Harga Tepung Terigu Domestik (Rp/Kg) - Lampiran 1. Definisi Variabel: Berdasarkan Susunan Alph

MTIJPN MTISGP MTIAUS MTRIDN MTIDN RPTIDN RPTPB RPTPE

2004 8044.98 19535.07 18569.79 62832 108982.00 222.34 368.15 2509.75 2577.33 2766.61

2005 8124.30 21217.94 18533.52 66114 113990.00 238.26 379.13 2786.58 2854.06 3005.14

2006 8135.84 21441.48 18201.93 69396 117175.00 253.35 389.54 2759.40 2827.21 2982.00

2007 8204.96 21577.49 18224.67 72678 120685.00 267.06 399.00 2843.76 2911.77 3054.89

2008 8324.32 21485.72 18404.45 75961 124175.00 279.16 407.34 2908.45 2976.77 3110.91

2009 8475.58 21416.74 18716.34 79242 127851.00 289.65 414.58 2982.10 3050.64 3174.59

2010 8654.30 21374.42 19113.92 82524 131667.00 298.67 420.80 3056.78 3125.55 3239.16

2011 8848.75 21356.64 19562.50 85807 135575.00 306.40 426.13 3130.58 3199.57 3302.96

2012 9053.90 21362.48 20044.78 89089 139550.00 313.04 430.71 3204.61 3273.82 3366.97

2013 9266.16 21387.40 20547.92 92371 143572.00 318.76 434.65 3277.76 3347.19 3430.21

2014 9482.35 21424.07 21064.20 95653 147624.00 323.72 438.07 3350.10 3419.75 3492.75

2015 9699.15 21458.68 21587.94 98935 151681.00 328.05 441.07 3421.49 3491.37 3554.49

392 Skenario 1. Kuota Impor Biji Gandu m sebesar 90 persen

Variable Nobs N Actual Predicted

Label

Mean Std Mean Std

XGUSA 12 12 1.0000

XGFRA 12 12 1.0000

XGCAN 12 12 1.0000

XGSOV 12 12 11.0000 style="display:block" data-ad-client="ca- data-ad-slot="9160272902" data-ad-format="auto" data-full-width-res

