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Chapter 3 The External Assessment

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(1)

Fred R. David Prentice Hall

Ch.3-1

Chapter 3

The External Assessment

Strategic Management:

Concepts and Cases

.

9

th

edition

Fred R. David

PowerPoint Slides by Anthony F. Chelte

(2)

External Strategic Management Audit

Also called:

– Environmental scanning

(3)

Fred R. David Prentice Hall

Ch.3-3

External Strategic Management Audit

External Audit:

– Identification and evaluation of trends and events beyond control of single firm

• Increased foreign competition

• Populations shifts

• Aging society

• Information technology

(4)

Purpose:

– Development of Finite List:

• Opportunities

• Threats to be avoided

(5)

Fred R. David Prentice Hall

Ch.3-5

Five (5) broad categories:

1. Economic forces

2. Social, cultural, demographic, & environmental forces

3. Political, governmental, and legal forces 4. Technological factors

5. Competitive forces

(6)

Relationships Between Key External Forces and an Organization

Key External Forces Competitors Suppliers Distributors Creditors Customers Employees Communities Managers Stockholders Labor Unions

Special Interest Groups Products

Services

Opportunities &

(7)

Fred R. David Prentice Hall

Ch.3-7

Performing an External Audit

Gather competitive intelligence on factors:

– Social

– Cultural

– Demographic

– Environmental

– Economic

– Political, legal, governmental

(8)

Performing an External Audit

Sources of information include:

– Internet

– Libraries (corporate, university, public)

– Suppliers

– Distributors

– Customers

(9)

Fred R. David Prentice Hall

Ch.3-9

Performing an External Audit

Key factors:

– Vary over time

(10)

Performing an External Audit

Variables include:

– Market share

– Breadth of competing products

– World economies

– Foreign affiliates

– Proprietary account advantages

– Price competitiveness

– Technological advancements

– Interest rates

(11)

Fred R. David Prentice Hall

Ch.3-11

Key External Factors

Key External Factors:

1. Oriented to long-term & annual objectives 2. Measurable

3. Applicable to all competing firms 4. Hierarchical

• Overall company

(12)

Economic Forces

Monitor Key Economic Variables:

 Availability of credit

Level of disposable income  Interest rates

 Inflation rates

 Money market rates

 Federal government budget deficits

(13)

Fred R. David Prentice Hall

Ch.3-13

Monitor Key Economic Variables:

• Unemployment trends

• Worker productivity levels

• Value of the dollar in world markets

• Stock market trends

• Foreign countries’ economic conditions • Import/export factors

• Demand shifts for goods/services

• Income differences by region/customer

(14)

Monitor Key Economic Variables:

• Price fluctuations

• Exportation of labor & capital

• Monetary policies

• Fiscal policies

• Tax rates

• ECC policies

• OPEC policies

(15)

Fred R. David Prentice Hall

Ch.3-15

Social, Cultural, Demographic &

Environmental Forces

Major impact on:

– Products

– Services

– Markets

(16)

Monitor Key Variables

Life expectancy rates

Per capita income

Attitudes toward business

Average disposable income

Buying habits

Ethical concerns

(17)

Fred R. David Prentice Hall

Ch.3-17

Monitor Key Variables

Racial equality

Average level of education

Government regulation

Attitudes toward customer service

Attitudes toward product quality

Energy conservation

(18)

Monitor Key Variables

Value placed on leisure time

Recycling

Waste management

Air & water pollution

Ozone depletion

(19)

Fred R. David Prentice Hall

Ch.3-19

Political, Govt., & Legal Forces

Government Regulation

Key opportunities & key threats

• Antitrust legislation (Microsoft)

• Tax rates

• Lobbying efforts

(20)

Political, Govt., & Legal Forces

Increasing Global Interdependence

Impact of political variables

– Formulation of Strategies

(21)

Fred R. David Prentice Hall

Ch.3-21

Political, Govt., & Legal Forces

Increasing Global Interdependence

Strategists in a global economy

• Forecast political climates

• Legalistic skills

(22)

Political, Govt., & Legal Forces

Globalization of Industry

• Worldwide trend toward similar consumption patterns

• Global buyers & sellers

• E-commerce

(23)

Fred R. David Prentice Hall

Ch.3-23

Political, Govt., & Legal Forces

Key Political, govt., & legal variables:

• Government regulation/deregulation

• Tax law changes

• Special tariffs

• Political Action Committees (PACs)

• Voter participation rates

• Number of patents

(24)

Technological Forces

Revolutionary technological forces:

Profound impact on organizations

• Internet

• Semiconductors

(25)

Fred R. David Prentice Hall

Ch.3-25

Technological Forces

Internet changes the nature of opportunities and threats --

• Alters life cycle of products

• Increases speed of distribution

• Creates new products and services

• Eases limitations of geographic markets

• Alters economies of scale

(26)

Competitive Forces

(27)

Fred R. David Prentice Hall

Ch.3-27

Competitive Forces

(28)

Competitive Forces

Identifying rival firms

• Strengths

• Weaknesses

• Capabilities

• Opportunities

• Threats

• Objectives

(29)

Fred R. David Prentice Hall

Ch.3-29

Competitive Analysis: Porter’s Five -Forces Model

Potential development of substitute products

Rivalry among competing firms Bargaining power

of suppliers

Potential entry of new competitors

(30)

Industry Analysis (EFE)

External Factor Evaluation Matrix

Summarize & evaluate:

Competitive Political

Cultural

Technological Environmental

Social

Governmental Demographic

(31)

Fred R. David Prentice Hall

Ch.3-31

Industry Analysis (EFE)

Five-Step process:

List key external factors (10-20)

Opportunities & threats

Assign weight to each (0 to 1.0)

Sum of all weights = 1.0

(32)

Industry Analysis (EFE)

Five-step process:

Assign 1-4 rating to each factor

• Firm’s current strategies response to the

factor

• Response poor - superior

• Multiply each factor’s weight by its rating

(33)

Fred R. David Prentice Hall

Ch.3-33

Industry Analysis (EFE)

Five-step process:

Sum the weighted scores for each

Determines the total weighted score

for the organization.

(34)

Factor Weight Rating Weighted score

Opportunities

High-end in-home entertainment sales are growing nationally 0.15 4 0.60

Forecast for continued growth of expensive housing in Dade & Broward counties

0.16 4 0.64

Wealthy foreigners buy expensive entertainment equipment for their homes in South Florida

0.07 3 0.21

Current customers refer new prospects with little prompting 0.12 3 0.36

Direct mailing lists are available by household income 0.06 3 0.18

Threats

Large chains could expand upward into their niche 0.13 1 0.13

New technologies such as satellite broadcast compete with current technologies

0.10 1 0.10

Declining incomes in South Florida versus the U.S. 0.08 2 0.16

South Florida highly dependent on trade with Latin America 0.07 1 0.07

Economy depends on air transport, a volatile industry 0.06 2 0.12

(35)

Fred R. David Prentice Hall

Ch.3-35

Industry Analysis (EFE)

Important

Understanding of the factors used in the

(36)

Industry Analysis (CPM)

Competitive Profile Matrix

Identifies firm’s major competitors

and their strengths & weaknesses

in relation to a sample firm’s

strategic position

(37)

Fred R. David Prentice Hall

Ch.3-37

(CPM) Procter

Avon L’Oreal & Gamble

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