Daily
Price Action
Monday, April 8
th
2013
4926.07
3.46
830.66
0.07%
0.53
Vol (Mn):
5,326
0.06%
Val (Bn):
5,495
IHSG
LQ-45
LQ-45
LQ-45
LQ-45
Sector Indices
Last
Change
Change %
Agriculture
1971.05
(0.52)
(0.03)
Mining
1815.09
(0.42)
(0.02)
Basic Industry
607.56
(0.82)
(0.13)
Misc Industry
1355.15
(7.24)
(0.53)
Consumer
1778.13
7.95
0.45
Property
449.90
5.84
1.32
Infrastructure
1023.49
(17.08)
(1.64)
Finance
658.44
6.08
0.93
Trade
881.34
(1.33)
(0.15)
Manufacture
1267.31
0.02
0.00
Source: IQ Plus
Most Active
Last
Change %
Freq
LMPI
300
(1.6)
21,475
WICO
143
34.9
3,467
BMTR
2,250
(1.1)
3,387
BNII
420
(1.2)
3,265
BKSL
285
1.8
3,163
Most Volume
Last
Change %
000 Lot
ENRG
123
2.5
1,295
BKSL
285
1.8
447
ELTY
54
(3.6)
371
TRAM
1,390
(0.7)
315
PWON
365
(1.4)
279
Most Value
Last
Change %
Rp Bil
BBNI
5,050
4.1
225
TRAM
1,390
(0.7)
220
ASII
7,650
(0.6)
186
SMGR
17,800
0.0
175
PGAS
5,600
(3.4)
168
IHSG Technical Review
R3
5126
R2
5046
R1
4973
Last
4926.07
S1
4873
S2
4792
S3
4729
Comment:
Sideways tendency, moderate
trading volume.
Stochastic
on
bearish
momentum, 3 days downside
potential.
ADX, short term downward
movement.
Bill William, deceleration phase,
1
stday negative momentum.
Fractal (4985-4721.
Long term bullish movement.
Elliot, moving toward the (A)
corrective wave, target level
4828. Stop-loss 4900.
Daily
Price Action
Chart Pick
SMRA
R3
2600
R2
2500
R1
2300
Last
2250
S1
2100
S2
1950
S3
1800
SPECULATIVE BUY
Comment:
Bullish
harami,
significant
trading volume.
Stochastic
oversold
state,
golden cross indication, broad
upside potential
Candle
has
reached
lower
Bollinger band, there is a huge
upside pressure
Long term bullish movement.
Stop-loss level 2150, upside
target 2500
2
your
reliable
partner
2
SSIA
R3
1710
R2
1620
R1
1560
Last
1560
S1
1480
S2
1420
S3
1330
SPECULATIVE BUY
Comment:
Spinning bottom, low trading
volume.
Stochastic is at oversold state,
Golden cross, broad upside
potential.
Long term bullish movement.
Stop-loss level 1520, upside
target 1620
Recommended
buying
price
1540
Daily
Price Action
Chart Pick
AKRA
R3
5700
R2
5500
R1
5150
Last
4950
S1
4900
S2
4675
S3
4475
SPECULATIVE BUY
Comment:
Bullish harami cross, dragonfly
doji, low trading volume.
Stochastic,
oversold
state.
Broad upside potential.
Long term bullish movement.
Stop-loss 4850, upside target
5350.
Maximum
bullish
tolerance
level 4675.
MAPI
R3
9650
R2
9100
R1
8650
Last
8450
S1
8250
S2
7900
S3
7500
SPECULATIVE BUY
Comment:
Piercing line, significant trading
volume.
Stochastic is at oversold state,
Golden cross, broad upside
potential.
Long term bullish movement.
Stop-loss level 8250, upside
target 9100
Recommended
buying
price
8350.
Daily
Price Action
Technical Stocks Matrix
Closing
Closing
Closing
Closing
Stop
Stop
Stop
Stop
Rec
Rec
Rec
Rec
Target
Target
Target
Target
Curr.
Curr.
Curr.
Curr.
Curr.
Curr.
Curr.
Curr.
