Week's. IHSG on the Week (10/03/ /10/14) 4, , , /6/ /7/ /8/ /9/ /10/2014

(1)

Weekly Trading Plan

Monday, October 13

th

₂₀₁₄

Analyst: Lanjar Nafi, 021-57905455 ext.214

4962.96

13.61

122.14 0.28%

-0.12

Vol (Mn):

24 -0.10%

Val (Bn):

23 F Net B (Bn):

(1,086)

Weekly LS-27

Weekly IHSG

International

Last

WoW Chg

(%)

DJIA

16,544.10

-465.59

-2.74%

Nasdaq

4,276.24

-199.38

-4.45%

S&P 500

1,906.13

-61.77

-3.14%

FTSE 100

6,339.97

-187.94

-2.88%

Nikkei 225

15,300.55

-408.10

-2.60%

Hang Seng

23,088.54

23.98 0.10%

STI

3,228.5

-24.70

-0.76%

Exchange Rates

Last

WoW Chg

(%)

USD / IDR

12225

5.50 0.05%

US $ Index

85.68 -0.95

-1.10%

EUR / USD

1.2600

0.01 0.80%

USD / JPY

107.22 -2.28

-2.08%

GBP / USD

1.6115

0.01 0.86%

USD / CNY

6.126 -0.01

-0.19%

AUD / USD

0.8727

0.00 0.46%

Others

Last

WoW Chg

(%)

S&P 500 Vlty (VIX)

21.24

5.08 31.44%

Baltic Dry

963.00 -74.00

-7.14%

Sector

Last

WoW Chg

(%)

Agriculture

2022.98

-8.01

-0.39%

Mining

1468.63

-25.80

-1.73%

Basic Industry

508.88

4.83 0.96%

Misc Industry

1165.28

-13.22

-1.12%

Consumer

2080.28

-1.67

-0.08%

Property

438.12

8.67 2.02%

Infrastructure

1147.52

-2.62

-0.23%

Finance

675.87

10.60 1.59%

Trade

905.16 -5.70

-0.63%

Composite

4962.96

13.61 0.28%

Recommendation Flashback

Stock

Rec.

10/03/2014

(close)

Stop Loss Loss

Week's

Highest

Date

Potential

Gain

Week's

Lowest

Date

Potential

Gain

your

reliable

partner

1 relitrade.com

ASII

TB

6600

6400

-3.0%

6825

10/7/2014

3.4%

6500

10/10/2014

-1.5%

CTRP

TB

700

680 -2.9%

725 10/7/2014

3.6%

685 10/10/2014

-2.1%

ACES

SB

845

815 -3.6%

880 10/7/2014

4.1%

815 10/10/2014

-3.6%

INCO

TB

3560

3450

-3.1%

3780

10/7/2014

6.2%

3635

10/6/2014

2.1%

LS-27 Close

124.09

125.42

122.3

123.22

122.14 LS-27 % Chg

LS-27 % Chg

1.50%

1.07%

-2.49%

0.75%

-0.88%

Frgn Net Buy (Bn)

(95)

104.39 -233.13

-241.45

-620.3

28.65

229.82 -110.85

-118.22

-498.17

3.89

4.63

5.32 _4.60

4.45

3.86

5.46

5.27 _5.24

4.01 5,000.14

5,032.84

_4,958.52

4,993.88

4,962.96

3,000.00

3,500.00

4,000.00

4,500.00

5,000.00

5,500.00

10/6/2014

10/7/2014

10/8/2014

10/9/2014

10/10/2014

Value (Bn) Volu me (Mn ) IHSG

1.03%

0.65%

-1.03%

-2.73%

-1.48%

(2)

Weekly Trading Plan

Weekly Technical Review

IHSG

S1

4909

R1

5000

S1

4909

R1

5000

S2

4830

R2

5092

S3

4768

R3

5226

Comment:

IHSG sideways significantly after pulled back at MA7 resistance. Trading range

4925-5048. By the first session today, The index forming a southern star at support level.

