Daily Price Action. relitrade.com. IHSG Technical Review. your reliable partner IHSG

(1)

Daily

Price Action

Monday, March 11

th

₂₀₁₃

4874.50

26.19

837.28 0.54%

4.97 Vol (Mn):

9,224

0.60%

Val (Bn):

7,839

IHSG

LQ-45

Most Active

Last

Change %

Freq

SPMA

315 (11.3)

25,112

BHIT

530

3.9 7,312

PWON

365 1.4 3,596

KLBF

1,330

0.8 3,434

IATA

215

12.6 3,229

Most Volume

Last

Change %

000 Lot

Sector Indices

Last

Change Change

%

Agriculture

2008.95

(4.65)

(0.23)

Mining

1926.49

21.72

1.14 Basic Industry

590.54

3.72

0.63 Misc Industry

1439.25

16.16

1.14 Consumer

1732.83

2.61

0.15 Property

441.12

1.48

0.34 Most Volume

Last

Change %

000 Lot

BKSL

325 (3.0)

697 SPMA

315 (11.3)

519 PNLF

230 (2.1)

472 IATA

215

12.6

440 ELTY

54 (1.8)

402 Most Value

Last

Change %

Rp Bil

Infrastructure

1006.16

1.78

0.18 Finance

648.20

2.17

0.34 Trade

832.16

10.12

1.23 Manufacture

1264.83

7.29

0.58

Source: IQ Plus

ASII

8,300

1.2

291 BMRI

9,850

0.0

227 TRAM

1,340

(2.2)

217 BBRI

8,800

1.1

215 UNTR

20,250

0.0

161 IHSG Technical Review

R3

5125

R2

5044

R1

4972

Last

4874.50

S1

4873

S2

4792

S3

4729

Comment:

Break up, slightly above the

resistance level, huge trading

volume.

Stochastic, overbought on

bullish momentum. Limited

upside potential.

L

t

b lli h

t

Long term bullish movement.

Elliot wave, toward the 4924

(5

th

_{minor wave).}

Stop-loss level 4850.

Distribute immediately when

the break down appeared.

(2)

Daily

Price Action

Ch

Pi k

Chart Pick

PGAS

R3

5900

R2

5750

R1

5500

Last

5450

S1

5250

S2

4900

S2

4900

S3

4650

PARTIAL SELL

Comment:

Shooting star, a reversal sign,

low trading volume

Stochastic, dead cross,

overbought, broad downside

potential

Moves outside the upper

Bollinger band, huge bearish

pressure.

Long term bullish movement.

Stop loss at level 5250,

downside potential 4900

INDF

R3

8600

R2

8300

R1

8050

Last

7700

S1

7700

S2

7450

S3

7150

PARTIAL SELL

Comment:

Shooting star, a reversal sign,

low trading volume

Stochastic, dead cross,

overbought, broad downside

potential

Bill William, deceleration,

fractal stop-loss 7600.

Potential downside, the lower

fractal 6450.

Long term bullish movement.

Stop-loss level 7550,

downside potential 7150.

2 your

reliable

partner

2

(3)

Daily

Price Action

Ch

Pi k

Chart Pick

HRUM

R3

6300

R2

5900

R1

5550

Last

5500

S1

5250

S2

4925

S2

4925

S3

4550

BUY

Comment:

Bullish continuation, gap up,

significant trading volume.

Stochastic oversold state,

broad upside potential,

golden cross, bullish

momentum

Long term bearish, medium

term bullish movement.

Bill William first day

acceleration. Fractal range

5250-6200

Stop-loss level 5350, upside

potential 6000

PTBA

R3

17750

R2

16900

R1

16000

Last

15450

S1

15300

S2

14500

S2

14500

S3

13850

BUY

Comment:

Breaks resistance, significant

trading volume.

Stochastic bullish momentum,

broad upside potential

Long term bullish, shorter

g

term bearish movement.

Stop-loss level 15000, upside

potential 16000

Maximum bullish tolerance

level 14500.

