GOVERNMENT OF INDIA
MINISTRY OF AGRICULTURE AND FARMERS WELFARE DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE AND FARMERS WELFARE
(CROP FORECAST COORDINATION CENTRE)
Room No. 443, Krishi Bhawan, New Delhi Dated: 07.06.2022
SUBJECT: MINUTES OF THE MEETING OF THE CROP WEATHER WATCH GROUP HELD 03.06.2022.
Summary Points of the CWWG meeting:
Lower pre-monsoon rainfall was observed during the week, as compared to Long Period Average (LPA) by 41%.
Fairly widespread/widespread light/moderate rainfall with isolated heavy falls over Northeast India, Sub-Himalayan West Bengal & Sikkim and A & N Islands during next 5 days.
During the week, there was no heat wave. However, heat wave conditions in isolated pockets over Northwest & Central India during next 3 days.
The total live water storage in 140 reservoirs across the country is 31% of the storage capacity at full reservoirs level. The current year's storage is nearly 107 percent of the last year's storage.
Soil moisture condition was good in some parts of North Eastern region and some Northern Region of the country, Karnataka, Maharashtra, Kerala, Bihar, West Bengal, A.P and Tamil Nadu.
During the current Kharif season 2022 (as on 03.06.2022), 69.15 lakh ha. area has been sown, including 46.67 lakh ha. area in Sugarcane and remaining 22.48 lakh ha.
in all Kharif crops. The area coverage under Kharif crops reported by Crop Division is the first Preliminary report as on 03.06.2022.
There is sufficient availability of certified/quality seeds of all major Kharif crops for Kharif-2022 except jute and common millet which will meet from National Seed Corporation Ltd, Farm Saved Seed and Private Seed Companies.
Request from the State Government of Andhra Pradesh, Tamil Nadu & Telangana have been received for increasing the requirement of Fertilizer for the month of June due to early release of water through canal system and early showers due to which the sowing time preponed. However, the requirement of the season is unchanged.
Overall major foodgrains prices have remained stable during the last week.
Prices of tomato have shown significant increase while potato and Onion have shown marginally increase during the last week.
Out of 15 crops, the Wholesale Average Prices of 5 crops namely, Masur, Mustard, Soyabean, Sesamum and tomato have shown more than Rs. 1000 above MSP.
Details of each sector are given here under:
Subject: Weekly Status Report on Crop Prospects as on 03 June 2022.
Pre-Monsoon Rainfall Status (March – May) during the week ending 01 June, 2022 1.1 Rainfall
Rainfall during the week (26 May to 01 June 2022): Rainfall was large excess/excess in 04 sub- divisions, normal in 05 sub-divisions, deficient/large deficient in 24 sub-divisions and 03 met sub- division received no rainfall. (Sub-Division wise weekly rainfall distribution is in Annex-I).
Cumulative rainfall (01 March to 31 May 2022): Rainfall was large excess/excess in 10 met sub- divisions, normal in 08 sub-divisions and deficient/large deficient in 18 met sub-divisions. (Sub- division wise seasonal rainfall distribution is in Annex-II).
Table 1.1: Weekly and Cumulative Rainfall in four regions of the country:
LE: Large Excess, E: Excess, N: Normal, D: Deficient, LD: Large Deficient, NR: No Rain.
Source: India Meteorological Department, New Delhi
Table1.2: Category-wise Comparative Distribution of Sub-Division (Cumulative Rainfall) and All-India Percentage Rainfall Departure for last 5 years (01 March 2022 to 31 May 2022)
No. of Sub-Divisions with rainfall
For the period from 1 March to
31 MAY 2017
31 MAY 2018
31 MAY 2019
31 MAY 2020
31 MAY 2021
31 MAY 2022 Large Excess
Excess Normal Total
02 03 13 18
03 06 10 19
01 03 09 13
13 04 11 28
17 09 06 32
06 04 08 18 Deficient
Large Deficient No rain
Total
15 03 00 18
12 05 00 17
13 10 00 23
06 02 00 08
04 00 00 04
10 08 00 18
Data Inadequate 00 00 00 00 00 00
TOTAL 36 36 36 36 36 36
All-India % Rainfall Deviation (-) 2% (-) 11% (-) 25% 20% 18% (-) 1%
Source: IMD
Region of India Week Ending (01.06.2022) Cumulative (01.03.22 to 31.05.2022) (in mm) Deviation
(%) Category (in mm) Deviation
(%) Category
Actual Normal Actual Normal
East & North-East 26.7 52.7 -49 D 445.1 376.8 18 N
North-West 4.5 7.1 -36 D 42.3 114.4 -63 LD
Central India 3.2 6.5 -50 D 22.8 37.5 -39 D
South Peninsula 15.6 20.1 -23 D 198.2 121.3 63 LE
Country as a whole 9.8 16.7 -41 D 130.6 131.7 -1 N
1.2 Weather Forecast
Week 1(02 -08 June, 2022)
Fairly widespread/ widespread light/moderate rainfall with isolated heavy falls very likely over Northeast India and Sub-Himalayan West Bengal & Sikkim during the week.
