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Supplementary material

S 1.Model transition probabilities

Natural history model

Lung cancer stage I to stage II 0.354213646

Lung cancer stage I to stage IIIA 0.364773426

Lung cancer stage I to stage IIIB 0.03362723

Lung cancer stage I to stage IV 1.03E-08

Lung cancer stage I to diagnosis 0.089091655

Lung cancer stage I to death 0.158294033

Lung cancer stage II to stage IIIA 0.479856115

Lung cancer stage II to stage IIIB 0.254881809

Lung cancer stage II to stage IV 0.006166495

Lung cancer stage II to diagnosis 0.132579651

Lung cancer stage II to death 0.12651593

Lung cancer stage IIIA to stage IIIB 0.431058875

Lung cancer stage IIIA to stage IV 0.244422679

Lung cancer stage IIIA to diagnosis 0.158341495

Lung cancer stage IIIA to death 0.166176951

Lung cancer stage IIIB to stage IV 0.546133112

Lung cancer stage IIIB to diagnosis 0.069666183

Lung cancer stage IIIB to death 0.384200705

Lung cancer stage IV to diagnosis 0.128220141

Lung cancer stage IV to death 0.871779859

Diagnosis without screening

Lung cancer stage I to diagnosis 0.1

Lung cancer stage II to diagnosis 0.06

Lung cancer stage IIIA to diagnosis 0.1

Lung cancer stage IIIB to diagnosis 0.11

Lung cancer stage IV to diagnosis 0.63

Diagnosis with screening

Lung cancer stage I to diagnosis 0.67

Lung cancer stage II to diagnosis 0.08

Lung cancer stage IIIA to diagnosis 0.15

Lung cancer stage IIIB to diagnosis 0.04

Lung cancer stage IV to diagnosis 0.06

Postdiagnóstico 0

Surgery to death 0.0407

Surgery to After Care I 1 0.9593

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Surgery + chemotherapy to death 0.0438

Surgery + chemotherapy to After Care II 0.9562

Surgery + chemotherapy +radiotherapy to death 0.0765

Surgery + chemotherapy +radiotherapy to After Care III 0.9235

Chemotherapy +radiotherapy to death 0.1052

Chemotherapy +radiotherapy to After Care IV 0.89

Inmunotherapy to death 0.063

Inmunotherapy to inmunotherapy 0.612

Inmunotherapy to palliative care 0.325

After Care I to After Care I 0.9459

After Care I to death 0.0407

After Care I to chemotherapy +radiotherapy 0.0053

After Care I to palliative care 0.0081

After Care II to After Care II 0.6978

After Care II to death 0.0438

After Care II to chemotherapy +radiotherapy 0.0064

After Care II to palliative care 0.252

After Care III to After Care III 0.8706

After Care III to death 0.0765

After Care III to chemotherapy +radiotherapy 0.0081

After Care III to palliative care 0.0448

After Care III to After Care III 0.569

After Care III to death 0.0552

After Care III to chemotherapy +radiotherapy 0.056

After Care III to inmunotherapy 0.3

After Care III to palliative care 0.0198

Palliative care to death 0.1416

Palliative care to palliative care 0.8584

S 2. Utility values post-diagnosis model.

Utilities Case base values Source

Post diagnosis model

Surgery 0.825 Hofer et al., 2018

Surgery + chemotherapy 0.7 Hofer et al., 2018

Surgery + chemotherapy + radio

0.7

Hofer et al., 2018

Chemotherapy + radio 0.573 Hofer et al., 2018

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Inmunotherapy 0.7 Paracha et al., 2018

Aftercare I 0.825 Hofer et al., 2018

Aftercare II 0.825 Hofer et al., 2018

Aftercare III 0.772 Hofer et al., 2018

Aftercare IV 0.573 Hofer et al., 2018

Palliative care 0.33 Nafees et al., 2008

S3. CHEERS checklist

Reporting Item Page Number

Title #1 Identify the study as an economic evaluation or use more specific terms such as “cost-effectiveness analysis”, and describe the interventions compared.

page 1, line 2 to 3

Abstract #2 Provide a structured summary of objectives, perspective, setting, methods (including study design and inputs), results (including base case and uncertainty analyses), and conclusions

page 2, line 28 to 50

Background and objectives

#3 Provide an explicit statement of the broader context for the study. Present the study question and its relevance for health policy or practice decisions

page 3 lines 55 to 87

Target population and subgroups

#4 Describe characteristics of the base case population and subgroups analyzed, including why they were chosen.

