44146.00 ###
6.27 -3.49 0.07 -1.18 2437.50 -0.51
0.98 (%yoy) (%mtm) Inflasi (Miliar USD) -18.88
X X Rp/Kg Harga %1D %1D X X Rp/Kg Harga %1D %1D
EDISI: 209/11/2020
Rabu, 11 November 2020
Pertumbuhan Penjualan Riil September sebesar -8,7% (yoy) Membaik dari Bulan Sebelumnya -9,2% (yoy)
PERISTIWA DOMESTIK DAN GLOBAL
%YTD Rp5,509.51 0.86 7.44 -12.54 -0.19 3.83 -1.55 Total Kasus Total Meninggal Kasus Baru Meninggal COVID-19 51,480,441 1,272,426 3,779 Dunia Indonesia 444,348 11,800 35,000 25,300
Telur Ayam Bwg. Merah
IHSG CAPITAL FLOW (JUTA USD) Rp14,085.00 Jun-20 Oct-20 Sep-20 Inflasi
YIELD OBG PEMERINTAH 10T (%) KONDISI EKONOMI
BOND (MTD) CAP FLOW MTD
NILAI %DTD %MTD %YTD
72.40 0.00 -27.10 6.90
Bwg. Putih Cabai Merah
0.00 0.40 0.66 0.00 0.29 3410.00 38,000 0.18 -0.47 0.00 0.00 0.00 118,250 Nikel (USD/MT) 0.95 Minyak Goreng -0.99 14,300 14,400 CPO (MYR/MT) 28,300 42,700 Cabai Rawit 36,650 15903.00 Batubara (USD/MT) 62.30 0.40 Gula Pasir 2.77
Emas (USD/Troy Ounce)
1876.68 -0.03 Karet (JPY/Kg) 242.00 4.09 Daging Sapi
Beras Brent (USD/Barrel)
44.82
Daging Ayam
CAP FLOW YTD
228.42 178.18 406.60 -8834.69
EQUITY (MTD) CDS5T
KOMODITAS INTERNASIONAL
Trade Bal. Ekspor
Impor
AS
CAD to PDB
PDB
HARGA KOMODITAS DOMESTIK DAN INTERNASIONAL
%yoy Indonesia Sep-20 KOMODITAS DOMESTIK 14,761
NILAI TUKAR, SAHAM & ARUS MODAL ASING
USD/IDR %DTD %MTD %YTD 1 0 /1 1 /2 0 2 0 NILAI %DTD %MTD 72 519,943 8,084 0.00 5000.00 10000.00 0 200,000 400,000 600,000 18/07/20 20 20/07/20 20 22/07/20 20 24/07/20 20 26/07/20 20 28/07/20 20 30/07/20 20 01/08/20 20 03/08/20 20 05/08/20 20 07/08/20 20 09/08/20 20 11/08/20 20 13/08/20 20 15/08/20 20 17/08/20 20 19/08/20 20 21/08/20 20 23/08/20 20 25/08/20 20 27/08/20 20 29/08/20 20 31/08/20 20 02/09/20 20 04/09/20 20 06/09/20 20 08/09/20 20 10/09/20 20 12/09/20 20 14/09/20 20 16/09/20 20 18/09/20 20 20/09/20 20 22/09/20 20 24/09/20 20 26/09/20 20 28/09/20 20 30/09/20 20 02/10/20 20 04/10/20 20 06/10/20 20 08/10/20 20 10/10/20 20 12/10/20 20 14/10/20 20 16/10/20 20 18/10/20 20 20/10/20 20 22/10/20 20 24/10/20 20 26/10/20 20 28/10/20 20 30/10/20 20 01/11/20 20 03/11/20 20 05/11/20 20 07/11/20 20 09/11/20 20
MA7 Kasus Baru MA7 Meninggal-rhs