Recommended buying price

15300

(4)

Daily

Price Action

Technical Stocks Matrix

Closing

Stop

Rec

Target Curr.

Curr.

2012F

S2

S1

Price

R1

R2

Technical Notes

Rec

Loss

Buy Prc Price P/E (x) P/B (x)

P/E (x)

Plantation

AALI 17,800 18,450 18,850 19,300 20,100 Shooting star S 18550 13.3 3.5 14.14 (BLM) LSIP 1,840 2,000 2,050 2,175 2,325 Oversold W 2000 11.1 2.3 13.5 (LS)

Mining

Stocks

Mining

ADRO 1,430 1,500 1,540 1,610 1,710 Sideways W 1500 11.7 1.7 9.63 (BLM) ANTM 1,210 1,300 1,350 1,420 1,510 Stoch dead cross PS 1340 15.4 1.2 11.5 (BLM) ITMG 38,250 39,500 40,400 41,050 42,700 Bullish consolidation SB 39500 41050 9.7 5.1 8.98 (BLM) PTBA 14,500 15,300 15,450 16,000 16,900 Breaks resistance level B 15000 15300 16000 12.2 4.2 10.17 (BLM)

Consumer

ICBP 8,200 8,500 9,250 8,950 9,500 Sideways PS 9100 9250 24.4 4.7 16.25 (BLM) KLBF 1,250 1,300 1,330 1,370 1,430 Spinning top PS 1300 1370 38.8 10.5 22.07 (BLM) Trading

ACES 670 720 770 780 830 Breaks support level S 760 720 37.5 0.9 29.14 (BLM) AKRA 4,475 4,675 4,750 4,800 4,925 Bullish continuation PS 4650 4800 28.5 4.4 17.43 (BLM) MAPI 7,100 7,500 7,750 7,900 8,250 Bearish continuation S 7700 35.7 7.2 26.07 (BLM) MNCN 2,625 2,850 2,925 3,050 3,275 Break resistance level B 2850 2875 3050 26.2 6.1 20.11 (BLM) Property &

Construction

ASRI 1,020 1,030 1,050 1,090 1,160 Bullish momentum H 1000 1090 20.6 4.9 9.06 (BLM) BKSL 305 320 325 340 350 Tweezers top H 315 350 42.3 2.1 37.21 (BLM) BSDE 1,500 1,640 1,650 1,720 1,780 Overbought H 1610 1720 32.0 2.9 16.97 (BLM) KIJA 285 300 305 310 320 Northern star PS 295 16.1 1.6 9.92 (BLM) Basic Industry &

Chemical

INTP 21,300 22,150 22,750 23,050 23,850 Bearish kicker signal PS 22500 20.9 5.0 16.72 (BLM) SMCB 3,450 3,650 3,575 3,850 3,975 Bearish continuation S 3550 22.5 3.4 16.43 (BLM) Miscelaneous

ASII 7,950 8,200 8,300 8,450 8,600 Bullish continuation H 8200 8400 17.2 0.4 14.75 (BLM) GJTL 2,000 2,100 2,150 2,200 2,200 Stoch golden cross TB 2100 2200 7.2 1.5 9.37 (BLM) Finance

BBCA 10,200 10,550 10,800 11,000 11,400 Bullish momentum H 10600 11000 23.9 5.4 16.92 (BLM) BBRI 8 000 8 400 8 800 8 800 9 200 Stoch golden cross W 8500 12 4 3 6 10 39 (BLM)

Analyst Conclusion:

BBRI 8,000 8,400 8,800 8,800 9,200 Stoch golden cross W 8500 12.4 3.6 10.39 (BLM) BBTN 1,610 1,680 1,690 1,720 1,790 Gravestone doji PS 1670 8.0 1.8 9.57 (BLM) BMRI 9,100 9,500 9,850 9,950 10,350 Bullish momentum H 9450 10150 16.9 3.2 13.45 (BLM) Infrastructure

