Do Tien Sam. Phdn img eiia Trung Qudc ddi vdi chien luge.
Phan u-ng cua Trung Quoc doi vffi Chien lu-ffc An Do DuoTig - Thai Binh Duong va nhung van de dat ra doi voi Viet Nam
Do Tien Sdm*
Nguyen Vien trudng, Vien nghien cihi Trung Quoc. VASS
Ngdy nhdn bar 19/11/2018. ngdygdiphdn biin. 19/11/2018. ngdy duyel ddng: 30/11/2018
C
hiin luge An Do Duang - Thdi Binh Duong mdc dii mai duac Tdng thong My Donald J.Trump ehinh thicc neu len trong dip tham du APEC - VietNam 2017, nhung nd da nhanh chdng thu hut su quan tdm eua du ludn qude te vd khu vice. Trung Qude Id mdt mcac l&n dang trdi dciy a khu vuc, dang thiic day "dgi chiin luge " Vdnh dai Con duang (BRI), nhdm hudng tdi muc tieu xdy dicng cuang qudc hien dai hda xa hdi chu nghTa vdo giira the ky, thue hien "Gide mo Trung Qudc ".phuc hung Trung Hoa. Vi vdy, Trung Qudc da quan tdm vd cd nhicng phdn icng khdc nhau nhdm tao die ludn vd dinh ra chinh sdch de thich iing Bdi viet ndy chu yeu tim hieu nghien cicu phdn icng chinh thicc vd khdng chinh thuc cua phia Trung Qudc ddi vai Chien luac An Do Duong - Thai Binh Duang, sau do neu len mgt sd suy nghi buac ddu ve su lua ehon cua Viet Nam ddi vdi chien luac tren.
Tu khoa: Chien luge. An Do Duong, Thai Binh Duong, Trung Quoc, Viet Nam 1. Phan ling cua Trung Quoc doi vol Chien
luge An Do Dironng - Thai Binh Duong La quoc gia dang troi day vdi nhiing chien luge ldn va nhung tham vgng ldn, Trung Quoc da cd nhiing phan iing chinh thiic va khdng chinh thiic khac nhau doi vdi Chien luge An Do Dirang - Thai Binh Duong do Tong thong D.J.Trump tuyen bd.
1.1. Phdn tmg chfnh thirc
Dieu dang chu y la, mac du Chien luge An Do Duong - Thai Binh Duong da dugc dich tlian Tong thdng My Donald J.Trump neu len, nhung ve phia Trung Qudc - cac nha lanh dao cao nhat cua nudc nay nhu Tong bi thu Chu tich nudc Tap Can Binh hay Thu tudng Quoc vu vien Ly Khac Cudng chua tiing de cap hay phan iing doi vdi chien luge nay. Cac van kien chinh thiic cua Dang va Nha nudc Trung Quoc nhu cac ban Thong bao
cac phien hgp Trung ucmg, Bg Chinh trj, bao cao cong tac Chinh phu hay Thudng vii Quoc vu vien ciing khong de cap mgt each true tiep den chien luge nay. Hdi nghi BCT DCS Trnng Quoc hgp ngay 31/7/2018 cung chi neu len nhan djnli het siic tdng quat ve tinh hinh the gidi cho rang: "Mdi trudng ben ngoai phat sinh nhiing thay ddi ro ret"'.
Cdn phan iing chinh thiic va cung la duy nhat cho den nay cua Chinh phu Trung Qudc dugc the hien trong bai tra ldi phdng van ciia ong Vucmg Nghi, Bd trudng Bg Ngoai giao mrdc nay trong dip khai mac ky hop thii nhat Qudc hdi khoa XIll ngay8/3/2018^
Khi phong vien Dai Truyen hinh Phugng Hoang (Hong Kong) hdi ve phan iing cua Trung Qudc ddi vdi viec cac nudc My - Nhai Ban - An Do - Uc tang cudng hgp tac thuc day Chien luge
' Mang Tan Hoa (2018), Hdi nghi Bg Chinh trt Trung uong DCS Trung Qudc duac trieu tap. Tap Cdn Binh chU
- Bnews (2018), Quoc hgi Trung Quoc thong qua viec bd nhiem mgt loat lanh dao bd. ngdnh.
