Cadangan Devisa 2007-2017
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i
LAMPIRAN Lampiran 1: Data Penelitian NEGARATAHUNCD (Juta $) EKS (%GD P)
IMP (%GD P)RM (Juta $)FDI (Juta $)ULN (Juta $) Bangladesh19981935.7713.3318.282172.88576.4615509.85 Bangladesh19991634.3813.1918.661806.79309.1216452.03 Bangladesh20001515.7913.9819.231967.53578.6415602.84 Bangladesh20011305.6315.3821.502104.55354.4714981.00 Bangladesh20021721.7314.2819.052858.06335.4716689.96 Bangladesh20032624.6214.2120.043191.66350.2518442.97 Bangladesh20043221.7615.4620.813583.82460.4019716.79 Bangladesh2005282516.5823.054642.39845.2618505.58 Bangladesh20063877.1616.3521.765427.52792.4820162.65 Bangladesh20075277.4817.0022.956562.32666.3621574.99 Bangladesh20085787.3617.5024.968940.611086.3123407.59 Bangladesh200910341.5416.9423.1510520.65700.1625437.54 Bangladesh201011174.8316.0221.7810850.21913.3226880.73
ii
Bangladesh20119174.7519.9227.5012071.071136.3827276.72 Bangladesh201212754.2320.1627.9514119.631292.5628558.97 Bangladesh201318087.6919.5426.7613866.951599.1631840.84 Bangladesh201422319.7918.9925.5214987.531551.2833007.85 Bangladesh201527493.0817.1725.7315295.542235.3936309.04 Bangladesh201632283.8416.6521.3013574.292332.7238823.34 Bangladesh201733431.4815.0420.2713501.932151.5647158.39 Indonesia199823605.8449.9838.471466.35-207.00151484.84 Indonesia199927345.133.5125.391109.00-1838.00151806.50 Indonesia200029352.9340.5129.791190.20-4550.37144049.00 Indonesia200128103.6438.5930.091046.00-2977.39132710.09 Indonesia200232033.5932.3125.811258.92146.03128444.20 Indonesia200336256.230.1322.631488.71-596.92134372.63 Indonesia200436310.7331.8526.941866.311895.89138041.81 Indonesia200534730.833.6829.265419.628336.26142131.80 Indonesia200642597.0430.6825.065722.364914.22135970.01 Indonesia200756935.7429.1024.846174.346928.47147827.34 Indonesia200851640.6329.4728.126794.209318.45157916.19 Indonesia200966118.9223.8820.886792.914877.87179404.71
iii
Indonesia201096210.9824.3022.406916.0513770.58198278.35 Indonesia2011110136.626.3323.856923.9719241.25219629.38 Indonesia2012112797.6324.5924.997212.2019137.87252566.62 Indonesia201399386.8323.9224.717614.4218816.66265468.15 Indonesia2014111862.5923.6724.418551.1621810.52292991.05 Indonesia2015105928.8521.1620.789659.1716641.45306224.06 Indonesia2016116369.619.1218.328906.663921.23319012.70 Indonesia2017130215.3320.3719.178989.5320579.23350133.42 Malaysia199826235.7115.7493.75727.762714.0042900.00 Malaysia199930930.65121.3196.26322.893895.2642667.00 Malaysia200028650.94119.81100.60342.373787.6342385.00 Malaysia200129845.8110.4092.96367.11553.9545636.00 Malaysia200233761.68108.3191.05435.003203.4248853.00 Malaysia200344309.89106.9487.25571.052473.1649141.00 Malaysia200466393.55115.3795.00801.874624.2152786.00 Malaysia200570458.19112.9090.961116.974065.3151790.00 Malaysia200682876.09112.1990.391365.486060.2551736.00 Malaysia2007101994.77106.1786.301556.248594.6756027.00 Malaysia200892166.4699.5077.171329.077171.8367409.00
iv
Malaysia200996704.0591.4271.141130.871452.9767332.00 Malaysia2010106528.1286.9371.011102.939060.0472817.00 Malaysia2011133571.6885.2669.681211.5012197.58167908.00 Malaysia2012139730.7879.3068.541293.819238.83194646.00 Malaysia2013134853.775.6367.091423.3712115.47209792.00 Malaysia2014115958.8873.7964.521579.5210877.35211818.00 Malaysia201595282.3470.5562.911643.7210082.34192991.00 Malaysia201694481.2767.7961.041603.9211335.93201900.00 Malaysia2017102446.671.3964.451648.949398.81215902.00 Mesir199818823.9116.7825.215166.001075.5032347.19 Mesir199915190.0215.6122.963235.301065.3031121.62 Mesir200013785.0419.0624.712852.001235.4029232.72 Mesir200113598.2320.4423.982911.40509.9028331.67 Mesir200214076.0519.4522.972893.10646.9029671.75 Mesir200314603.5821.7722.812960.90237.4030467.61 Mesir200415338.5128.7828.273340.702157.4031403.29 Mesir200521856.7831.2932.875017.305375.6030575.70 Mesir200626006.8532.1935.145329.5010042.8031025.13 Mesir200732214.4230.2534.827655.8011578.1034594.61
v