S2
S2
S2
S2
S1
S1
S1
S1
Price
Price
Price
Price
R1
R1
R1
R1
R2
R2
R2
R2
Technical Notes
Technical Notes
Technical Notes
Technical Notes
Rec
Rec
Rec
Rec
Loss
Loss
Loss
Loss
Buy Prc
Buy Prc
Buy Prc
Buy Prc
Price
Price
Price
Price
P/E (x)
P/E (x)
P/E (x)
P/E (x)
P/B (x)
P/B (x)
P/B (x)
P/B (x)
Plantation
Plantation
Plantation
Plantation
AALI
AALI
AALI
AALI
17,800
18,450
18,450
18,450
18,450
18,450
19,300
20,100
Sideways
W
W
W
W
18000
13.0
3.4
BWPT
BWPT
BWPT
BWPT
1,130
1,200
1,280
1,280
1,280
1,280
1,290
1,370
Spinning bottom
SB
SB
SB
SB
1250
1260
1370
16.7
3.2
Mining
Mining
Mining
Mining
ADRO
ADRO
ADRO
ADRO
1,180
1,260
1,290
1,290
1,290
1,290
1,340
1,430
Bearish momentum
W
W
W
W
1280
9.8
1.4
INCO
INCO
INCO
INCO
2,075
2,300
2,450
2,450
2,450
2,450
2,500
2,700
Overbought
PS
PS
PS
PS
2400
2500
9.7
1.5
PTBA
PTBA
PTBA
PTBA
13,850
14,550
15,050
15,050
15,050
15,050
15,300
16,000
Bearish breakaway
S
SS
S
15000
11.8
4.1
Consumer
Consumer
Consumer
Consumer
ICBP
ICBP
ICBP
ICBP
9,250
9,900
10,400
10,400
10,400
10,400
10,600
11,200
Overbought
PS
PS
PS
PS
9900
27.5
5.3
MYOR
MYOR
MYOR
MYOR
27,500
28,550
29,500
29,500
29,500
29,500
29,800
31,450
Overbought
H
H
H
H
29000
29800
26.8
5.1
KLBF
KLBF
KLBF
KLBF
1,140
1,230
1,230
1,230
1,230
1,230
1,330
1,400
Southern star
TB
TB
TB
TB
1230
1330
35.8
9.7
Trading Trading Trading TradingACES
ACES
ACES
ACES
780
830
860
860
860
860
880
930
Bearish momentum
S
SS
S
850
41.9
1.0
AKRA
AKRA
AKRA
AKRA
4,675
4,850
4,950
4,950
4,950
4,950
5,100
5,350
Dragonfly doji
SB
SB
SB
SB
4850
5350
29.7
4.5
MAPI
MAPI
MAPI
MAPI
7,900
8,250
8,450
8,450
8,450
8,450
8,650
9,100
Piercing line
SB
SB
SB
SB
8250
8350
9100
38.9
7.8
MNCN
MNCN
MNCN
MNCN
2,850
3,050
3,075
3,075
3,075
3,075
3,275
3,475
Breaks resistance
B
BB
B
3050
3275
27.5
6.4
Property & Property & Property & Property & Construction ConstructionConstruction Construction
ASRI
ASRI
ASRI
ASRI
915
990
1,020
1,020
1,020
1,020
1,060
1,130
Sideways
SB
SB
SB
SB
990
1010
1130
20.0
4.8
SMRA
SMRA
SMRA
SMRA
1,950
2,100
2,250
2,250
2,250
2,250
2,300
2,500
Bullish harami
SB
SB
SB
SB
2150
2250
2500
25.1
5.2
BSDE
BSDE
BSDE
BSDE
1,570
1,630
1,640
1,640
1,640
1,640
1,720
1,780
Spinning bottom
SB
SB
SB
SB
1610
1620
1780
31.8
2.9
WIKA
WIKA
WIKA
WIKA
1,850
2,000
2,125
2,125
2,125
2,125
2,125
2,275
Overbought
TB
TB
TB
TB
2000
2200
26.8
4.7
KIJA
KIJA
KIJA
KIJA
250
270
280
280
280
280
290
300
Oversold
W
W
W
W
265
14.8
1.5
Stocks
Stocks
Stocks
Stocks
4
your
reliable
partner
4
Source : Reliance Securities
Legend :
B: BUY (allocate till 100% of the weighted capital to accumulate, higher than 50% upside probability) SB: SPECULATIVE BUY (allocate 25%-50% of the weighted capital to accumulate, 25%-50% upside probability) W: WAIT (wait for proper entry level, do the stop-loss if necessary)
H: HOLD (hold the portfolio position, aim for the best price to distribute)
PS: PARTIAL SELL (distribute 25%-50% part of the portfolio, 25%-50% downside probability) S: SELL (distribute till 100% of the portfolio, higher than 50% downside probability)
TB: TRADING BUY (short term or intraday trading within a tight trading range. Highly speculative).
