Indonesia PERISTIWA DOMESTIK DAN GLOBAL

44050.00 ###

6.77 -5.32 -0.10 #N/A ^1267.40 2.28

0.52 (%yoy) (%mtm) (%) ^(Miliar _USD) -6.36

X X

Rp/Kg Harga

%1D %1D

X X

Rp/Kg Harga

%1D %1D

5,521

NILAI TUKAR, SAHAM & ARUS MODAL ASING

USD/IDR %DTD %MTD %YTD

06/0 8/20 20

NILAI %DTD %MTD

69

272,663

6,184

KOMODITAS INTERNASIONAL

Trade Bal. Ekspor

Impor

AS

CAD to PDB

PDB

HARGA KOMODITAS DOMESTIK DAN INTERNASIONAL Indonesia %yoy

Jun-20

KOMODITAS DOMESTIK

CAP FLOW YTD -134.24 -65.62 -199.86 -8304.87 EQUITY (MTD)

CDS5T

-0.24

Emas (USD/Troy Ounce)

2061.33 -0.11

Karet (JPY/Kg) 164.70

1.35 Daging Sapi

Beras Brent (USD/Barrel)

44.98 Daging Ayam

CPO (MYR/MT)

22,850 36,650

Cabai Rawit

36,900 14478.00

Batubara (USD/MT) 50.20

-2.71 Gula Pasir

2867.00

33,250

0.66 -0.54 -1.73 -0.36 -0.34

119,100

Nikel (USD/MT)

0.41 Minyak Goreng

-0.97 13,700 14,750

Bwg. Putih Cabai Merah

0.25 0.00 0.45

0.42 -2.07

11,850 33,100 26,250

Telur Ayam Bwg. Merah IHSG

CAPITAL FLOW (JUTA USD) Rp14,625.00

Jun-20 Jul-20

Jun-20

Inflasi

YIELD OBG PEMERINTAH 10T (%)

KONDISI EKONOMI

BOND (MTD) CAP FLOW MTD

NILAI %DTD %MTD %YTD

115.29 0.00 0.00 70.24

EDISI: 145/08/2020 Jumat, 7 Agustus 2020

Kinerja Sektor Pertanian dan Perkebunan Masih Positif di Tengah Perlambatan Ekonomi

PERISTIWA DOMESTIK DAN GLOBAL

%YTD

Rp5,143.89 -0.66 -0.11 -18.34

-0.27 -0.17 -5.19

Total Kasus Total Meninggal Kasus Baru Meninggal

COVID-19

19,101,222

715,017 1,882

Dunia Indonesia

118,753

0.00 2000.00 4000.00 6000.00 8000.00

0 100,000 200,000 300,000

13/04/2020

15/04/2

02017/04/202019/04/202021/04/202023/04/202025/04/202027/04/202029/04/202001/05/202003/05/202005/05/202007/05/202009/05/202011/05/202013/05/202015/05/202017/05/202019/05/202021/05/202023/05/202025/05/202027/05/202029/05/202031/05/202002/06/202004/06/202006/06/202008/06/202010/06/202012/06/202014/06/202016/06/202018/06/202020/06/202022/06/202024/06/202026/06/202028/06/202030/06/202002/07/202004/07/202006/07/202008/07/202010/07/202012/07/202014/07/202016/07/202018/07/202020/07/202022/07/202024/07/202026/07/202028/07/202030/07/202001/08/202003/08/202005/08/2020

MA7 Kasus Baru MA7 Meninggal-rhs

Dunia

0.00 50.00 100.00 150.00

0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000

13/04/202015/04/202017/04/202019/04/202021/04/202023/04/202025/04/202027/04/202029/04/202001/05/202003/05/202005/05/202007/05/202009/05/202011/05/202013/05/202015/05/202017/05/202019/05/202021/05/202023/05/202025/05/202027/05/202029/05/202031/05/202002/06/202004/06/202006/06/202008/06/202010/06/202012/06/202014/06/202016/06/202018/06/202020/06/202022/06/202024/06/202026/06/202028/06/202030/06/202002/07/202004/07/202006/07/202008/07/202010/07/202012/07/202014/07/202016/07/202018/07/202020/07/202022/07/202024/07/202026/07/202028/07/202030/07/202001/08/202003/08/202005/08/2020

