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Daily Price Action

IHSG Technical Review

Friday, June 20

th

₂₀₁₄

4864.27

-23.59

153.46 -0.48%

-0.64

Vol (Mn):

3,975

-0.42%

Val (Bn):

4,153

IHSG

LS-27

R3

5092

R2

5000

R1

4910

Last

4864.27

S1

4843

S2

4770

S3

4696

Comment:

Bearish

Consolidations

movement. Moderate trading

volume. Huge trading volume.

Stochastic golden-cross

at

oversold

state,

upside

potential.

RSI

have

consolidations

momentum

at

moderate

oscillator.

Medium

term

bearish

movement.

Stop-loss level 4850. Rebound

potential at 4900. Downside

potential at 4843.

Sector Indices

Last

Change

Change %

Agriculture

2354

(11.57)

(0.49)

Mining

1505

(19.26)

(1.28)

Basic Industry

526 (3.60)

(0.68)

Misc Industry

1256

(4.31)

(0.34)

Consumer

2002

(0.14)

(0.01)

Property

412 (5.79)

(1.40)

Infrastructure

1062

(1.35)

(0.13)

Finance

647 (1.93)

(0.30)

Trade

891 (7.97)

(0.89)

Manufacture

1258

(3.43)

(0.27)

Source: Bloomberg

Most Active

Last

Change %

Freq

SSMS

1,250

(2.3)

7,904

MYRX

635

0.0 7,162

BUMI

165 (5.7)

4,461

PLAS

1,475

0.3 4,239

BMTR

2,115

(2.1)

4,193

Most Volume

Last

Change %

000 Lot

ENRG

100

0.0

228 BUMI

165 (5.7)

219 BKSL

104 (4.6)

186 TMPI

458

0.7

119

214 (0.5)

108 Most Value

Last

Change %

Rp Bil

BMRI

9,800

(0.8)

257 ASII

7,150

(0.3)

252 TLKM

2,410

(0.4)

188 BBRI

10,050

(0.5)

158 SMGR

15,000

(1.3)

102 Source: Bloomberg

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Daily Price Action

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Stock Pick

AISA

R3

2485

R2

2365

R1

2250

Last

2235

S1

2140

S2

2000

S3

1850

TRADING BUY

Comment:

Bullish

harami,

moderate

trading volume. Reversal

signal.

Stochastic bearish movement at

oversold state, broad

golden-cross potential.

RSI bullish momentum at near

oversold oscillator.

The price has rebound at lower

Bollinger bands.

Medium term bearish and long

term bullish movement.

Stop-loss level 2200, upside

potential

2295

(MA50

resistance).

AALI

R3

31000

R2

29475

R1

27925

Last

27000

S1

26550

S2

25100

S3

23825

PARTIAL SELL

Comment:

Bearish engulfing, huge trading

volume. Reversal signal.

Stochastic dead-cross potential

at overbought state. Broad

upside potential.

RSI, consolidations momentum

potential at oscillator.

Long term bullish and medium

term bearish movement.

The price has pulled back on

upper Bollinger bands.

Stop-loss level at 26750,

downside potential at 26250

(Support fractal).

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Daily Price Action

Stock Pick

APLN

R3

330 R2

315 R1

295 Last

285 S1

280 S2

260 S3

245 PARTIAL SELL

Comment:

Bearish harami,

moderate

trading volume, Reversal signal.

Stochastic

dead-cross

at

overbought

state.

Broad

downside potential.

RSI have a bearish reversal

momentum at near overbought

oscillator.

The price on pulled back on

upper Bollinger bands.

Medium term

bullish

movement.

Stop-loss level 280, downside

potential at 273.

(MA50

resistance level).

ASII

R3

8000

R2

7725

R1

7400

Last

7150

S1

7150

S2

6900

S3

6550

WAIT

Comment:

Oversold, moderate trading

volume, reversal signal.

Stochastic

golden-cross

potential at oversold state.