Analyst Conclusion:
The index entered the (A) corrective wave rail, distribute immediately..
Basic Industry &Basic Industry & Basic Industry & Basic Industry &
Chemical ChemicalChemical Chemical
CPIN
CPIN
CPIN
CPIN
4325.0
4,500
4,775
4,775
4,775
4,775
4,800
5,100
Bearish momentum
S
SS
S
4700
7.3
2.3
SMGR
SMGR
SMGR
SMGR
16,150
17,350
17,800
17,800
17,800
17,800
18,150
19,050
Bearish continuation
S
SS
S
17550
16.4
3.9
SMCB
SMCB
SMCB
SMCB
3,625
3,850
3,950
3,950
3,950
3,950
3,950
4,150
New high
TB
TB
TB
TB
3850
3875
4150
24.9
3.8
Miscelaneous Miscelaneous Miscelaneous MiscelaneousASII
ASII
ASII
ASII
7,150
7,400
7,650
7,650
7,650
7,650
7,700
7,950
Bearish continuation
S
SS
S
7600
15.8
0.4
Finance Finance Finance Finance
BBNI
BBNI
BBNI
BBNI
4,700
4,900
5,050
5,050
5,050
5,050
5,150
5,300
Stoch golden cross
TB
TB
TB
TB
4950
5150
9.0
2.2
BBRI
BBRI
BBRI
BBRI
8,000
8,400
8,500
8,500
8,500
8,500
8,800
9,200
Oversold
W
W
W
W
8350
11.2
3.2
BBTN
BBTN
BBTN
BBTN
1,540
1,610
1,620
1,620
1,620
1,620
1,680
1,750
Bearish continuation
S
SS
S
1600
7.6
1.8
Infrastructure Infrastructure Infrastructure InfrastructureJSMR
JSMR
JSMR
JSMR
5,550
5,850
6,150
6,150
6,150
6,150
6,150
6,400
Gap down
S
SS
S
6100
24.0
4.4
EXCL
EXCL
EXCL
EXCL
5,000
5,450
5,700
5,700
5,700
5,700
6,000
6,450
Sideways
PS
PS
PS
PS
5500
17.6
3.1
PGAS
PGAS
PGAS
PGAS
5,250
5,500
5,600
5,600
5,600
5,600
5,800
6,150
Gap down
W
W
W
W
5500
22.9
7.9
Daily
Price Action
HEAD OFFICE
HEAD OFFICE
HEAD OFFICE
HEAD OFFICE
Reliance Building
Reliance Building
Reliance Building
Reliance Building
Jl. Pluit Kencana No. 15A,
Pluit Penjaringan
Jakarta 14450
T
T
T
T +62 21 661 7768
F
F
F
F +62 21 661 9884
RESEARCH DIVISION
RESEARCH DIVISION
RESEARCH DIVISION
RESEARCH DIVISION
Jasa Adhi Mulya
Jasa Adhi Mulya
Jasa Adhi Mulya
Jasa Adhi Mulya
jasa@reliance-securities.com
Wilson Sofan
Wilson Sofan
Wilson Sofan
Wilson Sofan
wilson.sofan@reliance-securities.com
Monchita W.P
Monchita W.P
Monchita W.P
Monchita W.P
monchita@reliance-securities.com
Christine Natasya
Christine Natasya
Christine Natasya
Christine Natasya
christine.natasya@reliance-securities.com
EQUITY DIVISIONEQUITY DIVISIONEQUITY DIVISION EQUITY DIVISION Jakarta JakartaJakarta Jakarta--- Pluit-PluitPluitPluit
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T + 62 21 5793 0008 F + 62 21 5793 0010
Jakarta Jakarta Jakarta
Jakarta –––– KebonKebonKebonKebon JerukJerukJerukJeruk Plaza Kebon Jeruk Jl.Raya Perjuangan Blok A/2 Jakarta 11530 T + 62 21 532 4074 F + 62 21 536 2157 BSD BSDBSD BSD
Jl. Pahlawan Seribu Ruko BSD Sektor 7 Blok RK kav. 9 Tangerang 15310 T + 62 21 5387495 F + 62 21 5387494