MA7 Kasus Baru MA7 Meninggal-rhs

Indonesia

• Indeks Harga Saham Gabungan (IHSG) ditutup melemah setelah naik dalam tiga hari berturut-turut sebelumnya. Jumat (7/8), IHSG turun 34,38 poin atau 0,66% ke 5.143,89 pada akhir perdagangan di Bursa Efek Indonesia (BEI). Total volume transaksi bursa mencapai 12,77 miliar saham dengan nilai transaksi Rp 10,12 triliun. Sebanyak 263 saham turun harga. Ada 163 saham yang masih menguat dan 159 saham flat.

• Kementerian Perdagangan (Kemendag) mencatat, kinerja sektor pertaninan dan perkebunan di tengah perlambatan ekonomi masih cukup positif. Ini ditandai dengan masih jalannya proses ekspor untuk beberapa komoditas, seperti kopi, kapulaga, karet, hingga produk turunan kelapa sawit, terutama di sejumlah daerah.

• Rasio kredit bermasalah perbankan atau non performing loan (NPL) mengalami tren meningkat sejak akhir tahun 2019 hingga bulan Juni 2020. Pada akhir 2019, masih berada pada posisi 2,53%, kemudian meningkat menjadi 2,77% pada Maret 3020, naik lagi jadi 2,89% pada April, 3,01% pada Mei dan menjadi 3,11% pada Juni 2020. Ketua Dewan Komisioner OJK Wimboh Santoso kenaikan NPL tersebut sebetulnya lebih tertahan/ terkendali karena kebijakan relaksasi restrukturisasi kredit. Tanpa relaksasi, NPL bisa meningkat lebih tajam mengingat pukulan sangat besar yang diakibatkan pandemi Covid-19 terhadap ekonomi

• Sumber: Bloomberg dan Kontan

07/08/2020 14,625

12000 12500 13000 13500 14000 14500 15000 15500 16000 16500

17000

USD/IDR

07/08/2020 5,144

3500 4000 4500 5000 5500 6000 6500 7000

IHSG

-5.19 -2.37

3.27 -3.87

-0.02 0.03 -4.76

2.83 -24.42

-15.77 -18.72 -20.48

-17.64

7.50 5.87 5.51 5.81 -2.41 -1.86 -1.82

Indonesia Malaysia Filipina Thailand Vietnam China India Jepang Brazil Rusia Turki Afrika Selatan Argentina Swedia Swiss Euro Denmark Korea Selatan Ghana Singapura

%Perbandingan Nilai Tukar Indonesia dan Negara Sekitar

(ytd)

-0.17 1.16 0.22 0.01 -0.04

0.20 -0.18

0.20 -2.09

1.07 -4.77

-3.03 -0.53

0.78 -0.01

0.45 0.42 0.54 -0.09

0.26

Indonesia Malaysia Filipina Thailand Vietnam China India Jepang Brazil Rusia Turki Afrika Selatan Argentina Swedia Swiss Euro Denmark Korea Selatan Ghana Singapura

%Perbandingan Nilai Tukar Indonesia dan Negara Sekitar (mtd)

-18.34 -0.27 -25.20

-16.06 -21.03

10.01 9.96 -13.03

-8.03 7.01 6.93 -9.96 -11.77

4.02 -12.73

-5.61 -4.03

3.66

IHSG Indonesia FTSE Malaysia PSEi Filipina SET Thailand STI Singapur Hanoi Vietnam Shanghai China Hangseng Hongkong NIFTY India KOSPI Korea TWSE Taiwan Sao Paulo Brasil Borsa Istanbul 100 JSE Africa Bolsa Mexico NIKKEI Jepang Dow Jones US S&P US

