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I

nternational

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SCIENTIFIC COMMITTEE

Dr. Fatmawati (Universitas Airlangga, Indonesia) Dr. Nur Chamidah (Universitas Airlangga, Indonesia) Ira Puspitsari, Ph.D (Universitas Airlangga, Indonesia) Dr. Rimuljo Hendradi (Universitas Airlangga, Indonesia) Dr. Miswanto (Universitas Airlangga, Indonesia)

Prof. Haavard Rue (King Abdullah University of Science and Technology, Saudi Arabia) Assoc. Prof. Norhaslinda Kamaruddin (Universiti Teknologi MARA, Malaysia)

Prof. Yoshihiro Sawano (Tokyo Metropolitan University, Japan) Prof. Martin Alan Bees (University of York, United Kingdom) Dr. Ebenezer Bonyah (KNUST, Ghana)

Dr. Moh. Imam Utoyo (Universitas Airlangga, Indonesia) Dr. Jiraroj Tosasukul (Naresuan University, Thailand) Prof. Dr. Norsarahaida Saidina Amin (UTM, Malaysia) Prof. Dedi Rosadi (UGM, Indonesia)

Prof. I Nyoman Budiantara (ITS, Indonesia)

Prof. Dr. Hadi Susanto (Khalifa University, United Arab Emirates) Dr. Toha Saifuddin (Universitas Airlangga, Indonesia)

Dr. Eridani (Universitas Airlangga, Indonesia) Dr. Ardi Kurniawan (Universitas Airlangga, Indonesia) Herry Suprajitno, Ph.D (Universitas Airlangga, Indonesia)

ORGANIZING COMMITTEE

Cicik Alfiniyah, Ph.D

M. Fariz Fadillah Mardianto, M.Si.

Dr. Windarto Dr. Lilik Susilowati Edi Winarko, M.Cs.

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Downlo Book of A Conferen Template Poster IC Full Pape Poster W

Secretar Departme Faculty of Airlangga Surabaya Telephone +62(031)5 Fax. +62(0 Email : ic Contact Purbandi (Whatsap Abdulloh (Whatsap

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The Suramadu Bridge (Indonesian: JembatanSuramadu) opened in June 2009 is a cable-stayed bridge between Sura

IMPORTANT DATES FEES & PAYMENT SUBMISSION & REGISTRATION COMMITTEE KEY

tember 2020 29 September 2020 29 September 2020

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28/2/2021 AIP Conference Proceedings: Vol 2329, No 1

https://aip.scitation.org/toc/apc/2329/1?windowStart=50&size=50 1/8

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Conference date: 29 September 2020 Location: Surabaya, Indonesia

ISBN: 978-0-7354-4073-9

Editors: Cicik Alfiniyah, Fatmawati and Windarto Volume number: 2329

Published: Feb 26, 2021

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STATISTICS



Free . February 2021

The impact of US-China trade war in forecasting the gold price using ARIMAX model

Christopher Andreas, Ilma Amira Rahmayanti and Siti Maghfirotul Ulyah

AIP Conference Proceedings 2329, 060011 (2021); https://doi.org/10.1063/5.0042361

INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON MATHEMATICS, COMPUTATIONAL SCIENCES AND STATISTICS 2020

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(5)

28/2/2021 AIP Conference Proceedings: Vol 2329, No 1

https://aip.scitation.org/toc/apc/2329/1?windowStart=50&size=50 2/8



Free . February 2021

A comparison forecasting methods for trend and seasonal Indonesia tourist arrivals time series

Subanar and Winita Sulandari

AIP Conference Proceedings 2329, 060012 (2021); https://doi.org/10.1063/5.0042130



Free . February 2021

Bi-response spline smoothing estimator for modelling the

percentage of poor population and human development index in Papua Province

Dyah Putri Rahmawati, I. Nyoman Budiantara, Dedy Dwi Prastyo and Made Ayu Dwi Octavanny

AIP Conference Proceedings 2329, 060013 (2021); https://doi.org/10.1063/5.0042396



Free . February 2021

Bootstrap based T chart with hybrid James Stein and SDCM for network anomaly detection

