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Key Topics in Microfinance Management – Day 2

Don Johnston, MAXIS Program Manager for Indonesia

April 2008

(2)

Course Overview

„

Day 1: The Mission of Microfinance – Experience and Potential in Indonesia

„„

Day 2: Day 2: Managing Credit Risk Managing Credit Risk A A Fresh Look

Fresh Look

„

Day 3: Supervision and Replication of MFIs

„

Day 4: The View from the Top – Effective and Efficient System-wide Management

„

Day 5: Microfinance Institutions and their

Customers – The Case of the BPRs

(3)

Day 2: Managing Credit Risk – A Fresh Look

„„

Session 1: Session 1: Managing Credit Risk Managing Credit Risk Before Loans are Made

Before Loans are Made Product Product Design, Pricing, Marketing and

Design, Pricing, Marketing and Borrower Assessment

Borrower Assessment

„

Session 2: Managing Credit Risk post-

Disbursement: Monitoring, Collection, and

Planned Response to Non-Repayment

(4)

Credit Product Design

Bad Design = High Risk!

„

Do Your Homework!

„

Set the Product Characteristics

„

Add Motivation Tools

(5)

Credit Product Design Do Your Homework!

„ Know the Customer Need

How will they use the credit?

„ Know the Main Source of Repayment

How will they repay?

„ Know the Range of Reliability among Customers

‰ Character (Willingness and Self-Discipline to Pay on Time)

‰ Risk over Time

„ Know the MFI’s Sources of Funds

„ Know the MFI’s Level of Technology

‰ Interest Calculation – Automated or Manual?

‰ Information on Future Payments – Automated, Flexible?

(6)

Credit Product Design

What Does the Customer Need?

We Need the Real Story!

„ Modal kerja usaha – musiman, “tetap”

„ Investasi usaha – aktiva tetap

„ Modal kerja atau investasi untuk usaha lain

„ Pembiayaan konsumsi atau investasi rumahtangga

„ Dana Darurat

(7)

Credit Product Design

Set the Product Characteristics

„ Disbursement Schedule

‰ 1x or in Steps

„ Repayment Schedule or Schedules

„ Assessment Method

‰ AO, Group, or AO + Group?

„ Repayment Method

‰ Pay in office or Collect “on the spot”

„ Monitoring Method

‰ Standard Monitoring Reports, Standards for Visits and Loan Review

„ Pricing Method

„ Pricing Level

(8)

Credit Product Design

Alternatives in Pricing Design

„ Flat v. Effective Rate: Why use a flat rate?

‰ Transparency in payments – easy to explain

‰ Some advantages in bookkeeping

‰ Makes interest rate numbers look lower

„ Fixed v. Variable Rate:

‰ Advantages of a Fixed Rate for micro borrowers

„ Fees & Commissions

„ Pre-paid Penalties: (the incentive for timely repayment)

„ Compulsory Savings: What does it do?

„ Up-Front Interest

„ Interest v. Profit/Revenue Sharing

‰ “Presumptive Profits”

„ Syariah v. Conventional Basis

(9)

Credit Pricing

What is the Profit Objective?

„

Achieve Sustainability/Profitability

‰ Focus on Costs + Margin

„

Achieve Outreach/Growth

‰ Focus on Market (customer preferences, growth potential, competition)

„

Satisfy Regulatory Requirements

‰ Focus on Pricing Model

„

Help People Improve their Lives

‰ Focus on Keeping Rates Low

(10)

Credit Product Design Add Motivation Tools

„

Incentive to Pay on Time

„

Account Officer Incentives

„

Customer Education Plan

‰ Informal or Training for New Borrowers

‰ Repeat Loans, Consequences of Non-Repayment

„

Collateral

(11)

Collateral

„ Collateral is not a substitute for assessment!

„ Collateral as a sign of character, confidence

If the borrower has an asset acceptable as collateral and will not commit, would you lend to him/her?

„ Try not to receive collateral (costly, time-consuming)

‰ “friendly” sale of collateral asset to pay off loan

‰ Collateral can be a security blanket to avoid analysis.

‰ Only time actually take collateral is when the borrower can pay but is trying to get away with non-repayment - make an example.

„ At MFI, Collateral = Possession of Ownership Document, Not Formal Registration

(12)

Collateral Types

„ Accept as collateral the assets that people in the target market own

‰ land (may be untitled, accept lesser proof of ownership)

‰ vehicles

‰ household or enterprise furniture/ equipment/ appliances

„ The bank is not a pawn shop

„ Less formal collateral forms may require more “public”

involvement

„ Collateral “Substitutes”:

‰ Co-signing, Personal Guarantees, Recommendations from village officials or local figures, Group Credit

Are they knowledgeable, and will they will help collect?