Dunia 0.00 50.00 100.00 150.00 0 2,000 4,000 6,000 18 /07/202 0 20 /07/202 0 22 /07/202 0 24 /07/202 0 26 /07/202 0 28 /07/202 0 30 /07/202 0 01 /08/202 0 03 /08/202 0 05 /08/202 0 07 /08/202 0 09 /08/202 0 11 /08/202 0 13 /08/202 0 15 /08/202 0 17 /08/202 0 19 /08/202 0 21 /08/202 0 23 /08/202 0 25 /08/202 0 27 /08/202 0 29 /08/202 0 31 /08/202 0 02 /09/202 0 04 /09/202 0 06 /09/202 0 08 /09/202 0 10 /09/202 0 12 /09/202 0 14 /09/202 0 16 /09/202 0 18 /09/202 0 20 /09/202 0 22 /09/202 0 24 /09/202 0 26 /09/202 0 28 /09/202 0 30 /09/202 0 02 /10/202 0 04 /10/202 0 06 /10/202 0 08 /10/202 0 10 /10/202 0 12 /10/202 0 14 /10/202 0 16 /10/202 0 18 /10/202 0 20 /10/202 0 22 /10/202 0 24 /10/202 0 26 /10/202 0 28 /10/202 0 30 /10/202 0 01 /11/202 0 03 /11/202 0 05 /11/202 0 07 /11/202 0 09 /11/202 0
MA7 Kasus Baru MA7 Meninggal-rhs
Indonesia
• Pada penutupan perdagangan Rabu (11/11), IHSG menguat 0,86 persen menjadi Rp5509,5. Sementara nilai tukar rupiah terhadap dollar terdepresiasi 0,19 persen menjadi Rp14.085.
• Berdasarkan rilis Bank Indonesia, penjualan eceran pada September 2020 melanjutkan tren perbaikan yang terjadi sejak Juni 2020. Pertumbuhan Indeks Penjualan Riil (IPR) September 2020 tercatat sebesar -8,7% (yoy), membaik dibandingkan
pertumbuhan IPR pada Agustus sebesar -9,2% (yoy).
• Pertumbuhan ekonomi Filipina pada Q3-2020 mengalami kontraksi sebesar -11,5% (yoy) membaik dari triwulan sebelumnya sebesar -16,9% (yoy). Beberapa sektor yang mengalami penurunan terbesar yaitu sektor industri sebesar -17,2% (yoy) dan jasa sebesar -10,6% (yoy). Di sisi lain pertanian tumbuh sebesar 1,2% (yoy).
• Sumber: Bloomberg, Bank Indonesia
11/11/2020 14,085 12000 12500 13000 13500 14000 14500 15000 15500 16000 16500 17000 USD/IDR 11/11/2020 5,510 3500 4000 4500 5000 5500 6000 6500 IHSG -1.55 -0.93 4.95 -1.16 -0.01 5.19 -3.98 2.97 -25.54 -18.73 -26.76 -10.42 -24.63 8.55 5.35 5.15 5.51 4.17 -2.86 -0.18 Indonesia Malaysia Filipina Thailand Vietnam China India Jepang Brazil Rusia Turki Afrika Selatan Argentina Swedia Swiss Euro Denmark Korea Selatan Ghana Singapura
%Perbandingan Nilai Tukar Indonesia dan Negara Sekitar
(ytd) 3.83 0.64 0.30 2.81 0.01 1.09 -0.30 -0.78 6.14 4.26 2.70 3.94 -1.40 3.14 -0.05 1.23 1.22 2.27 -0.21 1.34 Indonesia Malaysia Filipina Thailand Vietnam China India Jepang Brazil Rusia Turki Afrika Selatan Argentina Swedia Swiss Euro Denmark Korea Selatan Ghana Singapura