Nghien Ciiu AnDpvaChau A. So 12 - 2018, tr.1-7
Bo Tien Sam. Phdn img ciia Trung Qudc ddi vdi chien hrac.
An Do Ducmg - Thai Binh Ducmg, ong Vuong Nghi da tra ldi nhu sau:
"Xac thirc la cd mgt sd hgc gia va gidi truyen thdng da 'tmyen rihlem' cai ggi la 'Chien luge An - Thai' la nham bao vay Trung Qudc, nhung chung toi nhan thay quan chiic bon nudc nay lap tiic bieu thi khdng nham vao bat cii nudc nao. Tdi hy vgng nhiing ldi ndi cua hg la su thuc, ddng thdi cung mong hp cd the noi dugc lam dugc. Cdn giua 'Chien luge An - Thai' va Vanli dai, Con dudng' CO quan he vdi nhau nhu the nao? Sang kien Vanh dai Con dudng da nhan dugc su iing hg cua hon 100 quoc gia, van de la d cho dd.
Trong thdi dai ngay nay, muon vuc day Chien tranh Lanh la khong phu hgp, hem niia lai mudn hinh thanh vdng ttdn nhd ddi khang nhau cang khdng CO thi trudng^.
Ciing ttong buoi hgp bao nay, dng Vuong Nghi thdng qua tra ldi phong vien bao chi da trinh bay chinh sach va quan he doi ngoai giiia Trung Quoc vdi mgt so nudc va td chiic qudc te ldn khac. Ve quan he Trung Qudc - An Do, dng cho rang: "Quan he Trung - An vln duy tri dugc xu the phat trien, da trai qua khd khan va trai nghiem... Ve trien vgng phat trien cua quan he Trung - An, lanh dao hai nudc da dat dugc nhan thiic chung ve chien luge quan trgng, dd chinh la Trnng - An phai la "Rdng" va "Voi" cimg nhay mua chii khong phai la "Rong" va "Voi" tranh dau nhau; Trung - An 1+1 khdng phai bang 2 ma cang nen la bang I I . . . La hai nudc dang phat trien ldn cd quy md dan sd hon 1 ty ngudi tiep tuc di ldi hien dai hoa, dieu quan trgng la ciing hieu nhau, ung hd lan nhau; dieu nen tranh nhit la chong lai nhau, tieu hao lan nhau''.
1.2. Quan diem cua cdc hgc gid
^ Bp tmong Bo Ngoai giao Vuang Nghi tra loi phong vdn bao chi trong va ngoai nuoc ve "Chinh sach ngoai giao va quan he doi ngoai cua Trung Qu6c", ngay 8/3/2018.
•* Bo trucmg Bo Ngoai giao Vucmg Nghi... Tai iieu da din tai (3), ngay truy cap 29/8/2018.
Nghienciiu An Do va Chau A. S6 12 - 2018, tr.1-7
Neu nliu ve mat chinh thiic, phia Trung Quoc cdn than trgng khi neu 18n cac nhan dinh, thi ngugc lai - cac hgc gia nudc nay ca dan su lan quan su lai the hien rat nhieu chinh kien khac nhau ve Chi8n luge An Dp Duong - Thai Binh Ducmg, theo each gpi cua hgc gia nudc nay la
"bach gia ttanh minli" (Tram nha dua tieng). That dung nliu vay, khoang 7h sang ngay 6/9/2018, ngudi viet gd tii khda bang tieng Trung Quoc (ChiSn luge An - Thai) da cho 14.300.000 kat qua; con neu gd tir khda (Chien luge An - Thai cua My) ciing cho 9.390.000 ket qua. Duong nhien khdng phai toan bg la do ngudi Trung Quoc len tieng, ma cdn la tieng ndi cua nhieu ngudi d cac quoc gia khac the hien tten cac phucmg tien ttldng tin dai chung tieng Hoa. Dudi day la mdt so quan diem tieu bieu cua hgc gia phia Trung Quoc.