(13)

Collateral: Questions for Discussion

„

At the micro level, is collateral necessary? Is it useful?

‰ Micro-entrepreneurs may not have traditional collateral

‰ Is group credit a good substitute?

‰ What about guarantors?

(14)

Credit Marketing

Encouraging High-Quality Applicants

„ “The Right Product at the Right Price at the Right Time”

„ Institutional Image

„ Local Knowledge & Direct Marketing

Î Genuine Demand

Î Self-Selection by Potential Borrowers

Î Borrowers want to be Your Customer!

Î Professional-looking Staff

Î High-quality brochures, etc.

Î Know which recommendations are trustworthy

Î Informal Pre-Screening – AOs need to talk to lots of people!

Î Meetings & “Training”

Î Formal pre-screening, pre- qualification

(15)

The Application Process

„ Initial Knowledge

„ First Contact: Informal Discussion

„ Formal application

„ Begin accumulating required doc’s

„ Field visit, assessment (may include group

recommendation)

„ Recommendation by loan officer

„ Loan Approval

„ Disbursement

Î From marketing, other customers

Î Pre-screening, self-selection

Î Standardized basic data form

Î Incomplete doc’s a source of delay

(16)

Good Micro Loan Assessment: Fast, Efficient, Effective

„

Micro borrowers need fast decisions

„

Micro lenders need efficient assessment &

decisions

„

Loan officers have many competing claims on their time

BUT . . .

„

High losses are fatal – choosing good

borrowers is crucial

(17)

Critical Information for Assessment Ability to Repay

„

Current cash flow, repayment ability prior to receiving a loan, or

„

Expected increase in profit which will result if the borrower uses the loan proceeds to

expand the existing enterprise as agreed

Key Decision – Which to rely on?

(18)

Critical Information for Assessment Willingness to Repay

„

Two Key Questions

‰ Is the borrower a reliable debtor?

‰ How much “reminding” do they need to pay on time?

„

Functional definition of “Character,” not a moral judgment

„

Everyone needs to know the consequences of non-repayment, late payments

„

Most borrowers need to know they’re being

monitored (fast response to late payment)

(19)

Critical Information for Assessment The Life Stage of the Firm

„ Stage 1: Start-up

„ Stage 2: Expansion

„ Stage 3: Transformation

„ Assessment mostly the same at each stage

However, . . .

„ Emphasis varies

‰ Current cash flow v. future projection

‰ New v. established visit or New Entrepreneur

‰ may be too difficult to obtain needed information for some, esp. for start-ups by new entrepreneurs (Double Start-ups)

(20)

Expansion Lending: The Mainstay of Microfinance

„ At the MFI Office, check whether applicant has had a previous loan

‰ Repayments on time?

„ Size of loan requested compared to previous loans

‰ Can set personal loan limit (e.g., up to double loan size if paid all installments on time on previous loan) - but not automatic. Danger of over crediting

(21)

Critical Information for Assessment Site Visit: The Enterprise

„ Go to the business location - talk with entrepreneur.

„ Watch the entrepreneur dealing with customers.

„ Look for information on:

‰ technical skill

‰ management skill

‰ knowledge of market

‰ Supply arrangements, other borrowing

‰ Special attention to possibility of expansion in present market (expansion or transformation?)

‰ See items pledged as collateral (may require home visit, too)

‰ How to contact if not available at business

(22)

Assessment: The Site Visit

Enterprise Financial Information

„ Likely that will not have formal set of books - profit and loss, balance sheet, etc. May have a cash book - transactions in and out.

„ Find out turnover - sales during a one week, two week etc period.

„ Is cash flow regular or irregular? This will be used to match with repayment schedule

(23)

Assessment: The Site Visit

Debt and Personal Finances

„ Other sources of income

‰ remittances from working children in city

‰ renting out land

‰ other employment & family enterprises, etc.

„ Other expenses or payment obligations

‰ Loans

‰ Large bills due (e.g., hospital)

‰ Support of additional member of family

„ Non-routine school fees (child entering school)

„ Savings – financial cushion

„ May require a home visit (if different location)

(24)

Loan Analysis

„ Construct a simple profit and loss statement on present turnover and size of operation.

„ If the enterprise will use the loan to expand, what

would be the increase in volume, sales, profit - gross above expenses which also expanded?

„ Probably apply rule of thumb:

‰ If loan use as discussed, loan repayment should not take more than 75% of increase in profit, or

‰ Payment should not be greater than 50% of total profit, or

‰ Expansion during the loan period should not double the firm’s present size (transformation)

(25)

Character Check

„ Walk around village and talk to people.

