TABLE OF CONTENTS
Foreuord ... i
Preface ... I Acknowledgments ... xiii
ListofTables ... ..xx v ListofFigur& ... xxxi
1. Introduction. Overview, and Conclusions ... I 2. Assessing Smoking Cessation and Its Health Consequences ... 17
3. Smoking Cessation and Overall Mortality and Morbidity ... 7 1 4. Smoking Cessation and Respiratory Cancer-5 ... IO3 5. Smoking Cessation and Nonrespiratory Cancers ... I43 6. Smoking Cessation and Cardiovascular Disease ... 1 X7 7. Smoking Cessation and Nonmalignant Respiratory Diseases ... 175
8. Smoking Cessation and Reproduction ... 367
9. Smoking, Smoking Cessation, and Other Nonmalignant Diseases ... 425
10. Smoking Cessation and Body Weight Change ... 469
1 I. Psychological and Behavioral Consequences and Correlates of Smoking Cessation ... 5 I7 Volume Appendix. National Trends in Smoking Cessation ... 579
Glossary ... ..617
lndex...61 9
Xklll
LIST OF TABLES
Chapter 2
Table 1. Measures of false reports of not smoking from studies using
nicotine and cotinine as a marker . . 3X
Table 2. Measures of false reports from studies using CO as a marker 1 I Table 3. Examples of potential methodologic problems in investigating
the health consequences of smoking cessation 17
Chapter 3
Table 1. Summary of longitudinal studies of overall mortality ratios relative to never smokers among male current and former smokers
according to duration of abstinence (when reported I 76
Table 2. Overall mortality ratios among current and former smohers.
relative to never smokers. by sex and duration of abstinence at date of
enrollment. ACS CPS-II . . . , 7x
Table 3. Estimated probability of dying in the next 165year interval for quitting at various ages compared with never smohing and continuing
to smoke. by amount smoked and sex . . . x3
Table 4. Summary of overall mortality ratios in intervention studies in
which smoking cessation was a component . . . , . 8-t
Table 5. Summary of studies of medical care utilization among smokers andformersmokers . . . . .._...
Table 6. Relation of smoking cessation to various measures of general health status . . . .._...
Table 7. Age- and sex-specific mortality rates among never smokers.
continuing smokers. and former smokers by amount smoked and duration of abstinence at time of enrollment for subjects in ACS CPS-II study who did not have a history of cancer. heart disease. or stroke and were not sick at enrollment . . . , . . Table 8. Estimated probability of dying in the next 165year interval
(95% Cl) for quitting at various apes compared with never smohing and continuing to smoke. by amount smohed and sex .
xx
90
. 95
97
Chapter 4
Table I. Histologic changes (?/ ) in bronchial epithelium by smoking status .___.____.___.,,..._.__,.._._._...,.._.,....,..._._
Table 2. Relative rishs of lung cancer among never, fomter. and current
smokers in selected epidemiologic studies . .
Table 3. Lung cancer mortality ratios among never. current. and former smokers by number of years since stopped smoking (relative to never
smokers). prospective studies . . . .
Table 4. Relative risks of lung cancer among former smokers. by number of years since stopped smoking. and current smokers. from selected case<ontrol studies . . . .
Table 5. Relative risks of lung cancer among never. current. and former smokers. by number of years since stopping smoking and histologic type . . . . Table 6. Relative risks of lung cancer among never. former. and current
smokers by types of tobacco products smoked . . . . Table 7. Standard mortality ratios of lung cancer among former smokers
in ACS CPS-II (relative to never smokers) by years of smoking abstinence, daily cigarette consumption at time of cessation. and
history of chronic disease . . . .
Table 8. Histologic changes in laryngeal epithelium by smoking status Table 9. Relative rishs of laryngeal cancer by smokin_e status
Chapter 5
Table I. Studies of oral cancer and smohing cessation . . . Table 2. Studies of esophageal csnccr that have examined the effect of
smoking cessation . .
Table 3. Studies of cancer of the pancreas and smohing cessation . Table 3. Studies of bladder cancer and smohing cessation
Table 5. Bladder cancer risk according to smoking dose. duration of smokitq. and smohing status
Table 6. Studies of cervical cancer and smohing cessation Table 7. Studies of breast cancer and smoking cessation
Table 8. Studies of cancer at selected sites that have examined the effect
of smoking cessation .