%Perbandingan Indeks Saham Indonesia dan Negara Sekitar (ytd)

-0.11 -1.20 -1.39 -0.19

0.60 4.90 1.33 -0.32

1.06 4.55 1.30 1.18 -10.42

2.90 2.64 2.86 3.63 2.39

IHSG Indonesia FTSE Malaysia PSEi Filipina SET Thailand STI Singapur Hanoi Vietnam Shanghai China Hangseng Hongkong NIFTY India KOSPI Korea TWSE Taiwan Sao Paulo Brasil Borsa Istanbul 100 JSE Africa Bolsa Mexico NIKKEI Jepang Dow Jones US S&P US

%Perbandingan Indeks Saham Indonesia dan Negara Sekitar

(mtd)

EQUITY MTD YTD

TGL IDN MAL PHI THA SGP VIE IDN

^{-134.24 #####}

8/7 -0.27 -0.02 0.02 -0.19 -0.15 -0.05

PHI

^{-182.47 #####}

8/6 -0.24 0.03 0.04 -0.39 0.07 0.00

MAL

^{-202.50 #####}

8/5 0.52 0.67 0.06 0.31 0.25 0.00

THA

^{-107.44 #####}

8/4 0.03 0.04 -0.02 0.43 0.21 0.00

VIE

^{-4.23 -139.77}

INDIA

^{1090.92 -197.26}

TGL IHSG FTSE PSEi SET STI Hanoi

KOR

^{-193.22 #####}

8/7 -0.66 -0.25 -0.96 -0.54 -0.55 -0.50

BOND MTD MTD

8/6 1.00 1.30 1.18 -0.31 1.04 -0.59

IDN ^{-65.62 ####}

8/5 1.03 -0.50 1.01 0.49 0.68 1.35

AFSEL ^{-33.25 ####}

8/4 1.37 0.21 1.04 0.73 1.24 1.87

THA ^{-22.86 ####}

MEXICO #####

^#####

TGL IDN PHI MAL THA VIE INDIA INDIA ^-54.67

^#####

8/7

- -138.04 - - - -

KOR ^{619.51 ####}

8/6

-0.65 11.23 -21.50 19.54 0.27 -

8/5

-30.01 -5.25 -80.40 -21.69 -0.05 -29.22

8/4

-3.08 -17.07 -59.40 -58.73 -4.98 116.63

TGL AFSEL THA MEXICO INDIA

07/08/2020 - - - -

06/08/2020 26.44 -84.69 - -

05/08/2020 -58.88 -7.36 - -43.23

04/08/2020 80.90 -22.02 - 16.30

- 215.32 154.43

195.59

INDIKATOR RISIKO

115.29 597.24 216.11

TURKEY BRAZIL

- 52.34 -117.96

AFSEL 314.80 IDN

MTD dan YTD Capital dalam Juta USD

94.68 70.08

EQUITY INFLOW/OUTFLOW HARIAN (JUTA USD)

-0.55 -0.17

S&P PERKEMBANGAN NILAI SAHAM HARIAN (%)

IDN

-

0.00 0.64

-65.28

-107.70

KOR Index USD PERKEMBANGAN NILAI TUKAR HARIAN (%)

LAMPIRAN

0.37 -0.09

BOND INFLOW/OUTFLOW HARIAN (JUTA USD)

0.64 0.36

KOR

964

-237 118

3,740

-514 776

-20

-651 -519-269-493 571

1

-340 -375 -560 552

-318 -264 -1000 0 1000 2000 3000 4000

Equity Flow Bulanan Indonesia

1,174 2,010

1,766

-523 -708 2,766

1,729

-239 1,409

2,067

666

-350 999

-2,071

-7,538 270612

329598

Jan-19 Feb-19 Mar-19 Apr-19 May-19 Jun-19 Jul-19 Aug-19 Sep-19 Oct-19 Nov-19 Dec-19 Jan-20 Feb-20 Mar-20 Apr-20 May-20 Jun-20 Jul-20 -9000 -6000 -3000 0 3000 6000

