+966 11 2256248
[email protected]
AJC Research Team
Monthly Report
Saudi Stock Market | February 2022
2022
2
© All rights reservedTASI Movement in February
traded stood at SAR 127.6 bn, with an average daily value traded of SAR 6.7bn. The Banks and Materials sectors accounted for 46.8% of the total value traded. Energy and Media were the top performers, showing a 10.1% M/M and 5.6% M/M, respectively. Consumer Durables and Capital Goods were the worst performers, showing a decrease of 10.9%M/M and 8.9%M/M, respectively.
In February, Elm was the best performing stock, recording 53.6%M/M increase. On the other hand, Alaseel was the worst performing stock, posting a decline of 18.9% M/M .Saudi Electricity recorded the lowest P/E with 8.3x, compared to TASI’s P/E of 23.2x.
TASI started the month at 12,293.38 points and closed at 12,590.26 with an average daily value traded of SAR 6.72bn compared to SAR 6.87bn in January.
TASI rose M/M by 318.4 points (up 2.6%M/M). On a monthly basis, Energy and Media were the top-performing sectors, recording an increase of 10.1%M/M and 5.6%M/M, respectively. On the other hand, Consumer Durables and Capital Goods were the worst performing sectors, posting a decline 10.9% and 8.9%, respectively.
Banks and Materials registered the highest traded values among the sectors, accounting 26.3% and 20.5%, respectively, of the total value traded in February.
3-Feb2-Feb1-Feb 6-Feb 7-Feb 8-Feb 9-Feb 10-Feb 13-Feb 14-Feb 15-Feb 16-Feb 17-Feb 20-Feb 21-Feb 23-Feb 24-Feb 27-Feb 28-Feb
Value Traded (bn) - RHS Closing Price - LHS 0.00 2.00 4.00 6.00 8.00 10.00
11,700 11,800 11,900 12,000 12,100 12,200 12,300 12,400 12,500 12,600 12,700
Value Traded per Sector (%)
26.3%
20.5%
6.2% 7.3%
4.3%
4.1%
3.6%
3.2%
3.2%3.1%
2.8%
15.52%
Banks Materials Energy
Real Estate Mgmt & Dev't Software & Services Telecommunication Services Insurance
Retailing
Consumer Services Diversified Financials Capital Goods others
Source: TADAWUL, Aljazira Capital Source: TADAWUL, Aljazira Capital
Source: TADAWUL, Aljazira Capital
Sectors Performance
M/M Performance 15.4%
26.3%
16.6% 14.4%
10.3% 8.3%
4.1%
8.9%
2.4% 3.2%
0.1% 3.0% 4.8% 4.2%
0.6% 4.6%
12.2%
2.3%
-15.0%
-10.0%
-5.0%
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
20.0%
25.0%
30.0%
Energy Media Banks Utilities Consumer Services§ Materials Real Estate Healthcare REITs Retailing Food & Staples Food & Beverages Software & Services Telecom Commercial Service Insurance Diversified Financials Pharma & Bio Tech Transportation Capital Goods Consumer Durables
YTD
-4.6% -6.5%
-1.5%
3
© All rights reservedTop 10 Companies by Index Weight
Top/Worst Performing companies Vs. TASI (YTD)
Companies with the Lowest P/E (TTM)
Al Rajhi Bank had the highest weight in TASI at the end of February at 15.3%, followed by SNB and Aramco at 8.4%
and 8.1%, respectively.
ELM and Alinma were the top performing YTD, recording an increase of 53.6% and 48.2%, respectively. On the other hand, Sadr and ACIG were the worst performing in 2022, recording a decline of 26.0% and 18.1%. TASI increased 11.6% in 2022.
Saudi Electricity and Sipchem traded at the lowest P/E of 8.30x and 9.37x, respectively. This was followed by Alyamamah Steel and Chemanol at 9.97x and 10.13x, respectively.
Prices as of 2nd of March 2022
Al Rajhi and Alinma had the highest total value traded in February at SAR 15.8bn and SAR 10.1bn, respectively, followed by Saudi Aramco and SNB at SAR 9.2bn and SAR 6.6bn, respectively.
Elm was the best performing stock in February, recording an increase of 53.6%M/M. This was followed by Equipment House, which rose up 30.0%M/M. In contrast, Alaseel was the worst performing stock, posting a decline of 18.9%M/M, followed by Salama, down 17.9%M/M.