%Perbandingan Nilai Tukar Indonesia dan Negara Sekitar (mtd) -12.54 -2.13 -10.12 -15.26 -16.18 38.35 9.58 -6.96 3.94 13.11 10.54 -9.15 9.47 3.63 -7.20 7.16 3.09 9.74 IHSG Indonesia FTSE Malaysia PSEi Filipina SET Thailand STI Singapur Hanoi Vietnam Shanghai China Hangseng Hongkong NIFTY India KOSPI Korea TWSE Taiwan Sao Paulo Brasil Borsa Istanbul 100 JSE Africa Bolsa Mexico NIKKEI Jepang Dow Jones US S&P US
%Perbandingan Indeks Saham Indonesia dan Negara Sekitar
(ytd) 7.44 6.00 11.07 12.04 11.45 4.79 3.65 8.79 8.63 9.65 5.71 11.83 12.61 10.93 9.24 10.33 11.02 8.43 IHSG Indonesia FTSE Malaysia PSEi Filipina SET Thailand STI Singapur Hanoi Vietnam Shanghai China Hangseng Hongkong NIFTY India KOSPI Korea TWSE Taiwan Sao Paulo Brasil Borsa Istanbul 100 JSE Africa Bolsa Mexico NIKKEI Jepang Dow Jones US S&P US
%Perbandingan Indeks Saham Indonesia dan Negara Sekitar
EQUITY MTD YTD
TGL IDN MAL PHI THA SGP VIE IDN 228.42 -2956.66
11/11 -0.19 -0.23 0.03 0.36 0.03 -0.04 PHI 28.79 -2144.48
11/10 0.05 -0.27 -0.28 0.51 -0.07 0.01 MAL -51.60 -5435.70
11/9 1.03 0.51 0.20 0.02 0.06 0.00 THA 515.64 -8933.53
11/6 1.20 0.44 0.17 0.95 0.13 0.00 VIE -125.89 -663.17
INDIA 2330.97 8877.42
TGL IHSG FTSE PSEi SET STI Hanoi KOR 2278.36 -22395.40
11/11 0.86 -1.28 -0.16 -0.18 -0.12 0.32 BOND MTD MTD
11/10 1.99 3.33 5.23 4.31 3.67 -0.17 IDN 178.18 -5878.03
11/9 0.38 0.31 0.00 2.05 1.19 1.65 AFSEL 1167.15 -3253.70
11/6 1.43 1.21 0.62 -0.34 -0.38 0.73 THA 958.56 -650.14
MEXICO-2209.32 -16561.50
TGL IDN PHI MAL THA VIE INDIA INDIA 204.99 -14024.70
11/11 - 41.22 - - - - KOR 883.16 55458.90
11/10 159.7 47.19 -80.80 619.90 -32.5
-11/9 13.6 -8.18 0.90 74.72 -10.0 598.71
11/6 58.10 9.41 58.20 -17.94 -6.7 659.52
TGL AFSEL THA MEXICO INDIA
11/11/2020 - - - -10/11/2020 349.84 16.77 - -09/11/2020 136.24 71.93 - 119.29 06/11/2020 197.33 487.38 - 35.63 -0.03 KOR -407.42 KOR Index USD
PERKEMBANGAN NILAI TUKAR HARIAN (%)
LAMPIRAN
0.09 0.03
BOND INFLOW/OUTFLOW HARIAN (JUTA USD)
1.17
MTD dan YTD Capital dalam Juta USD
-25.29 426.06 EQUITY INFLOW/OUTFLOW HARIAN (JUTA USD)
0.54 -0.32
S&P PERKEMBANGAN NILAI SAHAM HARIAN (%)
IDN -0.00 -0.14 -445.98 195.20 4.91 INDIKATOR RISIKO 72.40 447.31 169.42 TURKEY BRAZIL -279.53 19.16 AFSEL 225.83 IDN 3,740 -514 776 -20 -651 -519 -269 -493 571 1 -340 -375 -560 552 -318 -264 -581 -1,049 -252 -2000 -1000 0 1000 2000 3000 4000
Equity Flow Bulanan Indonesia