I20
IX) I32 I33
I18
153 I56 I60
165 167 I70
17-7
xxvi
Chapter 6
Table 1. Case-control studies of CHD risk among former smokers . Table 2. Cohort studies of CHD risk among former smokers . . . Table 3. Estimated probability of dying from ischemic heart disease in
the next 16.5year interval (95% CL) for quitting at various ages compared with never smoking and continuing to smoke. by amount smokedandsex . . . .
201 . 206
Table 4. Intervention trials of smoking cessation and CHD risk . . . Table 5. Studies of the effect of smoking cessation on persons with
diagnosedCHD...231
Table 6. Studies of smoking cessation and risk of death due to aortic
aneurysm . . . ...242 Table 7. Case-control studies of smoking cessation and risk of stroke . . . 247 Table 8. Prospective cohort studies of smoking cessation and risk of
stroke...253
Chapter 7
Table I. Percentages of subjects in cross-sectional studies with
respiratory symptoms. by cigarette smoking status and gender . . . 289 Table 2. Percentages of subjects in cross-sectional surveys with
respiratory symptoms by smoking and occupational exposure status . . 297 Table 3. Change (o/c) in presence of respiratory symptoms. longitudinal
studies, by cigarette smoking status . . . .300 Table 4. Percentage of subjects with respiratory symptoms by smoking
status, 1961 and 197 1, in a cohort of middle-aged, rural Finns . . . 305 Table 5. Age-standardized mortality ratios for influenza and pneumonia
for current and former smokers compared with never smokers . . Table 6. Association between cigarette smoking status and FEVI levels
in selected cross-sectional studies of adult populations . . , . . . Table 7. Spirometric studies of participants in smoking cessation
programs . . . . Table 8. Studies of closing volume (CV/VC%), closing capacity
(CC/TLC%), and slope of alveolar plateau (SBNl/L) among
participants in smoking cessation programs . . . . Table 9. Population-based longitudinal studies of annual decline in
pulmonary function . . . _ . . . . . Table 10. Decline of FEVt (mL/yr) in subjects in the Copenhagen City
HeartStudy . . . .
309
.3ll
. 320
. 334 . 330
337
Tahlc 12. Prwpectiw \tudic\ of COPD mortalit) in relation to cigarette
smol\inf 413tus. . . 313
Table 13. Standardized mortalit> ratio\ for COPD among current and former smoher\ hrohen down h) y;Lr\ of ah5tinence .
Chapter 8
Table 1, Possible mechanisms for effect of smohing on pregnant!’ and pregnancy outcome ,..._..., . . . Table 2. Summary of studie\ of fertility among smokers and former
smoker\ . . . . Table 3. Summary of studies of perinatal and neonatal mortality in
smokers and nonsmoker\ during pregnanq . .
Table 3. Estimated relative risk of fetal plu\ infant mortality for maternal smoking in several birthweight groups. adjusting for maternal marital
statu\. education. age. and parity . . .
Table 5. Summary of studies of perinatal mortality in wloher\
throughout pregnancy. smohers who quit in the early month\ of pregnancy. and nonsmokers during pregnancy
Table 6. Summary of studieh of mean birthweight. b>, smoking statuh . Table 7. Summar\, of nonexperimental studie\ of smoking cewttion
after conception. mean increase (+) or decrease (6) in birthueight (g) according to timing of cessation
Table 8. Summary of nonexperimental studies of relative risk of IOU birthweight for smoking ceaation after conception
Table 9. Summary of birthweight outcome in randomized trials ot
smohing cessation in pregnancy . . . .
Table IO. Smoking and smoking! cehation during pregnancy. summq of results of two wrveys of national probability \ample\
Table I I. Patterns of smoking cessation during pregnarq among
selected population4 . . .