Dar Alarkan and Jouf Cement traded at the lowest P/B of 0.62x and 1.05x, respectively. This was followed by Northern Cement and SEERA and Northern Cement at 1.09x and 1.11x, respectively
15.3%
8.4% 8.1%
4.8% 3.7% 3.6% 3.4% 3.1% 2.7% 2.4%
Al Rajhi SNB Aramco SABIC STC Alinma Riyad Bank BSFR SABB MAADEN
ELM ALINMA BJAZ MAADEN RIBL
YTD (%) Tasi (YTD %)
11.6%
-25.0%
-15.0%
-5.0%
5.0%
15.0%
25.0%
35.0%
45.0%
55.0%
BATIC CHUBB ALSAGR ACIG SADR
SAUDI ELECTRICITY Chemanol
ALYAMAMAH STEEL
Sipchem AXA COOPERATIVE Saudi Kayan Petro Rabigh
8.30 9.37 9.97 10.13
12.20 12.66 12.87 13.21 13.50 13.77
Bawan ASTRA INDUSTRIAL Nayifat
Top 10 Companies in Total Value Traded
Top/Worst Performing companies (February 2022)
Companies with the Lowest P/B
ALRAJHI ALINMA SABICSNB STC
SABIC AGRI- NUTRIENTS
ARAMCO
10.1 9.2
6.6 5.4 5.1 5.1
3.6 3.4 3.2 15.8
ELM DAR ALARKAN BJAZ
-15.6%
-17.1%
-17.2%
-17.9%
-18.9%
53.6%
30.0%
29.5%
23.5%
18.5%
ELM EQUIPMENT HOUSE TECO TAPRCO ALINMA
SAUDI CABLE SACO
SABB TAKAFUL SALAMA ALASEEL
DAR ALARKAN SEERA
Jouf Cement NORTHERN CEMENT SAIB Kingdom
HCC YSCC
0.62
1.05 1.09 1.11 1.16 1.19 1.21 1.23 1.25 1.26
0.00 0.20 0.40 0.60 0.80 1.00 1.20 1.40
TCC Jazira Takaful
Source: Bloomberg, Aljazira Capital
Source: Argaam, Bloomberg, Aljazira Capital Research
Source: TADAWUL, Aljazira Capital
Source: TADAWUL, Aljazira Capital
Source: TADAWUL, Aljazira Capital
Source: TADAWUL, Aljazira Capital
4
© All rights reserved• Among the other regional markets, Abu Dhabi and Dubai recorded increase of 7.1% and 4.7%, respectively. Kuwait and Qatar increased by 4.0%, 3.6%, respectively, while Egypt and Oman decreased by 3.1%, 1.5%.
Regional Markets
Market Close M/M YTD P/E
Dubai (DFM) 3,354.6 4.7% 5.0% 15.9
Abu Dhabi (ADX) 9,319.4 7.1% 9.8% 24.5
Kuwait (KSE) 6,291.0 4.0% 6.9% 15.2
Qatar (QE) 12,948.8 3.6% 11.4% 17.0
Oman (MSM) 4,055.4 -1.5% -1.8% 11.2
Egypt (EGX30) 11,138.9 -3.1% -6.8% 8.5
• Among major global indices, most markets ended in red. On M/M basis, S&P 500 and Dow Jones decreased by 3.1% and 3.5%, respectively; FTSE 100 decreased by 0.1%, as CAC 40 decreased by 4.9%.
International Markets
Global Indices Close M/M YTD P/E
Dow Jones 33,892.6 -3.5% -6.7% 18.0
Nasdaq 14,237.8 -4.6% -12.8% 32.3
S&P 500 4,373.9 -3.1% -8.2% 22.4
FTSE 100 7,458.3 -0.1% 1.0% 15.2
Germany DAX 30 14,461.0 -6.5% -9.0% 13.1
France CAC 40 6,658.8 -4.9% -6.9% 17.0
Japan Nikkei 225 26,526.8 -1.8% -7.9% 15.4
Russia MOEX 2,470.5 -30.0% -34.8% 4.6
• Russia MOEX posted losses of 30.0%
M/M among emerging markets.
Meanwhile, China shanghai compo and South Korea KOSPI posted gains of 3.0% and 1.3%.