Thu nhdt, nhiing y kien khac nhau xung quanh khai niem Chien luge An Dp Duong - Thai Binh Duang. Co y kien cho rang tten thuc te "An Do Ducmg - Thai Binh Duong" khdng phai la mgt khai niem mdi, thdi ky Tong thdng Obama cam quyen khai niem nay ciing da dupc nhac den mgt so lan, CO dieu - chien luge cua Tdng thong Obama la "Tai can bang d chau A - Thai Binh Duong". Con khi thi hanh chinh sach d chau A - Thai Binh Duong, thi khu vuc "chau A - Thai Binh Ducmg", chinh la chi "Vanh dai hai - luc"
hinli ban nguyet di tir luc dia An Do, qua Dong Nam A den bd bien phia Tay nudc My. Day dugc coi la ttgng tam kinh t^ va cfiiSn luge cua thi^ gidi trong thSky 21^.
Tuy nhien, khi Tdng thdng Donald Trump len cam quyen, trong mdt thdi gian rAt ngin ong va cac CO van cua dng da sii dung khai niem nay, chuyen "An Dp - Thai Binh Duong" tir mot
^ Nguy H6ng Giang (Giao su So Nghien cuu My, Vien KHXH Tnmg Quoc): "Dien bien khai niem An Do Duong - Thai Binh Duong", Tgp chi Hodn cau, s6 24,2017.
Do Tien Sam. Phdn ung ciia Trung Qudc ddi vai chien hrac . khai niem dia ly thanh khai niem chien luge;
xac dinh khung khd ciia chien luge An Do Duong -Thai Binh Ducmg la khu vuc dia chinh tri di tir Tay Thai Binh Duang den An Do Ducmg. Neu so sanh vdi chien luge "Tai can bang d chau A - Thai Binh Duong" cua Tdng thdng Obama, thi diem khac trong each tiep can cua Tdng thong Donald Trump la dng da chuyen sir chii y tir Trung Quoc sang An Do;
ddng thdi nhan manh lgi ich chung giua My va An Do, cdn su "trdi day phi An" la thach thiic^.
Noi mot each khac, dii chi thay ddi mgt ten ggi, nhung nd cho thay miic do coi ttpng cua My ddi vdi An Dp Duong va An Do da tang len. Dieu dang chii y la thai do cua My ddi vdi hgp tac qudc te cung thay ddi theo, neu nhu trudc day hgp tac qudc te la mgt bd phan hpp thanh cua chien luge an ninh qudc gia, thi gid day - he thong dong minh va hpp tac quoc te da trd thanh
"nen tang" cua chien lupc An Dp Duong - Thai Binh Duong cua My'. Vi vay, cd hgc gia Trung Qudc cho rang, chien luge An Dp Ducmg - Thai Binh Duong tuy da budc ra khdi trang giay, trong giai doan neu len khai niem, nhung van chi la tam nhin ma thdi, nd van cdn thieu cac chi tiet thuc thi cu the. Dieu quan ttpng la xu the phat trien ciia chien luge An Do Ducmg - Thai Binh Duang, khdng hoan toan do My nam giii ma nd cdn chju tac ddng ciia tinh hinh qudc te, so vdi chien luge "tai can bang d chau A - Thai Binh Duong" cua Tdng thdng Obama ttudc day, tinh khdng xac dinh ciia chien luge An Do Duomg - Thai Binh Ducmg nhieu han^.
Thu hai, nhihig y kien xung quanh van de canh ttanh dia chinh tri Trung - My. Cd hpc gia
cho rang, chien luge An Do Duong - Thai Binh Ducmg vira cd muc dich kiem che siic anh hudng cua Trung Qudc, nhat la vdi "Sang kien Vanh dai Con dudng (BRI)", vira la mdt bg phan cua cugc canh ttanh toan dien cua My ddi vdi Trung Qudc.
Bdi le, phia My cho rang Sang kien Vanh dai Con dudng da lam hdn loan thuong mai toan cau; muc tieu la "xay dimg mgt trat tu kinh te the gidi cuoi cimg do Trung Qudc chii dao". Theo hpc gia Trung Qudc, nhiing ddng thai tren cho thay, day la su "chuyen hudng ciing ran chua tirng co trong vdng 40 nam ma chien luge cua My nham vao Trung Qudc, phia My da xac djnh rd Trung Qudc la mdi de dga ldn nhat ciia minh", tham chi cho rang Trung Qudc dang trien khai "Cliien ttanh Lanh khdng dn ao" ddi vdi My, hoan toan kliac vdi Chien tranh Lanh My - Xd trudc day, hong thay the My ttd thanh nudc Idn chii dao the gidi^.