JSMR 5,500 5,700 5,800 5,850 6,000 Overbought H 5700 5900 22.7 4.2 23 (BLM) INDY 1,270 1,380 1,430 1,470 1,580 Sideways W 1380 5.1 1.5 6.8 (BLM) PGAS 5,200 5,400 5,450 5,500 5,800 Shooting star PS 5250 22.2 7.7 12.93 (BLM)

March 11th, 2013 Recommendation Table

Source : Reliance Securities Legend :

B: BUY (allocate till 100% of the weighted capital to accumulate, higher than 50% upside probability) SB: SPECULATIVE BUY (allocate 25%-50% of the weighted capital to accumulate, 25%-50% upside probability) W: WAIT (wait for proper entry level, do the stop-loss if necessary)

H: HOLD (hold the portfolio position, aim for the best price to distribute)

PS: PARTIAL SELL (distribute 25%-50% part of the portfolio, 25%-50% downside probability)

Analyst Conclusion:

Continuing the overbought uptrend, reduce portfolio, short term trading oriented.

4 your

reliable

partner

4

p p p y

S: SELL (distribute till 100% of the portfolio, higher than 50% downside probability)

(5)

Daily

Price Action

HEAD OFFICE RESEARCH DIVISION HEAD OFFICE

Reliance Building Jl. Pluit Kencana No. 15A, Pluit Penjaringan Jakarta 14450 T +62 21 661 7768 F +62 21 661 9884

RESEARCH DIVISION

Jasa Adhi Mulya [email protected] Wilson Sofan [email protected] Monchita W.P [email protected] Christine Natasya [email protected]

EQUITY DIVISION Jakarta- Pluit

Jl. Pluit Kencana No. 15A Pluit Penjaringan Bandung Jl.Cisangkuy No.58 Bandung 40115 Surabaya - Gubeng Jl. Bangka No. 22 Surabaya 60281 Makassar

Jl. Boto Lempangan No. 34 J Makassar 90113 j g Jakarta 14450 T + 62 21 661 7768 F + 62 21 661 9884 Jakarta - Sudirman Menara Batavia 27th floor Jl.KH.Mas Mansyur Kav 126 Jakarta 10220

T + 62 21 5793 0008 F + 62 21 5793 0010 Jakarta – Kebon Jeruk Plaza Kebon Jeruk Jl Raya Perjuangan Blok A/2

T + 62 22 721 8200 F + 62 22 721 9255 Tasikmalaya

Ruko Tasik Indah Plaza No. 21 Jl. KHZ Mustofa No. 345 Tasikmalaya 46121 T + 62 265 345000 F + 62 265 345003 Yogyakarta

Jl. Juadi No. 1 Kotabaru Yogyakarta 55224 Surabaya 60281 T + 62 31 501 1128 F + 62 31 503 3196 Surabaya – Diponegoro Jl. Diponegoro 141-143 Surabaya 60264 T + 62 31 567 0388 F + 62 31 561 0528 Denpasar

Dewata Square Blok A3 Jl L td T t l R

Makassar 90113 T + 62 411 3632388 F + 62 411 3614634 Pekanbaru

Jl. Sumatera No. 9, Simpang Empat Pekanbaru - Riau 28000 T + 62 761 7894368 F + 62 761 7894370 Medan

Jl. Teuku Amir Hamzah No.26 62 6 663306 Jl.Raya Perjuangan Blok A/2

Jakarta 11530 T + 62 21 532 4074 F + 62 21 536 2157 BSD

Jl. Pahlawan Seribu Ruko BSD Sektor 7 Blok RK kav. 9 Tangerang 15310 T + 62 21 5387495 F + 62 21 5387494 Jakarta – Green Ville

Ruko Taman Ratu D 11 No. 19 C

Yogyakarta 55224 T + 62 274 550 123 F + 62 274 551 121 Surakarta

Jl. Slamet Riyadi 330A Solo 57145 T + 62 271 733480 F + 62 271 733478 Malang

Jl. Guntur No. 19

Jl. Letda Tantular Renon Denpasar 802361 T + 62 361 225099 F + 62 361 245099 Pontianak

Jl. Gajah Mada No. 59 Pontianak 78121 T. +62 561 749558 F. +62 561 746284 Balikpapan