Table 12. Summary of \tudit‘s that estimated relative rish of \ariou~
pregnancy outcome\ for \mohing based on ;t “SJ nthe\ih” of the literature. and attributable risk percent based on several estimate\ of
the prevalence of smohing during pregnancy . 3%
Table 13. Summary of studies reporting relationship of cigarette
smoking and age at natural menopause . . . 3’97
Table II. Summary of studit‘\ of age of natural menopause among
former smoker5 . . . 399
Table 15. Sexual performance among male former smoher\ 104
Table 16. Sperm quality among smokers and nonsmokers 406
xxviii
Table 17. Estimated relative risk of azoospermia or oligospermia among
smokers versus nonsmokers or never smokers . . . 408 Table 18. Sperm quality among former smokers . . . 409
Chapter 9
Table I. Percentage of healed duodenal ulcers among smoking and
nonsmokingpatients . . . .._..._...._..._..._ 433 Table 2. Results of statistical analysis of pooled data from Table I . 437 Table 3. Recurrences of duodenal ulcer in smokers and nonsmoker\ in
clinical trials _ ~. . . 43X Table 4. Recurrences of gastric ulcer in smokers and nonsmokers in
clinical trials . . . 442 Table 5. Summary of studies of smoking and bone ma\< . . 445 Table 6. Summary of case<ontrol studies of smoking and fractures . 450 Table 7. Summary of cohort studies of smoking and fractures . . 454
Chapter 10
Table I. Summary of prospective studies on smoking and body weight . 374 Table 2. Details of prospective studies in which change in weight
relative to continuing smokers was reported . . . 477 Table 3. Mortality ratios for all ages combined in relation to the death
rate of those 9Q109% of average weight . . . . Table 4. Mortality ratios for all ages combined according to smoking
status in relation to those 90-109% of average age . . . .
.
393. 494
Chapter 11
Table I. Diagnostic categorization and criteria for nicotine
withdrawal-Nicotine-induced organic mental disorder . . . . Table 2. Prospective studies of quitting-related changes in mood,
anxiety. stress reactivity, perceived stress. self-image. and
psychological well-being . . . .
Table 3. Summary of data from 1985 NHIS. behaviors of never. former.
and current smokers aged 20 and older . . . . .
Table 4. Summary of data from 19X7 NHIS. behaviors of never. former.
and current smokers aged IX and older . . . .
536 . _
. _ 548
. 539
Table 6. Summary of data from I987 BRFSS. bchav iors of former smohers aged IX and older by, duration of abstinence . Table 7. Pet-cent distribution of persons aged IX and older by tobacco
product and use status. according to gender and cigarette smohing
status. United States. 1987 . .
Table 8. Physician visits and medical tests vv ithin the past y’ear amon?
AARP members ayed SO and older. by smoking status
SS?
557
563
Volume Appendix
Table I. Quit ratio in selected States. by age group and gender-BRFSS.
198X...5X6
Table 2. Cigarette smoking continuum by year. percentage of ever cigarette smokers. by NHISs, United States. 1978-X7. adults aged 20
and older . . . 5x9 Table 3. Trends in quit ratio (‘;/( ) (percentage of ever cigarette smokers
who are fomrer cigarette smokers). by age and by education. NHISs.
United States. 1965-87. adults aged 20 and older 592
Table 4. Effect of adjusting for use of other tobacco products on quit ratio (percentage of evjer cigarette smokers wlto are former cigarette
smohers). 1987. NHIS. United States . . . 59-I Table 5. Selected measures of quittin g activity (V t. NHISs. United
States. adults aged 20 and older 600
Table 6. Percentage of those intending to smoke in 5 years. by gender.
AUTSs. United States. 1964-86. current smokers aged 21 and older 609 Table 7. Percentage who report having ever received advice to quit from
a doctor. by smohing status and gender. United States. 1964-87. adults
aged2landolder . . . ...610
xxx
LIST OF FIGURES
Figure I. Cyclical model of the stages of change . . 73
Figure 2. Hypothetical examples of disease incidence rates for current.
former, and never smokers, by age . . . 55
Chapter 3
Figure I. Compared with never smokers. relative risk of mortality in current and former smokers aged 50-54. 60-63. and 70-74 at
enrollment, by amount smoked and duration of abstinence . . Xl Figure 2. Estimated probability of dying in the next 16.5yr interval for
quitting at ages 55-59 compared with never smohing and continuing to
smoke.by sex . . . 9X
Chapter 4
Figure I. Rish of lung cancer by number of cigarettes smohed per day before quitting. number of years of abstinence. sex. and histologic types Figure 2. Relative risk of lung cancer among ex-smokers compared with
continuing smokers as a function of time since stopped smoking.
estimated from logistic regression model, pattern adjusted for smoking duration compared with pattern unadjusted for duration . . Figure 3. Incidence of bronchial carcinoma among continuing cigarette
smokers in relation to age and duration of smoking and among never smokers in relation to age. double logarithmic scale . . . .
.
I21.
