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UNIVERSITI TEKNOLOGI MARA CAWANGAN KELANTAN

'ASTUDY ON THE RELATIONSHIP OF THE MACROECONOMIC VARIABLESs TOWARDS THE PRICE PERFORMANCE OF

MALAYSIAN COCOA BEAN'

HASNIZA BINTI ISHAK 2003610180

BACHELOR OF BUSINESS ADMINISTRATION (HONS) FINANCE FACULTY OF BUSINESS MANAGEMENT

UNIVERSITI TEKNOLOGI MARA MACHANG KELANTAN

NOVEMBER 2005

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Universiti Teknoogi MARA KELANTAN Letter of Transmittal

Bachelor of Business Administration (Hons) Finance Faculty of Business Management

University Technology MARA

18500 Machang Kelantan Darul Naim 25 September 2005 The Head of

Program

Bachelor of Business Administration (Hons) Finance Faculty of Business Management

University Technology MARA 18500 Machang

Kelantan Darul Naim Dear Sir

Submission of Project Paper (FIN 660)

Attached is the project paper titled "A Study on the Relationship of Macroeconomic Variables Towards the Price Performance of Malaysian Cocoa Bean" to fulfill the requirement as needed by the Faculty of Business Administration (hons) Finance, University Technology Mara Machang Campus.

Thank You

Yours Sincerely

HASNIZA BINTI ISHAK 2003610180

BACHELOR OF BUSINESS ADMINISTRATION (HONS) FINANCE

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Perpustakaan Tengku Anis Unlversiti Teknologi MARA

KELANTAN

ACKNOWLEDGEMENT

"By the Name of Allah, the Merciful, the Beneficent"

Alhamdullilah, I would like to express my grateful to Allah S. W.T and Selawat

to our beloved prophet Muhammad s.a.w for getting me courage, time and

knowledge and giving me an idea, strength and patience in completing this project paper. Without His Grace and Mercifulness, this project paper may not be completed on time.

First and foremost, I would like to express my special thanks and gratitude to my respected advisor, Encik Rustam bin Shaari for her guidance and comments in helping me to get some ideas regarding my topic and also his valuable advice and encouragement.

My grateful thanks also go to my entire beloved lecturers, my colleagues and to all who are directly or indirectly contribute their continuous ideas, support and produce this thesis. I'm also indebted to all staffs of Universiti Teknologi Mara library and Bursa Malaysia staffs for their helpful and cooperation during the

developments

of this

study

Last but not least, my deepest grateful to my beloved parents for their prayers and encouragement during my studies. Without them, this project paper cannot be done successfully. May Allah bless them.

ii

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Universiti Teknologi MARA KELANTAN

ABSTRACT

This

study

is undertaken to

investigate

the

relationship

of

exchange

rate

volatility,

inflation rate and interest rate towards the price performance of Malaysian cocoa bean. The objective of this study is to find the relationship between dependent and

independent variables. The researcher decided to take coca bean price as

dependent variable, while exchange rate (Yuan), inflation rate and interest rate as independent variables. For this study, secondary data are used and the entire data are taken based on the monthly data basis from January 2000 until May 2004. At the end of this study, the researcher results show that the exchange rate (Yuan) fluctuation has negative relationship with the price performance of cocoa bean.

Meanwhile inflation rate and interest rate have positive relationship with the Malaysian price of cocoa bean.

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Perpustakaan Tengku Anis Universiti Teknokogi MARA

KELANTAH TABLE OF CONTENTS

DECLARATION OF ORIGINAL WORK LETTER OF SUBMISsION ii

ACKNOWLEDGEMENT

iii ABSTRACT iv

LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS LIST OF TABLES vi

TABLE OF CONTENT vii

CHAPTER 1

1.0 INTRODUCTION 1.1

Background of the Study

1.2 Problem Statement 4 1.3 Objective of the Study 1.4 Scope of the Study 1.5 Theoretical Framework 1 1.6 The Hypothesis

1.7 Significant of the Study

10

1.8 The Limitation of the Study 11 1.9 The Definition of Term 12

CHAPTER 2

2.0 LITERATURE REVIEW

14 2.1 Exchange Rate

20 2.2 Inflation Rate

24 2.3 Interest Rate

CHAPTER 3

3.0 RESEARCH METHODOLOGY

25

3.1 Data Collection

vi

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