XGA US 12 12 1.0000

RPXGUSA 12 12 1.0000

RPXGFRA 12 12 1.0000

RPXGCA N 12 12 1.0000

RPXGSOV 12 12 1.0000

RPXGA US 12 12 1.0000

MGSOV 12 12 11.0000

MGITA 12 12 1.0000

MGBRA 12 12 1.0000

MGJPN 12 12 1.0000

MGDZA 12 12 1.0000

RPM GSOV 12 12 1.0000

RPM GITA 12 12 1.0000

RPM GBRA 12 12 1.0000

RPM GJPN 12 12 1.0000

RPM GDZA 12 12 1.0000

XTFRA 12 12 1.0000

XTBEL 12 12 1.0000

XTSOV 12 12 11.0000

XTTUR 12 12 1.0000

XTDEU

RPXTFRA 12 12 1.0000

RPXTBEL 12 12

RPXTSOV 12 12 1.0000

RPXTTUR 12 12 1.0000

RPXTDEU 12 12 1.0000

MTNLD 12 12 1.0000

MTLBY 12 12 1.0000

MTSOV 12 12 11.0000

MTUSA 12 12 1.0000

RPMTNLD 12 12 1.0000

RPMTLBY 12 12 1.0000

RPMTSOV 12 12 1.0000

RPMTUSA 12 12 1.0000

XGW 12 12

MGW 12

RPGW 12 12 1.0000

RPM GIDN 12 12 1.0000

XTW 12 12

MTW 12 12 7106880

RPXTW 12 12

RPMTIDN 12 12

RPTIDN 12 12

RPTPB 12 12 1.0000

RPTPE 12 12 1.0000 0 26018248 423966 Ekspor Gan USA

0 18084282 773134 Ekspor Gan France 0 16424217 726148 Ekspor Gan Canada 0 8873652 1802836 Ekspor Gan Soviet 0 17214063 883586 Ekspor Gan Australia 0 144.1504 0.8996 Hrg Ril Ex Gan USA 0 154.3271 1.0033 Hrg Ril Ex Gan France 0 152.0431 1.1450 Hrg Ril Ex Gan CA N 0 133.3015 13.7114 Hrg Ril Eks Gan Sov 0 138.5177 1.6675 Hrg Ril Ex Gan Australi 0 4737632 1312620 Impor Gan Soviet 0 5649484 195450 Impor Gan Italia 0 6379788 493641 Impor Gan Brasil 0 6006994 67818 Impor Gan Jepang 0 5183501 370227 Impor Gan A ljasair 0 127.8574 13.1514 Hrg Ril Imp Gan Sov 0 207.6620 2.2094 Hrg Ril Imp Gan ITA 0 136.7912 14.0703 Hrg Ril Imp Gan BRA 0 195.6363 0.3562 Hrg Ril Impor Gan JPN 0 163.3042 11.5940 Hrg Ril Impor Gan DZA 0 949276 86850 Ekspor Tep France 0 683059 17821 Ekspor Tepung Belgia 0 627712 35973 Ekspor Tep Soviet 0 595533 59665 Ekspor Tep Turki 12 12 1.0000 0 621604 18581 Ekspor Tep Jerman 0 236.1094 2.3504 Hrg Ril Ex Tep FRA 1.0000 0 272.6960 2.0254 Hrg Ril Ex Tep Belg ia 0 319.3194 38.9550 Hrg Ril Ekp Tep Sov 0 2725 838.1577 Hrg Ril Ex Tep Turki 0 263.0858 1.0529 Hrg Ril Ekp Tep DEU 0 397600 78795 Impor Tep Be landa 0 771858 76959 Impor Tep Libya 0 844609 45343 Impor Tep Soviet 0 252129 42699 Impor Tep USA 0 314.4687 2.9657 Hrg Ril Imp Tep NLD 0 283.0221 7.8017 Hrg Ril Imp Tep Libya 0 322.1300 38.1498 Hrg Ril Imp Tep Sov 0 332.7415 3.7856 Hrg Ril Imp Tep USA 16410078 2045938 103024525 2240640 Ekspor Gandum Dunia 12 72616271 1771354 103754484 1437417 Impor Gan Dunia 0 114.6102 11.7888 Hrg Ril Gan Dunia 0 341.1852 3.7558 Hrg Ril Imp Gan IDN 4198851 245330 7676019 221268 Ekspor Tep Dunia 275074 9429715 426869 Impor Tep Dunia 1.0000 0 286.8600 34.9952 Hrg Ril Ex Tep Dunia 1.0000 0 412.6521 24.1392 Hrg Ril Imp Tep IDN 1.0000 0 3028 255.1933 Hrg Ril Tep IDN 0 3097 256.0376 Hrg Ril Tep PB 0 3214 220.6988 Hrg Ril Tep PE

393 Variable Nobs N Label

Mean Std Mean Std

DTIM 12 12 1.0000 0 1263991 127357 De man Tep IM DTKM 12 12 1.0000 0 2304721 234842 De man Tep KM DTRT 12 12 1.0000 0 160198 15999 De man Tep RT DTRS 12 12 1.0000 0 184640 17894 De man Tep RS DTIDN 12 12 4.0000 0 3913550 396061 De man Tep Indonesia MTIJPN 12 12 1.0000 0 9758 641.5673 Imp Tep IDN dr JPN MTISGP 12 12 1.0000 0 27355 776.9246 Imp Tep IDN dr SGP MTIAUS 12 12 1.0000 0 19542 1098 Imp Tep IDN dr A US MTIDN 12 12 80886 11834 137539 14035 Impor Tep Indonesia MGIUSA 12 12 1.0000 0 361189 21063 Imp Gan IDN d r USA MGIAUS 12 12 1.0000 0 2166144 213215 Imp Gan IDN d r AUS MGICAN 12 12 1.0000 0 742181 34375 Imp Gan IDN d r CAN MGIDN 12 12 886825 94872 4067653 256996 Impor Gan Indonesia DGIDN 12 12 886825 94872 4067653 256996 De man Gan Indonesia DGM 12 12 684533 93923 3885591 244640 De man Gan Ma kanan QTIDN 12 12 0.7400 0 2875337 181033 Prod Tep Indonesia Skenario 2. Pela rangan Impor Tepung Terigu