I23I17
Chapter 6
Figure I. Hypothetical effects of smoking cessation on risk of CHD if
mechanisms are predominantly rapidly reversible . . . 19X Figure 2. Estimated relative rish of MI after quitting smoking among
men under age 55. adjusted for age . . . 304
Figure 3. Mortality ratios due to coronary artery diseases; rates for men who have stopped smoking are compared with those for men who
never smoked and those for men still smoking in 1952 2 I J Figure 4. Mortality ratios for all cardiovascular diseases and CHD. by
daily cigarette consumption. US Veterans Study. 195449 2 I9
Figure 5. Mortality ratio for current and fomter cigarette smohers by,
years of smoking cessation. US Veterans Study. 1954-W . 770
Figure 6. Effect of smoking cessation on survival among men with documented coronary atherosclerosis; pooled survival among quitters tN=1.390) and continuers (N=2.675) . . . . Figure 7. Mortality ratios for stroke for current smokers and ex-smokers
compared with never smokers, by daily cigarette consumption, US VeterdnsStudy,l954-69 . . . . Figure 8. Survival free of stroke in cigarette smokers. never smokers,
and former smokers, aged 60, using Cox proportional hazard
regression model. among men and women . . . .
Chapter 7
Figure I. Nonproportional Venn Diagram of the interrelationship among chronic bronchitis. emphysema, asthma, and airways obstruction . . . Figure 2. Theoretical curves depicting varying rates of decline of FEVt Figure 3. Hypothesized mechanisms by which airway
hyperresponsiveness may be associated with developing or established COPD without necessarily being a preexisting risk factor . . Figure 4. Symptom ratio (number of observed symptoms to number of
possible symptoms) in nonmodifiers, modifiers, and quitters at each test period; symptoms are cough, sputum production. wheezing. and shortness of breath . . . . Figure 5. Prevalence of cough and phlegm by smoking group . . . Figure 6. Prevalence of dyspnea by smoking group . . . . . Figure 7. Sex-specific mean height-adjusted FEV I residuals versus
pack-years for current and ex-smokers. and distributions of number of
subjects by pack-years . . . .
Figure 8. Mean values FVC and FEV 1. expressed as a percentage of predicted values. in IS quitters and 32 smokers during 30 months after
2 smoking cessation clinics . . . .
Figure 9. Mean values for the ratio of CV/VC. of CC/TLC. and slope for phase III of the single breath N? test (Nfi). expressed as a percentage of predicted values in IS quitters and 42 smokers during 30 months
after 2 smoking cessation clinics . . . .
Figure IO. Percent-predicted diffusing capacity (%pDL) by pack-years of smoking. current smokers and former smokers. in a study of adults inTucson.AZ . . . . Figure I I. Mean AFEV t values in never smokers, consistent
ex-smokers. subjects who quit smoking during followup, and
consistent smokers in several age groups . . . . Figure 12. Effects of quitting smoking during followup among men aged
5~9...
23x
252
259
280
‘XI
2x4
2x7 293 295
317
322
336
xxxii
Chapter 8
Figure I. Perinatal. neonatal. and fetal mortality rates by birth&eight in
singleton white males. 19x0 3X0
Chapter 11
Figure 1. Performance on a meter (i.e.. visual) vigilance task.
Perfomrance on the continuous clock task. a visual vigilance tash 517 Figure 2. Self-reported withdrawal discomfort among abstinent smokers 53 I Figure 3. Drinking relative to smoking status for men. 19X3 THIS SSX Figure 4. Drinking relative to smoking status for vvomen. IYX3 NHIS SSY
Appendix
Figure I. Trends in the quit ratio. United States. 1965-X7. by gender . . SYO Figure 2. Trends in the quit ratio. United States. 1965-87. by race . SYI Figure 3. Flow chart of quitting history. attempts lasting longer than I
year. NHEFS . . . ..SY7 Figure 4. Estimated duration of abstinence on first l-year or longer quit
attempt, product-limit method, N=3,363 . . 59X
Figure 5. Percentage of ever smokers who never tried to quit. by
education. United States, 1974-87 . 601
Figure 6. Percentage of persons smoking at I2 months prior to the survey interview who quit for at least I day during those I2 months,
United States, 197X-80. 1987. by education . . . 602 Figure 7. Percentage of ever smokers who had been abstinent for less
than I year. United States. 1966~87. by education 603
Figure 8. Percentage of ever smokers who had been abstinent for IL-I
years. United States. 1966-X7. by education 60-t
Figure 9. Percentage of ever smokers who had been abstinent for 5 years
or more. United States. 1966-X7. by education . 605