Isolated heavy to very heavy rainfall very likely over Assam & Meghalaya during 02nd to 04th and over Sub-Himalayan West Bengal & Sikkim during 03rd to 06th June. Isolated extremely heavy falls also likely over Meghalaya on 02nd & 03rd June.
Isolated/scattered rainfall with thunderstorm/lightning/gusty winds very likely over Bihar, Jharkhand, Odisha and Gangetic West Bengal during the week.
Fairly widespread/ widespread light/moderate rainfall with thunderstorm/lightning very likely over Coastal Karnataka, South Interior Karnataka, Kerala & Mahe and Lakshadweep and isolated to scattered over Andhra Pradesh, Telangana, North Interior Karnataka & Tamilnadu, Puducherry & Karaikal during the week. Isolated heavy rainfall also likely over Tamilnadu
& South Interior Karnataka during 02nd to 04th and over Kerala & Mahe on 02nd to 06th June, 2022.
Fairly widespread/ widespread light/moderate rainfall with isolated heavy falls is also likely over Andaman & Nicobar Islands during the week.
No significant weather likely over remaining parts of the country during the week.
Week 2 (09 - 15 June, 2022)
Due to southwesterly winds from Bay of Bengal to northeastern states at lower tropospheric levels, light/moderate fairly widespread to widespread rainfall activity with isolated heavy falls likely over northeast India during most days of the week.
Due to westerly flow from Arabian Sea over south Peninsula India, light/moderate fairly widespread to widespread rainfall activity likely over southwest Peninsular India and isolated to scattered rainfall over rest peninsular India.
Southwest monsoon is likely to advance over some more parts of south peninsular India.
Overall, rainfall activity is likely to be above normal over northeast India; near normal over many parts of south Peninsular India and below normal over rest parts of the country.
Maximum Temperature for week 1 & 2: (02 -15 June, 2022)
During the week 1, Gradual rise in maximum temperatures by about 2°C very likely over most parts of Northwest India during next 2 days and thereafter fall by 2-3°C.
No significant change in maximum temperatures very likely over rest parts of the country during the week.
Heat wave conditions in isolated places very likely over Rajasthan on 2nd & 03rd; over south Punjab, south Haryana, south Uttar Pradesh & north Madhya Pradesh on 03rd &
04th and over Vidarbha during 02nd - 05th June, 2022.
During the week 2, Maximum temperatures are likely to be above normal over East India and Uttar Pradesh and below to near normal over the rest parts of the country.
Heat wave conditions likely to occur over isolated pockets of Uttar Pradesh and East India during some days of the week.
II. Reservoir Status (For the week ending on 02 June, 2022)
Central Water Commission monitors the live storage capacity of 140 important/major reservoirs, having capacity at Full Reservoir Level (FRL) of 175.96 BCM, which is about 68.25% of total reservoir capacity of 257.81 BCM in the country.
Live Storage in 140 major reservoirs decreased to 54.27 BCM from the previous week’s level of 56.40 BCM. Current year’s storage position is higher than last year’s storage position of 50.74 BCM and the average of last 10 year’s storage position of 40.83 BCM.
Table 2.1: For 140 major reservoirs of the country
Source: CWC
There were 113 reservoirs with more than 80% of normal storage, 11 reservoirs with storage between 51% to 80%, 05 reservoirs with storage between 31% to 50%, 11 reservoirs with storage upto 30% and 04 reservoirs having no live storage.
Source: Central Water Commission
State-wise details (Reservoir Position) are given in Annex IV.