Broad upside potential.

RSI have bullish momentum

potential at oversold oscillator.

Medium term bearish and long

term bullish movement.

The price has arrived at lower

Bollinger bands.

Stop-loss level 7075, upside

potential at 7375

(MA25

resistance level).

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Daily Price Action

Source : Reliance Securities

Legend :

B: BUY (allocate till 100% of the weighted capital to accumulate, higher than 50% upside probability) SB: SPECULATIVE BUY (allocate 25%-50% of the weighted capital to accumulate, 25%-50% upside probability) W: WAIT (wait for proper entry level, do the stop-loss if necessary)

H: HOLD (hold the portfolio position, aim for the best price to distribute)

PS: PARTIAL SELL (distribute 25%-50% part of the portfolio, 25%-50% downside probability) S: SELL (distribute till 100% of the portfolio, higher than 50% downside probability)

TB: TRADING BUY (short term or intraday trading within a tight trading range. Highly speculative).

Analyst Conclusion:

The index on the consolidation movement.

relitrade.com

LS27 Technical table

Closing

Stop

Rec

Target

S2

S1

Price

R1

R2

Technical Notes

Rec

Loss

Buy Prc

Price

Plantation

AALI

25,100

26,550

27,000

27,925

29,475

Bearish engulfing

PS

26,750

27,500

LSIP

1,960

2,135

2,275

2,300

2,450

Stoch dead-cross

H

2,250

2,350

Mining

INCO

3,180

3,430

3,620

3,700

4,040

Bearish harami

W

3,660

PTBA

9,650

10,425

10,800

11,100

12,050

Oversold

W

10,500

Consumer

AISA

2,000

2,140

2,235

2,250

2,365

Bullish harami

TB

2,200

2,295

MYOR

26,400

28,000

29,300

29,450

31,000

Overbought

PS

28,500

KLBF

1,530

1,600

1,675

1,760

Oversold

W

1,600

Trading

ACES

710

780

845

860

935 Bearish momentum

PS

800 AKRA

4,250

4,470

4,510

4,700

Bearish momentum

S

4,500

BMTR

1,920

2,050

2,115

2,175

2,290

Bearish momentum

W

2,050

UNTR

19,575

20,900

22,525

23,750

Bearish meeting line

PS

21,500

MAPI

4,480

4,725

4,970

5,050

5,500

Bearish momentum

W

4,900

MNCN

2,650

2,725

2,730

2,855

2,940

Bearish momentum

PS

2,700

Property & Construction

ASRI

395

420

438

465

510 Oversold

W

425 SMRA

1,015

1,080

1,150

1,170

1,250

Bearish momentum

PS

1,170

BSDE

1,350

1,425

1,525

1,530

1,625

Break out support

PS

1,500

LPKR

930 1,000

1,025

1,100

1,205

Break out support

PS

1,000

WIKA

1,990

2,150

2,180

2,300

2,450

Bearish momentum

PS

2,150

CTRA

840

960

995 1,050

1,155

Oversold

W

975

Basic Industry & Chemical

CPIN

3,600

3,825

3,860

4,140

4,500

Bearish momentum

PS

3,825

INTP

22,400

23,525

24,250

25,000

26,275

Bearish momentum

S

24,000

Miscelaneous

ASII

6,900

7,150

7,400

7,725

Oversold

W

7,150

Finance

BBNI

4,475

4,700

4,835

4,900

5,100

Sideways

W

4,800

BBRI

9,500

9,950

10,050

10,500

11,000

Consolidations

W

9,950

BBTN

890

970 1,030

1,040

1,100

Consolidations

W

1,000

Infrastructure

TLKM

2,200

2,350

2,410

2,470

2,600

Oversold

TB

2,400

2,485

PGAS

5,000

5,250

5,500

5,550

5,800

Consolidations

W

5,250

Stocks

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Daily Price Action

Technical Indicators Summary

Legend :