„ In Indonesia, the village head usually knows if the applicant has other loans, payment of land tax – anything that will get discussion.

„ When talking to other villagers, look for indirect or non- verbal cues.

„ Group Recommendations (if applicable)

„ Recommendations from other Customers

„ Signed statements from officials or politicians that the applicant is reliable are not worth much. (BKK story – one village head always signed but had a secret mark which meant “don't loan this person money”)

„ Over time, the loan officer will develop contacts and know the reliability of information

(26)

Ensuring Good Assessments

„ Ability of the Loan Officer

„ Job-focused Training

„ Accountability

‰ Pros and cons of separation of marketing, decision-making, collection

„ Incentives and Career Path

„ Close Supervision from managers & supervisors

„ Decision support tools

„ Horizontal communication

„ Policy toward unusual/niche sectors

(27)

Start-Up & Transformation Lending

„ Start-ups (how new? - Other enterprises?)

‰ Example: applicant has worked in garage for other person, now wants to start on own - has technical skill, question of management ability (check knowledge of prices etc )

‰ Probably best avoid start-ups if really new - no previous experience, no one to guarantee

„ Transformation Lending

‰ Market knowledge

‰ Marketing – e.g., agreement with shop, etc.

‰ Beginning of need for some separation of tasks

(28)

Assessment

Questions for Discussion

„

In your experience, which is more important to make good Account Officers: training or experience?

„

How long does it take to make a good Account Officer?

„

What kinds of information are hardest to

obtain? What are your strategies?

(29)

Day 2: Managing Credit Risk – A Fresh Look

„

Session 1: Managing Credit Risk Before Loans are Made – Product Design, Pricing, Marketing and Borrower Assessment

„„

Session 2: Session 2: Managing Credit Risk Managing Credit Risk post post - - Disbursement: Monitoring, Disbursement: Monitoring,

Collection, and Planned Response to

Collection, and Planned Response to

Non Non - - Repayment Repayment

(30)

“A Pound of Prevention . . .”

„ Preventing Problems is more cost-effective than responding.

But

„ Loan Officer must monitor many borrowers

„ No time to visit every borrower even once a quarter What to do?

„ First, attract and choose good borrowers

„ Monitor repayment closely (installment loans are easier)

„ Concentrate on loans with problems - "Manage by exception"

„ Intervene early – and develop an image of close monitoring and early response!

(31)

Monitoring of Individual Loans

„ Installment product makes monitoring easier (clarity about size and timing of payments falling due)

„ Clear payment due dates and definition of on-time payments (incentive for timely repayment reinforces the due dates,

promotes good payment behavior)

„ Loans can be booked throughout the month

(less “bunching” of loan due dates – matters both for smoothing workload and speeding response time)

„ System reports payments which will fall due soon (very important for loans with less frequent payments)

„ Daily reports of overdue payments to loan officer &

manager/supervisor

(32)

What Next?

Early Response to Late Payments

„ Immediate reaction if an installment is late

‰ Visit the delinquent borrower within one day if possible - always within one week

‰ Understand why the installment is late

‰ Get signed promise to pay according to detailed schedule

„ One visit should be enough in most cases

‰ If additional visits are required, Unit Head or even Supervisor may accompany

‰ Close monitoring of commitments to pay

„ Reinforce the image of close monitoring, but do not be too tough, overbearing

(33)

Why Borrowers Fail to Pay on Time

„ People sometimes forget or just run late

‰ Educate, remind about incentive to pay on time

‰ Show you’re watching

„ Main reasons for non-repayment

‰ family emergency

‰ lack of savings as financial cushion

‰ Work it out, new schedule, etc. (all informal)

‰ Try not to take collateral, especially home / house plot

„ A few late borrowers have the funds but don’t want to pay

‰ Requires strong and immediate action

‰ Depending on steps, this can be very expensive, time-consuming, but

‰ If these are allowed to get away with it, portfolio can "tip," destroying the lending institution

(34)

Collecting from the Unwilling:

The Best Approach

(35)

Collecting from the Unwilling:

Some Strategies

„

Plan policies and responses ahead of time

‰ escalation steps

‰ cultural susceptibility to shame

‰ involvement of outside parties

‰ strategic use of collateral documents

‰ legal, community approaches

„

Budget for legal and collection activities

(36)

Questions for Discussion

Marketing and Monitoring

„

Does image matter for MFI lending? What image does a good MFI want?

„

How does your MFI build up its image? In what ways do you think it needs to improve?

„

How do you tell your customers about:

‰ The importance of paying on time

‰ The consequences of non-repayment

„

How soon do your AOs know after a payment

is late?

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