Muhammad Ahsan, Muhammad Mashuri, Hidayatul Khusna and Wibawati

AIP Conference Proceedings 2329, 060014 (2021); https://doi.org/10.1063/5.0042112



Free . February 2021

The performance of goodness of fit test procedure on geographically weighted polynomial regression model

Toha Saifudin, Fatmawati and Nur Chamidah

AIP Conference Proceedings 2329, 060015 (2021); https://doi.org/10.1063/5.0042125 SHOW ABSTRACT 

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2

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28/2/2021 AIP Conference Proceedings: Vol 2329, No 1

https://aip.scitation.org/toc/apc/2329/1?windowStart=50&size=50 3/8



Free . February 2021

Modify alpha value of EMA method and brown method: A data forecasting comparison of COVID-19

Syaharuddin, Habib Ratu Perwira Negara, Malik Ibrahim, Ahmad, Muhammad Zulfikri, Gilang Primajati, Via Yustitia, Suvriadi Panggabean, Rina Rohayu and Nurjannah Septyanun

AIP Conference Proceedings 2329, 060016 (2021); https://doi.org/10.1063/5.0042120



Free . February 2021

The determinant of entrepreneurial work for elderly in Indonesia

Sri Subanti, Arif Rahman Hakim and Winita Sulandari

AIP Conference Proceedings 2329, 060017 (2021); https://doi.org/10.1063/5.0042189

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Free . February 2021

Meta regression application for detecting publication bias and variation of results in economic research

Mohtar Rasyid

AIP Conference Proceedings 2329, 060018 (2021); https://doi.org/10.1063/5.0042192



Free . February 2021

Multivariate adaptive regression spline (MARS) methods with application to multi drug-resistant tuberculosis (MDR-TB) prevalence

Septia Devi Prihastuti Yasmirullah, Bambang Widjanarko Otok, Jerry Dwi Trijoyo Purnomo and Dedy Dwi Prastyo

AIP Conference Proceedings 2329, 060019 (2021); https://doi.org/10.1063/5.0042145 SHOW ABSTRACT 

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(7)

28/2/2021 AIP Conference Proceedings: Vol 2329, No 1

https://aip.scitation.org/toc/apc/2329/1?windowStart=50&size=50 4/8



Free . February 2021

Forecasting gold and oil prices considering US-China trade war using vector autoregressive with exogenous input

Siti Maghfirotul Ulyah, Christopher Andreas and Ilma Amira Rahmayanti

AIP Conference Proceedings 2329, 060020 (2021); https://doi.org/10.1063/5.0042362



Free . February 2021

Prediction of dengue infection severity using classic and robust discriminant approaches

Toha Saifudin and Windarto

AIP Conference Proceedings 2329, 060021 (2021); https://doi.org/10.1063/5.0042127



Free . February 2021

Modeling the number of confirmed and suspected cases of Covid-19 in East Java using bi-response negative binomial regression based on local linear estimator

Amin Tohari, Nur Chamidah and Fatmawati

AIP Conference Proceedings 2329, 060022 (2021); https://doi.org/10.1063/5.0042288



Free . February 2021

Fourier series estimator in semiparametric regression to predict criminal rate in Indonesia

Rini Kustianingsih, M. Fariz Fadillah Mardianto, Belindha Ayu Ardhani, Kuzairi, Amin Thohari, Raka Andriawan and Tony Yulianto

AIP Conference Proceedings 2329, 060023 (2021); https://doi.org/10.1063/5.0042123 SHOW ABSTRACT 

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AIP Conference Proceedings 2329, 060022 (2021); https://doi.org/10.1063/5.0042288 2329, 060022

© 2021 Author(s).

Modeling the number of confirmed and suspected cases of Covid-19 in East Java using bi-response negative binomial

regression based on local linear estimator

Cite as: AIP Conference Proceedings 2329, 060022 (2021); https://doi.org/10.1063/5.0042288 Published Online: 26 February 2021

Amin Tohari, Nur Chamidah, and Fatmawati

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International Conference on Mathematics, Computational Sciences and Statistics 2020 AIP Conf. Proc. 2329, 060022-1–060022-8; https://doi.org/10.1063/5.0042288

Published by AIP Publishing. 978-0-7354-4073-9/$30.00

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