XGUSA 12 12 1.0000 0 26054303 406914 Ekspor Gan USA

XGFRA 12 12 1.0000 0 18091131 776486 Ekspor Gan France

XGCAN 12 12 1.0000 0 16424903 726465 Ekspor Gan Canada

XGSOV 12 12 11.0000 0 8885442 1801990 Ekspor Gan Soviet

XGA US 12 12 1.0000 0 17214902 883980 Ekspor Gan Australia

RPXGUSA 12 12 1.0000 0 144.6792 1.0998 Hrg Ril Ex Gan USA

RPXGFRA 12 12 1.0000 0 154.8918 1.2194 Hrg Ril Ex Gan France

RPXGCA N 12 12 1.0000 0 152.7052 1.3763 Hrg Ril Ex Gan CA N

RPXGSOV 12 12 1.0000 0 141.0185 16.6649 Hrg Ril Eks Gan Sov

RPXGA US 12 12 1.0000 0 139.4562 2.0267 Hrg Ril Ex Gan Australi

MGSOV 12 12 11.0000 0 4737632 1312620 Impor Gan Soviet

MGITA 12 12 1.0000 0 5642107 199231 Impor Gan Italia

MGBRA 12 12 1.0000 0 6377090 492187 Impor Gan Brasil

MGJPN 12 12 1.0000 0 6006955 67834 Impor Gan Jepang

MGDZA 12 12 1.0000 0 5182506 369630 Impor Gan A ljasair

RPM GSOV 12 12 1.0000 0 135.2593 15.9843 Hrg Ril Imp Gan Sov

RPM GITA 12 12 1.0000 0 208.6848 2.5039 Hrg Ril Imp Gan ITA

RPM GBRA 12 12 1.0000 0 144.7103 17.1012 Hrg Ril Imp Gan BRA

RPM GJPN 12 12 1.0000 0 195.8368 0.4329 Hrg Ril Impor Gan JPN

RPM GDZA 12 12 1.0000 0 169.7677 14.3371 Hrg Ril Impor Gan DZA

XTFRA 12 12 1.0000 0 949252 86843 Ekspor Tep France

XTBEL 12 12 1.0000 0 683030 17832 Ekspor Tepung Belgia

XTSOV 12 12 11.0000 0 626940 35947 Ekspor Tep Soviet

XTTUR 12 12 1.0000 0 595533 59665 Ekspor Tep Turki

XTDEU 12 12 1.0000 0 621593 18575 Ekspor Tep Jerman

RPXTFRA 12 12 1.0000 0 235.9531 2.3998 Hrg Ril Ex Tep FRA

RPXTBEL 12 12 1.0000 0 272.4356 2.0564 Hrg Ril Ex Tep Belg ia

RPXTSOV 12 12 1.0000 0 312.6830 36.3657 Hrg Ril Ekp Tep Sov

RPXTTUR 12 12 1.0000 0 2671 810.3994 Hrg Ril Ex Tep Turki

RPXTDEU 12 12 1.0000 0 262.9540 0.9904 Hrg Ril Ekp Tep DEU

MTNLD 12 12 1.0000 0 397623 78805 Impor Tep Be landa

MTLBY 12 12 1.0000 0 772162 77072 Impor Tep Libya

MTSOV 12 12 11.0000 0 844609 45343 Impor Tep Soviet

MTUSA 12 12 1.0000 0 252225 42756 Impor Tep USA

RPMTNLD 12 12 1.0000 0 313.9635 2.7686 Hrg Ril Imp Tep NLD

394 RPMTLBY 12 12 1.0000 0 281.6930 7.2831 Hrg Ril Imp Tep Libya RPMTSOV 12 12 1.0000 0 315.8845 35.5566 Hrg Ril Imp Tep Sov RPMTUSA 12 12 1.0000 0 332.0966 3.5340 Hrg Ril Imp Tep USA XGW 12 12 16410078 2045938 103080744 2242968 Ekspor Gandum Dunia MGW 12 12 72616271 1771354 104596961 1563921 Impor Gan Dunia RPGW 12 12 1.0000 0 121.2453 14.3282 Hrg Ril Gan Dunia RPM GIDN 12 12 1.0000 0 342.9238 4.2565 Hrg Ril Imp Gan IDN XTW 12 12 4198851 245330 7675185 221350 Ekspor Tep Dunia MTW 12 12 7106880 275074 9292598 413886 Impor Tep Dunia RPXTW 12 12 1.0000 0 280.8983 32.6690 Hrg Ril Ex Tep Dunia RPMTIDN 12 12 1.0000 0 408.5398 22.5346 Hrg Ril Imp Tep IDN RPTIDN 12 12 1.0000 0 3009 280.0377 Hrg Ril Tep IDN RPTPB 12 12 1.0000 0 3078 280.8103 Hrg Ril Tep PB RPTPE 12 12 1.0000 0 3198 242.0523 Hrg Ril Tep PE DTIM 12 12 1.0000 0 1266287 125024 De man Tep IM DTKM 12 12 1.0000 0 2308904 230590 De man Tep KM DTRT 12 12 1.0000 0 160489 15703 De man Tep RT DTRS 12 12 1.0000 0 184987 17526 De man Tep RS DTIDN 12 12 4.0000 0 3920668 388812 De man Tep Indonesia MTIJPN 12 12 1.0000 0 0 0 Imp Tep IDN dr JPN MTISGP 12 12 1.0000 0 0 0 Imp Tep IDN dr SGP MTIAUS 12 12 1.0000 0 0 0 Imp Tep IDN dr A US MTIDN 12 12 1.0000 0 0 0 Impor Tep Indonesia MGIUSA 12 12 1.0000 0 477578 46581 Imp Gan IDN d r USA MGIAUS 12 12 1.0000 0 2506199 262245 Imp Gan IDN d r AUS MGICAN 12 12 1.0000 0 1050640 83421 Imp Gan IDN d r CAN MGIDN 12 12 886825 94872 4921240 362571 Impor Gan Indonesia DGIDN 12 12 886825 94872 4921240 362571 De man Gan Indonesia DGM 12 12 684533 93923 4718948 349444 De man Gan Ma kanan QTIDN 12 12 0.7400 0 3492022 258589 Prod Tep Indonesia Skenario 3. Pengenaan Tarif Bea Masuk Impor Biji Gandum sebesar 5 persen