Period Storage as % of FRL
Storage as % of Last Year
Storage as % of 10 Year’s Average Level
Current Week 31 107 133
Last Week 32 108 136
The percentage to live capacity at FRL was 29% on 02.06.2021, 33% on 02.06.2020, 19% on 02.06.2019 and 17% on 02.06.2018.
III. Fertilizer Position:
Table 3.1: Requirement, Receipt, Availability, Sales and Stock position of Major Fertilizers (UREA, DAP, MOP, Complex and SSP) during Kharif 2022 (As on 31.05.2022)
(In LMT) Availability/Sale/Closing Stock Urea DAP MOP NPKS SSP
Opening Stock as on 01.04.2022 47.83 7.73 2.47 14.05 15.69
Actual Requirement for Kharif 2022 179.01 58.82 19.82 63.72 33.19 Estimated Requirement during May, 2022 26.65 10.18 3.14 9.38 5.07 Cumulative Receipt upto 31.05.2022 51.62 22.01 2.90 14.56 7.57 Cumulative Availability upto 31.05.2022 99.45 29.73 5.37 28.61 23.25
Cumulative Sales upto 31.05.2022 32.29 9.35 1.46 6.67 5.44
Closing Stock as on 31.05.2022 67.16 20.38 3.91 21.94 17.81
Source: Fertilizer Division (DAC&FW)/Department of Fertilizer
IV. Pest & Diseases:
Overall intensity of pests and diseases remained below Economic Threshold Level.
V. Seeds:
The states have reported tentative 177.97 lakh quintals seed availability against the requirement of 160.45 lakh quintals in the country for Kharif-2022 season. An overall surplus of 17.52 lakh quintals of seed is available for Kharif-2022.
There is sufficient availability of certified/quality seeds of all major Kharif crops for Kharif- 2022 except Jute and Common Millet.
Certified/Quality seeds shortage was in some states in some commodities.
VI. Mandi Functioning
PRICE COMPARISON WITH MSP (on 27 May, 2021)
Agri produce sold below MSP: Arhar and Sunflower.
Agri produce sold above MSP: Rice, Wheat, Gram, Masur, Moong, Urad, Groundnut, Mustard, Soyabean and Sesamum.
VII. Progressive Procurement as on 03 June, 2022
Table 7.1: Rice
(In Lakh Metric Tonnes)
State Progressive Procurement as on
03.06.2022 In Marketing season
2021-2022
In Marketing season 2020-2021
Andhra Pradesh 38..31 43.51
Telangana 67.34 70.27
Bihar 30.09 23.40
Chhattisgarh 61.65 39.76
Haryana 37.06 37.89
Jharkhand 5.12 4.28
Kerala 4.93 4.85
Madhya Pradesh 30.70 24.97
Maharashtra 9.12 9.08
Odisha 42.53 42.80
Punjab 125.48 135.89
Tamil Nadu 25.06 22.22
Uttar Pradesh 43.91 44.78
Uttarakhand 7.74 7.12
West Bengal 16.68 15.61
All-India 551.06 530.22
Source: Food &PD Table 7.2: Wheat
State Progressive Procurement as on
03.06.2022 In Marketing season
2022-2023
In Marketing season 2021-2022
Punjab 96.25 132.10
Haryana 41.81 84.93
Uttar Pradesh 2.97 41.91
Madhya Pradesh 46.03 128.08
Rajasthan 0.03 19.69
Uttarakhand 0.02 1.22
All-India 187.20 410.67
Annex-III/ P.I
Sub-division wise weekly rainfall Forecast for week 02 June – 08June, 2022 for 36 Met Sub-Divisions:
METEOROLOGICAL SUB-DIVISIONWISE WEEKLY RAINFALL FORECAST-2022
Sr. No MET.SUB-DIVISIONS 02 JUN 03 JUN 04 JUN 05 JUN 06 JUN 07 JUN 08 JUN
1 ANDAMAN & NICO.ISLANDS FWS L● FWS L● WS L● WS● WS● FWS SCT