It’s a rebound signal.

Stochastic has consolidations movement at near oversold state, broad golden-cross

potential. Relative Strength Index Indicator shows bearish momentum at the oversold

oscillator.

For the medium term, The index has arrived at corrections wave A target and

potentially make a new wave it’s a corrections wave B. The wave having ideal target at

5060 - 5130.

Medium term bearish movement.

This week resistance level at 5000, if break out the resistance level, probability upward

to 5060. Stop-loss level 4900 (Break out support level).

(3)

Weekly Trading Plan

Sector Index Highlight

CONSUMER

your

reliable

partner

3 relitrade.com

S1

2050

R1

2130

S2

1977

R2

2200

S3

1923

R3

2255

Comment:

The consumer Index decline significantly last week after break out with the MA50

support level. Trading range 2053 - 2094.

By the first session today, The index has consolidations after forming a bullish

engulfing with huge volume. It’s a positive signal.

Stochastic, golden-cross at oversold state, broad upside potential. RSI have

consolidations momentum at the near oversold oscillator.

The index has rebounded at lower Bollinger bands, signaling an upward to the upper

band.

Long term and medium term bullish movement.

This week has a resistance level at 2095 (MA50 resistance level), if the Index breaks out

at this level, it will potentially continue to 2130 (upper Bollinger bands resistance level).

Stop-loss level at 2040 (break out support level).

(4)

Weekly Trading Plan

Stock Highlight

AISA

S1

2050

R1

2145

S2

1965

R2

2260

S3

1855

R3

2365

Comment:

AISA decline significantly after break out with the bullish trend line support level last

week. Trading range 2045 - 2210.

By the first session this week, The candle has forming a bullish engulfing. It’s a reversal

signal. For the medium term the index have positive pattern, it’s a The bullish gartley

harmonic pattern.

Stochastic, golden-crossed at oversold state, broad upside potential. RSI have a bullish

reversal momentum at oversold oscillator. The volatility of Index has rebounded at

lower Bollinger bands.

Medium term bearish movement.

Upside scenario: (Probability 80%)

If the price break out the resistance level at 2140, Upside potential at 2300 (MA25

resistance level) until 2390 (Bullish garley harmonic pattern target and MA50 resistance

level).

Downside scenario: (Probability 20%)

(5)

Weekly Trading Plan

Stock Highlight

ROTI

your

reliable

partner

5 relitrade.com

S1

1070

R1

1150

S2

990 R2

1220

S3

920 R3

1320

Comment:

ROTI decline significantly after pulled back at the bearish trend line resistance level last

week. Trading range 1045 - 1110.

By the first session this week, The candle has confirmations a dragonfly doji. It’s a

reversal signal.

Stochastic, golden-crossed at oversold state, broad upside potential. RSI have a bullish

reversal momentum at oversold oscillator. The volatility of Index has rebounded at

lower Bollinger bands.

Medium term bearish movement.

Upside scenario: (Probability 80%)

If the price break out the resistance level at 1150 (bearish trend resistance level),

Upside potential at 1175 (MA200 resistance level).

Downside scenario: (Probability 20%)

Stop loss level at 1050 (Break out support level). Do a tight stop loss on this level. If a

break down appeared, the price will potentially continue to 990.

(6)

Weekly Trading Plan

RESEARCH DIVISION

Jasa Adhi Mulya

Robertus Yanuar Hardy

Lanjar Nafi Taulat I

Hansen Teguh

Aji Setiawan

Alan Milgerry

Pieter Djatmiko

HEAD OFFICE

Reliance Building

Jl. Pluit Kencana No. 15A,

Pluit Penjaringan

Jakarta 14450

T +62 21 661 7768

F +62 21 661 9884

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Ruko Centro Residence Kav. 4-5

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Disclaimer

Disclaimer:

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Jl. MT. Haryono, Gunung Bahagia Balikpapan Selatan 76114 T +62 542 746313-16 F +62 542 746317

POJOK BURSA & GALERI INVESTASI

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