Hong Kong Hang Seng 22,713.0 -4.6% -2.9% 8.8
South Korea KOSPI 2,699.2 1.3% -9.4% 11.8
China Shanghai Composite 3,462.3 3.0% -4.9% 14.9
Australia ASX 200 7,096.5 1.1% -5.3% 17.2
India Sensex 56,247.3 -3.0% -3.4% 24.2
MSCI EM 1,171.3 -3.1% -4.9% 12.8
MSCI World 2,978.0 -2.7% -7.9% 19.6
Source: Argaam, Bloomberg, Aljazira Capital
Commodities Performance
Commodity Name Price M/M Q/Q Y/Y YTD 3 Yrs 5 Yrs LOW_52WEEK HIGH_52WEEK
Light Crude ($/bbl) 99.9 9.6% 0.3% 55.5% 26.0% 45.1% 82.3% 60.9 102.6
Brent Crude ($/bbl) 101.0 10.7% -0.9% 52.7% 29.8% 53.0% 77.7% 60.3 105.8
Texas crude ($/bbl) 95.7 8.6% 0.2% 55.6% 27.3% 56.8% 78.2% 57.3 100.5
Natural Gas ($/mn Btu) 4.4 -9.7% -36.4% 58.9% 18.0% 101.1% 18.2% 2.4 7.3
GOLD ($/oz) 1,909 6.2% 4.1% 10.1% 4.4% 25.8% 66.4% 1,677 1,974.3
Silver ($/oz) 24.5 8.8% 5.1% -8.3% 4.9% 37.0% 53.5% 21.4 28.8
Steel ($/ton) 1,056 -9.4% -24.5% -16.5% -26.4% 79.6% 66.8% 970.0 1,945
Iron Ore (CNY/MT) 740 -10.4% -4.3% -42.6% 5.0% 3.3% 10.1% 511.0 1,423
Wheat ($/bu) 934.0 21.9% 4.7% 43.9% 20.6% 57.9% 64.7% 610.0 968.5
Corn ($/bu) 690.8 10.6% 8.4% 43.1% 16.1% 65.4% 69.3% 462.5 716.3
Sugar ($/lb) 17.7 -0.6% -5.9% 19.0% -4.8% 22.6% 21.2% 14.2 20.3
SMP (EUR/MT) 3,763 4.0% 21.0% 57.6% 11.8% 46.4% 72.5% 2,640 3,770
Source: Bloomberg, Aljazira Capital
Oil prices rose in February. Brent crude and light crude increased by 10.7% and 9.6% M/M respectively. However, natural
gas posted losses of 9.7% M/M. Gold and Silver posted an increase by 6.2% and 8.8% M/M in February. Meanwhile, steel
posted losses of 9.4% M/M. Sugar decreased M/M by 0.6%.
5
© All rights reservedEconomic Data
Macro Economic Data Q/Q Y/Y
GDP (Q3-21) 665.2bn SAR 9.22% 6.95%
Reserve Assets (Q3-21) 1707.64bn SAR -2.17% 0.38%
Public Debt (Q3-21) 948.3bn SAR 2.75% 11.85%
Public Debt/GDP (2020) 32.50% - -
Consumer Spending Jan-22 M/M Y/Y
ATM Withdrawals 49.7bn SAR 1.75% 1.78%
Point of Sales 43.55bn SAR -1.88% -1.85%
Total Spending (ATM & POS) 92.3bn SAR -0.98% -0.97%
No. of ATMs 16.55k 0.06% 0.06%
No. of ATM Transactions 125.88k -6.54% -6.14%
No. of POS Terminal 1050.89k 3.59% 3.73%
Inflation Rate (December-21) 1.2%
Repo Rate (March-20) 1.0%
1-Month 3-Months 6-Months 12-Months
Saudi Arabia (SAIBOR) 0.87 1.51 1.50 1.76
US (LIBOR) 0.24 0.50 0.80 1.29
Region Rate M/M (bps) YTD (bps) Y/Y (bps)
Saudi Arabia (SAIBOR-3M) 1.512 50.81 60.65 71.22
UAE (EIBOR-3M) 0.600 15.23 23.54 29.30
Qatar (QIBOR-3M) 1.150 2.50 2.50 11.50
Bahrain (BHIBOR-3M) 1.600 -2.50 8.33 -34.17
Source: Argaam, Bloomberg, Aljazira Capital
Deposit & Loans – January 22
Deposits and Loans posted losses of 0.6% M/M in January, while ADR stood at 99.3%.
Dollar Index edged up by 0.2% M/M at the end of February.
Euro and Sterling Pound declined against the US dollar by 0.1% and 0.2%, respectively, on M/M basis in February.
The Indian Rupee increased against the US dollar by 1.0%. Meanwhile, the Chinese Yuan increased against the US dollar by 0.8%.
POS fell 1.8%M/M in January to SAR 43.6bn, with the total number of transactions standing at 535.7mn.