Mesir200834330.5133.0438.648694.009494.6033911.65 Mesir200934896.6824.9531.607149.606711.6035398.94 Mesir201037028.5121.3426.5912453.106385.6036776.37 Mesir201118637.5420.5624.6914324.30-483.0035176.40 Mesir201215672.4716.4024.3219236.406031.0040029.48 Mesir201316536.2417.0223.3517833.104256.0046502.86 Mesir20141492714.2422.6819570.404612.0041742.76 Mesir201515858.8913.1921.6618325.406925.2049847.23 Mesir201623642.6910.3519.9018590.408106.8069173.09 Mesir201736400.2416.3028.4924737.407408.7084428.72 Nigeria19987298.5519.2122.18448.541210.1130313.71 Nigeria19995649.7321.9113.361301.061177.7129095.55 Nigeria200010099.4533.4611.951391.831309.6732374.09 Nigeria200110646.629.4022.111166.611277.4231418.24 Nigeria20027566.8123.2616.671208.962040.1831780.09 Nigeria20037415.0925.7421.541062.822171.3936711.57 Nigeria200417256.5419.5111.122272.732127.0939898.09 Nigeria200528632.0520.4811.6114640.084978.2625754.64 Nigeria200642735.4729.7313.0316932.144897.819617.38
vi
Nigeria200751907.0321.8218.6818014.436086.7312144.52 Nigeria200853599.2825.8015.2519203.328248.6413128.90 Nigeria200945509.8219.9018.8718368.118649.5315942.07 Nigeria201035884.9325.2617.3919744.696098.9615484.22 Nigeria201136263.6531.3321.4620616.898914.8917663.31 Nigeria201247548.431.4412.9420542.967127.3918127.30 Nigeria201346254.7618.0513.0020797.135608.4521143.71 Nigeria201437497.2318.4412.4520806.074693.8324755.95 Nigeria201529011.4510.6710.6721157.723064.1728729.82 Nigeria201628020.29.2211.5019679.394448.7330688.11 Nigeria201740499.2213.5113.5322000.713503.0039770.16 Pakistan19981625.6812.5813.302801.00506.0032283.23 Pakistan19992117.4711.7212.87996.00532.0034142.86 Pakistan20002087.1712.4713.631075.00309.0033025.51 Pakistan20014218.1313.6014.581461.00383.0031931.73 Pakistan20028795.814.1314.213554.00823.0033823.93 Pakistan200311815.615.5114.963964.00534.0036506.56 Pakistan200410718.1714.5413.583945.001118.0036396.69 Pakistan200511109.3614.5618.154280.002201.0034117.82
vii
Pakistan200612878.0214.1321.555121.004273.0037284.42 Pakistan200715798.0713.2119.785998.005590.0042170.98 Pakistan20089024.0112.3823.217039.005438.0049681.66 Pakistan200913606.1312.4019.688717.002338.0056518.73 Pakistan201017255.5713.5219.359690.002022.0062974.62 Pakistan201117697.9313.9718.9712263.001162.0064637.08 Pakistan201213688.4812.4020.4114007.00859.0062509.53 Pakistan20137651.2613.2820.0614629.001333.0058549.49 Pakistan201414306.8112.2418.6617244.001868.0062232.14 Pakistan201520027.8610.6017.0519306.001621.0066712.41 Pakistan201622027.619.1416.0019808.002488.0073093.24 Pakistan201718455.868.2917.7919807.003232.0086070.45 Turkey199820567.6120.5719.715639940.0096953.87 Turkey199924432.6618.5818.824533.00783.00101784.26 Turkey200023514.5319.4522.554560.00982.00116799.28 Turkey200119911.3326.5822.822786.003352.00112946.29 Turkey200228348.0324.4623.001936.001082.00129501.13 Turkey200335548.5122.2423.36729.001702.00144076.07 Turkey200437304.1222.7525.37804.002785.00159621.57
viii
Turkey200552493.9421.0224.421368.0010031.00173601.96 Turkey200663264.8421.6526.501833.0020185.00211039.50 Turkey200776496.1321.2226.072096.0022047.00260028.25 Turkey200873674.6822.8327.082439.0019851.00290571.66 Turkey200974933.122.5723.361834.008585.00278829.98 Turkey201085959.4620.4525.451819.009086.00300869.40 Turkey201187937.2522.2630.401883.0016142.00305569.52 Turkey2012119182.9723.6728.581881.0013745.00338827.28 Turkey2013131053.8522.2728.081901.0013463.00390350.03 Turkey2014127421.9223.7627.651739.0012972.00406061.72 Turkey2015110489.6323.3525.951395.0018989.00399948.92 Turkey2016105945.8621.9724.851186.0013705.00409420.95 Turkey2017107657.0324.8029.321048.0011478.00456174.11
ix
Lampiran 2: Hasil Analisis Data Eviews Lampiran 2.1 Statistik Deskriptif
CD EKS IMP RM FDI ULN
Lampiran 2.2 Common Effect Model
Dependent Variable: CD Method: Panel Least Squares Date: 12/26/19 Time: 09:37 Sample: 1998 2017
Periods included: 20 Cross-sections included: 7
Total panel (balanced) observations: 140
Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.
