F. No. 3-1/ 2015-16-CFCC-E&S GOVERNMENT OF INDIA
MINISTRY OF AGRICULTURE AND FARMERS WELFARE
DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE, COOPERATION AND FARMERS WELFARE (CROP FORECAST COORDINATION CENTRE)
Room No. 344-A, Krishi Bhawan, New Delhi Dated: 21.10.2015
SUBJECT: MINUTES OF THE MEETING OF THE CROP WEATHER WATCH GROUP HELD ON 16.10.2015.
Summary observations of the Group on Agenda Items
Details of the mean maximum and minimum temperature during the week 08th October to 14th October, 2015, were as under:-
Maximum Temperature
Above normal by 4oC over many parts of Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh, some parts of Gujarat region and isolated pockets of Uttar Pradesh, Haryana & Delhi and by 2 to 4oC over Bihar, Jharkhand, Sub-Himalayan West Bengal & Sikkim, North East India, many parts of Himachal Pradesh, Uttarakhand, Punjab, Haryana & Delhi, Uttar Pradesh, Gangetic West Bengal, Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh, Vidarbha, Gujarat, some parts of Odisha, Tamil Nadu and isolated pockets of Jammu & Kashmir, Rajasthan, Madhya Maharashtra, Marathwada, Telangana, North Interior Karnataka and Kerala.
Normal to near normal in remaining parts of the country.
Minimum Temperature
Above normal by 2 to 4oC over many parts of Uttarakhand, Saurashtra, some parts of Jammu & Kashmir, Haryana & Delhi, Himachal Pradesh, Rajasthan, Gujarat region, Andaman & Nicobar Islands and isolated pockets of Punjab, West Madhya Pradesh, Coastal Andhra Pradesh, South Interior Karnataka and Rayalaseema.
Normal to near normal in remaining parts of the country.
In the post monsoon season, weekly Rainfall for the country as a whole during the week 08th October to 14th October, 2015 was 51% lower than Long Period Average (LPA). Rainfall (% departure from LPA) in the four broad geographical divisions of the country during the above period was lower by 25% in East & North East India, 93% in North West India, 87% in Central India and 24% in South Peninsula.
The cumulative rainfall in the country during the post monsoon season i.e. 01st October to 14th October, 2015 was 47% lower than Long Period Average (LPA). Rainfall (% departure from LPA) in the four broad geographical divisions of the country during the above period was lower by 55% in East & North East India, 97% in North West India, 69% in Central India and higher by 1% in South Peninsula.
Out of 36 met sub-divisions, 11 met sub-divisions constituting 20% of the total area of the country has received excess/normal rainfall, 20 met sub-divisions constituting 61% of the total area of the country has received deficient rainfall and 05 met sub-divisions 19% of the total area of the country has received no rain.
Central Water Commission monitors 91 major reservoirs in the country which have total live capacity of 157.80 BCM at Full Reservoir Level (FRL). Current live storage in these reservoirs as on 15th October, 2015 was 93.59 BCM as against 119.82 BCM on 15.10.2014 (last year) and 122.46 BCM of normal (average storage of the last 10 years) storage. Current year’s storage is 78% of the last year’s storage and 76% of the normal storage.
Availability position of seeds and fertilizers has been found satisfactory.
1. Post Monsoon Season (October – December) during the week ending on 14th October, 2015
Sub-division-wise daily distribution of rainfall and minimum temperature are shown in Table-1.1
Rainfall during the week (08th October, 2015 to 14th October, 2015) Rainfall was excess/normal in 06, deficient/scanty in 24 and no rain in 06 out of 36 meteorological sub-divisions.
Cumulative rainfall (01st October to 14th October, 2015) Rainfall was excess/normal in 11, deficient/scanty in 20 and no rain in 05 out of 36 meteorological sub-divisions.
Table-1.2: Weekly and Cumulative Rainfall in four regions of the country1
E: Excess, N: Normal, D: Deficient, S: Scanty, NR: No Rain.
Source: India Meteorological Department, New Delhi
Table – 1.3: Category wise comparative distribution of Sub-division (cumulative rainfall) and All-India Percentage Rainfall Departure for the last five years since: 1st October to
Source: IMD
1. North-west India - Uttar Pradesh, Rajasthan, Haryana, Chandigarh and Delhi, Punjab, Uttaranchal, Himachal Pradesh, and Jammu and Kashmir.