Y kien khac cho rang, chien luge An Do Duong - Thai Binh Duong ciia My, cd kha nang kiem che "Tay tien"- tien ve phia Tay trong Sang kien Vanh dai Con dudng cua Trung Qudc; viec ldi keo Australia va An Do vao chien luge nay se anh hudng den con dudng thdng sang phia Tay va phia Nam ciia Vanh dai Con dudng'*".
Thic ba, ve trien vgng, he qua va doi sach cua phia Trung Qudc. Mac du cdn cd nhung y kien khac nhau ve chien lupc An Do Duong - Thai Binh Duong ciia My, nhung cac hgc gia Trung Qudc ciong khdng khoi lo lang ve nhiing he qua ma chien luge nay dua lai. Vi vay hg da neu len nhimg quan diem khac nhau nham thich iing vdi chien luge An Do Duong - Thai Binh Ducmg.
^ Truong Gia Dong, "My thuc day chien luac An Do Duang - Thai Binh Duang, hu chieu nhieu thuc chieu it", Thoi bio Ho^ cSu, ng^y 2/6/2018.
''Nhu chu thich 6.
* Nhu chu thich 6.
Nghien cuu An Do va Chau A. S6 12 - 2018, tt.1-7
' Nguy H6ng Gidng, "My, An Dg. Nhdt Bdn bat tay nhau tranh gidnh xdy dung ca sa hg tdng vdi Trung Qudc, chien luge An Do Duang - Thdi Binh Duang dang duac thiic day u ' ".
'*• Nhu chii thich 9.
D6 Tien Sam. Phdn img cua Trung Quoc ddi vdi chien luac.
Co y ki^n cho rang, chien luge An Do Ducmg - Thai Binh Duong khong nen ttd tiianh "cdng cu kich hoat" cugc canh tranh Trung - My, phia My ciing khong nhdt thiSt phai diing each nhin cua Chi8n tranh Lanh de danh gia sir tang cudng anh hudng ciia Trung Qudc; cang khdng nen gay sice ep ddi vdi cac quoc gia trong khu vuc dang cd nliu cau giiip do tir ben ngoai. Nham bao ve dia vi uu the cua My ttong khu vuc, dem ban dao Ddng Duong hoac cac qudc dao d Nam Thai Binh Ducmg thanh vii dai ciia mdt cugc Chien ttanh Lanh mdi, day la di8u khong cdng bang va nguy hiem. Trung - My can phai tang cudng tim kiem con dudng hd ttg bd sung uu the cua nhau ttong khu vyc An Do - Thai Binh Ducmg''
Y kien khac cho rang, chien luge An Do Ducmg - Thai Binh Duong la mot cai hd rat ldn ma My dao len, Washington muon trong cai hd nay se chon viii ca Trung Quoc va An Do trdi day.
Mdt so trong gidi tmh hoa cua My tinh toan rang, trudc tien ldi keo An Do cimg day Trung Quoc xuong ho. An Do la ngudi lap hd, sau dd se dua An Do xuong hd'^.
Mgt y kien khac cho rang, trien vpng chien luge An Dp Duong - Thai Binh Duong cua My la am dam, klidng the lam thay doi xu the ldn hda binh va phat trien ciia khu vuc An Do - Thai Binh Duong. Nhung ddi vdi viec My md rong boat ddng quan sir ttong khu vuc, Trung Qu6c tAt phai duy tri canh giac va de phdng'^. Trong boi canh mdi hien nay, cd hpc gia neu kien nghi cho rang, quan he Trung - My mudn ttanh di tdi su doi idiang mang tinh tai nan, can phai tich cue quan ly tot canh tranh dia chinh tri d khu vuc An Dp - Thai Binh Duong, theo dd: Trudc hk Chinh phii
My kliong nen tuy y dua ra nhirng tieu chuan ddi vdi Trung Qudc; tiep theo la cac qudc gia Dong Nam A ciing khdng mong mudn bi lam vao hoan canli klid klian do ddi dau Trung - My dua lai''',
2. Nhu-ng van de dat ra voi Viet Nam 2.1. Doi vdi suphdt trien cda VietNam La mdt qudc gia dang phat trien va dang trong qua trinh chuyen ddi, nen Viet Nam rat can moi trudng xung quanh hda binh dn dinh va phat trien. Vi vay theo chung toi, mac dii chien luge An Do Ducmg - Thai Binh Ducmg van dang trong qua trinh bd sung hoan thien, nhung day la mot y tudng cd tam nhin toan cue va lau dai. Neu chien luge nay dupc hoan thien va trien khai tren thyc te, nd se tao ra mot khu vyc phat trien nang dgng.