Bond Flow Bulanan Indonesia

6.8

0.52 300 400 500 600 700 800

0 2 4 6 8 10

Apr-19 Jul-19 Oct-19 Jan-20 Apr-20 Jul-20

Gap - rhs Yield Obligasi Indonesia 10Y Yield Obligasi US 10T

Yield Obligasi Indonesia dan AS

0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700

Feb-20 Mar-20 Apr-20 May-20 Jun-20 Jul-20

Indonesia Turkey Brazil Sout Africa

Perbandingan CDS 5T

07/08/2020 23.27

0 20 40 60 80 100

Feb-20 Mar-20 Apr-20 May-20 Jun-20 Jul-20

CBOE Volatility Index

6.77

0.52 0.81 0.72 1.21

2.44 2.70 2.98

Indonesia US Singapore Hongkong Thailand Malaysia Philipines China

Perbandingan Yield Obligasi 10T (%)

70.24 72.10 86.82

111.69 117.30

92.74

57.06 58.25

Indonesia Mexico Peru Turkey Brazil Sout Africa Malaysia Philipines

Perbandingan CDS 5T (% YTD)

X IDN MAL PHI THA VNM X IDN MAL PHI THA VNM

%Yoy -5.32 0.70 -16.50 -1.80 0.36 %Yoy 1.54 -1.90 ## ## 3.39

PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI DAN INFLASI

SEKTOR EKSTERNAL

01/06/2020 -5.32

-6.0 -4.0 -2.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0

Jun-11 Dec-11 Jun-12 Dec-12 Jun-13 Dec-13 Jun-14 Dec-14 Jun-15 Dec-15 Jun-16 Dec-16 Jun-17 Dec-17 Jun-18 Dec-18 Jun-19 Dec-19 Jun-20

Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Kuartalan (%, yoy)

01/07/202 0…

0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 8.0

9.0

Inflasi Bulanan (%, yoy)

-2 0 2 4 6 8 10

Sep-13 Mar-14 Sep-14 Mar-15 Sep-15 Mar-16 Sep-16 Mar-17 Sep-17 Mar-18 Sep-18 Mar-19 Sep-19 Mar-20

Indonesia Malaysia Philipines Thailand Vietnam

Perbandingan Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Beberapa Negara (%yoy)

-6 -4 -2 0 2 4 6 8 10

Jul-12 Jan-13 Jul-13 Jan-14 Jul-14 Jan-15 Jul-15 Jan-16 Jul-16 Jan-17 Jul-17 Jan-18 Jul-18 Jan-19 Jul-19 Jan-20 Jul-20

Indonesia Malaysia Philipines

Thailand Vietnam

Perbandingan Inflasi Bulanan Beberapa Negara (%yoy)

126.5

131.7

01/07/2020: 135.1

Jul-17 Oct-17 Jan-18 Apr-18 Jul-18 Oct-18 Jan-19 Apr-19 Jul-19 Oct-19 Jan-20 Apr-20 Jul-20

100 110 120 130

Cadangan Devisa (miliar USD) 140

-3.2

-3.9 0.0

-1.42 0.00

-5 -4 -3 -2 -1 0

M a r-1 2 Ju n-1 2 Sep -1 2 D ec -1 2 M a r-1 3 Ju n-1 3 Sep -1 3 D ec -1 3 M a r-1 4 Ju n-1 4 Sep -1 4 D ec -1 4 M a r-1 5 Ju n-1 5 Sep -1 5 D ec -1 5 M a r-1 6 Ju n-1 6 Sep -1 6 D ec -1 6 M a r-1 7 Ju n-1 7 Sep -1 7 D ec -1 7 M a r-1 8 Ju n-1 8 Sep -1 8 D ec -1 8 M a r-1 9 Ju n-1 9 Sep -1 9 D ec -1 9 M a r-2 0 Ju n-2 0 -12

