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Prepared by Ahmad Subagyo

CASH FLOW ANALYSIS

(Analisis Arus Kas)

CASH FLOW ANALYSIS

(Analisis Arus Kas)

(2)

CASH FLOW ANALYSIS

(Analisis Arus Kas)

Evaluasi Kredit:

Laporan Kas yang Dihasilkan

(3)

3

ANALISIS ARUS KAS

• Evaluasi kinerja dan penilaian resiko

• Sumber dan Penggunaan Kas

- dimana didapat, dimana dibelanjakan - jumlah & petunjuk perubahannya

• Menilai kebijakan manajemen keuangan

- keputusan investasi dan pembiayaan - kesesuaian pendanaan dan kebutuhan

- insight: bagaimana pinjaman digunakan utk usaha

• Mengerti kebutuhan pembiayaan suatau perusahaan

• Menunjukkan kas dihasilkan

• Berhubungan dengan analisis rasio keuangan

(4)

ARUS KAS

Cara bank memperoleh (recover) pinjamannya:

• Cara Pertama – arus kas dari operasi usaha

• Cara Kedua – kas dari penjualan aset usaha

• Cara Ketiga – kas dari penjualan aset pemilik

Analisis Arus Kas adalah suatu alat untuk memahami arus kas masuk dan keluar suatu

Perusahaan.

Merupakan alat utama (primer) untuk

mengevaluasi kredit.

(5)

5

ARUS KAS – Siklus Operasi

Collection

Credit sales

Credit

purchases/

Payments CASH

ACCOUNT RECEIVABLE

INVENTORY

(6)

ARUS KAS - Operasi

SUMBER OPERASI

Cash revenues

Decrease in current assets

- Collection of A/R - Sale of inventory

Increase in current liabilities

- Avail of supplier credit (Acct Payable)

PENGGUNAAN OPERASI

Cash expenses

Increase in current assets

- Credit sales (A/R) - Purchase of invty

Decrease in current liabilities

- Payments to suppliers (A/P)

Operating cash flows come from revenue-generating activities and movements in the operating assets of the company.

(7)

7

ARUS KAS – Siklus Non-Operasi

Capital outlay

• Debt, Equity

• Loan repayment

• Dividends

CASH Inventory

A/R

FIXED

ASSETS

(8)

ARUS KAS – Non-Operasi

SUMBER

Decrease in long- term assets

- Sale of property and other fixed assets

Increase in debt:

- LT Debt

- ST bank loans

Increase in equity - Capital infusion

PENGGUNAAN

Increase in long- term assets

- Purchase of M&E and other fixed

assets

Decrease in debt &

long-term liabilities - Repayment of loans

Cash dividend

payments

(9)

9

LAPORAN ARUS KAS

LAPORAN HASIL KAS

Yang bisa dilihat?

Presents changes in financial position

Presents cash flow from operations & from non-

optg activities (long-term investing & external

financing)

Provides info on:

- Need for financing - Fin. mgmt policies - Risks: cash needs &

sources Net OPERATING

Cash Flow

Net NON-OPTG

Cash Flow

Effect on CASH

(10)

PERSIAPAN LAPORAN ARUS KAS For Year 2002

Balance Sheet Dec 31

2001

Balance Sheet Dec 31

2002 Income

Stmt

Year

2002

(11)

PERSIAPAN LAPORAN ARUS KAS

Operating

Cash Flow Net Income Depreciation

Gross Operating Funds Gen (Inc)Dec in Acct Receivable (Inc)Dec in Inventory

Inc(Dec) in Acct Payable Net Operating Cash Gen

From Income Statement

From I/S; from change in B/S GOFG = NI + Depn

From changes in B/S

NOCG = GOFG + change in WC Non-Optg

Cash Flow (Inc)Dec in Fixed Assets Inc(Dec) in LTDebt

Inc(Dec) in ST bank loan Inc(Dec) in Equity

Dividend Payments

From changes in B/S

From change in B/S, vs. N I Effect on

Cash Inc(Dec) in CASH = NOCG +(-) change in N-Op;

Verify from change in B/S acct

(12)

LAPORAN ARUS KAS – Perubahan dlm Neraca

OPERATING Current Assets

(except Cash)

Current Liab.

(except ST bank loan)

Increase Use Source

Decrease Source Use

NON-OPTG LT Assets LT Liabilities

(incl. ST bank loan)

Increase Use Source

Decrease Source Use

(13)

ANALISIS ARUS KAS - Contoh

(Appliance Mfg; In $’000) 1999 2000 2001

Net Income 4,089 7,105 10,954

Depreciation 2,001 2,016 1,601

Gross Operating Funds Gen 6,090 9,121 12,555

(Inc)Dec Acct Receivable -2,683 -13,399 -23,275

(Inc)Dec Inventory -3,437 -9,815 -19,558

Inc(Dec) Acct Payable 2,620 7,728 -1,784

Net Operating Cash Gen 2,590 -6,365 -32,062

(Inc)Dec Fixed Assets -1,202 -421 -8,361

Inc(Dec) LTDebt -6,400 1,441 36,566

Inc(Dec) ST bank loans -1,025 1,793 6,000

Inc(Dec) Equity 5,175 0 128

Dividend Payments 0 -534 0

Inc(Dec) in CASH -862 -4,086 2,271

(14)

ANALISIS LAPORAN ARUS KAS

Banker’s

format Cash Generation Statement

Why important to bankers?

Operating

Cash Flow Net Income Depreciation

Gross Operating Funds Gen (Inc)Dec in Acct Receivable (Inc)Dec in Inventory

(Inc)Dec in Prepaid Exp.

(Inc)Dec in Other C.A.

Inc(Dec) in Acct Payable Inc(Dec) in Accrued Exp.

Inc(Dec) in Other C.L.

Profitability & revenue-gen.

GOFG is “funds”, not cash = estimate of cash flow

WC adjustments: GOFG to cash-basis (accrual NI to CF)

Sources & uses of cash

Efficiency & growth in assets (vs. sales)

Matching optg needs vs. ST sources

Need for working capital financing

(15)

ANALISIS LAPORAN ARUS KAS

Banker’s

format Cash Generation Statement

Why important to bankers?

Operatin g Cash Flow

Net Operating Cash Gen

NOCG = cash flow from operations

Liquidity – is cash flow adequate

and stable?

Self-financing capacity

(internal cash generation) – cash gen from biz w/o

resorting

to external funding

Repayment capability

Use for Capex & LT investment

If negative trend – dependent on bank debt? Overborrowing?

(16)

ANALISIS LAPORAN ARUS KAS

Banker’s

format Cash Generation Statement

Why important to bankers?

Non-Optg

Cash Flow (Inc)Dec in Fixed Assets (Inc)Dec in Other LT Ast Inc(Dec) in LTDebt

Inc(Dec) in ST bank loan Inc(Dec) in Equity

Dividend Payments

Sources & uses of cash

LT investments & growth in assets (vs. sales)

Matching Capex vs. LT sources

Need for LT (external) financing

Leverage – borrowings & debt- servicing?

Competitors to cash flow –

pymt to other banks & to owners

Margin of safety?

Effect on

Cash Inc(Dec) in CASHIf (-), cash & mkt sec as source to finance shortfall

End-cash vs. minimum desired?

Referensi

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