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Formation Scenario of SMBHs  and Gravitational Wave

Hisaaki Shinkai  (Osaka Institute of Technology)  Nobuyuki Kanda (Osaka City Univ.) 

Toshikazu Ebisuzaki (RIKEN)

1

First International Meeting on KAGRA,  

@Daejeon, Korea.    2016 June25

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https://www.ligo.caltech.edu/system/avm̲image̲sqls/binaries/57/page/Black̲Hole̲Mass̲Chart.jpg?1465864737

BHs!

29M+36M=62M 7M+14M=20M

why not more?

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Slide copy from Hiroyuki Nakano

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GW150914

4.7% of mass  emitted 

in total 2.8% of mass 

emitted by ISCO

1% of mass 

emitted  

in ringdown?

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4

1601.07217 

Kinugawa, Nakano, Nakamura 1505.06962 

Kinugawa, Miyamoto,  Kanda, Nakamura

BH-BH from Pop III 

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Rees, M.J. 1978. Observatory 98: 210

5

Gas Cloud

BHs

IMBHs

SMBHs

Halo

Galaxy Globular 

Cluster Massive 

Stars

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Yagi, CQG 29 075005 (2012)   [arXiv:1202.3512]

HLX-1 has 20,000M BH!

http://hubblesite.org/newscenter/archive/releases/2012/2012/11/full/

Starburst galaxy M82 has 1000M BH

BHs

IMBHs

SMBHs

Matsushita+, ApJ, 545, L107 (2000)   

Matsumoto+, ApJ, 547, L25 (2001)  

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BHs

IMBHs

SMBHs

'Missing link' founded 

      Ebisuzaki +, ApJ, 562, L19 (2001)  

(1)formation of IMBHs by runaway mergers of  massive stars in dense star clusters,  

(2) accumulations of IMBHs at the center region of  a galaxy due to sinkages of clusters by dynamical  friction 

(3) mergings of IMBHs by multi-body interactions  and gravitational radiation. 

Marchant & Shapiro 1980; Portegies Zwart et al. 1999;  

Portegies Zwart & McMillan 2002;  

Portegies Zwart et al. 2004;  

Holger & Makino 2003

Matsubayashi et al. 2007 

Iwasawa et. al. 2010  

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Matsubayashi, HS, Ebisuzaki, ApJ 614 (2004) 864

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Matsubayashi, HS, Ebisuzaki, ApJ 614 (2004) 864

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10-24 10-23 10-22 10-21 10-20

Strain Equivalent Noise spectrum [1/Hz]

6 7 8 9

10 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9100 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 91000

frequency [Hz]

LCGT

LCGT (varRSED, BWstudy2009) LCGT (varRSEB, Bwstudy2009) advanced Virgo

advanced LIGO(ZERO DET, High P) advanced LIGO(NS-NS)

Einstein Telescope ET_B ET_C

Kagra(LCGT)  designed strain  (2013/3)

BH quasi-normal ringing frequency (spin=0)

Mtotal f̲QNM

1 78200 Hz

10 7820 Hz

100 782 Hz

1000 78.2 Hz

10000 7.82 Hz

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M/M f QNM

a = 0

a = 0.98 a = 0.49

f

QNM

= c

3

2 GM 1 0.63(1 a)

0.3

⇥ Black-Hole Ringdown frequency 

1000

100 10

10

3

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14

Mass Function of Giant Molecular Clouds

1 100 104 106

10-4 1 104 108 1012

M 10

12

M

10

9

M

galaxy mass

GMC mass

A&A 580, A49 (2015) [arXiv:1505.04696] 

How many BHs in a Galaxy?

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15

10 100 1000 104

10-7 0.001 10.000 105

1309.1223v3

10

12

M

10

9

M

Galaxy Mass n(M)

BH mass

Molecular Clouds  

       Maximum Core      

Building Block BH 

How many BHs in a Galaxy?

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Count BHs to form a SMBH

10 1000 105 107 109 1011

10-7 10-4 0.1 100 105

10 100 1000 104

10-7 0.001 10.000 105

10

12

M

10

9

M

Galaxy Mass n(M)

BH mass

Building Block BH 

BH mass n(M)

How many BHs in a Galaxy?

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(sub-)Galaxy 

from Halo model  

Star Formation Rate  

peak z=3.16

Count BHs to form a SMBH

How many Galaxies in the Universe?

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1011 1012 1013 1014 1015

10-23 10-21 10-19 10-17 10-15 10-13

z = 0 z = 5

1012 1013 1014 1015

5 10 50 100 500 1000

(1) Halo number density

(2) N of seeds of Galaxy (subHalo)

(3) N of Galaxy 

within z=1 within z=5

M

1

1×1011 1011 1012 5×1012

0.01 1 100

M

1.95

How many Galaxies in the Universe?

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図F

BH mass

z z

BH mass

in Standard Cosmology

How many BH mergers in the Universe?

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20

Detectable Distances at bKAGRA

M/M fQNM

a= 0 a= 0.98 a= 0.49

fQNM= c3

2 GM 1 0.63(1 a)0.3 Black-Hole Ringdown frequency 

1000

100

10

103

Hierarchical Growth   

(1) mass distribution 

(2)    

(3) Ringdown only : 1% of total mass emission  

Strainnoiseamplitude[1/ Hz]

frequency[Hz]

Kagra

TOBA

aLIGO aVIRGO

ET

BH Mass (final BH) [M]

SNR at d=1000 Mpc

(a) Kagra

a = 0.9

a = 0.5 a = 0.0

BH Mass (final BH) [M]

(a) SNR=10

Detectable Distance [Mpc]

a = 0.0 a = 0.5

a = 0.9

Kagra

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Event Rates at bKAGRA

Preliminary

1-10 events/yr

BH spin=0.9,0.5,0.0

BH Mass Frequency

Summary

By accumulating data, we can discuss astrophysics:  

formation scenario of SMBH, number counts of galaxies, 

…(and later) cosmological models/gravitational theories.

1 10 100 1000 104

0.05 0.10 0.50 1 5 10

1 10 100 1000

0.05 0.10 0.50 1 5 10

peak at 100-200M

different from PopIII model

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Preliminary

Hierarchical distribution 

== (beta=1)

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