National Conference on Agriculture for Rabi Campaign (15-16
thSeptember, 2016)
Kharif Review Rabi Prospects Strategies
Dr. S. K. Malhotra Agriculture Commissioner
Department of Agriculture, Cooperation and Farmers Welfare, Ministry of Agriculture and Farmers Welfare
Rainfall in Kharif Season: 2016
South West Monsoon (Departure): Most favorable June -11%
July +7%
August -8%
Actual rainfall: 733.8 mm (1June -7 Sep)
Normal rainfall: 762.3 mm
Deficit in rainfall: -4 %
Deficient rains: Assam, Meghalaya, Nagaland,
Mizoram, Tripura, Haryana, Punjab, H.P., Gujarat,
Kerala.
2015 2016
Total subdivisions : 36 Excess/ Normal : 28 Deficit : 8
Incidence of floods: Assam, WB, MP, Bihar, Rajasthan, parts of UP & MHR
No serious disease/insect-pests observed
Region 2016 2015 Northern Region 79 90 Eastern Region 76 58 Western Region 75 59 Central Region 87 77 Southern Region 44 32
All India 69 59
10 Years Average 71
Live storage in BCM 108.1 92.3 (Total live storage for full reservoir level=157.8 BCM) 10 year average: 111.8 BCM
Total reservoirs: 91
61 reservoirs : >80% capacity of normal storage
30 reservoirs : <80% capacity of normal storage
Source: CWC, GOI. As on 08.09.2016
Region wise live storage (%) of water in
Major reservoirs (2016 & 2015)
Crop
Normal Area (Lakh hectare)
Area Sown during Kharif season (Lakh hectare)
Difference of 2016-17
over 2016-17
2015-16 Last year 2015-16
Rice 392.81 380.28 370.04 10.24
Pulses 108.69 143.95 111.48 32.48
Coarse
cereals 199.70 187.86 177.05 10.81
Oilseeds 182.42 186.95 181.70 5.25
Sugarcane 49.96 45.77 49.60 -3.83
Jute & Mesta 8.57 7.56 7.73 -0.17
Cotton 120.34 102.13 114.75 -12.62
Total 1062.50 1054.49 1012.35 42.15
Area coverage Kharif -2016
Area in Million ha
Crop Normal Area 2014 2015 2016
Rice 39.28 36.65 37.00 38.02
Maize 7.35 7.46 7.5 8.31
Millets 12.62 9.64 10.19 10.47
Total Cereals 59.27 53.75 54.69 56.80
Source SDA *As on 9.09.2016
Area coverage : Cereal Crops
Kharif (2014, 2015, 2016)
Area in Million ha
Crop Normal Area 2014 2015 2016
Arhar 4.00 3.54 3.73 5.21
Black gram 2.44 2.47 2.78 3.48
Green gram 2.36 2.06 2.53 3.36
Total pulses 10.87 9.90 11.14 14.39
Source: SDA as on 9.9.2016
Area coverage : Pulses Crops
Kharif (2014, 2015, 2016)
.