-523-708 2,766 1,729 -239 1,409 2,067 666 -350 999 -2,071 -7,539 270611329598 -144 -591 1,480 A p r-1 9 M a y-1 9 Ju n-1 9 Ju l-1 9 A ug -1 9 Sep -1 9 O ct -1 9 Nov -1 9 D e c-1 9 Ja n-2 0 Fe b -2 0 M a r-2 0 A p r-2 0 M a y-2 0 Ju n-2 0 Ju l-2 0 A ug -2 0 Sep -2 0 O ct -2 0 -9000 -6000 -3000 0 3000 6000
Bond Flow Bulanan Indonesia
6.3 0.98 300 400 500 600 700 800 0 2 4 6 8 10
Jul-19 Oct-19 Jan-20 Apr-20 Jul-20 Oct-20
Gap - rhs Yield Obligasi Indonesia 10Y Yield Obligasi US 10T Yield Obligasi Indonesia dan AS
0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700
Jun-20 Jul-20 Aug-20 Sep-20 Oct-20 Nov-20
Indonesia Turkey Brazil Sout Africa
Perbandingan CDS 5T
11/11/2020 24.80 0 10 20 30 40 50Jun-20 Jul-20 Aug-20 Sep-20 Oct-20 Nov-20
CBOE Volatility Index
6.27
0.98 0.94 0.72 1.35
2.66 2.82
3.23
Indonesia US Singapore Hongkong Thailand Malaysia Philipines China
Perbandingan Yield Obligasi 10T (%)
6.90 11.92 43.35 58.55 70.36 38.26 12.35 14.84
Indonesia Mexico Peru Turkey Brazil Sout Africa Malaysia Philipines
X IDN MAL PHI THA VNM X IDN MAL PHI THA VNM
%Yoy -3.49 -17.10 -11.50 -12.20 2.62 %Yoy 1.44 -1.40 2.50 -0.50 2.47
PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI DAN INFLASI
SEKTOR EKSTERNAL 01/09/2020 -3.49 -6.0 -4.0 -2.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0
Jun-11 Dec-11 Jun-12 Dec-12 Jun-13 Dec-13 Jun-14 Dec-14 Jun-15 Dec-15 Jun-16 Dec-16 Jun-17 Dec-17 Jun-18 Dec-18 Jun-19 Dec-19 Jun-20
Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Kuartalan (%, yoy)
01/10/2020 1.44 0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 8.0
9.0
Inflasi Bulanan (%, yoy)
-35 -25 -15 -5 5 15 25
Sep-13 Mar-14 Sep-14 Mar-15 Sep-15 Mar-16 Sep-16 Mar-17 Sep-17 Mar-18 Sep-18 Mar-19 Sep-19 Mar-20 Sep-20
Indonesia Malaysia Philipines Thailand Vietnam
Perbandingan Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Beberapa Negara (%yoy)
-6 -4 -2 0 2 4 6 8 10
Jul-12 Jan-13 Jul-13 Jan-14 Jul-14 Jan-15 Jul-15 Jan-16 Jul-16 Jan-17 Jul-17 Jan-18 Jul-18 Jan-19 Jul-19 Jan-20 Jul-20 Indonesia Malaysia Philipines Thailand Vietnam
Perbandingan Inflasi Bulanan Beberapa Negara (%yoy)
132.0
135.2
01/10/2020: 133.7
Jul-17 Oct-17 Jan-18 Apr-18 Jul-18 Oct-18 Jan-19 Apr-19 Jul-19 Oct-19 Jan-20 Apr-20 Jul-20 Oct-20 100 110 120 130 140
Cadangan Devisa (miliar USD)