Jakarta Jakarta Jakarta
Jakarta –––– Green VilleGreen VilleGreen VilleGreen Ville
Ruko Taman Ratu D 11 No. 19 C
Bandung Bandung Bandung Bandung Jl.Cisangkuy No.58 Bandung 40115 T + 62 22 721 8200 F + 62 22 721 9255 Tasikmalaya Tasikmalaya Tasikmalaya Tasikmalaya
Ruko Tasik Indah Plaza No. 21 Jl. KHZ Mustofa No. 345 Tasikmalaya 46121 T + 62 265 345000 F + 62 265 345003 Yogyakarta Yogyakarta Yogyakarta Yogyakarta
Jl. Juadi No. 1 Kotabaru Yogyakarta 55224 T + 62 274 550 123 F + 62 274 551 121 Surakarta Surakarta Surakarta Surakarta
Jl. Slamet Riyadi 330A Solo 57145 T + 62 271 733480 F + 62 271 733478 Malang Malang Malang Malang Jl. Guntur No. 19 Malang 65112 Surabaya SurabayaSurabaya Surabaya ---- GubengGubengGubengGubeng Jl. Bangka No. 22 Surabaya 60281 T + 62 31 501 1128 F + 62 31 503 3196 Surabaya SurabayaSurabaya
Surabaya –––– DiponegoroDiponegoroDiponegoroDiponegoro Jl. Diponegoro 141-143 Surabaya 60264 T + 62 31 567 0388 F + 62 31 561 0528 Denpasar DenpasarDenpasar Denpasar
Dewata Square Blok A3 Jl. Letda Tantular Renon Denpasar 802361 T + 62 361 225099 F + 62 361 245099 Pontianak PontianakPontianak Pontianak
Jl. Gajah Mada No. 59 Pontianak 78121 T. +62 561 749558 F. +62 561 746284 Balikpapan BalikpapanBalikpapan Balikpapan
Jl. Jend. Sudirman No. 51A
Makassar Makassar Makassar Makassar
Jl. Boto Lempangan No. 34 J Makassar 90113 T + 62 411 3632388 F + 62 411 3614634 Pekanbaru Pekanbaru Pekanbaru Pekanbaru
Jl. Sumatera No. 9, Simpang Empat Pekanbaru - Riau 28000 T + 62 761 7894368 F + 62 761 7894370 Medan Medan Medan Medan
Jl. Teuku Amir Hamzah No.26 T + 62 61 6633065 F + 62 61 6617597
Ruko Taman Ratu D 11 No. 19 C Duri Kepa, Green Ville Jakarta 11510 T + 62 21 56945227 F + 62 21 56945226 Malang 65112 T + 62 341 347 611 F + 62 341 347 615
Jl. Jend. Sudirman No. 51A Balikpapan 76114 T + 62 542 746313-16 F + 62 542 746317
POJOK BURSA & GALERI INVESTASI POJOK BURSA & GALERI INVESTASI POJOK BURSA & GALERI INVESTASI POJOK BURSA & GALERI INVESTASI
UPN “Veteran” Jakarta UPN “Veteran” Jakarta UPN “Veteran” Jakarta UPN “Veteran” Jakarta Jl. RS Fatmawati, Pondok Labu Jakarta 12450 T + 62 21 7656971 ext. 197 F + 62 21 7656971 ext. 138 President University President University President University President University
Resto Plaza 1F - Jababeka Education Park Jl. Ki Hajar Dewantara Raya
Cikarang - Bekasi 17550 T + 62 21 89106030
Universitas Siliwangi Tasikmalaya Universitas Siliwangi Tasikmalaya Universitas Siliwangi Tasikmalaya Universitas Siliwangi Tasikmalaya Jl. Siliwangi No. 24
Tasikmalaya 46151 T + 62 265 323685 F + 62 265 323534