-10 -8 -6 -4 -2 0 Transaksi Berjalan (Miliar US$) - RHS

% Transaksi Berjalan thd GDP

% Transaksi Berjalan thd GDP & Defisit Transaksi Berjalan

01/07/2020: …

Jan -1 2 Ju l-1 2 Jan -1 3 Ju l-1 3 Jan -1 4 Ju l-1 4 Jan -1 5 Ju l-1 5 Jan -1 6 Ju l-1 6 Jan -1 7 Ju l-1 7 Jan -1 8 Ju l-1 8 Jan -1 9 Ju l-1 9 Jan -2 0 Ju l-2 0

-3 -2 -1 0 1 2

3 Nilai Neraca Perdagangan (Miliar USD)

Jan-12 Jul-12 Jan-13 Jul-13 Jan-14 Jul-14 Jan-15 Jul-15 Jan-16 Jul-16 Jan-17 Jul-17 Jan-18 Jul-18 Jan-19 Jul-19 Jan-20 Jul-20

3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21

Nilai Ekspor Nilai Impor

Nilai Ekspor dan Impor (Miliar USD)

X

Harga

%1D

%MTD

X

Harga

%1D

%MTD

PEREKONOMIAN AMERIKA SERIKAT KOMODITAS INTERNASIONAL

-2.18

Karet (JPY/Kg)

Gas Alam (USD/MMBTu)

Nikel (USD/MT)

44.98

Kopi (USD/lb) Batubara (USD/MT)

Emas (USD/Troy Ounce)

CPO (MYR/MT)

WTI (USD/Barrel) Brent (USD/Barrel)

2867.00 2061.33

Keterangan Ticker yang digunakan secara berturut-turut dari sebelah kiri ke kanan: CO1 Comdty, CL1 Comdty, KO1 Comdty, XAU Curncy, XW1 Comdty, KCA Comdty, JN1 Comdty, NGA Comdty , LMNIDS03 Comdty, LMCADS03 Comdty, LMAHDS03 Comdty

50.20 118.95

41.81

-0.24 -0.33 -0.97

Tembaga (USD/MT) Aluminium (USD/MT)

1.02 3.74

1.17 19.96 5.02

-0.32 0.41

-3.61

3.88 3.82 3.13

1.35 -0.25 0.59

6478.50 1777.50

4.32 -3.37

-0.11 -2.71

164.70 2.16 14478.00

HARGA KOMODITAS

71.55 07/08/2020

44.98 63.89

07/08/2020 41.81

-60 -40 -20 0 20 40 60 80 100

Apr-19 May-19 Jun-19 Jul-19 Aug-19 Sep-19 Oct-19 Nov-19 Dec-19 Jan-20 Feb-20 Mar-20 Apr-20 May-20 Jun-20 Jul-20 Aug-20

Oil Brent Oil WTI

Minyak (USD/Barel)

07/08/2020 2,867

1500 1700 1900 2100 2300 2500 2700 2900 3100 3300

Apr-19 May-19 Jun-19 Jul-19 Aug-19 Sep-19 Oct-19 Nov-19 Dec-19 Jan-20 Feb-20 Mar-20 Apr-20 May-20 Jun-20 Jul-20

CPO (MYR/MT)

1,290

07/08/2020 2,061

1000 1200 1400 1600 1800 2000 2200

Apr-19 May-19 Jun-19 Jul-19 Aug-19 Sep-19 Oct-19 Nov-19 Dec-19 Jan-20 Feb-20 Mar-20 Apr-20 May-20 Jun-20 Jul-20 Aug-20

