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FACULTY OF ENGINEERING & TECHNOLOGY

Dr. Vinod Kumar Yadav

Assistant Professor in Mathematics

Rama University Uttar Pradesh, Kanpur

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BSc (AG)

2

nd

Year , IIIrd Sem.

Statistical Methods AES-213

Dr. Vinod Kumar Yadav

Assistant Professor in Mathematics

Rama University Uttar Pradesh, Kanpur

Statistical Methods

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Outline of Lecture

Outline of lecture

 Probability Theory

 Introduction

 Definition & Formula

 Notations in Probability

 Addition & Multiplication theorem of Probability

 Suggested Readings & References

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Probability Theory

Probability is a most important topic in Mathematics.

It is very much used in daily life, game theory, agriculture or predicting the result, share market, etc.

Probability is a mathematical measure of uncertainty.

Probability is also called chance of success or failure.

Let ‘A’ be an event, probability of A is denoted by P(A) and define as-

The value of probability lies between 0 to 1. i.e.

Introduction

( ) favourable events P Atotal events

( ) 0 ( ) 1 0 ( ) 1

P Aor P AorP A

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Probability Theory

Notation of Probability

Let A and B are two events so

P(A) define as probability of A or probability of success of A define as probability of or probability of failure of A P(AUB) define as probability of A or B

P(A∩B) define as probability of A and B A/

( /) P A

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Definitions

Probability Theory

 Let A is an event. All possible outcomes in a trial are known as Exhaustive events.

 Two events A and B are said to be Mutually exclusive events if P(A∩B) = 0.

 Two events A and B are said to be Independent events if P(A∩B) = P(A) . P(B)

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Probability Theory

Theorem of Probability

Let A and B are two events. P(A) define as probability of success A and probability of failure of A then

or

(

/

) 1 ( ) P A   P A

( /) P A

( ) (

/

) 1

P AP A

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Probability Theory

Addition & Multiplication Theorem of Probability

 Let A and B are two events then

P(AUB) = P(A) + P(B) -P(A∩B) this is called addition theorem of probability.

 Let A and B are two events then

P(A / B) . P(B) = P(A∩B) this is called multiplication theorem of probability.

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Suggested Readings & References

Suggested Readings & References

1) Statistical Methods: P.N. Arora, Sumeet Arora & S. Arora; S. Chand & Company Ltd.

2) Fundamental of Mathematical Statistics: S.C. Gupta & V. Kapoor; Sultan Chand & Sons.

3) Statistics: M.R. Spiegel; Schaum’s Outline Series, Mc-Graw Hill Publication.

4) Advanced Engineering Mathematics: Erwin Kreyszig; John Wiley & Sons Inc.

5) Elements of Statistics: J.P. Chauhan & S. Kumar; Krishna Publication.

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Statistical Methods

Referensi

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