Jl. Jend. Sudirman No. 51A

T + 62 61 6633065 F + 62 61 6617597

Duri Kepa, Green Ville Jakarta 11510 T + 62 21 56945227 F + 62 21 56945226 Malang 65112 T + 62 341 347 611 F + 62 341 347 615 J J Balikpapan 76114 T + 62 542 746313-16 F + 62 542 746317 POJOK BURSA & GALERI INVESTASI

UPN “Veteran” Jakarta Jl. RS Fatmawati, Pondok Labu Jakarta 12450

T + 62 21 7656971 ext. 197 F + 62 21 7656971 ext. 138 President University

STIE "AUB" Surakarta Jl. Mr. Sartono 97, Cengklik Nusukan, Surakarta 57135 T + 62 271 854803 F + 62 271 853084 Universitas Surabaya Universitas Brawijaya Jl. Veteran Malang 65145 T + 62 341 551611, 575777 F + 62 341 565420 STIE Malangkucecwara

Universitas Tanjungpura Pontianak Jl. Jendral Ahmad Yani

Pontianak 78124 T + 62 561 743465 F + 62 561 766840 President University

Resto Plaza 1F - Jababeka Education Park Jl. Ki Hajar Dewantara Raya

Cikarang - Bekasi 17550 T + 62 21 89106030

Universitas Siliwangi Tasikmalaya Jl. Siliwangi No. 24

Tasikmalaya 46151 T + 62 265 323685 F + 62 265 323534

Universitas Kristen Duta Wacana Jl. Wahidin Sudiro Husodo

Universitas Surabaya Jl. Raya Kalirungkut Surabaya 60293 T + 62 31 298 1203 F + 62 31 298 1204

Universitas Muhammadiyah Gresik Jl. Sumatra 101 GKB

Gresik 61121 T + 62 31 395 1414 F + 62 31 395 2585 Universitas Negeri Malang Jl. Surabaya No. 6 M l 65145

STIE Malangkucecwara Jl. Terusan Candi Kalasan Malang 65142 T + 62 341 491813 F + 62 341 495619 Universitas Jember Jl. Jawa No. 17 Jember 68121 T + 62 331 330732 F + 62 331 326419 STIESIA Surabaya Jl. Menur Pumpungan 30 S b Politeknik Kediri Jl. Mayor Bismo No. 27 Kediri 64121 T. (0354) 683128 F. (0354) 683128

Universitas Negeri Makassar Fakultas Ekonomi Gedung BT Lt.2 Jl. A.P. Pettarani, Kampus UNM,

G i B

Yogyakarta 55224 T + 62 274 563 929 F + 62 274 513 235 UPN "Veteran" Yogyakarta Jl. Babarsari 2, Tambak Bayan Yogyakarta T + 62 274 485268 F + 62 274 487147 Malang 65145 T + 62 341 585914 F + 62 341 552888

Universitas Muhammadiyah Malang Jl. Raya Tlogomas 246 Malang 65144 T + 62 341 464318-9 F + 62 341 460782 Surabaya T + 62 31 5947505 F + 62 31 5932218 Universitas 17 Agustus 1945 Banyuwangi Jl. Adi Sucipto 26 Banyuwangi, Jawa Timur T + 62 333 419613 F + 62 333 419163

Disclaimer:

Gunungsari Baru Makassar 90222 T. 0411-889464 / 881244 F. 0411-887604

Informasi, opini dan rekomendasi yang terdapat dalam dokumen ini disajikan oleh PT Reliance Securities Tbk. dari

sumber-sumber yang dianggap terpercaya dan dapat diandalkan. Dokumen ini bukan merupakan penawaran, invitasi atau representasi

dalam bentuk apapun untuk pengambilan keputusan membeli maupun menjual saham. Keputusan investasi yang diambil

berdasarkan dokumen ini bukan merupakan tanggung jawab PT Reliance Securities Tbk. PT Reliance Securities Tbk. berhak untuk

merubah isi dokumen ini sewaktu-waktu tanpa pemberitahuan terlebih dahulu.