78 Lampiran 1
Daftar Populasi dan Sampel Penelitian
Daerah kriteria Sampel
Terpilih
15. Humbang Hasundutan √ √ Sampel 12
16. Pakpak Bharat √ √ Sampel 13
22. Labuhanbatu Selatan √ √ Sampel 17
23. Labuhanbatu Utara √ √ Sampel 18
28. Pematangsiantar √ √ Sampel 20
29. Tebing Tinggi √ √ Sampel 21
30. M e d a n √ √ Sampel 22
31. B i n j a i √ √ Sampel 23
32. Padangsidimpuan √ √ Sampel 24
79 Lampiran 2
Daftar Sampel Penelitian
80 Lampiran 3
Output Eviews
BELANJA_MODAL DAU DAK DBH
Mean 166606.4 449394.7 45908.45 49036.26
Median 132021.2 399524.5 45282.00 34713.27
Maximum 1201667. 1270245. 90869.00 374026.6
Minimum 27867.29 167780.0 17807.00 10624.71
Std. Dev. 145466.0 211195.2 17301.24 53680.53 Skewness 4.547546 1.720007 0.427559 3.819488 Kurtosis 29.74616 6.141625 2.541266 19.46142
Jarque-Bera 3192.311 86.81402 3.766662 1317.329 Probability 0.000000 0.000000 0.152083 0.000000
Sum 15994213 43141895 4407211. 4707481.
Sum Sq. Dev. 2.01E+12 4.24E+12 2.84E+10 2.74E+11
Observations 96 96 96 96
Dependent Variable: BELANJA_MODAL_Y Method: Least Squares
Date: 06/09/15 Time: 09:35 Sample: 1 96
Included observations: 96
81 Heteroskedasticity Test: White
F-statistic 1.825681 Prob. F(9,86) 0.0749 Obs*R-squared 15.39950 Prob. Chi-Square(9) 0.0805 Scaled explained SS 14.32983 Prob. Chi-Square(9) 0.1111
Test Equation:
Dependent Variable: RESID^2 Method: Least Squares
Date: 06/09/15 Time: 09:34 Sample: 1 96
Included observations: 96
Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob. C 27.40997 20.02988 1.368455 0.1747 DAU_X1 -3.810280 3.855945 -0.988157 0.3258 DAU_X1^2 -0.100307 0.365921 -0.274121 0.7846 DAU_X1*DAK_X2 0.251255 0.541817 0.463727 0.6440 DAU_X1*DBH_X3 0.364737 0.274345 1.329483 0.1872 DAK_X2 -0.677810 3.233485 -0.209622 0.8345 DAK_X2^2 0.028877 0.270038 0.106936 0.9151 DAK_X2*DBH_X3 -0.308314 0.224845 -1.371230 0.1739 DBH_X3 0.066637 2.097610 0.031768 0.9747 DBH_X3^2 -0.069352 0.070887 -0.978350 0.3306 R-squared 0.160411 Mean dependent var 0.144816 Adjusted R-squared 0.072548 S.D. dependent var 0.207232 S.E. of regression 0.199573 Akaike info criterion -0.286939
0 Maximum 1.118437 Minimum -1.004502 Std. Dev. 0.382545 Skewness -0.015597 Kurtosis 3.026428
82 Sum squared resid 3.425334 Schwarz criterion -0.019819
Log likelihood 23.77307 Hannan-Quinn criter. -0.178965 F-statistic 1.825681 Durbin-Watson stat 2.166746 Prob(F-statistic) 0.074946
DAU_X1 DAK_X2 DBH_X3 DAU_X1 1.000000 0.724603 0.713090 DAK_X2 0.724603 1.000000 0.462405 DBH_X3 0.713090 0.462405 1.000000
Lampiran 4
Common Effect Model
Dependent Variable: BM? Method: Pooled Least Squares Date: 06/09/15 Time: 09:41 Sample: 2010 2013
Included observations: 4 Cross-sections included: 24
Total pool (balanced) observations: 96
83 Lampiran 5
Fixed Effect Model
Dependent Variable: BM? Method: Pooled Least Squares Date: 06/09/15 Time: 09:42 Sample: 2010 2013
Included observations: 4 Cross-sections included: 24
Total pool (balanced) observations: 96
84 Effects Specification
Cross-section fixed (dummy variables)
85 Lampiran 6
Uji Chow
Redundant Fixed Effects Tests Pool: GRACE
Test cross-section fixed effects
Effects Test Statistic d.f. Prob. Cross-section F 4.878015 (23,69) 0.0000 Cross-section Chi-square 92.684512 23 0.0000
Cross-section fixed effects test equation: Dependent Variable: BM?
Method: Panel Least Squares Date: 06/09/15 Time: 09:43 Sample: 2010 2013
Included observations: 4 Cross-sections included: 24
Total pool (balanced) observations: 96
86 Lampiran 7
Random Effect Model
Dependent Variable: BM?
Method: Pooled EGLS (Cross-section random effects) Date: 06/09/15 Time: 09:44
Sample: 2010 2013 Included observations: 4 Cross-sections included: 24
Total pool (balanced) observations: 96
Swamy and Arora estimator of component variances
87 Cross-section random 0.213269 0.3722
Idiosyncratic random 0.276995 0.6278 Weighted Statistics
R-squared 0.526502 Mean dependent var 6.445175 Adjusted R-squared 0.511062 S.D. dependent var 0.435388 S.E. of regression 0.304441 Sum squared resid 8.526962 F-statistic 34.09957 Durbin-Watson stat 1.450478 Prob(F-statistic) 0.000000
Unweighted Statistics
R-squared 0.508715 Mean dependent var 11.83392 Sum squared resid 15.01152 Durbin-Watson stat 0.823912
Lampiran 8
Uji Hausman
Correlated Random Effects - Hausman Test Pool: GRACE
Test cross-section random effects
Test Summary
Chi-Sq.
Statistic Chi-Sq. d.f. Prob. Cross-section random 22.134967 3 0.0001
Cross-section random effects test comparisons:
Variable Fixed Random Var(Diff.) Prob. DAU? 1.106484 0.797781 0.011276 0.0036 DAK? 0.648908 0.506039 0.018506 0.2936 DBH? -0.017267 -0.011693 0.053302 0.9807
Uji F dan t
Cross-section random effects test equation: Dependent Variable: BM?
88 Included observations: 4
Cross-sections included: 24
Total pool (balanced) observations: 96
Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob. C -9.205975 3.731242 -2.467268 0.0161 DAU? 1.106484 0.197116 5.613360 0.0000 DAK? 0.648908 0.199572 3.251500 0.0018 DBH? -0.017267 0.250056 -0.069051 0.9451
Effects Specification Cross-section fixed (dummy variables)
