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Daily Insight
Monday, Oct 24
th
2016
Secara teknikal pergerakan IHSG masih cenderung
tertekan meskipun terus tertahan pada support
rata-rata pergerakan 50 hari. Indikator stochastic dan RSI
mulai memperlihatkan tekanan bearish dari area
jenuh beli menandakan potensi tertekan IHSG masih
cukup besar peluangnnya. Sehingga diperkirakan
IHSG akan bergerak kembali mixed pada rentan
5375-5450 dan perlu extra hati-hati jika ternyata break out
support rata-rata pergerakan 50 hari di level 5375.
Market Update
Global Market
Dow Jones
21-Oct -16
18,145.71
Daily
-0.1%
Yt d
4.1%
S&P 500
2,141.16
0.0%
4.8%
Nasdaq
5,257.40
0.3%
5.0%
FTSE 100
7,020.47
-0.1%
12.5%
DAX
10,710.73
0.1%
-0.3%
CAC 40
4,536.07
-0.1%
-2.2%
Hang Seng
#N/A N/A
#VALUE!
#VALUE!
Nikkei
17,184.59
-0.3%
-9.7%
Kospi
2,033.00
-0.4%
3.7%
Shanghai Comp
3,090.94
0.2%
-12.7%
All Ordinaries
3,811.19
-0.1%
10.7%
EIDO
26.49
0.3%
26.9%
Idn CDS 5yr USD
151.67
0.2%
-34.0%
MSCI Emerging Mkt
911.24
-0.2%
14.7%
CBOE SPX Volatility
13.34
-3.0%
-26.7%
US Dollar Index
98.70
0.4%
0.1%
Commodit ies (USD)
21-Oct -16
Daily
Yt d
Coal
93.75
3.6% 105.4%
CPO (MYR)
2,759.00
0.1%
15.1%
Crude Oil
50.85
0.8%
37.3%
Gold
1,266.46
0.1%
19.4%
Copper
208.85
-0.4%
-2.2%
Nickel
9,925.00
-1.7%
12.9%
Tin
20,032.00
0.6%
37.2%
HRC Steel
490.00
0.0%
25.3%
Corn
352.50
0.4%
-1.7%
Soybean
983.00
0.8%
12.8%
Indonesia
21-Oct -16
Daily
Yt d
USDIDR
13,042.00
0.3%
-5.4%
IHSG
5,409.24
0.1%
17.8%
LQ45
930.46
0.1%
17.5%
ISSI
178.06
-0.1%
22.7%
JII
739.42
-0.2%
22.6%
Finance
802.66
0.2%
16.8%
Property
565.07
0.0%
15.1%
Consumer
2,512.25
0.5%
21.7%
Misc Indust
1,385.17
-0.1%
31.0%
Basic Indust
526.27
0.3%
29.0%
Mining
1,256.65
-1.4%
54.9%
Agriculture
1,782.38
-1.2%
3.7%
Trading
862.99
-0.1%
1.6%
Infrastructure
352.37
0.1%
11.0%
Indonesia St ock
21-Oct -16
Yt d
Foreign Net Buy (Sell)
17.66
32,952.15
(bn Rp)
Value Shares Traded
4,592.73
(bn Rp)
Volume Shares Traded
7,917.63
(mn shares)
Govt Bond Yield (%)
21-Oct -16
Chg
Indonesia 10yr IDR
7.079
0.050
Indonesia 10yr USD
3.420
0.007
US Treasury 10yr
1.740
0.020
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Berita Ekonomi dan Emiten:
Wahana Ottomitra Multiartha (WOMF): Perseroan mengatakan total pembiayaan baru (new booking) yang telah
dikeluarkan hingga September 2016 sebesar Rp4 triliun. Angka tersebut turun 18% dibandingkan periode yang sama
tahun lalu. Tahun lalu, Perseroan membukukan total new booking sebesar Rp6,4 triliun. Adapun, tahun ini Perseroan
hanya menargetkan total new booking sebesar Rp6 triliun. (Ko.co.id)
Bumi Serpong Damai (BSDE): Perseroan akhirnya merampungkan proses penerbitan obligasi berdenominasi dollar
Amerika Serikat (AS). Melalui anak usahanya, Global Prime Capital Pte Ltd (GPC), Perseroan mendapatkan dana segar
senilai US$200 juta. (Ko.co.id)
Modernland Realty (MDLN): Perseroan melalui Modernland Overseas Pte Ltd segera melunasi utang senilai US$ 57 juta
pada Oktober tahun ini. Kewajiban tersebut merupakan bagian dari guaranted senior notes yang diterbitkan pada 2013
senilai US$150 juta. (MDLN)
Waskita Karya (WSKT): Perseroan telah memperoleh fasilitas pinjaman sebesar Rp4,59 triliun. yang berasal dari beberapa
bank atau sindikasi. Fasilitas pinjaman tersebut akan digunakan untuk mendukung kegiatan usaha utama Perseroan
dalam bidang konstruksi. (Ok.com)
Renuka Coalindo (SQMI): Perseroan alami penurunan rugi periode berjalan yang dapat didistribusikan kepada pemilik
entitas induk menjadi US$123,66 ribu hingga periode September 2016 dibandingkan rugi US$1,36 juta periode sama
tahun sebelumnya. (Iqp)
Puradelta Lestari (DMAS): Perseroan alami penurunan tajam laba bersih per September 2016 menjadi Rp494,48 miliar
dibandingkan laba periode sama tahun sebelumnya yang Rp1,22 triliun. (Iqp)
Kedaung Indah (KICI): Perseroan menderita rugi sebesar Rp243,52 juta hingga periode September 2016 usai mencatat
laba Rp3,10 miliar pada periode sama tahun sebelumnya. (Iqp)
Gunawan Dianjaya (GDST): Perseroan meraih laba periode berjalan Rp29,98 miliar hingga September 2016 usai
menderita rugi Rp69,09 miliar periode sama tahun sebelumnya. (Iqp)
Dian Swastatika Sentosa (DSSA): Perseroan menggelontorkan pinjaman kepada anak usaha tidak langsung PT Andalan
Mas Sejahtera senilai Rp150 miliar. Bunga pinjaman itu mencapai 10,5% per tahun. Fasilitas pinjaman akan digunakan
untuk peningkatan struktur modal PT Andalan Mas Sejahtera. (Iqp)
Bank Dinar International (DNAR): Perseroan alami penurunan laba tahun berjalan menjadi Rp7,438 miliar hingga periode
September 2016 dibandingkan laba Rp9,16 miliar periode sama tahun sebelumnya. (Iqp)
Trisula International (TRIS): Perseroan melakukan pembelian kembali saham atau buyback saham dengan jumlah
maksimal 10% atau maksimal 104.554.632 saham. Biaya pembelian kembali saham maksimal Rp34,5 miliar. Buyback ini
menurut manajemen adalah salah satu bentuk usaha perusahaan untuk meningkatkan kinerja saham Perseroan. (Iqp)
21-Oct -16
Daily
Yt d
P/E 2017E
Misc Indust
ASII IJ Equity
8,375
0.0%
39.6%
16.2
SMSM IJ Equity
4,510
0.2%
-5.3%
12.2
SRIL IJ Equity
254
0.0% -34.7%
5.3
Basic Indust
SMGR IJ Equity
10,000
1.0% -12.3%
10.6
INTP IJ Equity
16,425
-0.6% -26.4%
11.8
CPIN IJ Equity
3,580
0.8%
37.7%
18.3
JPFA IJ Equity
1,785
3.5% 181.1%
24.9
Finance
BBTN IJ Equity
1,910
-0.5%
47.5%
7.6
BBNI IJ Equity
5,425
-0.5%
8.7%
7.8
BBRI IJ Equity
12,225
0.8%
7.0%
10.1
Consumer
UNVR IJ Equity
44,150
-0.3%
19.3%
46.0
KAEF IJ Equity
2,360
1.3% 171.3%
42.8
INDF IJ Equity
8,725
1.5%
68.6%
16.9
Property
WSKT IJ Equity
2,610
0.8%
56.3%
22.3
PTPP IJ Equity
4,300
2.1%
11.0%
17.8
CTRA IJ Equity
1,560
-4.3%
7.5%
14.4
SMRA IJ Equity
1,680
-3.7%
1.8%
15.4
Infrastructure
TLKM IJ Equity
4,210
0.2%
35.6%
20.5
JSMR IJ Equity
4,510
0.2% -13.7%
17.3
Trading
MLPL IJ Equity
418
10.0%
62.6%
19.4
MAPI IJ Equity
4,850
0.8%
27.8%
19.5
Mining
ELSA IJ Equity
500
0.8% 102.4%
16.2
PTBA IJ Equity
12,000
-4.0% 165.2%
16.1
Agriculture
AALI IJ Equity
14,600
-5.7%
-3.3%
11.7
LSIP IJ Equity
1,475
-3.0%
11.7%
11.9
SIMP IJ Equity
492
-0.8%
48.2%
10.1
SGRO IJ Equity
1,925
0.3%
13.2%
8.6
LS 27 average ret urn
0.0% 38.1%
JCI Index
5,409
0.1% 17.8%
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World Economic Calendar
RUPS
Ticker Dat e Place Act ion
TBIG 24-Oct-16 RUPSLB
FASW 26-Oct-16 Mercantile Athletic Club RUPSLB
BSWD 27-Oct-16 Kantor Pusat Perseroan RUPSLB
APIC 27-Oct-16 RUPSLB
SKBM 28-Oct-16 JW Mariott Hotel RUPSLB
BEKS 31-Oct-16 Kantor Pusat Perseroan RUPSLB
TOBA 31-Oct-16 Ruang Seminar Bursa Efek Indonesia RUPSLB
YPAS 1-Nov-16 Kantor Pusat Perseroan RUPSLB
TRIS 3-Nov-16 Ruang Seminar Bursa Efek Indonesia RUPSLB
BULL 4-Nov-16 RUPSLB
HMSP 18-Nov-16 Ruang Seminar Bursa Efek Indonesia RUPSLB
HOME 22-Nov-16 Belleza Gapura Prima Office Tow er RUPSLB
Source: KSEI
Event
Period
Prior
Survey
Actual
21-Oct-16
CN House Price Index
Sep
9.20%
4.30%
24-Oct-16
GE Markit PMI Composite
Oct
52.8
53.2
Markit Services PMI
Oct
50.9
51.5
Markit Manufacturing PMI
Oct
54.3
54.2
EU Markit PMI Composite
Oct
52.6
52.8
Markit Manufacturing PMI
Oct
52.6
52.6
Markit Services PMI
Oct
52.2
52.5
US Chicago Fed National Activity Index
Sep
-0.55
Markit Manufacturing PMI
Oct
51.5
Source:Fxstreet
Indonesia 10yr IDR Govt Bond YieldDate Yield (mid)
21-Oct-16 7.20 20-Oct-16 7.23 19-Oct-16 7.20 18-Oct-16 7.17 17-Oct-16 7.14
Dat e Indonesia St ock Yt d Net Foreign Net Value (Rp bn)
JASXFBAT Index Buy (Sell) (Rp bn)
21-Oct-16 17.66 32,952.15
20-Oct-16 235.91
19-Oct-16 (64.48)
18-Oct-16 101.64
Indonesia Government Bonds
Mat urit y
Bid Price
YTM (Bid) Cpn
Next Coupon Issue Dat e
SR08 3/10/2019
103.63
6.64
8.30
11/10/2016
3/10/2016
SR07 3/11/2018
102.25
6.53
8.25
11/11/2016
3/11/2015
SR06 3/5/2017
101.00
5.93
8.75
11/5/2016
3/5/2014
OR13 10/15/2019
100.08
6.57
6.60
11/15/2016
10/26/2016
OR12 10/15/2018
104.42
6.60
9.00
11/15/2016
10/21/2015
OR11 10/15/2017
102.09
6.28
8.50
11/15/2016
10/22/2014
FR73 5/15/2031
111.58
7.43
8.75
11/15/2016
8/6/2015
FR72 5/15/2036
106.35
7.62
8.25
11/15/2016
7/9/2015
FR71 3/15/2029
113.04
7.37
9.00
3/15/2017
9/12/2013
FR70 3/15/2024
107.28
7.09
8.38
3/15/2017
8/29/2013
FR69 4/15/2019
102.31
6.84
7.88
4/15/2017
8/29/2013
FR68 3/15/2034
107.44
7.60
8.38
3/15/2017
8/1/2013
FR67 2/15/2044
111.28
7.75
8.75
2/15/2017
7/18/2013
FR66 5/15/2018
97.88
6.71
5.25
11/15/2016
10/25/2012
FR65 5/15/2033
91.48
7.53
6.63
11/15/2016
8/30/2012
FR64 5/15/2028
91.09
7.28
6.13
11/15/2016
8/13/2012
FR63 5/15/2023
92.41
7.09
5.63
11/15/2016
8/13/2012
FR62 4/15/2042
85.25
7.71
6.38
4/15/2017
2/9/2012
FR61 5/15/2022
100.45
6.90
7.00
11/15/2016
10/6/2011
FR60 4/15/2017
99.85
6.57
6.25
4/15/2017
10/6/2011
FR59 5/15/2027
99.44
7.07
7.00
11/15/2016
9/15/2011
FR58 6/15/2032
106.83
7.50
8.25
12/15/2016
7/21/2011
FR57 5/15/2041
119.85
7.69
9.50
11/15/2016
4/21/2011
FR56 9/15/2026
109.06
7.08
8.38
3/15/2017
9/23/2010
FR54 7/15/2031
117.81
7.48
9.50
1/15/2017
7/22/2010
FR53 7/15/2021
105.11
6.96
8.25
1/15/2017
7/8/2010
FR52 8/15/2030
125.99
7.45
10.50
2/15/2017
8/20/2009
FR50 7/15/2038
129.57
7.68
10.50
1/15/2017
1/24/2008
FR48 9/15/2018
103.95
6.73
9.00
3/15/2017
9/27/2007
FR47 2/15/2028
120.72
7.28
10.00
2/15/2017
8/30/2007
FR46 7/15/2023
112.28
7.16
9.50
1/15/2017
7/19/2007
FR45 5/15/2037
121.39
7.67
9.75
11/15/2016
5/24/2007
FR44 9/15/2024
116.73
7.18
10.00
3/15/2017
4/19/2007
FR43 7/15/2022
114.83
7.05
10.25
1/15/2017
2/22/2007
FR42 7/15/2027
122.08
7.25
10.25
1/15/2017
1/25/2007
FR40 9/15/2025
124.64
7.20
11.00
3/15/2017
9/21/2006
FR39 8/15/2023
124.38
7.16
11.75
2/15/2017
8/24/2006
FR38 8/15/2018
107.85
6.89
11.60
2/15/2017
8/24/2006
FR37 9/15/2026
133.44
7.21
12.00
3/15/2017
5/18/2006
FR36 9/15/2019
112.10
6.81
11.50
3/15/2017
4/20/2006
FR35 6/15/2022
126.97
7.02
12.90
12/15/2016
2/16/2006
FR34 6/15/2021
122.89
6.94
12.80
12/15/2016
1/26/2006
FR32 7/15/2018
113.32
6.66
15.00
1/15/2017
9/1/2005
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Key Statistic
Ticker
Closing Price
Change (%)
P/E (x)
P/S (x)
P/B (x)
ROA (%)
ROE (%)
24.91 AALI 14,600.00 (5.65) 24.91 1.98 1.75 4.19 7.11 BWPT 191.00 - #N/A N/A 2.63 0.95 (2.42) (6.10) SSMS 1,540.00 6.21 26.15 6.18 4.83 8.14 19.36 LS IP 1,475.00 (2.96) 23.70 2.67 1.40 4.90 6.04 DSNG 400.00 (1.96) 32.55 1.05 1.72 1.67 5.53 23.64 ADRO 1,500.00 (0.66) 23.64 1.49 1.24 2.54 5.36
INCO 2,700.00 (5.92) #N/A N/A 3.28 1.13 (0.50) (0.63)
ITMG 13,200.00 (2.76) 25.42 0.83 1.31 3.52 4.80 PTBA 12,000.00 (4.00) 13.30 1.86 2.78 12.26 21.98 30.41 AIS A 2,160.00 2.86 18.14 1.08 1.93 4.68 11.19 UNVR 44,150.00 (0.34) 54.16 8.77 68.88 35.13 132.42 ULTJ 4,680.00 (0.21) 22.64 3.00 4.39 17.02 21.43 ICBP 9,575.00 1.06 34.45 3.35 7.01 11.94 21.60 KLBF 1,720.00 (0.58) 38.62 4.31 7.51 15.49 20.56 MYOR 1,520.00 0.33 30.41 2.05 5.99 9.68 21.76 ROTI 1,600.00 (0.31) 29.34 3.48 6.41 10.62 23.80 SIDO 550.00 - 18.77 3.70 3.13 15.58 16.75 25.50 ACES 880.00 (1.12) 25.90 3.08 5.77 18.68 23.43 AKRA 6,525.00 (1.88) 25.50 1.53 3.90 6.56 15.97 LPPF 19,250.00 0.52 24.50 5.47 - 48.71 -SRTG 