Bdi le, day khdng dan thuan la mot khai niem ve dia ly, ma hem the - nd cdn la sy ket hgp giiia quoc gia dong dan cd nen van minh phucmg Dong lau ddi la An Do vdi nen van minh cdng nghiep nhu My, Nhat Ban... gid day no lai dugc tiep them nang lugng tich cue tir cugc each mang san nghiep mdi 4.0. Vi vay. An Dp se but pha phat trien va trd thanh mdt hien tugng, tham chi co the tao nen nhiing ky tich mdi ciia the ky 21. Diing nhu nhan xet cua phia My ma hgc gia Trung Qu6c da trich dan, An Dp - Thai Binli Duong se la
"ttgng tam kinh te va chien luge cua th6 gidi trong theky 21".
Trong boi canh mdi - tham chi hem the niia, day cdn la mgt co hgi mdi cho su phat trien cua Viet Nam. Dac biet, trong Tdm nhin An Do - Thai Binh Duong, nhu cac hgc gia An Dp glin day cho biet: ASEAN dupc coi la Trung tam, ttong do Viet Nam la Trai tim. Nhu vay, n§u Viet Nam tich
'' Chien lucre An Do Ducmg • Thdi Binh Duang " vd canh tranh dia chien luge Trung - My, 2018.
'^ Chiin luge An Dd Duang ~ Thdi Bmh Duang, mudn ddo hd chdn vui cd Trung Qudc vd An Dd, Xa luan Thbi bdo Hoan ciu, ngay 31/5/2018.
Nghien ciiu An Do va Chau A. S6 12-2018,tr.1-7
" Ngo Chinh Long (NCV Cao cip Quy Nghien ciiu vSn de quoc te Trung Qu6c):"Chiin lucre An Do Duang - Thdi Binh Duang" cua My co the di xa dugc khdng?, ngdy truy cap 29/8/2018.
'''Nhu chil thich 11.
Bo Tien Sam. Phdn ung cua Trung Qudc ddi vdi chien luge . cue va chu dgng chuan bi ca ve mdi trudng cung
va mdi trudng mem de ddn nhan va nam bat, chiing ta hoan toan cd co sd de ty tin khi hpi nhap va biit pha phat trien.
2.2. Boi v&i an ninli quoc gia cua VietNam Trong bdi canh su phat trien va an ninh qudc gia ciia Viet Nam dang diing trudc nhiing thach thiic mdi do phia Trung Qudc diy manh thyc hien "Ba nhanh chdng" sau dai hdi XIX (Bao gom Nhanh chdng phat ttien bien cuong d phia Bac, Nhanh chdng xdy dung cudng quoc bien d phia Ddng; Nhanh chdng ket noi chien luge vdi Lao va Campuchia d phia Tay - Viet Nam), viec Viet Nam va ASEAN dugc coi la trung tam ciia Tam nhin An Do - Thai Binh Duong. Dieu nay se tao the cho Viet Nam ndi rieng va ASEAN ndi chung trong quan he vdi cac nudc Idn trong do cd Trung Qudc; dong thdi cd the nang cao nang luc quoc phdng, gdp phan bao ve chu quyen, toan ven lanh thd va an ninh quoc gia cua minh.