page 4, lines 102 to 110

Setting and location #5 State relevant aspects of the system(s) in which the decision(s) need(s) to be made.

page 4, lines 94 to 97

Study perspective #6 Describe the perspective of the study and relate this to the costs being evaluated.

page 6, lines 94 to 97 page 7 lines 175 to 181

Comparators #7 Describe the interventions or strategies being compared and state why they were chosen.

page 6, lines 136 to 153

Time horizon #8 State the time horizon(s) over which costs and consequences are being evaluated and say why appropriate.

page 6, lines 151 to 152

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Discount rate #9 Report the choice of discount rate(s) used for costs and outcomes and say why appropriate

page 6, lines 152 to 154

Choice of health outcomes

#10 Describe what outcomes were used as the measure(s) of benefit in the evaluation and their relevance for the type of analysis performed

page 6, lines 161 to 165

Meaurement of effectiveness

#11a Single study-based estimates: Describe fully the design features of the single effectiveness study and why the single study was a sufficient source of clinical effectiveness data

page 4, lines 98 to 101 and page 6, lines 156 to 160

Measurement of effectiveness

#11b Synthesis-based estimates: Describe fully the methods used for identification of included studies and synthesis of clinical effectiveness data

not applicable

Measurement and valuation of preference based outcomes

#12 If applicable, describe the population and methods used to elicit preferences for outcomes.

not applicable

Estimating resources and costs

#13a Single study-based economic evaluation: Describe approaches used to estimate resource use associated with the alternative interventions. Describe primary or secondary research methods for valuing each resource item in terms of its unit cost. Describe any adjustments made to approximate to opportunity costs

not applicable

#13b Model-based economic evaluation: Describe approaches and data sources used to estimate resource use associated with model health states. Describe primary or secondary research methods for valuing each resource item in terms of its unit cost.

Describe any adjustments made to approximate to opportunity costs.

page 7, line 170 to 181

Currency, price date, and conversion

#14 Report the dates of the estimated resource quantities and unit costs. Describe methods for adjusting estimated unit costs to the year of reported costs if necessary. Describe methods for converting costs into a common currency base and the exchange rate.

page 7, line 184 to 185

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Choice of model #15 Describe and give reasons for the specific type of decision analytical model used. Providing a figure to show model structure is strongly recommended.

Page 5, lines 135 to 140 figure 1

Assumptions #16 Describe all structural or other assumptions underpinning the decision-analytical model.

Page 5, lines 140 to 147

Analytical methods #17 Describe all analytical methods supporting the evaluation. This could include methods for dealing with skewed, missing, or censored data; extrapolation methods; methods for pooling data; approaches to validate or make adjustments (such as half cycle corrections) to a model; and methods for handling population heterogeneity and uncertainty.

not applicable

Study parameters #18 Report the values, ranges, references, and, if used, probability distributions for all parameters. Report reasons or sources for distributions used to represent uncertainty where appropriate.

Providing a table to show the input values is strongly recommended.

page 6, lines 148 to 150 S.1

Incremental costs and outcomes

#19 For each intervention, report mean values for the main categories of estimated costs and outcomes of interest, as well as mean differences between the comparator groups. If applicable, report incremental cost-effectiveness ratios.

Table 2.

Characterizing uncertainty

#20a Single study-based economic evaluation: Describe the effects of sampling uncertainty for the estimated incremental cost and incremental effectiveness parameters, together with the impact of methodological assumptions (such as discount rate, study perspective).

not applicable

#20b Model-based economic evaluation: Describe the effects on the results of uncertainty for all input parameters, and uncertainty related to the structure of the model and assumptions.

page 9, lines 223 to 232

Characterizing heterogeneity

#21 If applicable, report differences in costs, outcomes, or cost effectiveness that can be explained by variations between subgroups of patients with different baseline characteristics or other observed variability in effects that are not reducible by more information.

page 8, lines 215 to 218 Table 2

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Study findings, limitations, generalizability, and current knowledge

#22 Summarize key study findings and describe how they support the conclusions reached. Discuss limitations and the generalizability of the findings and how the findings fit with current knowledge.

Page 8, lines 213 to 215 and page 9 lines 259 to 270

Source of funding #23 Describe how the study was funded and the role of the funder in the identification, design, conduct, and reporting of the analysis.

Describe other non-monetary sources of support

page 1, line24

Conflict of interest #24 Describe any potential for conflict of interest of study

contributors in accordance with journal policy. In the absence of a journal policy, we recommend authors comply with

International Committee of Medical Journal Editors recommendations

page 1, line 23

The CHEERS checklist is distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License CC-BY-NC.

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