C -11487.92 3727.820 -3.081674 0.0025 Log likelihood -1536.540 Hannan-Quinn criter. 22.08752 F-statistic 166.5464 Durbin-Watson stat 0.461585 Prob(F-statistic) 0.000000
x Lampiran 2.3 Fixed Effect Model
Dependent Variable: CD Method: Panel Least Squares Date: 12/26/19 Time: 09:38 Sample: 1998 2017
Periods included: 20 Cross-sections included: 7
Total panel (balanced) observations: 140
Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.
C 22757.35 6273.426 3.627578 0.0004 Cross-section fixed (dummy variables)
R-squared 0.911399 Mean dependent var 41769.08 Adjusted R-squared 0.903785 S.D. dependent var 38100.08 S.E. of regression 11818.07 Akaike info criterion 21.67446 Sum squared resid 1.79E+10 Schwarz criterion 21.92660 Log likelihood -1505.212 Hannan-Quinn criter. 21.77693 F-statistic 119.6987 Durbin-Watson stat 0.640406 Prob(F-statistic) 0.000000
Lampiran 2.4 Uji Chow
Redundant Fixed Effects Tests Equation: Untitled
Test cross-section fixed effects
Effects Test Statistic d.f. Prob.
Cross-section F 12.041628 (6,128) 0.0000
Cross-section Chi-square 62.654923 6 0.0000
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Cross-section fixed effects test equation:
Dependent Variable: CD Method: Panel Least Squares Date: 12/26/19 Time: 09:38 Sample: 1998 2017
Periods included: 20 Cross-sections included: 7
Total panel (balanced) observations: 140
Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.
C -11487.92 3727.820 -3.081674 0.0025 Log likelihood -1536.540 Hannan-Quinn criter. 22.08752 F-statistic 166.5464 Durbin-Watson stat 0.461585 Prob(F-statistic) 0.000000
Lampiran 2.5 Random Effect Model
Dependent Variable: CD
Method: Panel EGLS (Cross-section random effects) Date: 12/26/19 Time: 09:39
Sample: 1998 2017 Periods included: 20 Cross-sections included: 7
Total panel (balanced) observations: 140
Swamy and Arora estimator of component variances
Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.
C -9079.187 3583.933 -2.533303 0.0125
xii
Effects Specification
S.D. Rho
Cross-section random 2914.652 0.0573
Idiosyncratic random 11818.07 0.9427
Weighted Statistics
R-squared 0.814602 Mean dependent var 28055.73 Adjusted R-squared 0.807684 S.D. dependent var 31923.53 S.E. of regression 13999.68 Sum squared resid 2.63E+10 F-statistic 117.7541 Durbin-Watson stat 0.475772 Prob(F-statistic) 0.000000
Unweighted Statistics
R-squared 0.855853 Mean dependent var 41769.08 Sum squared resid 2.91E+10 Durbin-Watson stat 0.429603
Lampiran 2.6 Uji Hausman
Correlated Random Effects - Hausman Test Equation: Untitled
Test cross-section random effects
Test Summary
Chi-Sq.
Statistic Chi-Sq. d.f. Prob.
Cross-section random 59.038952 5 0.0000
Cross-section random effects test comparisons:
Variable Fixed Random Var(Diff.) Prob.
EKS 740.860101 1026.332098 53641.751560 0.2177
IMP
-1472.70909
2 -747.903008 79518.975385 0.0102
RM 0.750218 0.863646 0.004291 0.0833
FDI 2.007038 2.131345 0.005626 0.0975
ULN 0.248310 0.241894 0.000271 0.6966
xiii
Cross-section random effects test equation:
Dependent Variable: CD Method: Panel Least Squares Date: 12/26/19 Time: 09:40 Sample: 1998 2017
Periods included: 20 Cross-sections included: 7
Total panel (balanced) observations: 140
Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.
C 22757.35 6273.426 3.627578 0.0004 Cross-section fixed (dummy variables)
R-squared 0.911399 Mean dependent var 41769.08 Adjusted R-squared 0.903785 S.D. dependent var 38100.08 S.E. of regression 11818.07 Akaike info criterion 21.67446 Sum squared resid 1.79E+10 Schwarz criterion 21.92660 Log likelihood -1505.212 Hannan-Quinn criter. 21.77693 F-statistic 119.6987 Durbin-Watson stat 0.640406 Prob(F-statistic) 0.000000
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