2.3. Mgt sd suy nghi ggi m& vi nang cao hieu qua hgp tac Viet Nam - An Do trong boi canh mdi
Viet Nam va An Dp cd mdi quan he giao luu tir lau ddi, cd nen tang la su tuong dong ve van hda va truyen thdng hiiu nghi "trong sang khdng mdt gon may" (Ldi Cd Thii tudng Pham Van Dong); gid day lai cd lgi ich chung ttong hgp tac ciing phat trien. Vi vay, tang cudng va nang cao hieu qua hgp tac Viet Nam - An Dp trd thanh nhu cau phat trien ty than moi nudc, ddng thdi ciing phu hgp vdi xu the phat trien mdi cua khu vyc An Dp Ducmg - Thai Binh Duong. Vdi tinh than dd tdi xin de xuat mot sd kien nghi nhu sau:
Mot la, ve mat nhan thuc, chiing tdi cho rang, nhan dinh ciia TBT Nguyin Phii Trpng trong bai
phat bieu tai Hdi nghi Ngoai giao lan thii 30 vdi chii de "Ngoai giao VietNam: chu ddng, sang tao, hieu qua, thuc hien thSng loi Nghi quyet Dai hpi Dang lan thii XII ", td chiic tai Ha Npi ngay 13/8/2018 can dugc nghien ciru quan triet: "Cac ddi tac ldn cua ta dang ttong qua trinh dieu chinh chien luge, bdi canh the gidi thudng xuyen bien ddng, mdi trudng chinh tti, an ninh, kinh te khu vuc va the gidi dang ttd nen bat dn vdi cac tac ddng nhanh, manh va bat ngd hem. Canh tranh chien luge giiia cac nudc ldn se quyet liet, chinh tri cudng quyen quay ttd lai manh hon, nhat la ttong khu vuc"'^-
Vi vay, tren ca sd kien tri xay dyng moi quan he lanh manh va dn dinh vdi Trung Quoc, viec Viet Nam thuc hien dudng Idi va phuang cham da dang hoa da phuong hda quan he doi ngoai, ttong dd uu tien quan he vdi An Do la- can thiet va quan ttgng ca ve chinh trj, kinh te va an ninh.
Hai Id, ve mat chinh tri ngoai giao, vdi tinh than ke thira tniyen thdng md ra tuong lai, sy tham vieng thudng xuyen giiia cac nha lanh dao cap cao hai nudc la rat can thiet va vd cung quan trpng. Nd gdp phan cung co va tang cudng su tin cay lan nhau ve chinh tri va chien luge, tiep them nang lugng tich eye cho sy phat trien toan dien va sau rdng giiia hai nudc trong tinh hinh mdi.
Ba Id, ve mat kinh te, ciing cd lgi la dgng lyc cho sy phat ttien ben vung. Vi va)^, cac bd nganh hiiu quan, cac dia phucmg ciia hai nudc can tap tnmg thao gd cac rao can ve mat chinh sach; cdn cac doanh nghiep - chu the cua sy hgp tac vdi sy tu van khach quan cua cac nha khoa hgc hai nudc, can chu ddng nam bat ca hdi, cimg nhau tim kiem diem tuang ddng ve lgi ich de hpp tac lau dai. Theo tdi, vdi nhiing thanh
'* Thg gioi & Vi?t Nam (2018), Todn van phdl bieu ciia Tong Bi thu Nguyin Phii Trong tgi Hdi nghi Ngoai giao 30.
Nghien ciru An Dg va Chau A. So 12 - 2018, tr.1-7
Do TJgn Sam. Phdn ting eiia Trung Qudc ddi v&i chien luge...
qua da dat dupc ttong thdi gian qua, dong thdi tao d4u an cho giai doan phat trien mdi, da den luc lanh dao cip cao hai nudc can trit tinh nhiing dy an hgp tac mang hinh anh quoc gia d m§i nudc, nhimg du an nay cd the khdng ldn nhung CO sire anh hudng va lan tda rdng ma ngudi dan cd th^ cam nhan dugc, trd thanh bi6u tugng ciia tinh hiiu nghi Viet - An d An Do hay An - Viet d Viet Nam.