99%
Deposits (bn) Loans (bn) ADR
82%84%
86%88%
90%92%
94%96%
98%100%
102%
0.00 0.50 1.00 1.50 2.00 2.50
Jan-20 Feb-20 Mar-20 Apr-20 May-20 Jun-20 Jul-20 Aug-20 Sep-20 Oct-20 Nov-20 Dec-20 Jan-21 Feb-21 Mar-21 Apr-21 May-21 Jun-21 Jul-21 Aug-21 Sep-21 Oct-21 Nov-21 Dec-21 Jan-22
Point of Sale (POS)
Monthly change aginst the US Dollar (%)
Sales(bn) - LHS No. of Transactions (mn) - RHS 0.0 100.0 200.0 300.0 400.0 500.0 600.0
10.0 15.0 20.0 25.0 30.0 35.0 40.0 45.0
Feb-20 Mar-20 Apr-20 May-20 Jun-20 Jul-20 Aug-20 Sep-20 Oct-20 Nov-20 Dec-20 Jan-21 Feb-21 Mar-21 Apr-21 May-21 Jun-21 Jul-21 Aug-21 Sep-21 Oct-21 Nov-21 Dec-21 Jan-22
Source: SAMA, Aljazira Capital Source: SAMA, Aljazira Capital
Source: Bloomberg, Aljazira Capital
Exchange Rate
0.2%
0.8%
-0.1%
-0.2%
0.1%
1.0%
-3.0% -2.0% -1.0% 0.0% 1.0% 2.0%
Indian Rupee Japanese Yen Chinese Yuan
Sterling Pound Euro Dollar Index
6
© All rights reservedMarch 4, 2022
BHGE Baker Hughes US Rig Count report – weekly
March 7, 2022
Nahdi Medical End of IPO book-building process
ALBAHA Close of rights issue
BURUJ Ordinary general meeting
March 8, 2022
American Petroleum Institute The American Petroleum Institute (API) report on the US crude oil inventories - Weekly March 9, 2022
E.I.A EIA Report on US crude oil and petroleum inventories – Weekly
DMSCO Allocation date
SGS Ordinary general meeting
AMAK Start of IPO
March 10, 2022
SISCO Eligibility for Cash Dividend
ALBAHA End of subscription to new shares
March 11, 2022
BHGE Baker Hughes US Rig Count report – weekly
AMAK End of IPO
March 13, 2022
Nahdi Medical Start of IPO
SRECO Ordinary general meeting
March 14, 2022
ALDREES Cash Dividend Distribution
MIS Cash dividend distribution
March 15, 2022
Nahdi Medical End of IPO
US Federal American Federal meeting
American Petroleum Institute The American Petroleum Institute (API) report on the US crude oil inventories - Weekly
OPEC OPEC monthly report
Fitaihi Group Ordinary general meeting
Jouf Cement Extraordinary general meeting
AMAK Final allocation date
March 16, 2022
US Federal American Federal meeting
E.I.A EIA Report on US crude oil and petroleum inventories – Weekly
IEA Reports
Saudi Ceramics Ordinary general meeting Herfy Foods Extraordinary general meeting March 17, 2022
STC Cash Dividend Distribution
AMAK Surplus refund date
March 18, 2022
BHGE Baker Hughes US Rig Count report - weekly
March 20, 2022
Nahdi Medical Final allocation date
A.Othaim Market Eligibility for Cash Dividend
Saudi Aramco Financial results
Advanced Extraordinary general meeting
Advanced Ex-bonus Date
March 22, 2022
American Petroleum Institute The American Petroleum Institute (API) report on the US crude oil inventories - Weekly March 23, 2022
Nahdi Medical Surplus refund date
E.I.A EIA Report on US crude oil and petroleum inventories – Weekly
QACCO Ordinary general meeting
March 25, 2022
BHGE Baker Hughes US Rig Count report – weekly
March 27, 2022
SISCO Cash Dividend Distribution
March 28, 2022
SAMA SAMA monthly bulletin
March 29, 2022
American Petroleum Institute The American Petroleum Institute (API) report on the US crude oil inventories - Weekly March 30, 2022
ALASEEL Eligibility for Cash Dividend
E.I.A EIA Report on US crude oil and petroleum inventories – Weekly
A.Othaim Market Cash Dividend Distribution
March 31, 2022
RIYAD REIT Eligibility for Cash Dividend
TADAWUL GROUP results
Source: Argaam
Al-Jazira Capital is a Saudi Investment Company licensed by the Capital Market Authority (CMA), license No. 07076-37
RESEAR CH DIVISION RA TING TERMINOL OGY
Disclaimer
AlJazira Capital, the investment arm of Bank AlJazira, is a Shariaa Compliant Saudi Closed Joint Stock company and operating under the regulatory supervision of the Capital Market Authority. AlJazira Capital is licensed to conduct securities business in all securities business as authorized by CMA, including dealing, managing, arranging, advisory, and custody. AlJazira Capital is the continuation of a long success story in the Saudi Tadawul market, having occupied the market leadership position for several years. With an objective to maintain its market leadership position, AlJazira Capital is expanding its brokerage capabilities to offer further value-added services, brokerage across MENA and International markets, as well as offering a full suite of securities business.