XGUSA 12 12 1.0000 0 26036808 416467 Ekspor Gan USA

XGFRA 12 12 1.0000 0 18087812 774618 Ekspor Gan France

XGCAN 12 12 1.0000 0 16424575 726308 Ekspor Gan Canada

XGSOV 12 12 11.0000 0 8879444 1803270 Ekspor Gan Soviet

XGA US 12 12 1.0000 0 17214495 883759 Ekspor Gan Australia

RPXGUSA 12 12 1.0000 0 144.4226 0.9829 Hrg Ril Ex Gan USA

RPXGFRA 12 12 1.0000 0 154.6168 1.0939 Hrg Ril Ex Gan France

RPXGCA N 12 12 1.0000 0 152.3831 1.2403 Hrg Ril Ex Gan CA N

RPXGSOV 12 12 1.0000 0 137.2613 14.9499 Hrg Ril Eks Gan Sov

RPXGA US 12 12 1.0000 0 138.9993 1.8181 Hrg Ril Ex Gan Australi

MGSOV 12 12 11.0000 0 4737632 1312620 Impor Gan Soviet

MGITA 12 12 1.0000 0 5645640 197308 Impor Gan Italia

MGBRA 12 12 1.0000 0 6378392 492981 Impor Gan Brasil

MGJPN 12 12 1.0000 0 6006975 67828 Impor Gan Jepang

MGDZA 12 12 1.0000 0 5182983 369949 Impor Gan A ljasair

RPM GSOV 12 12 1.0000 0 131.6555 14.3393 Hrg Ril Imp Gan Sov

RPM GITA 12 12 1.0000 0 208.1912 2.3132 Hrg Ril Imp Gan ITA

RPM GBRA 12 12 1.0000 0 140.8548 15.3413 Hrg Ril Imp Gan BRA

RPM GJPN 12 12 1.0000 0 195.7392 0.3883 Hrg Ril Impor Gan JPN

RPM GDZA 12 12 1.0000 0 166.6318 12.7659 Hrg Ril Impor Gan DZA

XTFRA 12 12 1.0000 0 949274 86849 Ekspor Tep France

395 Variable Nobs N Label

Mean Std Mean Std

XTBEL 12 12 1.0000 0 683057 17822 Ekspor Tepung Belgia XTSOV 12 12 11.0000 0 627674 35968 Ekspor Tep Soviet XTTUR 12 12 1.0000 0 595533 59665 Ekspor Tep Turki XTDEU 12 12 1.0000 0 621603 18581 Ekspor Tep Jerman RPXTFRA 12 12 1.0000 0 236.1013 2.3528 Hrg Ril Ex Tep FRA RPXTBEL 12 12 1.0000 0 272.6825 2.0270 Hrg Ril Ex Tep Belg ia RPXTSOV 12 12 1.0000 0 318.9756 38.8366 Hrg Ril Ekp Tep Sov RPXTTUR 12 12 1.0000 0 2723 836.7978 Hrg Ril Ex Tep Turki RPXTDEU 12 12 1.0000 0 263.0790 1.0499 Hrg Ril Ekp Tep DEU MTNLD 12 12 1.0000 0 397601 78796 Impor Tep Be landa MTLBY 12 12 1.0000 0 771874 76965 Impor Tep Libya MTSOV 12 12 11.0000 0 844609 45343 Impor Tep Soviet MTUSA 12 12 1.0000 0 252134 42702 Impor Tep USA RPMTNLD 12 12 1.0000 0 314.4426 2.9567 Hrg Ril Imp Tep NLD RPMTLBY 12 12 1.0000 0 282.9533 7.7780 Hrg Ril Imp Tep Libya RPMTSOV 12 12 1.0000 0 321.8061 38.0296 Hrg Ril Imp Tep Sov RPMTUSA 12 12 