3,510.00 (0.28) 2.14 1.50 0.57 22.40 31.57 MIKA 2,850.00 (2.40) 73.08 19.21 12.98 19.25 23.12 MNCN 2,110.00 (2.31) 19.75 4.43 3.20 10.36 16.71 UNTR 20,200.00 0.75 32.74 1.60 1.98 3.75 6.03 19.84 APLN 288.00 2.86 7.31 0.92 0.78 3.10 11.38 ASRI 460.00 1.32 12.91 3.87 1.28 3.88 10.39 PWON 720.00 1.41 24.72 7.47 4.39 7.34 19.22 BSDE 2,190.00 (1.35) 27.35 7.39 2.15 4.27 8.20 CTRP 700.00 4.48 12.46 1.61 0.93 3.54 7.76 CTRA 1,560.00 (4.29) 23.24 3.30 2.83 4.02 12.94 CTRS 2,990.00 3.82 13.87 3.31 1.88 6.62 14.37 DILD 580.00 - 14.04 2.55 1.23 4.12 9.15 KIJA 302.00 0.67 15.12 2.06 1.25 4.14 8.73 LPKR 900.00 (1.64) 79.44 2.25 1.20 0.62 1.48 SMRA 1,680.00 (3.72) 69.16 4.53 4.06 1.90 6.01 SSIA 585.00 1.74 19.84 0.61 0.93 2.16 4.74 ADHI 2,300.00 (0.43) 17.12 0.77 1.60 3.12 13.34 WIKA 2,600.00 (2.99) 23.45 1.07 3.54 3.62 16.04 WSKT 2,610.00 0.77 20.46 1.76 3.57 4.95 17.20 LPCK 6,150.00 0.41 5.44 2.17 1.08 14.80 22.02 MDLN 382.00 1.60 7.00 1.80 0.79 5.78 11.94 JRPT 825.00 - 12.64 5.07 2.69 11.33 23.00 13.80 CPIN 3,580.00 0.85 22.67 1.73 4.25 10.59 20.50 INTP 16,425.00 (0.61) 13.51 3.63 2.44 16.85 19.20 MAIN 1,480.00 (0.34) - 0.59 1.93 4.93 13.91 SMBR 1,935.00 0.52 65.57 12.88 6.45 8.57 10.13 SMCB 985.00 (0.51) #N/A N/A 0.82 0.91 1.38 3.18 SMGR 10,000.00 1.01 13.80 2.22 2.24 11.66 17.00 20.30 ASII 8,375.00 - 25.05 1.88 3.25 5.50 13.37 AUTO 2,280.00 (0.87) 34.37 0.88 1.19 2.20 3.48 SMSM 4,510.00 0.22 15.56 2.28 4.98 18.67 34.12 SRIL 254.00 - 6.35 0.56 1.23 7.08 20.82 11.71 BBCA 15,800.00 0.32 20.44 6.31 3.77 3.18 20.62 BBNI 5,425.00 (0.46) 9.36 1.93 1.19 2.10 14.72 BBRI 12,225.00 0.82 11.71 2.77 2.24 3.05 21.78 BBTN 1,910.00 (0.52) 9.82 1.18 1.15 1.19 13.61 BDMN 3,950.00 2.07 13.17 1.44 1.08 1.53 8.45 BMRI 11,225.00 (0.66) 14.97 2.73 1.81 1.86 13.88 BTPN 2,670.00 - 9.24 1.11 1.02 2.04 12.19 BBKP 655.00 (2.96) 5.77 0.58 0.66 1.13 12.80 BJTM 545.00 1.87 8.82 1.62 1.31 1.87 15.17 BJBR 1,730.00 6.13 9.97 1.48 1.75 1.70 19.96 13.88 CMNP 1,500.00 (0.66) 9.21 1.93 0.96 6.88 10.77 EXCL 2,500.00 0.40 - 0.99 1.27 1.73 6.13 TBIG 6,150.00 0.82 16.32 7.71 13.26 7.39 55.41 SOCI 416.00 - 5.49 1.59 0.81 8.57 15.86 JSMR 4,510.00 0.22 17.81 2.46 2.79 4.72 16.83 PGAS 2,440.00 (2.01) 13.88 1.46 1.50 5.30 11.16 TLKM 4,210.00 0.24 23.01 3.76 5.29 11.04 24.72 TOWR 3,850.00 (1.03) 10.30 8.27 4.36 16.97 53.80 To p Gainers (%) 1 2 3 4 5 SSMS BJBR CTRP CTRS AIS A To p Lo ssers (%) 70 69 68 67 66
INCO AALI CTRA PTBA SMRA
Lo west PER 70 69 68 67 66
SOCI BBKP SRIL MDLN APLN
S o urc e : B lo o m be rg, R e lia nc e R e s e a rc h
MISCELANEOUS INDUSTRY, MEDIAN PER=
FINANCE, MEDIAN PER=
INFRASTRUCTURE, MEDIAN PER= AGRICULTURE, MEDIAN PER=
MINING, MEDIAN PER=
CONSUMER GOODS, MEDIAN PER=
TRADING, MEDIAN PER=
PROPERTY & KONSTRUKSI MEDIAN PER=