1. Overweight: This rating implies that the stock is currently trading at a discount to its 12 months price target.
Stocks rated “Overweight” will typically provide an upside potential of over 10% from the current price levels over next twelve months.
2. Underweight: This rating implies that the stock is currently trading at a premium to its 12 months price target.
Stocks rated “Underweight” would typically decline by over 10% from the current price levels over next twelve months.
3. Neutral: The rating implies that the stock is trading in the proximate range of its 12 months price target. Stocks rated “Neutral” is expected to stagnate within +/- 10% range from the current price levels over next twelve months.
4. Suspension of rating or rating on hold (SR/RH): This basically implies suspension of a rating pending further analysis of a material change in the fundamentals of the company.
The purpose of producing this report is to present a general view on the company/economic sector/economic subject under research, and not to recommend a buy/sell/hold for any security or any other assets. Based on that, this report does not take into consideration the specific financial position of every investor and/or his/her risk appetite in relation to investing in the security or any other assets, and hence, may not be suitable for all clients depending on their financial position and their ability and willingness to undertake risks. It is advised that every potential investor seek professional advice from several sources concerning investment decision and should study the impact of such decisions on his/her financial/legal/tax position and other concerns before getting into such investments or liquidate them partially or fully. The market of stocks, bonds, macroeconomic or microeconomic variables are of a volatile nature and could witness sudden changes without any prior warning, therefore, the investor in securities or other assets might face some unexpected risks and fluctuations. All the information, views and expectations and fair values or target prices contained in this report have been compiled or arrived at by Al- Jazira Capital from sources believed to be reliable, but Al-Jazira Capital has not independently verified the contents obtained from these sources and such information may be condensed or incomplete. Accordingly, no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made as to, and no reliance should be placed on the fairness, accuracy, completeness or correctness of the information and opinions contained in this report. Al-Jazira Capital shall not be liable for any loss as that may arise from the use of this report or its contents or otherwise arising in connection therewith. The past performance of any investment is not an indicator of future performance. Any financial projections, fair value estimates or price targets and statements regarding future prospects contained in this document may not be realized. The value of the security or any other assets or the return from them might increase or decrease. Any change in currency rates may have a positive or negative impact on the value/return on the stock or securities mentioned in the report. The investor might get an amount less than the amount invested in some cases. Some stocks or securities maybe, by nature, of low volume/trades or may become like that unexpectedly in special circumstances and this might increase the risk on the investor. Some fees might be levied on some investments in securities. This report has been written by professional employees in Al-Jazira Capital, and they undertake that neither them, nor their wives or children hold positions directly in any listed shares or securities contained in this report during the time of publication of this report, however, The authors and/or their wives/children of this document may own securities in funds open to the public that invest in the securities mentioned in this document as part of a diversified portfolio over which they have no discretion. This report has been produced independently and separately by the Research Division at Al-Jazira Capital and no party (in-house or outside) who might have interest whether direct or indirect have seen the contents of this report before its publishing, except for those whom corporate positions allow them to do so, and/or third-party persons/institutions who signed a non-disclosure agreement with Al-Jazira Capital. Funds managed by Al-Jazira Capital and its subsidiaries for third parties may own the securities that are the subject of this document. Al-Jazira Capital or its subsidiaries may own securities in one or more of the aforementioned companies, and/or indirectly through funds managed by third parties. The Investment Banking division of Al-Jazira Capital maybe in the process of soliciting or executing fee earning mandates for companies that is either the subject of this document or is mentioned in this document. One or more of Al-Jazira Capital board members or executive managers could be also a board member or member of the executive management at the company or companies mentioned in this report, or their associated companies. No part of this report may be reproduced whether inside or outside the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia without the written permission of Al-Jazira Capital. Persons who receive this report should make themselves aware, of and adhere to, any such restrictions. By accepting this report, the recipient agrees to be bound by the foregoing limitations.
RESEAR
Asset Management | Brokerage | Investment Banking | Custody | Advisory
Head Office: King Fahad Road, P.O. Box: 20438, Riyadh 11455, Saudi Arabia، Tel: 011 2256000 - Fax: 011 2256068