministic time series models and methods: moving average, exponential smoothing, decomposition, fuzzy time series.

Stochastic time series models and methods: AR, MA, ARMA, ARIMA, SARIMA.

Study and examination requirements and forms of examination

The final mark will be weighted as follows:

No Assessment components Weight (percentage)

1 CO 1 80%

2 CO 2 20%

Media employed White-board, Laptop, LCD Projector

Reading list

1. Hyndman, R.J., & Athanasopoulos, G. 2018. Forecasting:

principles and practice, 2nd edition, OTexts: Melbourne, Australia. OTexts.com/fpp2.

2. Montgomery, Douglas C., et al., 2015, Introduction to Time Series Analysis and Forecasting 2nd Ed, Wiley: Canada.

3. Makridakis, 2008, Forecasting: method and application 3rd Ed, Wiley

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Mapping CO, PLO, and ASIIN’s SSC

ASIIN PLO

E N T H U S I A S T I C

Knowledge a b c d Ability e f

Competency g

h CO1

i j k

l CO2

Referensi

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