Universitas Kristen Duta Wacana Universitas Kristen Duta Wacana Universitas Kristen Duta Wacana Universitas Kristen Duta Wacana Jl. Wahidin Sudiro Husodo Yogyakarta 55224 T + 62 274 563 929 F + 62 274 513 235
UPN "Veteran" Yogyakarta UPN "Veteran" Yogyakarta UPN "Veteran" Yogyakarta UPN "Veteran" Yogyakarta Jl. Babarsari 2, Tambak Bayan Yogyakarta
T + 62 274 485268 F + 62 274 487147
STIE "AUB" Surakarta STIE "AUB" Surakarta STIE "AUB" Surakarta STIE "AUB" Surakarta Jl. Mr. Sartono 97, Cengklik Nusukan, Surakarta 57135 T + 62 271 854803 F + 62 271 853084 Universitas Surabaya Universitas Surabaya Universitas Surabaya Universitas Surabaya Jl. Raya Kalirungkut Surabaya 60293 T + 62 31 298 1203 F + 62 31 298 1204
Universitas Muhammadiyah Gresik Universitas Muhammadiyah Gresik Universitas Muhammadiyah Gresik Universitas Muhammadiyah Gresik Jl. Sumatra 101 GKB
Gresik 61121 T + 62 31 395 1414 F + 62 31 395 2585
Universitas Negeri Malang Universitas Negeri Malang Universitas Negeri Malang Universitas Negeri Malang Jl. Surabaya No. 6 Malang 65145 T + 62 341 585914 F + 62 341 552888
Universitas Muhammadiyah Malang Universitas Muhammadiyah Malang Universitas Muhammadiyah Malang Universitas Muhammadiyah Malang Jl. Raya Tlogomas 246 Malang 65144 T + 62 341 464318-9 F + 62 341 460782 Universitas Brawijaya Universitas Brawijaya Universitas Brawijaya Universitas Brawijaya Jl. Veteran Malang 65145 T + 62 341 551611, 575777 F + 62 341 565420 STIE Malangkucecwara STIE Malangkucecwara STIE Malangkucecwara STIE Malangkucecwara Jl. Terusan Candi Kalasan Malang 65142 T + 62 341 491813 F + 62 341 495619 Universitas Jember Universitas Jember Universitas Jember Universitas Jember Jl. Jawa No. 17 Jember 68121 T + 62 331 330732 F + 62 331 326419 STIESIA Surabaya STIESIA Surabaya STIESIA Surabaya STIESIA Surabaya Jl. Menur Pumpungan 30 Surabaya T + 62 31 5947505 F + 62 31 5932218 Universitas 17 Agustus 1945 Universitas 17 Agustus 1945 Universitas 17 Agustus 1945 Universitas 17 Agustus 1945 Banyuwangi Jl. Adi Sucipto 26 Banyuwangi, Jawa Timur T + 62 333 419613 F + 62 333 419163
Disclaimer
Disclaimer
Disclaimer
Disclaimer::::
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sumber-sumber yang dianggap terpercaya dan dapat diandalkan. Dokumen ini bukan merupakan penawaran, invitasi atau representasi
dalam bentuk apapun untuk pengambilan keputusan membeli maupun menjual saham. Keputusan investasi yang diambil
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Universitas Tanjungpura Pontianak Universitas Tanjungpura Pontianak Universitas Tanjungpura Pontianak Universitas Tanjungpura Pontianak Jl. Jendral Ahmad Yani
Pontianak 78124 T + 62 561 743465 F + 62 561 766840