2 ARUNACHAL PRADESH WS● WS FWS● FWS● WS● WS WS
3 ASSAM & MEGHALAYA WS L●●● WS L●●● WS L●● WS● WS● WS WS 4 NAGA.MANI.MIZO.& TRIPURA WS L● WS L● FWS L● FWS FWS FWS FWS 5 SUB-HIM.W. BENG. & SIKKIM WS L● WS L●● WS●● WS●● WS●● WS WS
6 GANGETIC WEST BENGAL SCT L SCT L SCT L SCT SCT ISOL ISOL
7 ODISHA ISOL L ISOL ISOL ISOL L ISOL L DRY DRY
8 JHARKHAND ISOL L ISOL L ISOL L ISOL L ISOL ISOL SCT
9 BIHAR ISOL L SCT L SCT L SCT ISOL ISOL ISOL
10 EAST UTTAR PRADESH ISOL L DRY+ DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY
11 WEST UTTAR PRADESH ISOL L DRY+ DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY
12 UTTARAKHAND ISOL L DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY
13 HARYANA CHD. & DELHI ISOL L DRY+ DRY+ DRY DRY DRY DRY
14 PUNJAB DRY DRY+ DRY+ DRY DRY DRY DRY
15 HIMACHAL PRADESH DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY
16 JAMMU & KASHMIR AND LADAKH ISOL L DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY
17 WEST RAJASTHAN ISOL L+ DRY+ DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY
18 EAST RAJASTHAN ISOL L+ DRY+ DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY
19 WEST MADHYA PRADESH ISOL L DRY+ DRY+ DRY DRY DRY DRY
20 EAST MADHYA PRADESH DRY DRY+ DRY+ DRY DRY DRY DRY
21 GUJARAT REGION ISOL L ISOL DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY
22 SAURASTRA & KUTCH ISOL ISOL DRY DRY DRY DRY DRY
23 KONKAN & GOA ISOL L ISOL ISOL ISOL ISOL DRY DRY
24 MADHYA MAHARASHTRA ISOL L ISOL L ISOL ISOL L ISOL L DRY DRY
25 MARATHAWADA ISOL L ISOL DRY ISOL ISOL L DRY DRY
26 VIDARBHA DRY+ DRY+ DRY+ DRY+ DRY ISOL DRY
27 CHHATTISGARH DRY L DRY DRY ISOL L ISOL L ISOL ISOL
28 COASTAL ANDHRA PR. & YANAM ISOL L ISOL L ISOL ISOL ISOL SCT FWS
29 TELANGANA ISOL L ISOL ISOL ISOL ISOL SCT SCT
30 RAYALASEEMA ISOL L ISOL L ISOL ISOL ISOL WS SCT
31 TAMIL. PUDU. & KARAIKAL SCT L● SCT L● SCT L● ISOL ISOL SCT SCT
32 COASTAL KARNATAKA FWS L FWS L FWS FWS FWS WS WS
33 NORTH INTERIOR KARNATAKA SCT L SCT L ISOL ISOL SCT FWS SCT
34 SOUTH INTERIOR KARNATAKA FWS L● FWS L● FWS● FWS FWS WS FWS
35 KERALA & MAHE WS L● WS L● WS L● WS L● FWS L● WS WS
36 LAKSHADWEEP WS L WS L WS L WS L FWS L WS WS
LEGENDS:
WS - WIDE SPREAD / MOST PLACES (76-100%) FWS - FAIRLY WIDE SPREAD / MANY PLACES (51% to 75%) SCT - SCATTERED / FEW PLACES (26% to 50%) ISOL - ISOLATED (up to 25%) D / DRY - NO RAINFALL
●Heavy Rainfall (64.5-115.5 mm) ●●Heavy to Very Heavy Rainfall (115.6-204.4 mm) ●●●Extremely Heavy Rainfall (204.5 mm or more)
F Fog * Snowfall DSTSDust storm/ Thunderstorm $Thunderstorm with Squall L Thunderstorm with Lightning # Thunderstorm with Hail
+ Heat Wave (Maximum temperature departure from Normal +4.5 OC to +6.4OC) ++ Severe Heat Wave (Maximum temperature departure from Normal ≥ +6.5OC)
-Cold Wave (Minimum temperature departure from Normal -4.5 OC to -6.4OC) - -Severe Cold Wave (Minimum temperature departure from Norma ≤ -6.5OC)
Annex-III/ P.2
Sub-division-wise 5 days rainfall forecast from 03 June – 07 June 2022:
