Morning Brief
Daily | Oct 17, 2017
IHSG (Jakarta Composite Index)
Oct 16 5,949.70
Chg +25.58pts (+0.43%)
Volume (bn shares) 136.48
Value (IDR tn) 13.05
Adv 170 Dec 167 Unc 233 Untr 118
Foreign Transaction
(IDR bn)Buy 3,524
Sell 4,024
Net Buy (Sell) (500)
Top Buy NB Val. Top Sell NS Val.
BMRI 227.59 TLKM 372.18
WSKT 62.26 GGRM 20.86
BBRI 47.43 WIKA 16.06
UNTR 41.94 PTBA 14.69
BBNI 30.19 INDF 10.49
LQ-45 Index
Top Gainers & LosersGainers % Losers % WSKT 9.4% PTBA -3.8% PWON 5.8% AKRA -2.4% BMTR 5.6% ADRO -1.6% PPRO 4.0% ICBP -1.4% LPPF 2.7% BBNI -1.3%
Government Bond Yield & FX
Last Chg. Tenor: 10 year 6.5580% -0.01% USD/IDR 13,476.00 -0.16% KRW/IDR 11.96 -0.04%Global Indexes
Index Last Chg. % Dow Jones 22,956.96 85.24 0.37% S&P 500 2,557.64 4.47 0.18% Nasdaq 6,624.01 18.20 0.28% FTSE 100 7,526.97 (8.47) -0.11% CAC 40 5,362.88 11.14 0.21% DAX 13,003.70 11.83 0.09% Nikkei 21,255.56 100.38 0.47% Hang Seng 28,692.80 216.37 0.76% Shanghai 3,378.47 (12.05) -0.36% KOSPI 2,480.05 6.43 0.26% EIDO 26.98 (0.02) -0.07%Commodities
Commodity Last Chg. %Gold (USD /troy oz.) 1,295.8 (8.0) -0.62%
Crude Oil (USD /bbl) 51.87 0.42 0.82%
Coal Newcas(USD/ton) 96.85 1.20 1.25%
Gas (USD /mmbtu) 2.95 1.20 -1.80%
Nickel LME (USD /MT) 11,865 190.0 1.63%
CPO (MYR/Ton) 2,762 5.0 0.18%
Indonesian Market Recap
IHSG bergerak naik kemarin dipicu oleh rilis surplus neraca perdagangan
September sebesar USD1,76 miliar, tertinggi sejak 2011.
Top Gainers : Property (+1.21%), Basic Industry (+1,20%), Consumer (+0.77%)
Today’s Outlook: Pernyataan Jokowi
Untuk hari ini kami mengestimasi IHSG untuk bergerak menguat dengan support
range 5917-5925 dan resistance range 5964-5967. Dari global sentimen positif
datang dari kenaikan inflasi produsen China. Dari domestik, sentimen positif
datang dari pernyataan Presiden Joko Widodo bahwa pemerintah akan fokus
kepada investasi dari swasta untuk mendanai kebutuhan ratusan milyar dolar
untuk mengembangkan infrastruktur dan kekayaan alam Indonesia. Presiden
Joko Widodo akan menawarkan berbagai proyek utama kepada investor swasta.
JCI Movement
JCI - one month Source: Bloomberg Source: Bloomberg
JCI - intraday
Stocks Recommendation (details on the next page)
Trading Buy: ITMG, LSIP, UNVR
Global Market
United States
Bursa Amerika menguat tadi malam. Investor bersiap menyambut rilis kinerja
kuartalan dari Netflix.
Europe
Bursa Eropa bergerak variatif kemarin. Investor mencermati perkembangan
politik terbaru di Austria, Spanyol dan Inggris.
Asia
Bursa Asia ditutup naik kemarin. Investor mencerna data inflasi di China yang
sesuai dengan perkiraan.
Company News
MKNT : Membidik Rp1,2 Triliun dari Right Issue
SMRA : Mencatatkan Marketing Sales Rp2 Triliun
WSBP : Memperoleh Laba Bersih Rp825 Miliar
PPRO : Realisasikan Penjualan Rp2,3 Triliun
Domestic & Global News
Jokowi Menguatkan Investasi Swasta
Indeks Harga Produsen China Melebihi Ekspektasi
Indonesia Economic Data
Monthly Indicator Last Prev. BI 7 Day Rev Repo Rate 4.25% 4.50%FX Reserve (USD bn) 129.40 128.79
Trd Balance (USD bn) 1.76 1.72
Exports Yoy 15.60% 19.24%
Imports Yoy 13.13% 8.89%
Inflation Yoy 3.72% 3.82%
Quarterly Indicator Last Prev.
Real GDP 5.01% 4.94%
Current Acc (USD bn) (4.96) (2.10)
Govt Spending Yoy -1.93% -4.05%
FDI (USD bn) 5.79 (7.71)
Business Confidence 111.63 106.70
Stocks Recommendation
ITMG
Last = 21400
Analysis
Harga batubara dunia naik 1,25% ditopang
oleh percepatan inflasi produsen di China.
Range
20975 – 22300
Action
Trading Buy. Cut Loss If Below 20975
LSIP
Last = 1440
Analysis
Harga CPO dunia mendapatkan sentimen
positif dari kenaikan impor CPO India sebesar
20,4% y-y pada September.
Range
1420 – 1490
Action
Trading Buy. Cut Loss If Below 1420
UNVR
Last = 49200
Analysis
UNVR akan mengadakan Rapat Umum
Pemegang Saham Luar Biasa pada 18 Oktober.
Investor perlu mencermati potensi adanya
rencana pembagian dividen interim.
Range
48550 - 51000
Action
Trading buy. Cut Loss If Below 48550
Source: Bloomberg
Source: Bloomberg
Source: Bloomberg
Sector Rotation
Source: Bloomberg
Relative Rotation Graph - Last 10 Days
98 99 100 101 102 96 97 98 99 100 101 102 103 Agriculture Mining Infrastructure Basic Ind. Consumer Finance Misc Ind. Trade Property
Lagging
Improving
Leading
Weakening
Relative Valuation
Source: Bloomberg Last Price End of Last Year Price YTD Change (%) 1 Year Change (%) Market Cap (IDR tn) Price / BVPS Price / EPS (TTM) EV/ EBITDA (TTM) Return on Equity (%) EVA Spread (%) Dividend Yield TTM (%) Sales Growth Yoy (%) EPS Growth Yoy (%) Adjusted Beta JCI Index 12.3 10.0 6,561.0 Finance 1,896.3 BBCA 20,725 15,500 33.7 30.3 511.0 4.2 23.7 N/A 19.3 6.9 1.0 8.6 14.4 0.9 BBRI 15,350 11,675 31.5 26.3 378.7 2.5 13.7 N/A 19.4 12.3 2.8 9.7 4.0 1.3 BMRI 6,925 5,788 19.7 21.8 323.2 2.1 20.0 N/A 10.8 4.5 1.9 6.5 (32.1) 1.3 BBNI 7,525 5,525 36.2 36.8 140.3 1.5 10.1 N/A 15.3 0.7 2.8 15.2 25.3 1.2 BDMN 5,450 3,710 46.9 36.3 52.2 1.4 17.6 N/A 8.2 0.8 1.8 (7.9) 11.5 1.5 BBTN 3,070 1,740 76.4 58.2 32.5 1.6 11.4 N/A 15.2 (1.9) 1.6 14.6 41.1 0.8 BJBR 2,550 3,390 (24.8) 56.0 24.7 2.6 20.9 N/A 12.5 (1.1) 3.5 5.6 (16.2) 0.8 BJTM 700 570 22.8 30.8 10.5 1.4 8.7 N/A 17.8 3.8 6.2 2.5 16.2 1.3 Consumer 1,406.7 HMSP 3,850 3,830 0.5 (8.1) 447.8 16.2 35.5 26.0 45.7 30 2.8 7.2 18.2 1.1 UNVR 49,200 38,800 26.8 10.0 375.4 76.5 55.9 38.6 137.1 128.4 1.7 9.8 9.4 1.2 GGRM 64,475 63,900 0.9 (1.0) 124.1 3.3 17.9 10.6 18.9 6.7 4.0 8.4 3.7 1.3 ICBP 8,700 8,575 1.5 (9.4) 101.5 5.6 30.8 17.1 21.9 17.7 1.8 8.6 20.0 1.4 KLBF 1,700 1,515 12.2 (2.0) 79.7 6.6 33.6 22.1 20.8 6.6 1.3 8.3 14.7 1.1 INDF 8,325 7,925 5.0 (3.5) 73.1 2.5 18.5 8.8 14.5 (3.1) 2.8 4.2 47.8 1.3 ROTI 1,270 1,600 (20.6) (18.6) 6.4 4.7 32.0 15.6 15.3 0.7 1.1 16.0 3.5 0.9 Infrastructure 813.50 TLKM 4,450 3,962 12.3 5.4 448.6 5.2 20.5 7.6 26.3 13.4 4.4 13.5 24.4 1.1 PGAS 1,625 2,700 (39.8) (37.3) 39.4 0.9 14.0 7.9 6.6 (5.2) 4.6 (4.4) (23.5) 1.2 JSMR 6,100 4,320 41.2 34.1 44.3 3.1 21.7 13.8 15.5 (3.1) 1.3 69.2 28.7 1.0 EXCL 3,540 2,310 53.2 43.3 37.8 1.8 130.6 6.8 1.4 (11.0) N/A (6.7) N/A 