•Movement: Bullish and Bearish

•Momentum: Oversold (Jenuh Jual), Overbought (Jenuh Beli) and Neutral •Resistance Fractal: Strong Resistance

•Support Fractal: Strong Support

Resistance Price Support Weekly Weekly

Fractal 6/19/2014 Fractal High Low RSI B. Band 25 Days 50 Days 200 Days

AALI.JK 27,800 27,000 26,250 27,350 26,675 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Upper

ACES.JK 925 845 835 880 870 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Upper

ADRO.JK 1,340 1,230 1,225 1,305 1,265 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Upper

AISA.JK 2,470 2,235 2,290 2,440 2,280 Oversold Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Upper

AKRA.JK 4,640 4,510 4,245 4,640 4,585 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Under Under

ANTM.JK 1,280 1,140 1,120 1,170 1,140 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Under

APLN.JK 287 285 264 288 283 Overbought Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper

ASII.JK 7,325 7,150 7,075 7,475 7,200 Oversold Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Upper

ASRI.JK 480 438 465 473 454 Oversold Bearish Oversold Lower Bands Under Under Under

BBCA.JK 11,400 11,050 10,900 11,225 11,050 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Upper

BBNI.JK 4,915 4,835 4,785 4,930 4,840 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Upper

BBRI.JK 10,925 10,050 10,025 10,200 10,150 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Upper

BBTN.jk 1,055 1,030 1,005 1,075 1,025 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Under

BDMN.JK 4,325 4,190 4,215 4,325 4,210 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Upper

BHIT.JK 337 322 320 335 327 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Under

BKSL.JK 117 104 115 117 111 Oversold Bearish Oversold Middle Bands Under Under Under

BMRI.JK 10,450 9,800 9,750 9,950 9,925 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Upper

BMTR.JK 2,200 2,115 2,050 2,195 2,170 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Upper

BORN.JK 117 108 109 115 112 Neutral Bearish Neutral Lower Bands Under Under Under

BSDE.JK 1,610 1,525 1,550 1,590 1,570 Neutral Bearish Neutral Lower Bands Under Under Upper

BTPN.JK 4,260 4,220 4,190 4,250 4,220 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper

BWPT.JK 1,315 1,260 1,250 1,285 1,270 Oversold Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Upper

CMNP.JK 3,600 3,500 3,500 3,595 3,510 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Upper

CPIN.JK 3,940 3,860 3,835 3,915 3,890 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Upper

CTRA.JK 1,115 995 1,030 1,060 1,035 Neutral Bearish Neutral Lower Bands Under Under Upper

CTRP.JK 750 690 705 730 720 Neutral Bearish Neutral Lower Bands Under Under Under

CTRS.JK 2,450 2,180 2,350 2,450 2,270 Oversold Bearish Oversold Lower Bands Under Under Upper

DILD.JK 498 454 491 475 463 Oversold Bearish Neutral Lower Bands Under Under Upper

EXCL.JK 5,450 5,100 4,930 5,375 5,125 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Upper

GGRM.JK 55,000 52,675 51,300 54,600 53,250 Oversold Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Upper

GIAA.JK 464 416 430 438 418 Neutral Bearish Oversold Lower Bands Under Under Under

GJTL.JK 1,955 1,810 1,885 1,945 1,885 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Under

HEXA.JK 3,895 3,750 3,765 3,895 3,790 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Upper

HRUM.JK 2,465 2,360 2,380 2,465 2,390 Oversold Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Under

ICBP.JK 10,275 10,100 9,975 10,275 10,075 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Under

IMAS.JK 4,845 4,700 4,690 4,740 4,700 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Under

INCO.JK 3,945 3,620 3,820 3,760 3,680 Oversold Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Upper

INDF.JK 6,925 6,825 6,750 6,925 6,825 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Under

INDY.JK 750 650 690 705 685 Oversold Bearish Neutral Lower Bands Under Upper Under