Bdn Id, ve mat van hda va giao due, day la nen tang cho su hgp tac lau dai nen rat can sy quan tam cua cac nganh hiiu quan hai nudc. Phia Viet Nam CO the xem xet cho phep xay dyng cong trinh tin nguong nhu Nha thd dao Hindu cho cac cdng dan An Do lam viec va sinh sdng tai Viet Nam;
ngugc lai, phia An Dp ciing nhu vay, tao dieu kien cho cong dan Viet Nam dang hgc tap va lam viec d An Dd dugc xay chiia Viet tten dat Phat An Dp... Y nghia d day chinh la tao mdi trudng tam linh de cong dan hai nudc den lam viec tten lanh tho cua nhau ludn cam thay gan gui va than thiet hay nhu ldi Bac Hd la "thanh thai nhu d nha minh vay". Ngoai ra, nham phuc vu cho hgp tac lau dai, viec dao tao ngudn nhan lyc la rat quan ttong. Vi vay, hai nudc can lam tdt cdng tac truyen thdng, gop phan dinh hudng du luan de thanh nien hai nudc, nhat la thanh nien Viet Nam lua chgn An Dp la diem den du hpc. Ciing vdi dd, lanh dao hai nudc can quan tam dau tu cho nghien cuu khoa hgc ve nhau, trudc het la dau tu cho Vien nghien ciiu An Do va Tay Nam A (Vien Han lam KHXH Viet Nam), Trung tam NghiSn ciiu An Do (Hpc vien CTQG Ho Chi Minh)...; bien cac ca sd nay thanh cac Think Tank - tu van chinh sach va diem den ciia cac doanh nghiep.
Ndm la, ve mat qudc phdng - an ninh, day la mdt trong nhung diem sang cua hgp tac giiia hai nudc thdi gian qua, can dugc duy tri va phat triln cho tuang xiing vdi quan he hai nudc ttong bdi canh mdi. Theo tdi, viec hgp tac nhim dam bao
an toan, an ninh hang hai va hang khdng trong khu vyc Bien Ddng nen dugc coi trgng ttong thdi gian tdi, nhat la trong bdi canh phia Trung Qu6c da va dang quan su hda d khu vyc nay, tiem an nguy CO gay mat on dinh. Viet Nam hien dang co mat d 21 dao vdi 33 diem ddng quan, cimg vdi 15 Nha gian DK d viing them luc dia va dac quyen kinh te. Day cd the coi la mgt lgi the quan ttpng cua Viet Nam d Bien Ddng, nhiing Tram tien tieu cd the cung cap dich vy cdng qudc te dam bao an toan, an ninh cho cac hoat ddng hang hai va hang khong. Vi vay rat can cd sy hop tac qudc te trong do An Dp la ddi tac tin cay, trudc het la giiip nang cao nang lyc quan sat tir xa cho cac diem dong quan nay.
Ket luan
Khu vyc An Dp Duong - Thai Binh Ducmg trong tuong lai gan se la mdt khu vyc phat trien nang dgng va dgng lyc cho sy phat trien ciia kinh te the gidi. Vdi Tam nhin mdi. An Do - mdt qudc gia ldn va cd be day van hoa, trong tuong lai gan ciing se trd thanh mdt nen kinh te phat trien ben viing, cung cap cho xa hpi loai ngudi mdt md hinh phat trien mdi cd sire hap dan va lan tda.
Nhirng phan iing cua phia Trung Quoc - mgt quoc gia dang ttdi day - vdi chien luge An Dp Duong - Thai Binh Duong, cho thay mdt mat hp rat than trgng nhung mat khac hg cung chil dpng thich iing vdi nhung bien ddi mdi d khu vuc nay. Mdt trong nhirng ddng thai mdi gan day la phia Trung Qudc cho phep xay dyng dao Hai Nam thanh Khu mau djch ty do, tien tdi thanh Cang mau dich ty do vdi dinh vi dugc xac dinh la hudng ra Thai Binh Duang va An Do Duong. Phai chang day vira la mdt chien lupc phat trien mdi nham phuc vu chien lupc xay dyng cudng qudc bien; ngoai ra cdn nham thich ling vdi chien luge An Do Duong - Thai Binh Nghien ciiu An Dp va Chau A. Sd 12 - 2018, tr.1-7
D6 Tien Sam. Phdn img cita Trung Quoc doi v&i chien luge...
Duang - mdt chien luge dap iing yeu cau phat trien mdi cua the ky ma khdng qudc gia nao cd the ngan can dugc.