1.0 TBIG 6,450 4,980 29.5 5.7 29.2 21.5 31.0 15.0 55.3 (1.0) 2.3 8.5 (6.3) 0.8 Trade 705.0 UNTR 34,450 21,250 62.1 74.0 128.5 3.0 19.6 9.6 16.3 1.6 2.0 (7.7) 29.8 1.3 LPPF 9,650 15,125 (36.2) (48.1) 28.2 15.8 12.8 8.4 157.4 89.8 5.0 9.9 13.3 1.3 SCMA 2,170 2,800 (22.5) (15.9) 31.7 7.9 21.1 14.7 39.7 22.0 1.7 6.8 (1.5) 1.0 AKRA 7,050 6,000 17.5 7.2 28.2 3.9 27.7 20.6 14.5 (1.7) 2.1 (23.0) (3.0) 0.9 MNCN 1,475 1,755 (16.0) (28.4) 21.1 2.3 17.7 9.2 12.9 0.0 2.8 4.4 17.4 1.2 ACES 1,285 835 53.9 51.2 22.0 7.1 27.4 21.5 28.1 10.5 1.3 4.1 20.8 0.9 BMTR 565 615 (8.1) (33.9) 8.0 0.9 N/A 6.0 (0.9) (4.1) 0.9 (1.1) 194.0 1.3 Property 415.5 BSDE 1,765 1,755 0.6 (18.7) 34.0 1.5 11.4 11.3 14.2 (2.0) 0.3 5.0 (17.0) 1.3 LPKR 725 720 0.7 (21.6) 16.7 0.8 18.9 15.7 4.7 (7.8) 0.3 18.6 64.8 1.2 PWON 635 565 12.4 (8.0) 30.6 3.3 18.3 12.5 19.4 3.2 0.7 4.7 32.4 1.1 WSKT 2,040 2,550 (20.0) (22.1) 27.7 2.4 8.2 13.5 22.5 (3.4) 1.9 68.1 63.5 1.0 SMRA 1,035 1,325 (21.9) (40.9) 14.9 2.4 44.4 13.2 5.5 (2.8) 0.5 (4.0) (63.6) 1.3 CTRA 1,165 1,335 (12.7) (24.4) 21.6 1.7 16.6 13.5 9.0 (2.6) 0.4 (10.3) (33.6) 1.0 PTPP 2,760 3,810 (27.6) (30.9) 17.1 1.7 15.5 8.1 16.9 (2.5) 1.8 15.8 13.5 0.8 WIKA 1,800 2,360 (23.7) (29.3) 16.1 1.4 11.5 N/A 14.8 (1.0) 1.9 15.0 68.3 0.8 ADHI 2,100 2,080 1.0 (9.1) 7.5 1.4 19.2 11.0 7.4 (4.1) 1.3 17.8 (56.6) 0.9 ASRI 394 352 11.9 (10.9) 7.7 1.0 11.7 9.0 8.9 (2.2) 0.4 (2.4) (14.7) 1.0 APLN 276 210 31.4 (1.4) 5.7 0.7 5.2 5.7 13.3 1.6 0.7 0.6 (21.3) 0.8 Misc Ind. 416.0 ASII 8,375 8,275 1.2 1.8 339.0 2.9 19.5 12.9 15.8 (4.4) 2.0 (1.7) 4.8 1.3 SRIL 394 230 71.3 69.8 7.3 1.5 8.8 7.2 18.6 2.6 0.8 9.3 6.7 0.7 Basic Ind. 480.5 INTP 19,475 15,400 26.5 14.9 71.7 3.0 30.6 21.0 9.7 (5.9) 4.8 (13.7) (11.2) 1.5 SMGR 10,900 9,175 18.8 10.1 64.7 2.3 17.7 13.7 13.4 (2.8) 2.8 (3.0) 0.0 1.2 CPIN 3,210 3,090 3.9 (11.8) 52.6 3.6 25.9 11.3 14.1 2.2 1.7 27.9 29.1 1.0 WTON 595 825 (27.9) (32.8) 5.2 2.1 19.0 10.6 11.9 1.7 1.6 31.3 56.7 0.8 Mining 316.6 ADRO 1,870 1,695 10.3 28.1 59.8 1.3 10.2 4.8 13.9 5.3 2.3 (6.0) 119.3 1.3 INCO 2,970 2,820 5.3 8.0 29.5 1.2 N/A 9.1 0.0 (10.2) N/A (26.0) N/A 1.3 PTBA 10,650 12,500 (14.8) (14.3) 24.5 1.9 7.3 4.8 28.9 10.6 2.7 2.4 1.2 1.3 ANTM 655 895 (26.8) (21.6) 15.7 0.9 N/A 23.6 (2.4) (9.2) N/A (13.5) N/A 1.0 ITMG 21,400 16,875 26.8 52.9 24.2 1.9 8.8 3.5 22.7 12.5 7.4 (14.0) 100.0 1.0Agriculture 111.0
AALI 14,625 16,775 (12.8) (6.7) 28.1 1.6 12.5 N/A 13.5 1.3 3.5 8.1 203.2 0.7 SSMS 1,495 1,400 6.8 3.1 14.2 3.9 18.9 12.0 22.5 1.4 1.2 14.8 9.2 0.8 LSIP 1,440 1,740 (17.2) (6.8) 9.8 1.2 10.4 5.4 12.5 1.6 2.4 (8.2) (4.4) 0.8