Area in Million ha
Crop Normal Area 2014 2015 2016
Groundnut 4.37 3.67 3.57 4.65
Soybean 10.63 11.01 11.61 11.46
Total Kharif
Oilseeds 18.24 17.55 18.16 18.69
Source: SDAs as on 9.9.2016
Area coverage : Oilseed Crops
Kharif (2014, 2015, 2016)
Unit: Area in Million ha
Crop Normal Area 2014 2015 2016
Cotton 12.03 12.52 11.47 10.21
Jute &
Mesta 0.85 0.81 0.77 0.75
Sugarcane 4.99 5.06 4.96 4.57
Source: SDA as on 9.9.2016
Area coverage : Cash Crops
Kharif (2014, 2015, 2016)
Crop Production Targets (2016-17)
2015-16(4th Ad. Estimate) 2016-17 (Targets)
Million Tones/bales Crops Kharif Rabi Total Kharif Rabi Total Rice 91.30 13.00 104.31 93.00 15.50 108.50
Wheat -- 93.50 93.50 - 96.50 96.50
Maize 15.24 6.56 21.86 17.50 7.00 24.50
Millets 11.93 4.20 16.13 15.00 4.85 19.85 Pulses 5.53 10.93 16.46 7.25 13.50 20.75
Foodgrains 124.01 128.21 252.22 132.75 137.35 270.10
Oilseeds 16.59 8.71 25.30 23.50 11.50 35.00
Sugarcane - - 352.16 - - 355.00
Cotton (170 kg bales) 30.15 - 30.15 - - 36.00 Jute & Mesta (180
kg bales 10.47 - 10.47 - - 11.70
Main crops of Rabi season
Wheat
Gram, Lentil and Summer Moong
Rapeseed & Mustard
Rabi Maize and Jowar
Strategies for Rabi : 2016-17
• Region specific crop planning–based on moisture availability
• Pre-positioning of Inputs: Seeds, bio-agents/Agro-
chemicals, Fertilizers, Micro-nutrients, Soil amendments- Lime or Gypsum.
• Moisture Conservation & Timely sowing : Laser Land Leveller, Zero till Seed drill, Rotavator, Happy Seeder.
• Focus on Rice fallow area for sowing pulses and oilseeds.
• Promotion of Relay cropping / Intercropping: To enhance the production and profitability.
• Area specific application of Micronutrients – sulphur,
Molybdenum, Zinc, Boron, etc.
REQUIREMENT & AVAILABILITY OF SEEDS for Rabi: 2016-17
Crop REQUIREMENT
(Lakh quintal) AVAILABILITY
(Lakh quintal) DEFICIT/
SURPLUS
Wheat 117.5 136.5 19.02
Rabi Jowar 1.21 1.25 0.04
Chick pea
(gram) 17.6 16.0 -1.6
Urd 1.08 1.03 0.05
Moong 0.67 0.93 0.26
Lentil 1.47 1.15 -0.32
R & M 1.75 1.74 0.01
Source: Seed Division, DAC, GOI.
REQUIREMENT & SALES OF FERTILIZERS for Rabi: 2016-17
Fertilizers
Rabi: 2015-16 Rabi: 2016-17 Assessed
requirement (Lakh tons)
Total sales (Lakh tons)
Assessed requirement
(Lakh tons)
Urea 166.20 164.89 166.22
DAP 51.41 46.81 52.45
MOP 17.77 11.72 18.40
NPK 53.15 47.74 53.70
SSP 32.48 25.24 33.57
Source: INM & FMS, DAC, GOI
Specific Issues
Blast of Wheat
Yellow Rust & Karnal Bunt: Each state should have strategy to manage these diseases.
Enforcement of Seed Certification Standards:
Promotion seed production during off season to
make up the deficiency
New Initiatives for Pulses under NFSM
150 Seed Hubs in Pulses in three years
Enhancement of breeder seed production of Pulses at ICAR-IIPR and SAU,s
Seed mini kits of pulses
Subsidy for production of quality seed
Pulses and oilseeds cluster demonstrations
Bio fertilizer and bio pesticides
Pulses and oilseeds cultivation in rice fallow areas under BGREI
Promotion of summer moong
WE NEED TO PROMOTE PULSES & OILSEEDS IN RICE FALLOWS
• Eastern States: Paddy Fallow – 8 million ha land
• West Bengal, Bihar, Odisha, Jharkhand, Chhattisgarh, Assam
• Andhra Pradesh, Tamil Nadu, Karnataka
• Options:
• Pulses: Lentil, lathyrus and chickpea
• Oil seeds: Mustard, safflower and linseed
• Identification of potential districts with rice fallows
• Promote timely sowing of pulses in residual moistures
• Availability of seeds of suitable varieties
• Use of natural resources: tanks/watersheds for life saving irrigation (PMKSY)
• Pooling of resources : NFSM, NMOOP, ATMA, RKVY and other schemes.
• Motivating large number of farmers in a village