-8.1 -2.9 -1.18 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 Ju n-1 2 Se p -1 2 D ec -1 2 M a r-1 3 Ju n-1 3 Se p -1 3 D ec -1 3 M a r-1 4 Ju n-1 4 Se p -1 4 D ec -1 4 M a r-1 5 Ju n-1 5 Se p -1 5 D ec -1 5 M a r-1 6 Ju n-1 6 Se p -1 6 D ec -1 6 M a r-1 7 Ju n-1 7 Se p -1 7 D ec -1 7 M a r-1 8 Ju n-1 8 Se p -1 8 D ec -1 8 M a r-1 9 Ju n-1 9 Se p -1 9 D ec -1 9 M a r-2 0 Ju n-2 0 Se p -2 0 -12 -10 -8 -6 -4 -2 0 Transaksi Berjalan (Miliar US$) - RHS
% Transaksi Berjalan thd GDP
% Transaksi Berjalan thd GDP & Defisit Transaksi Berjalan
01/10/2020: #N/A -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3
4
Nilai Neraca Perdagangan (Miliar USD)
14.01 11.57
Apr-123 Oct-12 Apr-13 Oct-13 Apr-14 Oct-14 Apr-15 Oct-15 Apr-16 Oct-16 Apr-17 Oct-17 Apr-18 Oct-18 Apr-19 Oct-19 Apr-20 Oct-20 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21
Nilai Ekspor Nilai Impor
X Harga %1D %MTD X Harga %1D %MTD HARGA KOMODITAS Aluminium (USD/MT) 3.18 3.22 -21.63 -11.87 4.93 0.24 0.95 0.41 19.65 18.94 4.86 4.09 0.23 0.77 6932.00 1908.00 -0.11 7.04 -0.03 0.40 242.00 2.96 15903.00 KOMODITAS INTERNASIONAL 2.95
Karet (JPY/Kg) Gas Alam (USD/MMBTu) Nikel (USD/MT)
44.82
Kopi (USD/lb) Batubara (USD/MT)
Emas (USD/Troy Ounce)
CPO (MYR/MT) WTI (USD/Barrel)
Brent (USD/Barrel)
3410.00 1876.68
Keterangan Ticker yang digunakan secara berturut-turut dari sebelah kiri ke kanan: CO1 Comdty, CL1 Comdty, KO1 Comdty, XAU Curncy, XW1 Comdty, KCA Comdty, JN1 Comdty, NGA Comdty , LMNIDS03 Comdty, LMCADS03 Comdty, LMAHDS03 Comdty
62.30 110.00 42.56
2.77 2.93 -0.99
Tembaga (USD/MT)
PEREKONOMIAN AMERIKA SERIKAT
62.47 11/11/202044.82 55.63 11/11/2020 42.56 -60 -40 -20 0 20 40 60 80
Jul-19 Aug-19 Sep-19 Oct-19 Nov-19 Dec-19 Jan-20 Feb-20 Mar-20 Apr-20 May-20 Jun-20 Jul-20 Aug-20 Sep-20 Oct-20 Nov-20 Oil Brent Oil WTI
Minyak (USD/Barel)
11/11/2020 3,410 1500 2000 2500 3000 3500 4000Jul-19 Aug-19 Sep-19 Oct-19 Nov-19 Dec-19 Jan-20 Feb-20 Mar-20 Apr-20 May-20 Jun-20 Jul-20 Aug-20 Sep-20 Oct-20
CPO (MYR/MT)
1,425 11/11/2020 1,877 1000 1200 1400 1600 1800 2000 2200Jul-19 Aug-19 Sep-19 Oct-19 Nov-19 Dec-19 Jan-20 Feb-20 Mar-20 Apr-20 May-20 Jun-20 Jul-20 Aug-20 Sep-20 Oct-20 Nov-20
Emas (USD/Troy Ounce)
74.10 11/11/2020 62.30 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80
Jul-19 Aug-19 Sep-19 Oct-19 Nov-19 Dec-19 Jan-20 Feb-20 Mar-20 Apr-20 May-20 Jun-20 Jul-20 Aug-20 Sep-20 Oct-20 Nov-20
Batubara (USD/MT)
11/11/2020 92.83 86 88 90 92 94 96 98 100 102 104Indeks Dolar