INTA.JK 318 307 305 315 309 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Upper

INTP.JK 25,025 24,250 22,625 25,025 24,425 Overbought Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper

ITMG.JK 30,100 27,200 27,150 28,275 27,650 Oversold Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Under

JPFA.JK 1,335 1,140 1,270 1,295 1,170 Oversold Bearish Neutral Lower Bands Under Under Under

JSMR.JK 6,050 5,900 5,900 6,025 5,975 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Upper

KIJA.JK 255 222 234 247 231 Neutral Bearish Oversold Lower Bands Under Under Under

KLBF.JK 1,645 1,600 1,600 1,660 1,630 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Upper

KRAS.JK 475 449 467 470 453 Oversold Bullish Oversold Lower Bands Under Under Under

LPKR.JK 1,060 1,025 1,020 1,060 1,050 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Under

LSIP.JK 2,370 2,275 2,175 2,325 2,235 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Upper

MAPI.JK 5,475 4,970 5,050 5,425 5,150 Neutral Bearish Neutral Lower Bands Under Under Under

MASA.JK 313 314 287 315 310 Overbought Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Under

MNCN.JK 2,900 2,730 2,740 2,900 2,785 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Upper

MTLA.JK 420 412 410 425 416 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Under

MYOR.JK 29,500 29,300 28,050 29,350 29,225 Overbought Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper

PGAS.JK 5,550 5,500 5,200 5,550 5,450 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper

PTBA.JK 11,550 10,800 10,900 11,225 10,850 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Under

RALS.JK 1,275 1,160 1,205 1,270 1,220 Neutral Bearish Oversold Lower Bands Under Under Under

ROTI.JK 1,320 1,350 1,250 1,355 1,295 Neutral Bearish Neutral Upper Bands Upper Upper Upper

SGRO.JK 2,340 2,270 2,225 2,340 2,290 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Upper

SIMP.JK 1,065 1,020 1,005 1,035 1,020 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper

SMCB.JK 2,840 2,550 2,480 2,595 2,550 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Upper

SMGR.JK 15,425 15,000 14,825 15,475 15,350 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Upper

SMRA.JK 1,240 1,150 1,150 1,240 1,185 Neutral Bearish Neutral Lower Bands Under Under Upper

SSIA.JK 750 685 700 725 690 Oversold Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Under

TLKM.JK 2,545 2,410 2,405 2,495 2,420 Oversold Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Upper

TOTL.JK 815 775 770 815 790 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Upper

UNTR.JK 23,100 22,525 21,975 23,100 22,700 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper

WIKA.JK 2,310 2,180 2,195 2,310 2,245 Neutral Bearish Neutral Lower Bands Under Under Upper

WSKT.JK 710 665 640 710 685 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Upper

Ticker _Stochastic Indicator Moving Average

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Daily Price Action

RESEARCH DIVISION

Jasa Adhi Mulya jasa@reliance-securities.com Robertus Yanuar Hardy robertus@reliance-securities.com Lanjar Nafi Taulat I lanjar@reliance-securities.com Hansen Teguh hansen@reliance-securities.com Aji Setiawan aji@reliance-securities.com Alan Milgerry alan@reliance-securities.com Pieter Djatmiko pieter@reliance-securities.com

Disclaimer:

Informasi, opini dan rekomendasi yang terdapat dalam dokumen ini disajikan oleh PT Reliance Securities Tbk. dari sumber-sumber yang dianggap terpercaya dan dapat diandalkan. Dokumen ini bukan merupakan penawaran, invitasi atau representasi dalam bentuk apapun untuk pengambilan keputusan membeli maupun menjual saham. Keputusan investasi yang diambil berdasarkan dokumen ini bukan merupakan tanggung jawab PT Reliance Securities Tbk. PT Reliance Securities Tbk. berhak untuk merubah isi dokumen ini sewaktu-waktu tanpa pemberitahuan terlebih dahulu.

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