1.0000 0 332.7081 3.7741 Hrg Ril Imp Tep USA XGW 12 12 16410078 2045938 103053198 2241506 Ekspor Gandum Dunia MGW 12 12 72616271 1771354 104178272 1460572 Impor Gan Dunia RPGW 12 12 1.0000 0 118.0149 12.8536 Hrg Ril Gan Dunia RPM GIDN 12 12 1.0000 0 359.1890 4.1289 Hrg Ril Imp Gan IDN XTW 12 12 4198851 245330 7675977 221277 Ekspor Tep Dunia MTW 12 12 7106880 275074 9422725 426706 Impor Tep Dunia RPXTW 12 12 1.0000 0 286.5512 34.8888 Hrg Ril Ex Tep Dunia RPMTIDN 12 12 1.0000 0 412.4391 24.0658 Hrg Ril Imp Tep IDN RPTIDN 12 12 1.0000 0 3034 270.4516 Hrg Ril Tep IDN RPTPB 12 12 1.0000 0 3103 271.2399 Hrg Ril Tep PB RPTPE 12 12 1.0000 0 3220 233.8028 Hrg Ril Tep PE DTIM 12 12 1.0000 0 1263389 125908 De man Tep IM DTKM 12 12 1.0000 0 2303626 232202 De man Tep KM DTRT 12 12 1.0000 0 160122 15816 De man Tep RT DTRS 12 12 1.0000 0 184549 17673 De man Tep RS DTIDN 12 12 4.0000 0 3911686 391568 De man Tep Indonesia MTIJPN 12 12 1.0000 0 8742 574.6193 Imp Tep IDN dr JPN MTISGP 12 12 1.0000 0 21536 586.5960 Imp Tep IDN dr SGP MTIAUS 12 12 1.0000 0 19364 1163 Imp Tep IDN dr A US MTIDN 12 12 80886 11834 130527 13753 Impor Tep Indonesia MGIUSA 12 12 1.0000 0 394119 24070 Imp Gan IDN d r USA MGIAUS 12 12 1.0000 0 2401452 237188 Imp Gan IDN d r AUS MGICAN 12 12 1.0000 0 814826 37256 Imp Gan IDN d r CAN MGIDN 12 12 886825 94872 4497219 285250 Impor Gan Indonesia DGIDN 12 12 886825 94872 4497219 285250 De man Gan Indonesia DGM 12 12 684533 93923 4294927 271504 De man Gan Ma kanan QTIDN 12 12 0.7400 0 3178246 200913 Prod Tep Indonesia Skenario 4. Pengenaan Tarif Bea Masuk Impor Tepung Terigu sebesar 5 persen

XGUSA 12 12 1.0000 0 26037758 416049 Ekspor Gan USA

XGFRA 12 12 1.0000 0 18087993 774701 Ekspor Gan France

XGCAN 12 12 1.0000 0 16424594 726316 Ekspor Gan Canada

XGSOV 12 12 11.0000 0 8879743 1803270 Ekspor Gan Soviet

XGA US 12 12 1.0000 0 17214517 883769 Ekspor Gan Australia

RPXGUSA 12 12 1.0000 0 144.4366 0.9877 Hrg Ril Ex Gan USA

RPXGFRA 12 12 1.0000 0 154.6317 1.0991 Hrg Ril Ex Gan France

396 RPXGCA N 12 12 1.0000 0 152.4005 1.2457 Hrg Ril Ex Gan CA N

Dalam dokumen Lampiran 1. Definisi Variabel: Berdasarkan Susunan Alphabetis (Halaman 174-179)