11/11/2020 0.79 -0.10 0.00 0.10 0.20 0.30 0.40 0.50 0.60 0.70 0.800.90
US 10Y - 2Y Bond Yield
142.4 8.8 0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 12.0 14.0 115 120 125 130 135 140 145 150
155 Employee on Non Farm Payrolls Unemployment - rhs
Employee on Non Farm Payroll (Million of Persons) and Unemployment (%)
1.40 -0.5 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 pr -12 Jul -12 O ct -12 Ja n-13 pr -13 Jul -13 O ct -13 Ja n-14 pr -14 Jul -14 O ct -14 Ja n-15 pr -15 Jul -15 O ct -15 Ja n-16 pr -16 Jul -16 O ct -16 Ja n-17 pr -17 Jul -17 O ct -17 Ja n-18 pr -18 Jul -18 O ct -18 Ja n-19 pr -19 Jul -19 O ct -19 Ja n-20 pr -20 Jul -20 O ct -20
Inflasi US (%yoy)
X Rp %1D %WTW X Rp %1D %WTW 0.66 0.00 1.25 -2.29 3.68 28,300 42,700 36,650 0.18 14,300 0.00 0.35 -0.47 0.00 0.00 11,800 35,000 118,250
Cabai Merah Cabai Rawit
0.00
KOMODITAS DOMESTIK STRATEGIS
Gula Pasir
Minyak Goreng
Bwg. Putih
25,300
14,400
HARGA KOMODITAS DOMESTIK
38,000
Beras Daging Ayam Daging Sapi Telur Ayam Bwg. Merah
1.74 -0.13 1.61 5.41 0.00 0.29 0.00 0.40 11,950 11,800 11,500 11,600 11,700 11,800 11,900 12,000 12,100 12,200
Apr-20 May-20 Jun-20 Jul-20 Aug-20 Sep-20 Oct-20
Beras (Rp/kg) 28,550 35,000 25,500 27,500 29,500 31,500 33,500 35,500 37,500 39,500 41,500
Apr-20 May-20 Jun-20 Jul-20 Aug-20 Sep-20 Oct-20
Daging Ayam(Rp/kg) 118,100 118,250 113,000 114,000 115,000 116,000 117,000 118,000 119,000 120,000 121,000 122,000
Apr-20 May-20 Jun-20 Jul-20 Aug-20 Sep-20 Oct-20
Daging Sapi (Rp/kg) 25,350 25,300 23,500 24,500 25,500 26,500 27,500 28,500 29,500 Telur Ayam(Rp/kg) 13,750 14,300 13,000 13,200 13,400 13,600 13,800 14,000 14,200 14,400 14,600 14,800 15,000 Minyak Goreng (Rp/kg) 46,300 38,000 15,000 25,000 35,000 45,000 55,000 65,000 75,000
Apr-20 May-20 Jun-20 Jul-20 Aug-20 Sep-20 Oct-20 Bawang Merah (Rp/kg) 39,250 28,300 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000 35,000 40,000 45,000
Apr-20 May-20 Jun-20 Jul-20 Aug-20 Sep-20 Oct-20 Bawang Putih (Rp/kg) 18,150 14,400 12,000 13,000 14,000 15,000 16,000 17,000 18,000 19,000 Gula Pasir (Rp/kg) 35,500 36,650 20,000 25,000 30,000 35,000 40,000
Apr-20 May-20 Jun-20 Jul-20 Aug-20 Sep-20 Oct-20 Cabai Rawit (Rp/kg) 31,700 42,700 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 60,000
Apr-20 May-20 Jun-20 Jul-20 Aug-20 Sep-20 Oct-20 Cabai Merah (Rp/kg)