Trong bdi canh mdi mgt Chien luge hay Tam nhin "An Dp Ducmg - Thai Binh Ducmg: Ty do va rdng md " dugc trien khai, Viet Nam vdi lgi the dia chien luge - mdt ngudn lyc quan trgng cho sy phat trien, ciing dang dung trudc van hgi mdi de biit pha phat trien, khac phyc nguy ca tyt hau, hoan thanh muc tieu "dua dat nudc trd thanh nudc cdng nghiep theo hudng hien dai vao nam 2030 va tam nhin ttd thanh nudc cdng nghiep hien dai theo dinh hudng Xa hgi Chu nghia vao nam 2045".
Tai lieu tham khao
1. Hgi nghi Bg Chinh tri Trung ucmg DCS Tnmg Quoc dugc trieu (dp. Tap Cdn Binh chu Pi, Mang Tan hoa, ngay 31 /7/2018,
http://www.xinhuanet.com/politiics/2018- 07/3]/c_1123203915.htm,ngaytruy cap 29/8/2018.
2 Bnews, Qudc hdi Trung Qudc thdng qua viec bo nhiem mgt loat lanh dgo bg, ngdnh, httpsy/bnews.vn/quoc-hoi-trung-quoc-thong-qua-viec-bo- nhiem-mot-loat-Ianh-dao-bo-nganh/79146.html, ngay truy cap 22/8/2018.
3. Bg trudng Bo Ngoai giao Vuang Nghi tra ldi phong van bao chi trong va ngoai nudc ve
"C/i/nft sdch ngogi giao vd quan he ddi ngogi cua Trung Qudc", ngay 8/3/2018,
hlp:/Avwwipcg7varipDyihjfe±S7/hcdsJl634J^ truy cap 29/8/2018.
4. Nguy Hong Giang (Giao su Sd Nghien ciru My, Vien KHXH Trnng Quoc): "Dien bien khai niem An Do Dirong - Thai Binh Duong", Tgp chi
Hodn cdu, so 24, ra ngay 29/11/2017, ngay truy cap 28/8/2018.
5. Truang Gia Dong (Giao su, Giam doc Trnng tam Nghien ciru Nam A. Dai hoc Phuc Dan), "My thtic ddy chien luac An Do Duang - Thdi Binh Duang. hu chieu nhieu thuc chieu it", Thdi bao Hoan cau, ngay 2/6/2018.
htq>://opinion.huanqiu.caTVhqqK2018-^)ffl2147251JTtml, ngay truy cap 28/8/2018.
6. Nguy H6ng Giang, "My, An Do. Nhgt Bdn bdt tay nhau tranh gidnh xdy dimg ca sa hg tang vai Trung Qudc, chien luge An Do Duang - Thdi Binh Dicang dang duac thuc day u? ", hllpy/vvww.guancha£n'^otekieus2018JW_10_453263shtiTil, ngay truy cap 28/8/2018.
7 Chien luac An Dd Duong - Thdi Binh Duang" vd cgnh (ranh dia chiin licoe Trung - My, httpy/cachlnaus.com/foreignpoliQ'/20180822/32005Jitm!,n^y tniycap29/&2018.
8 Chien luge An Do Duong - Thdi Bmh Duang. muon ddo ho chdn vui cd Trung Quoc vd An Dd, Xa luan Thdi bao Hoan cau, ngay 31/5/2018, ht^y/cpinionbiianqiacom/editDrial^Ol &05/12134O80Jitml, ngay truy cap 23/8/2018.
9. Ngo Chinh Long (NCV Cao cap Quy Nghien ciiu van de quoc te Trung Quoc): "Chien luge An Do Duang - Thdi Binh Duang" cua My cd the di xa dugc khdng?, ngay truy cap 29/8/2018.
10. Nhu chii thich s6 11.
11. The gidi & Viet Nam, Todn vdn phdl bieu cua Tong Bi thu Nguyen Phii Trgng tgi Hgi nghi Ngoai giao 30, http://baoquocte.vn/toan-van-phat- bieu-cua-tong-bi-thu-nguyen-phu-trong-tai-hoi- nghi-ngoai-giao-30-76033.html, ngay truy cap 23/9/2018.
Nghien ciiu An Dp va Chau A. So 12-2018, tt.1-7