Region Week Ending (14.10.2015) Cumulative (01.10.15 to 14.10.15) (in mm) Devi-
ation (%)
Cat. (in mm) Devi-
ation (%)
Cate- gory
Actual Normal Actual Normal
North-West India 0.7 9.4 -93 S 0.7 22.0 -97 S
Central India 2.1 16.4 -87 S 12.0 38.1 -69 S
South Peninsular India 25.5 33.6 -24 D 77.4 76.3 1 N East & North-East India 25.4 33.7 -25 D 38.7 85.5 -55 D Country as a whole 10.0 20.4 -51 D 25.6 48.3 -47 D
No. of Sub-Divisions with rainfall
For the period from 1st October to 13 OCT
2010
12 OCT 2011
17 OCT 2012
16 OCT 2013
15 OCT 2014
14 OCT 2015 Excess
Normal Total
04 04 08
00 01 01
06 07 13
20 04 24
05 03 08
05 06 11 Deficient
Scanty No rain Total
10 17 01 28
09 22 04 35
09 13 01 23
11 01 00 12
13 15 00 28
04 16 05 25
Data Inadequate 00 00 00 00 00 00
TOTAL 36 36 36 36 36 36
All-India % Rainfall Deviation
2% (-) 68% (-) 17% 53% (-) 30% (-) 47%
Table: 1.1
2. Reservoir Status (For the week ending on 15.10.2015)
The Central Water Commission monitors the live storage of 91 important/major reservoirs, having capacity at Full Reservoir Level (FRL) of 157.80 billion cubic meters (BCM), which is about 74% of total reservoir capacity in the country.
Water stock in 91 major reservoirs decreased to 93.59 BCM from the previous week’s level of 94.89 BCM. Current storage is lower than the last year’s position of 119.82 BCM and the average of last 10 year’s storage of 122.46 BCM.Table – 2.1 : For 91 major reservoirs of the country Period Current Year’s
Storage as % of FRL*
Current Year’s storage as % of last year
Current year as a % of 10 years average level
Current Week Last Week
59 59
78 84
76 84
The percentage to live capacity at FRL was 76% on 15/10/2014, 80% on 15/10/2013, 75% on 15/10/2012 and 86% on 15/10/2011.
* Live storage as % to Full Reservoir Level (FRL) of 157.80 Billion Cub. Mts.(BCM) Source: CWC
There were 37 reservoirs having storage more than 80%, 34 reservoirs having storage between 50% to 80%
of Normal Storage, 13 reservoir having storage between 30% to 50% of Normal Storage and 7 reservoir having storage 30% or below of Normal Storage.
3. Fertilizer Position:
Table – 3.1: Requirement, Availability, Sales and Stock position of Major Fertilizers Urea, DAP, MOP, Complex and SSP during Rabi 2015 (As on 15.10.2015)
(in ‘000 Tonne) Availability / Sale / Closing Stock Urea DAP MOP Complex SSP Opening Stock as on 01.10.2015 289 930 260 840 340 Requirement for Rabi, 2015 16466 5151 1785 5353 3248 Requirement upto October, 2015 3259 1696 358 1159 690 Availability upto 15.10.2015 1327 1294 504 1246 516
Sales upto 15.10.2015 510 101 14 106 48
Source: Fertilizer Division (DAC) / Deptt. of Fertilizer
4. Pest & Diseases:
Incidence of Green Semi looper (Chrysodeixis acuta), White fly (Bemisia tabaci) , Girdle beetle (Oberia brevis) &
Yellow mosaic virus on Soybean crop in Baran, Jhalawar & Kota districts of Rajasthan. The crop was in Pod formation o maturity stage. The in-charges of CIPMCs, Sriganganagar, Jaipur, were instructed to keep close monitoring of further spread of this pest.
Incidences of White fly population decreased to some extent and reported in low to moderate intensity. In remaining 70% areas where standing crop have been going on second picking in mansa, Muktsar, Bhatinda, Fazilka (Abohar) districts of Punjab where 25 to 30% cotton crop was damaged by White fly and Black sooty mould. The cotton crop was ploughed out by the Farmers.
Pink bollworm (PBW) on Bt (Bollgard II) cotton crop has been reported in Saurashtra, & adjacent regions of Gujarat
state. In general the incidence of Pink Bollworm was recorded in trace intensity during survey conducted by CIPMC, Vadodra, in few villages of Vadodra, Anand, & Kheda Districts suggesting that resistance of Bt (Bollgard II) cotton to Pink bollworm has been broken.
No shortage of Chemical / Bio-pesticides was reported from any State / UT.