Emas (USD/Troy Ounce) 84.20

07/08/2020 50.20

40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85

90 Batubara (USD/MT)

07/08/2020 93.13 86

88 90 92 94 96 98 100 102

104 Indeks Dolar

07/08/2020 0.41

-0.10 0.00 0.10 0.20 0.30 0.40 0.50 0.60 0.70

0.80 US 10Y - 2Y Bond Yield

137.8 13.0

0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 12.0 14.0

115 120 125 130 135 140 145 150

155

Employee on Non Farm Payrolls Unemployment - rhs

Employee on Non Farm Payroll (Million of Persons) and Unemployment (%)

01/07/2020 0.00 -0.5

0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5

Jan -1 2 M a y -1 2 Sep -1 2 Jan -1 3 M a y -1 3 Sep -1 3 Jan -1 4 M a y -1 4 Sep -1 4 Jan -1 5 M a y -1 5 Sep -1 5 Jan -1 6 M a y -1 6 Sep -1 6 Jan -1 7 M a y -1 7 Sep -1 7 Jan -1 8 M a y -1 8 Sep -1 8 Jan -1 9 M a y -1 9 Sep -1 9 Jan -2 0 M a y -2 0

Inflasi US (%yoy)

X Rp

%1D

%WTW

X Rp

%1D

%WTW

14,750

HARGA KOMODITAS DOMESTIK

33,250 Beras Daging Ayam Daging Sapi Telur Ayam Bwg. Merah

-5.43 -0.96 0.00 -1.48

0.42 -2.07 0.25 0.00

-0.34

11,850 33,100 119,100

Cabai Merah Cabai Rawit 0.85

KOMODITAS DOMESTIK STRATEGIS

Gula Pasir Minyak Goreng

Bwg. Putih

26,250

-0.44 -5.17 5.43

22,850 36,650 36,900

0.66

13,700 -0.36

0.37

-0.54 -1.73

0.45

-0.34

11,800

11,850

11,500 11,600 11,700 11,800 11,900 12,000 12,100 12,200

Jan-20 Feb-20 Mar-20 Apr-20 May-20 Jun-20 Jul-20

Beras (Rp/kg)

32,500 33,100

25,500 27,500 29,500 31,500 33,500 35,500 37,500 39,500 41,500

Jan-20 Feb-20 Mar-20 Apr-20 May-20 Jun-20 Jul-20

Daging Ayam(Rp/kg)

118,150

119,100

114,000 115,000 116,000 117,000 118,000 119,000 120,000 121,000 122,000

Jan-20 Feb-20 Mar-20 Apr-20 May-20 Jun-20 Jul-20

Daging Sapi (Rp/kg)

25,200

26,250

22,200 22,700 23,200 23,700 24,200 24,700 25,200 25,700 26,200

26,700 Telur Ayam(Rp/kg)

13,900 13,700

12,800 13,000 13,200 13,400 13,600 13,800 14,000 14,200 14,400 14,600 14,800

Minyak Goreng (Rp/kg)

37,500

33,250

15,000 25,000 35,000 45,000 55,000 65,000 75,000

Jan-20 Feb-20 Mar-20 Apr-20 May-20 Jun-20 Jul-20 Bawang Merah (Rp/kg)

35,700

22,850

15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000 35,000 40,000 45,000 50,000 55,000 60,000

Jan-20 Feb-20 Mar-20 Apr-20 May-20 Jun-20 Jul-20 Bawang Putih (Rp/kg)

14,450 14,750

12,000 13,000 14,000 15,000 16,000 17,000 18,000 19,000

Gula Pasir (Rp/kg)

57,250 36,900

0 20,000 40,000 60,000 80,000

Jan-20 Feb-20 Mar-20 Apr-20 May-20 Jun-20 Jul-20 Cabai Rawit (Rp/kg)

47,700

36,650

20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 60,000

Jan-20 Feb-20 Mar-20 Apr-20 May-20 Jun-20 Jul-20

Cabai Merah (Rp/kg)